Anthony Pompliano

Why Bitcoin, Stablecoins & Tokenization Push Prices MUCH Higher

🇬🇧 EN🇪🇸 ES
BitcoinMacro
39:29 min youtube 2026 Semana 19 🇪🇸 ES

TL;DR

  • Geopolítica y Descentralización: La "real política" global impulsa la demanda de activos sin permisos, posicionando a Bitcoin como una alternativa superior al oro en el nuevo régimen económico.
  • Ciberseguridad Ofensiva: Se propone que EE. UU. adopte un modelo de corsarios digitales (privateering) para empoderar al sector privado y recuperar activos robados, aprovechando la ventaja tecnológica de IA.
  • Tokenización e Institucionalización: La convergencia de AI, cripto y cuántica está impulsando la tokenización masiva en mercados como el bursátil, consolidando a las instituciones (como Franklin Templeton) en la vanguardia de la innovación financiera.

Resumen

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=14or20L-Pfg  |  Duración: 39 min

◆ Introducción y Panorama Geopolítico

El panorama actual es de "real política", donde los estados actúan por intereses propios. Esta era exige un mundo sin permisos y basado en la confianza cero, una necesidad que Bitcoin está diseñado para satisfacer. El episodio presenta a Chris Perkins, quien pronto será jefe de criptoactivos en Franklin Templeton. Se analizará el impacto geopolítico y macroeconómico del sector cripto, incluyendo cómo los ciudadanos estadounidenses pueden participar activamente en una ofensiva contra la ciberguerra.

▶ Crisis de Hackeo y Amenazas Cibernéticas impulsadas por IA

⚠️ Alerta de Riesgo Crítico: Se ha registrado un aumento masivo en los hackeos cripto, con 29 proyectos vulnerados y más de $600 millones robados solo en abril. Estos ataques son perpetrados por actores patrocinados por estados (ej. grupo Lazarus de Corea del Norte). El riesgo operativo detiene el potencial completo de la clase de activos, siendo la ingeniería social y las herramientas de IA/deepfakes los principales facilitadores.

★ América en Ofensiva: La Idea del Corsario Privado (Privateering)

Se propone que Estados Unidos cambie su estrategia de defensa cibernética a una ofensiva, inspirada en el concepto histórico de corsarios. Dado que las respuestas estatales son lentas frente a ataques sofisticados patrocinados por estados, la idea es empoderar al sector privado para participar activamente en la recuperación de activos robados mediante un programa regulado (con depósito de fianza y tribunales especializados). Este modelo podría aumentar drásticamente la seguridad nacional y financiar reservas cripto sin costo fiscal.

► Capacidades de IA y Ventaja de EE. UU. en Guerra Cibernética

El sector privado tiene un gran potencial en ciberoperaciones, incluyendo la recuperación de activos digitales. Estados Unidos posee una ventaja técnica significativa gracias a avances en inteligencia artificial como GPT 5.5. A largo plazo, se espera que AI, cripto y cuántica converjan para soluciones de seguridad. Aunque los humanos son el punto débil, la IA es crucial tanto para la defensa robusta como para ofensivas mejoradas. Los actores maliciosos ya están utilizando herramientas de IA, lo cual acelera la frecuencia y velocidad de los ataques.

■ Regulación Cripto: ¿Dónde estamos en DC?

La regulación es vital, requiriendo una taxonomía clara sobre qué constituye un valor o una mercancía. Leyes como el Clarity Act podrían ser un gran impulso al enmarcar las criptomonedas legalmente. El debate debe centrarse en los problemas de clase de activos y no en cuestiones políticas partidistas. Actualmente, tres factores clave impulsan la industria: el avance tecnológico (tokenización y stablecoins), la adopción institucional que supera al ritmo político, y el papel macroeconómico global.

★ Bitcoin en Macroeconomía y Geopolítica

La "real política" impulsa la demanda de activos sin permisos. Los países buscan reducir su dependencia del dólar, pero el oro presenta dificultades para almacenar valor y moverse en mercados derivados. Por ello, Bitcoin se posiciona como una alternativa superior a los activos tradicionales. El análisis reciente muestra un impulso constructivo entre el gráfico de Bitcoin frente al oro, sugiriendo un posible cambio significativo en el régimen económico global.

â–º Bitcoin vs. Acciones: Desacoplamiento durante Conflictos

Bitcoin ha demostrado resiliencia durante conflictos geopolíticos mientras los mercados tradicionales caían. La tokenización en el sector bursátil es una evolución fundamental que permite operar 24/7, un gran avance para la gestión de riesgos. Los inversores usan esta naturaleza 24/7 para cubrirse ante eventos fuera del horario laboral tradicional. Se anticipa que la tokenización masiva requerirá el uso de stablecoins como infraestructura de pago.

■ Estrategia Cripto de Franklin Templeton y Próximos Pasos

Asumiendo el rol de jefe de cripto en Franklin Templeton, se destaca que las instituciones están reconociendo el valor fundamental del espacio cripto. La gestión de riesgos prioriza la seguridad; asociarse con grandes instituciones ofrece mayor protección que operar en DeFi puro. El enfoque futuro va más allá de tendencias pasajeras, buscando capturar fundamentos mediante el uso de inteligencia artificial y análisis profundos. La compañía se centrará en soluciones criptonativas innovadoras como la tokenización.

◆ Computación Cuántica: ¿Debería preocuparse Cripto?

El orador no está excesivamente preocupado por la computación cuántica, ya que los profesionales criptográficos se enfocan en mitigar desafíos e identificar oportunidades. Se espera que el poder de cómputo cuántico acelere grandes avances impulsados por IA. Cripto actuará como infraestructura esencial para gestionar movimientos de capital y autenticación en estos nuevos entornos. Es vital asegurar la resistencia a los ataques cuánticos, lo cual podría acelerar la adopción criptográfica general.

▶ Stablecoins y su Aproximación Institucional

Las stablecoins están creciendo explosivamente y jugarán un papel fundamental, impulsando la dolarización mundial al permitir que cualquier persona con internet mantenga dólares como reserva de valor. El desafío es generar rendimiento para preservar el valor. Se expresa gran entusiasmo por la tokenización de los mercados de capitales (acciones y valores), lo cual consolidará el dólar como una moneda más accesible a nivel global.

★ Comparativa de Inversión: Bitcoin vs. Infraestructura vs. Trading

Los clientes institucionales pueden elegir entre comprar el activo subyacente, invertir en infraestructura de capital o buscar exposición al trading. El orador sostiene que lo fundamental es siempre el valor intrínseco del activo; un token solo ofrece utilidad incremental como movimiento global 24/7. En esencia, envolver un criptoactivo en una acción o viceversa son formatos diferentes para la misma base.

Activo Rol Principal Tesis del Orador
Bitcoin (BTC) Activo Subyacente / Refugio de Valor Alternativa superior al oro en el nuevo régimen económico global.
Infraestructura de Capital Inversión en la base tecnológica (ej. tokenización). Capturar fundamentos a largo plazo, más allá de las tendencias pasajeras.
Tokens / Acciones Formato de exposición (utilidad incremental). Son simplemente diferentes formatos para la misma base intrínseca.

â–  La Fed, Recortes de Tasas y Precios Cripto

Los factores geopolíticos y macroeconómicos son clave. Se anticipa que un nuevo presidente de la Fed favorecerá tasas más bajas, lo cual beneficia directamente a los activos de riesgo como las criptomonedas. El mercado subestimó esta tendencia dado que el futuro líder de la Fed es pro-cripto. Además, el Secretario del Tesoro Besson apoya firmemente las stablecoins y busca posicionar a Estados Unidos como capital cripto mundial.

  • 📈 Impulso de Precio: Las tasas bajas impulsarán el precio de los activos de riesgo.
  • 🇺🇸 Ventaja Estratégica: EE. UU. posee una ventaja energética única y un acuerdo general sobre la necesidad de liderar tecnologías como IA y cripto.

â—† Buscar el alpha

La tesis central no es la volatilidad de Bitcoin per se, sino una profunda reestructuración del capital global impulsada por la necesidad de eficiencia y rendimiento en un entorno geopolítico complejo. El dinero está migrando estructuralmente desde activos físicos tradicionales (como el oro) hacia soluciones digitales que ofrecen liquidez, conveniencia y generación de rendimiento ('yield') a nivel institucional.

  • Rotación de capital: Hay una clara tendencia de las naciones y los inversores institucionales a alejarse del oro físico debido a sus dificultades logísticas. El capital está migrando hacia soluciones digitales que permiten la tokenización, ofreciendo conveniencia y liquidez 24/7.
  • Foco en el rendimiento (Yield): La dirección futura de la inversión se centrará fuertemente en activos que generen rendimiento ('yield-bearing assets'), superando la simple especulación o el valor intrínseco, lo cual está impulsando la adopción de estructuras similares a los fondos del mercado monetario.
  • Escepticismo fundamental: Existe un fuerte rechazo al "hype" y a las narrativas vacías en el mercado ("of all BS"). El verdadero movimiento de capital solo se justifica por sólidos fundamentos económicos subyacentes, no por la moda o la especulación.
  • Catalizador de régimen: La adopción institucional está siendo acelerada por la búsqueda de soluciones que permitan a los inversores evitar "jugar con múltiples aplicaciones" (fiat vs. tokens), buscando una interfaz unificada para gestionar todos sus activos digitales y tradicionales.
La vuelta de tuerca: El invitado está señalando que la narrativa dominante sobre el riesgo operacional o los hacks es una distracción menor. La verdadera fuerza motriz del mercado no son las amenazas externas, sino la necesidad sistémica y estructural de optimizar flujos de capital mediante tecnología (tokenización e IA) para generar rendimiento en un mundo cada vez más complejo geopolíticamente.

► Resumen por capítulos

Intro (0:00)

El capítulo establece que el panorama geopolítico actual es de "real política", donde los estados actúan por sus propios intereses. Esta era exige un mundo sin permisos y basado en la confianza cero, una necesidad que Bitcoin está posicionado para satisfacer. El episodio presenta a Chris Perkins, quien pronto será jefe de criptoactivos en Franklin Templeton. Discutirán el impacto geopolítico y macroeconómico del sector cripto. Un punto central es la idea fascinante de utilizar ciudadanos estadounidenses en un mecanismo de ofensiva contra la ciberguerra en criptomonedas. También se abordarán las acciones de Franklin Templeton en este espacio institucional.

The crypto hack crisis & AI-driven cyber threats (1:17)

Se ha registrado un aumento enorme en los hackeos de criptomonedas, con 29 proyectos vulnerados y $600 millones robados solo en abril. Estos ataques son perpetrados por actores patrocinados por estados, como el grupo Lazarus de Corea del Norte. El problema es grave porque estos riesgos operativos detienen que la clase de activos alcance su potencial completo a pesar de sus fundamentos sólidos. Gran parte de esto se debe a la ingeniería social y al uso creciente de herramientas de inteligencia artificial y deepfakes para facilitar los ataques. Aunque las instituciones con mayor poder computacional podrán defenderse mejor a largo plazo, el riesgo actual necesita ser abordado. Los atacantes suelen apuntar a proyectos más pequeños donde la defensa es menos robusta, en lugar de atacar directamente a Bitcoin o Ethereum.

America going on offense: the privateering idea (4:17)

El orador propone que Estados Unidos cambie su estrategia de defensa cibernética a una ofensiva, inspirada en el concepto histórico de corsarios o privateering. Argumenta que las respuestas estatales son lentas y costosas frente a los sofisticados ataques patrocinados por estados. La idea es empoderar al sector privado para que participe activamente en la recuperación de activos robados mediante un programa regulado. Los participantes tendrían que depositar una fianza y operar bajo tribunales especializados, asegurando el cumplimiento legal. Este modelo no solo aumentaría drásticamente la seguridad nacional, sino que también podría financiar reservas cripto sin costo para los contribuyentes. La propuesta ha recibido una recepción positiva en Washington D.C. como un avance constructivo para el ecosistema criptográfico.

AI capabilities & the US advantage in cyber warfare (9:10)

Se discute el potencial del sector privado en ciberoperaciones, incluyendo la recuperación de activos digitales y la extensión de la seguridad. Estados Unidos posee una ventaja técnica significativa gracias a avances en inteligencia artificial como GPT 5.5. Esta capacidad avanzada permite al país tener mayores probabilidades de recuperar bienes robados que otras naciones o grupos maliciosos. A largo plazo, se espera que AI, cripto y cuántica converjan para ofrecer soluciones de seguridad. Aunque los humanos siguen siendo el punto débil, la IA es fundamental tanto para una defensa robusta como para ofensivas cibernéticas mejoradas. Se confirma que los actores maliciosos ya están utilizando herramientas de IA, lo cual está impulsando el aumento actual en la frecuencia y velocidad de los ataques informáticos.

Crypto regulation: where do things stand in DC? (12:22)

La regulación es vital para la industria cripto más allá de Bitcoin, requiriendo una taxonomía clara sobre qué constituye un valor o una mercancía. Leyes como el Clarity Act podrían ser un impulso significativo al enmarcar las criptomonedas dentro del marco legal estadounidense. Sin embargo, la claridad regulatoria ya está surgiendo a través de precedentes establecidos por figuras clave en DC. El debate debe centrarse en los problemas de clase de activos y no en cuestiones políticas o éticas partidistas. Actualmente, tres factores son importantes: el avance tecnológico (tokenización y stablecoins), la adopción institucional que supera al ritmo político, y el papel de estos activos en el entorno macroeconómico global.

Bitcoin's role in macro & geopolitics (17:20)

La era global actual está marcada por la política real, donde los estados nacionales actúan priorizando sus propios intereses. Este contexto geopolítico impulsa la demanda de activos sin permisos y sin necesidad de confianza, siendo Bitcoin un ejemplo clave. Los países están buscando reducir su dependencia del dólar estadounidense, pero han recurrido al oro como refugio. Sin embargo, el oro presenta dificultades para almacenar valor y es complicado de mover en los mercados derivados. Por ello, Bitcoin se posiciona como una alternativa superior a los activos tradicionales. El análisis reciente muestra que el gráfico de Bitcoin frente al oro está experimentando un impulso muy constructivo. Este movimiento sugiere la posibilidad de un cambio significativo en el régimen económico global.

Bitcoin vs. stocks: decoupling during the Iran conflict (21:36)

El capítulo analiza la relación entre Bitcoin y las acciones, notando que BTC demostró resiliencia durante conflictos geopolíticos mientras los mercados tradicionales caían. Se destaca la tokenización en el sector bursátil como una evolución fundamental del mercado financiero. Esta tecnología permite operar 24 horas al día, siete días a la semana, lo cual es un gran avance para la gestión de riesgos. Los inversores están utilizando esta naturaleza 24/7 de las criptomonedas para cubrirse ante eventos que ocurren fuera del horario laboral tradicional. Además, se anticipa que la tokenización masiva requerirá el uso de stablecoins como infraestructura de pago. Aunque existe tensión geopolítica, los fundamentos y el sentimiento en el mercado son cada vez mejores, lo que augura un panorama constructivo para las criptomonedas.

Franklin Templeton's crypto strategy & what comes next (24:46)

El orador asume el rol de jefe de Franklin Crypto tras una adquisición, destacando que las instituciones están reconociendo el valor fundamental del espacio cripto. La gestión de riesgos se centra en la seguridad, sugiriendo que asociarse con grandes instituciones ofrece mayor protección que operar en DeFi puro. El enfoque futuro va más allá de las tendencias pasajeras, buscando capturar fundamentos mediante el uso de inteligencia artificial y análisis profundos. Franklin Templeton no solo replicará estrategias tradicionales en lo digital, sino que se centrará en soluciones criptonativas innovadoras como la tokenización. La compañía busca operar en la frontera de la innovación para resolver problemas de los clientes ante la disrupción tecnológica de IA y blockchain.

Quantum computing: should crypto be worried? (28:56)

El orador no está excesivamente preocupado por la computación cuántica en cripto, ya que los profesionales de este sector se centran intensamente en la criptografía y la innovación. Los ecosistemas criptográficos están enfocados tanto en mitigar desafíos como en identificar oportunidades que esta tecnología presenta. Se espera que el poder de cómputo cuántico acelere grandes avances, posiblemente impulsado por la inteligencia artificial. Cripto actuará como la infraestructura esencial para gestionar movimientos de capital o autenticación en estos nuevos entornos. Es fundamental que la industria asegure su resistencia a los ataques cuánticos. De hecho, el orador cree que esta tecnología podría acelerar la adopción criptográfica en otras industrias si se mantiene la seguridad cuántica, promoviendo una mayor convergencia.

Stablecoins & how institutions are approaching them (30:20)

Las stablecoins están creciendo de manera explosiva y se espera que jueguen un papel fundamental en el panorama global financiero. Esto impulsará la dolarización mundial ya que cualquier persona con acceso a internet podrá comprar y mantener dólares estadounidenses como reserva de valor. Un desafío importante es cómo generar rendimiento para preservar el valor de estas monedas estables, dado su potencial de depreciación. Se debate si una stablecoin o un fondo monetario tokenizado son más riesgosos, aunque conceptualmente ambos presentan similitudes en su funcionamiento. El orador expresa gran entusiasmo por la tokenización de los mercados de capitales, incluyendo acciones y valores. Estas tendencias consolidarán el dólar como una moneda mucho más accesible y dominante a nivel mundial.

Buying bitcoin vs. infrastructure equity vs. trading exposure (33:52)

Los clientes institucionales pueden optar por comprar el activo subyacente, invertir en infraestructura de capital o buscar exposición al trading y cobertura. El orador desestima la idea de que los inversores prefieran acciones sobre tokens o viceversa. Sostiene que lo fundamental es siempre el valor intrínseco del activo, ya que un token solo proporciona utilidad incremental como movimiento global 24/7. En esencia, envolver un criptoactivo en una acción o una acción en un token son simplemente diferentes formatos para la misma base. De cara al futuro, se espera una mayor personalización de las inversiones, utilizando herramientas como los vaults asistidos por inteligencia artificial que se adaptarán a las necesidades específicas de cada inversor.

The Fed, rate cuts, & what it means for crypto prices (35:47)

Los factores geopolíticos y macroeconómicos son clave para entender el mercado cripto. Se anticipa que un nuevo presidente de la Fed tenderá a favorecer tasas más bajas, lo cual beneficia directamente a los activos de riesgo como las criptomonedas. El mercado subestimó esta tendencia dado que el futuro líder de la Fed es pro-cripto y posee una cartera robusta en este sector. Además, el Secretario del Tesoro Besson apoya firmemente las stablecoins y busca posicionar a Estados Unidos como la capital cripto mundial. Se plantea la posibilidad de que ciertas responsabilidades de la Fed migren al Tesoro para permitirle a Besson impulsar esta agenda. Aunque las tasas bajas impulsan el precio, EE. UU. tiene una ventaja energética única en comparación con otras naciones. Existe un acuerdo general sobre la necesidad de que Estados Unidos lidere tecnologías innovadoras como la IA y el cripto.

Generado con algoritmo v1-chunked · modelo google/gemma-4-e4b · 2026-05-07T11:05:15Z

Transcripción

[0:00] If you step back and you look at where
[0:01] we are geopolitically and across the
[0:03] globe, this is an era of what we call
[0:05] real politic where nation states are
[0:08] acting in their interests which is
[0:09] distinct from idealism which we've you
[0:11] know this these things go back and
[0:12] forth. And so real politic is really um
[0:16] predicated by a trustless permissionless
[0:18] world. And if only there was an asset
[0:21] that was trustless and permissionless I
[0:23] think it's going to have incredible
[0:25] utility during this era of human
[0:27] evolution. That's Bitcoin. What's going
[0:30] on, guys? Today we got a great
[0:31] conversation with Chris Perkins. Chris
[0:33] is currently the CEO of 250 Digital
[0:35] Asset Management, but they are being
[0:36] acquired by Franklin Templeton. And so,
[0:38] Chris is the incoming head of crypto at
[0:40] Franklin Crypto. Now, in this
[0:42] conversation, Chris brings up a point
[0:44] that I have never heard anyone else talk
[0:45] about. It's the idea of unleashing
[0:47] American citizens in a privateeering
[0:49] mechanism to go on the offense against
[0:52] all of the cyber warfare that's
[0:53] happening in crypto. It's a fascinating
[0:55] conversation. We also go through
[0:56] different geopolitical and macroeconomic
[0:58] impacts on crypto. And then Chris
[1:00] explains what Franklin Templeton's been
[1:02] doing in the crypto sector and what he's
[1:04] going to be doing in his new role. This
[1:05] conversation is going to make you think
[1:07] much more deeply about what's going on,
[1:08] why there is so much cyber crime that's
[1:10] been happening recently, and also where
[1:12] the world's going from an institutional
[1:14] perspective. Here's my conversation with
[1:16] Chris Perkins. All right, Chris, there
[1:18] has been an enormous number of hacks
[1:20] this past month in crypto, and I'm
[1:21] wondering how much of that is like
[1:22] driven by AI, how much of it is people
[1:24] are just getting lazy in the crypto
[1:26] world, but this feels like a
[1:27] significantly bigger problem than people
[1:29] are talking about publicly. And so, how
[1:30] are you evaluating this right now?
[1:33] >> Yeah. Hey, good to see you, Pomp. I
[1:35] would say like when you step back, it
[1:37] couldn't be a more exciting time to be
[1:39] in this crypto space, right?
[1:41] Institutions are marching in. Bitcoin is
[1:44] looking very, very constructive right
[1:45] now. on. In fact, the entire the
[1:47] fundamentals of the asset class look
[1:49] great, but there's one thing standing in
[1:51] our way as you mentioned, and that's all
[1:53] these hacks. Do you know April was one
[1:56] of the worst months in history of
[1:58] hacking? 29 projects were hacked. About
[2:01] $600 million were taken. A lot of this
[2:03] is uh perpetrated by state sponsored
[2:05] actors, particularly Lazarus Group,
[2:08] which is affiliated with the North
[2:09] Korean regime. Um, and that's a real
[2:12] problem. Uh, it's a real problem for a
[2:14] few reasons. Number one, a lot of
[2:16] investors, and you know this, they're
[2:18] very comfortable taking market risk.
[2:20] That's what they get paid to do. That's
[2:21] what they get paid to underwrite, but
[2:24] they don't get paid, you know, to take
[2:25] the risk of hacking or operational risk
[2:28] or regulatory risk or any of this stuff.
[2:30] And so, as long as this this threat
[2:32] looms, it it it's stopping the
[2:35] incredible asset class where we operate
[2:38] from achieving its full potential. And
[2:40] so we haven't seen, you know, the thing
[2:43] that kills me about this this whole
[2:45] thing is that often times in on crypto
[2:47] Twitter or wherever you are, people will
[2:49] say, "Oh, you know what? Um, shame on
[2:52] that protocol. Shame on them." You know,
[2:54] it's like blaming the victim over and
[2:56] over again. Um, and look, can things be
[2:59] done better? Absolutely. We see and to
[3:01] your to your question, a lot of this is
[3:04] due not it's frankly due to social
[3:06] engineering. They get people to click on
[3:08] the wrong link. It's getting very scary
[3:10] with deep fakes and AI. Now you have
[3:12] Mythos, like all these AI tools. And
[3:15] perhaps one of the reasons why people
[3:17] are speculating why there's so many
[3:18] hacks this month is because AI tools are
[3:20] coming online and it's making it easier
[3:22] to hack. I think as we look longer term,
[3:25] the institutions who have more access to
[3:27] compute and powerful models will
[3:28] probably be able to defend more. So it
[3:32] works in both directions. But the
[3:34] problem right now as it exists needs to
[3:36] be addressed. Now, when you look at u
[3:39] these hacks that are occurring, when I
[3:40] hear $600 million, that's a lot. But
[3:42] also, you know, there's been uh billions
[3:45] of billions of dollars of trading volume
[3:46] on a daily basis. There's trillions of
[3:48] dollars of market cap. And so, uh it
[3:50] feels like uh maybe some of the reason
[3:52] why it's not getting talked about is
[3:53] because it's $600 million spread across
[3:56] 29 different things. It's not like there
[3:57] was, you know, one hack of $3 billion.
[4:00] Now, it dominate headlines. And it's
[4:01] also not of protocols that the
[4:04] mainstream has heard of. It's not like
[4:05] Bitcoin got hacked or Ethereum got
[4:07] hacked or Coinbase got hacked. And so
[4:09] I'm assuming part of that is like the
[4:11] strategy of the nefarious actor, right?
[4:12] It's like go to these smaller areas
[4:14] where the defense is probably not as
[4:16] strong. But I know you've also been
[4:18] involved in conversations in Washington
[4:20] DC about like wait a minute, rather than
[4:21] us play defense, what if we go on
[4:24] offense? And can you talk a little bit
[4:25] about this conversation around the
[4:27] United States incentivizing people to
[4:29] kind of fight back in this uh cyber
[4:31] warfare area?
[4:32] >> Yeah. So, you know, Christian Carlo, uh,
[4:34] he and I published a paper over a year
[4:36] ago and we knew this was a real problem
[4:39] and we, again, a lot of people complain
[4:41] about it and they blame different people
[4:43] for it, but we hadn't seen an effective
[4:45] response. And I know I grew up playing
[4:48] sports, I know you did, and coach always
[4:50] used to say, the best defense is a good
[4:52] offense. And so we looked at our history
[4:54] and people don't understand this and I'm
[4:56] going to insult you a little bit as a
[4:57] Marine, but um if you look back at the
[5:00] Revolutionary War, we really didn't win
[5:03] it because of George Washington
[5:05] maneuvering on the battlefield. We won
[5:07] it because we unleash these guys called
[5:09] privateeers. Uh it's a concept through
[5:12] letters, it's called letters of mark and
[5:13] reprisal. You essentially uh give them a
[5:16] license to go out and just ravage the
[5:19] economy of the other nation. And we did
[5:21] that. And if you look at the headlines
[5:22] in London at the time, they're like, you
[5:23] know, these Americans are killing our
[5:24] economy. They're attacking all our
[5:25] ships. You know, it's not working. And
[5:27] so that really was a a very important
[5:30] reason why we won the Revolutionary War.
[5:33] Brits came back in 1812. Madison's like,
[5:35] you know what, privateeers get after
[5:37] them. He launched 500. Same thing
[5:39] happened. Europeans thought it was a
[5:41] dirty game. They got out of the business
[5:42] in the mid 19th century. Um, the US
[5:45] however loved this concept so much it's
[5:48] actually in article one of our
[5:49] constitution. It's as American as apple
[5:52] pie. I don't know if they have apple pie
[5:54] in our constitution but you know what
[5:55] they got privateeers there. Um, look it
[5:58] up. It's pretty fascinating. And so the
[6:01] problem is it's been dormant for 200
[6:03] years. And our thesis is okay you have
[6:06] these state actors attacking a startup.
[6:09] Who's going to win every single time?
[6:12] The state sponsored a actor. They've got
[6:14] more resources. Our country has very
[6:17] good resources as well. And people like,
[6:18] we'll just let the IC do it, the
[6:20] intelligence community, let the army do
[6:21] it, whatever. The problem is talent is
[6:24] difficult to retain. It's very expensive
[6:27] because you have to find specialized
[6:28] people with specialized skills. And
[6:30] frankly, it's low lat. It's it's it's
[6:32] got a lot of latency because if you're
[6:34] able to hack somebody, you have to go
[6:36] through a lot of like due diligence and
[6:38] and due process, excuse me, to be able
[6:40] to follow the law. Frankly, the surface
[6:42] area is very small and so they can't
[6:44] respond enough fast enough because again
[6:47] 29 hacks this month and by the way those
[6:49] were semi concentrated there two about
[6:51] $300 million hacks. We've seen billion
[6:52] dollar hacks with buyit and so the bad
[6:56] guys are getting much much more
[6:57] sophisticated. So the idea is gosh the
[7:00] private sector has all the skills in the
[7:02] world. They're financially incented.
[7:04] What we can do is we can extend the
[7:06] surface area by empowering private
[7:09] citizens to go and hack back. Now, maybe
[7:12] politically right now in my
[7:13] conversations with some of the senators,
[7:15] they're like, "You can't call it
[7:16] privateeering. You got to call it um
[7:18] essentially like a uh a reclaim policy
[7:22] or, you know, we we'll figure out a way
[7:24] to to name it.
[7:25] >> A recovery program,
[7:26] >> a recovery, sorry. Yeah, like a recovery
[7:28] process. Wonderful. We can call it
[7:30] whatever you want." Um but the idea
[7:32] would be fully regulated, licensed to go
[7:35] out and recover um what's been stolen.
[7:38] Now, the way it worked in the history in
[7:40] in the past in history is there would be
[7:43] um the privateeers would post a bond.
[7:45] Maybe in crypto we call it staking, but
[7:47] essentially they'd post a bond to make
[7:48] sure they stayed within the law. Uh and
[7:50] then there would be prize courts where
[7:51] they would say, "Okay, privateeer, you
[7:52] get X. Um, hey, this the house is going
[7:55] to get a little bit, you give a little
[7:56] bit to the state, and then you you
[7:58] return some some of of of the spoils, if
[8:00] you will." Now, what does this mean?
[8:03] This means not only could it be a really
[8:05] interesting business model, but you
[8:07] could also use this to fund the crypto
[8:09] reserve at no cost to the taxpayer. So,
[8:12] it's a very very interesting concept.
[8:15] The reception I've had on the hill has
[8:17] been very positive. Um, but I think as
[8:20] we're going through markups on clarity,
[8:22] it's very tedious and difficult. It
[8:24] would be wonderful to get a recovery
[8:26] program inserted and frankly we got a
[8:28] lot of precedent for it in in modern day
[8:29] finance and whistleblower programs which
[8:31] is you you give the the power to private
[8:33] citizens um to go out and address issues
[8:36] that they see. Uh so that's the gist of
[8:38] it. I think it's um again the backdrop
[8:41] of a very constructive
[8:43] environment for crypto at a time when
[8:46] fundamentals continue to improve. I
[8:48] think this could be the icing on the
[8:49] cake. Oh, and by the way, if we have
[8:51] this massive security umbrella over the
[8:53] United States, what's going to happen?
[8:56] Entrepreneurs are going to come back on
[8:57] shore because they're going to be
[8:58] protected by that security umbrella. So,
[9:00] I think, you know, I don't see downside
[9:03] to having this program. And again, you
[9:06] don't want to talk about legal, there's
[9:07] nothing more legal. It's in our
[9:08] constitution, article 1, section 8.
[9:10] Check it out. You know what's
[9:11] interesting to me about this whole idea
[9:12] of privateeering is I've heard a bunch
[9:14] of people maybe Eric Prince is the the
[9:16] number one uh person who's been
[9:17] promoting this for uh natural resources
[9:20] for dealing with cartels. Uh obviously
[9:23] there's a ton of these uh different
[9:25] situations that are happening a lot in
[9:26] South and Central America. Uh this is
[9:28] the first time I'm hearing about it
[9:29] though when it comes to digital uses or
[9:32] cyber uses. And so how much of it would
[9:34] have to be like hacking type stuff where
[9:36] Americans would basically go on the
[9:38] offense versus it's information flow? So
[9:41] almost like a reward. Hey, if you give
[9:42] us information about XYZ and it leads to
[9:45] us recovering something, then you would
[9:47] get paid for that. I I think you could
[9:49] have honestly both types of programs. Um
[9:52] but again, the private sector has the
[9:55] capabilities and the tool sets to
[9:58] recover those assets and also to extend
[10:00] the security umbrella. I I think it's a
[10:02] no-brainer. Um I think it's fully legal
[10:04] and I think it it's time.
[10:06] >> Now what becomes even more interesting
[10:08] is the US model companies seem to have
[10:11] had a couple of breakthroughs. Obviously
[10:12] there's the whole mythos thing. Uh chat
[10:14] GPT uh 5.5 is out now and these have
[10:18] very interesting cyber capabilities. Um
[10:22] whether they are actually you know a
[10:23] point where people need to be careful
[10:25] and and maybe we shouldn't give it out
[10:26] to the public versus okay they're just
[10:28] very powerful. uh if the US has those
[10:31] capabilities and another country or a
[10:33] nefarious organization doesn't actually
[10:36] from a technical standpoint we should
[10:37] have an advantage and it increases the
[10:39] odds we'd be able to go and recover some
[10:40] of the stuff right totally I think for
[10:42] sure on the recovery side but I think
[10:45] long-term like I'm a long-term investor
[10:48] and I'm very very bullish I mean as
[10:49] we're looking at this is just another
[10:51] example where AI crypto and then
[10:54] ultimately quantum these things are all
[10:56] flowing together AI and I think is going
[10:59] to be one of the the long-term solutions
[11:01] to security because as we as you
[11:04] mentioned we're going to be running
[11:06] these models as effectively as the bad
[11:08] guys. The key is to have better models,
[11:10] faster models, more thoughtful models
[11:12] and I would hope that you know on shore
[11:14] we're going to have um more resources
[11:17] around compute etc. um to be able to
[11:20] stay in front of the bad guys. Uh it'll
[11:22] always be a cat-mouse game. The weakness
[11:24] will continue to be humans like you and
[11:26] me. Um we're fallible. Um, we can be,
[11:29] you know, we can be tricked and messed
[11:31] with. Um, but I do think AI is going to
[11:33] be a long, you know, people are freaking
[11:35] out about, oh my gosh, we're going to
[11:36] get hacked by AI. Yeah, for sure. But I
[11:38] also think it's going to be providing
[11:40] beautiful defense and maybe in the
[11:42] context of privateeers, even better
[11:44] offense.
[11:44] >> Do you think that the reason why there
[11:46] was the 20some hacks and uh, you know,
[11:48] kind of that the higher pace and
[11:49] frequency is because of AI? Like is it
[11:52] that's actually what's driving uh, the
[11:54] problem at the moment?
[11:55] >> I think that's part of it. Um, yes. I I
[11:58] think the bad guys are using tools for
[12:00] sure. Uh in many cases it will continue
[12:02] to get worse.
[12:03] >> I was at this uh Are you familiar with
[12:06] Worldcoin? Uh I was at their event a
[12:08] couple weeks ago in San Francisco
[12:10] >> and they literally were showing how you
[12:12] know they did a demo of a deep fake.
[12:14] Couldn't tell but they had their world
[12:15] ID. It was really cool. But like yeah AI
[12:18] is definitely helping a lot of these um
[12:21] these bad guys. Le let's talk a little
[12:23] bit. You mentioned clarity. Um I have
[12:25] been of the belief that uh Bitcoin in
[12:27] particular will be successful with or
[12:29] without that type of regulation but I
[12:31] think that a lot of the rest of the
[12:33] industry is waiting for some of these
[12:35] milestones to happen whether it is the
[12:37] government's participation institutional
[12:39] participation etc. Uh I know that you've
[12:41] been very involved in understanding
[12:43] what's you know kind of the current
[12:44] state of affairs like where are we and
[12:46] and do you have a sense of when this
[12:48] thing's going to get passed? Yeah, I'm a
[12:50] business guy, but I spend a ton of time
[12:51] on regulation. And the reason why I do
[12:53] is you have to you have to understand
[12:55] it. And if you can shape it, you try to
[12:57] shape it by by educating policy makers
[12:59] because like one word or one sentence of
[13:02] regulation or law translates to billions
[13:04] of dollars of downstream value creation
[13:06] or destruction. That's just how it
[13:08] works. So, I agree with you. We don't
[13:12] need it. I think we want it. And Bitcoin
[13:15] is a special animal. I think it's going
[13:17] to be fine either way. But what what's
[13:19] important for the rest of of the
[13:21] cryptocurrency market really starts with
[13:23] something called taxonomy. What is a
[13:25] security? What is a commodity? The laws
[13:27] already kind of defined it, but we need
[13:28] that taxonomy. Now, if we get the
[13:31] Clarity Act, I think it's going to be it
[13:34] could unleash at a certain point in time
[13:36] animal spirits because now you've
[13:38] enshrined crypto in our laws and like
[13:40] it's we've done that with stable coins.
[13:42] So, I think it's going to be a nice
[13:43] tailwind um if if you're looking at
[13:44] markets. However, if we don't get it, it
[13:48] doesn't matter. You've got Chairman
[13:50] Celig, you got Chairman Atkins. These
[13:52] guys are setting precedent every single
[13:54] day that's thoughtful, smart, and it's
[13:55] and it's giving people what they wanted
[13:56] the whole time. Clarity that it's giving
[13:58] them taxonomy. What's a security? What's
[13:59] a And they're like, and Atkins is like,
[14:01] "No, no, no. These aren't securities. If
[14:02] you wrap a security, that's a security.
[14:04] That's a" And by the way, being a
[14:06] security now is not a death sentence. In
[14:09] fact, it's an awesome unlock because you
[14:11] can use the US capital markets. So,
[14:13] we're getting that clarity either way.
[14:15] What are what are you what is what
[14:17] should you be looking for right now on
[14:18] the act itself? This whole interest on
[14:20] stable coin stuff was such a
[14:22] distraction. We had the Genius Act,
[14:24] whatever. It's been sorted either way.
[14:26] Um, now we're getting into it's like
[14:29] kind of like when a satellite or the
[14:31] space shuttle re-enters the atmosphere,
[14:32] you're kind of going through this crazy
[14:34] dark period. The next hurdle is ethics.
[14:38] And this makes me a little bit mental,
[14:40] too, because there are people um that
[14:43] are saying, "I I can't support this bill
[14:45] because Trump and crypto are a thing. I
[14:47] if I support crypto, I'm supporting
[14:49] Trump. Everything's unethical." Blah
[14:51] blah blah blah blah blah. And it's the
[14:54] complete wrong way to look at this
[14:56] thing. You know, do we have issues with
[14:58] ethics and trading in our government?
[15:01] What do you think, Anthony? I think that
[15:03] there is so many problems across asset
[15:07] classes and across the aisle of both
[15:09] political parties that uh you could pick
[15:11] any a topic and I will tell you 20 other
[15:14] variations of that same thing in a
[15:16] completely nonpartisan way and across
[15:18] public private markets.
[15:20] >> A amen right do we have ethics issues
[15:23] across our government? Absolutely.
[15:25] Should they be addressed 100%. If you
[15:28] look at Trump's State of the Union
[15:29] address, he actually mentioned the Stop
[15:30] Insider Trading Act twice. And to your
[15:33] point, to my point, let's look at it
[15:35] holistically. This is not about crypto.
[15:37] It's about ethics. So why are we trying
[15:39] to, you know, adjudicate this here? I
[15:41] don't like it. And by the way, if you
[15:43] really hate Trump that much, then let's
[15:46] let's just get rid of the real estate
[15:48] industry as well. I already likes real
[15:50] estate, too. Right? Like like that's a
[15:52] problem, right? So anyway, I'm
[15:55] apolitical, but let's look at this asset
[15:57] class and let's let's focus on the
[15:59] issues in the bill. That's where we need
[16:01] to be. When I look at uh the state of
[16:05] Bitcoin and crypto markets today, there
[16:07] are really three things that I think are
[16:08] important. The first is is the
[16:10] technology working? I think you can
[16:12] argue that, you know, Bitcoin is
[16:13] working. There are some altcoins that
[16:15] are technically executing exactly what
[16:17] they said they were going to do. Stable
[16:18] coins have become very popular.
[16:20] Tokenization is happening. uh
[16:22] institutions are adopting these
[16:23] technologies trying to figure out how to
[16:24] use them etc. So like I think you can
[16:26] say okay there's always progress that
[16:27] can be made there but that first bucket
[16:28] you know checks out. The second one is
[16:31] uh a lot of the regulatory like DC and
[16:34] institutional world and I think the
[16:36] institutions are further ahead than the
[16:38] politicians. Um the institutions are
[16:40] kind of pouring capital and uh and manh
[16:42] hours into this that you you know
[16:44] there's pretty much an announcement
[16:45] almost every week at this point from an
[16:46] institution. uh the politicians seem to
[16:49] begrudgingly like it across both sides
[16:51] of the aisle because they realize that
[16:53] the constituents like it and therefore
[16:54] they've got to support it and so you
[16:56] know we'll get there but but we're
[16:57] there. The third thing though is what is
[16:59] the role of again let's use Bitcoin just
[17:02] because it'll make the conversation
[17:03] easier but like what is the role of
[17:05] Bitcoin inside of the macro and
[17:06] geopolitical environment right so
[17:08] whether it's the Iran war whether it's
[17:10] things going on at the Fed like it does
[17:12] feel like these assets that used to
[17:14] operate completely outside the system
[17:16] and frankly had no interaction
[17:18] whatsoever with the kind of broader
[17:20] financial system now it has a lot and so
[17:24] how do you evaluate kind of the
[17:25] macroeconomic you know impact and the
[17:27] geop political impact on this industry.
[17:30] >> If you step back and you look at where
[17:31] we are geopolitically and across the
[17:33] globe, this is an era of what we call
[17:36] real politic where nation states are
[17:39] acting in their interests which is
[17:40] distinct from idealism which we've you
[17:42] know this these things go back and
[17:43] forth. And so real politic is really um
[17:48] predicated by a trustless permissionless
[17:50] world, right? And if only there was an
[17:54] asset that was trustless and
[17:55] permissionless, I think it's going to
[17:57] have incredible utility during this era
[17:59] of human evolution, that's Bitcoin,
[18:02] right? And why did you see Ethereum come
[18:05] out and double down on what it's known
[18:08] as crops, censorship resistance, right?
[18:11] It may not be the fastest, it might not
[18:13] be the sexiest, but if it can be the
[18:15] the, you know, like Bitcoin, resistant
[18:18] to censorship, that is a material
[18:20] material edge. And so, as you look at
[18:23] the world going forward, what what is
[18:24] the world that I see? I see real politic
[18:28] continuing to dominate. Nation states
[18:30] around the world are trying to decouple
[18:32] from the dollar where possible, but it's
[18:35] really, really hard. And what they did
[18:37] was they they dumped some treasuries,
[18:39] they bought gold, gold went up, and then
[18:41] everyone's like, "What happened to
[18:42] Bitcoin?" Well, guess what? They they
[18:45] bought the gold because they're really
[18:46] old. And and they didn't know any
[18:48] better. And now they're realizing gold
[18:49] is a very difficult asset to store
[18:51] value. Um if you go into the derivative
[18:54] space, you're back into the essentially
[18:55] the US Financial Institution for the
[18:57] most part. Physical gold is very hard to
[18:59] move and transport. And now, have you
[19:01] looked at the Bitcoin gold chart
[19:02] recently since since Epic Fury began?
[19:05] Take a look if you have it straight and
[19:07] to the right. Um, it's a beautiful,
[19:09] beautiful chart. Bitcoin is now playing
[19:11] with its 150day moving average. It's
[19:12] about to break out. That is that is
[19:14] often a sign of regime change. And so,
[19:17] it's very, very constructive right now
[19:19] in the context of of of the geopolitical
[19:21] situation that we find each other. Very
[19:23] constructive. Today's episode is brought
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[21:36] I sent you. How do you look at the
[21:38] relationship between Bitcoin and stocks?
[21:41] You know, there was a point there when
[21:42] the Iran conflict started where there
[21:44] was like a decoupling. Stocks, gold,
[21:46] everything sold off and Bitcoin kind of
[21:48] held in. Didn't necessarily appreciate
[21:49] significantly, but it kind of held in
[21:51] there very strong. And at one point, it
[21:53] was green and everything else was pretty
[21:54] much red other than, you know, oil and
[21:56] those types of commodities. Now, stocks
[21:58] are kind of ripping back to new all-time
[22:00] highs, and Bitcoin uh has gone up, but,
[22:03] you know, it's not back at an all-time
[22:04] high. And so, how do you look at that
[22:05] relationship? Yeah, you're seeing go uh
[22:07] Bitcoin starting to pick up against
[22:08] major tech stocks. Now, the equity
[22:11] industry is going through something
[22:13] really, really interesting right now.
[22:14] It's tokenizing and people don't really
[22:17] understand how big a deal this is. So,
[22:19] I'm an old futures guy and back in the
[22:21] day buns traded on the life exchange and
[22:23] it was these open outcry guys that would
[22:25] raise their hand and fight and like try
[22:27] to get the bidden off or whatever.
[22:30] Your ex behind the scenes developed
[22:31] electronification,
[22:33] turned it on, and then one day all that
[22:35] liquidity moved from open outcry to
[22:38] electronic trading. Tokenization is the
[22:41] new version of this. It's the next
[22:44] iteration on markets after
[22:46] electronification. And the reason why is
[22:49] it unlocks 247 markets. Think about it.
[22:54] Markets in their natural state are 24/7.
[22:57] You know, value changes if you're asleep
[22:58] or not. nobody really cares. Well, we
[23:00] never had the technology to keep up.
[23:03] Now, tokens uh allow you to do that. And
[23:06] so, I'm a fiduciary. I have the ability
[23:08] to buy a tokenized stock or a
[23:11] non-tokenized stock. I have to buy that
[23:15] tokenized version every single day
[23:17] because I can risk manage it when Donald
[23:19] Trump invades Venezuela on a Friday
[23:21] night, Epic Fury on a Saturday night. I
[23:24] have to be able to manage my risk. Why
[23:26] am I saying all this to your question?
[23:28] Well, the reason is there's this
[23:30] dislocation now where crypto is active
[23:33] 247 and people are hedging their risk,
[23:36] you know, when they have no other way to
[23:37] hedge their risk uh when when when those
[23:40] things happen on on the weekend. And so,
[23:42] they've been using it to to sell um
[23:44] which has been part of the price action
[23:45] challenges. But eventually, you're going
[23:47] to find out that the 247 cryptonativity
[23:50] that we already enjoy is going to be a
[23:52] distinct advantage. uh and watch as you
[23:55] see um you know this this this happen.
[23:58] It's going to be very very interesting.
[23:59] But before long, you know, this also
[24:01] plays to the stable coin thesis. If the
[24:03] equity market is $127 trillion in size
[24:07] and it tokenizes overnight, how am I
[24:10] going to pay for this stuff? Stable
[24:12] coins. And so when you start thinking
[24:14] about numbers, Treasury Secretary threw
[24:16] out three trillion probably
[24:18] conservative. And that's exactly what
[24:19] you'd expect from from a government
[24:21] agency. So, um, look, I I I think I
[24:24] think you're going to start seeing a
[24:26] pivot back. Equities are ripping despite
[24:28] all the geopolitical stress. Um, crypto
[24:31] stayed resilient, but I do think the
[24:33] construct the the setup is incredibly
[24:35] constructive. Sentiment has been really
[24:37] really bad, slowly improving. Um,
[24:40] fundamentals are getting better and
[24:41] better every single day for the tokens
[24:42] that have them. And, uh, retail come is
[24:45] going to come back.
[24:47] >> What are you worried about right now?
[24:48] You know, there's a lot of positive
[24:49] things to point to. Is there anything in
[24:51] particular that that you say, hey, you
[24:53] know, you're stepping into this new role
[24:54] at uh Franklin Templeton and uh I think
[24:56] that you've probably more so than most
[24:58] in the industry have to think about risk
[25:00] management and think about how do you
[25:01] mitigate a lot of the concerns that
[25:03] these institutions would have. So maybe
[25:04] talk a little bit about the role that
[25:05] you are stepping into and then also how
[25:07] you're thinking about, you know, the
[25:09] negatives or things that we need to
[25:10] mitigate.
[25:11] >> Yeah, so Franklin Templeton announced um
[25:13] that they're going to be acquiring our
[25:14] liquid strategies. We're super excited
[25:16] about it. Um once we close I'll be the
[25:19] head of Franklin Crypto and it's a
[25:22] really really interesting time. I
[25:23] couldn't be more excited. Uh you know
[25:25] we've been operating this space Anthony
[25:27] for years and we took a lot of risk for
[25:30] operating in the space. Regulators would
[25:33] come after us. It was not an easy place
[25:34] to operate. But now as you talk to every
[25:38] single institution around the world they
[25:40] have risk if they're not in this space
[25:43] because they see the value creation.
[25:45] they see the fundamentals continuing to
[25:46] improve. And so it's the most perfect
[25:49] time for, you know, a guy like me to
[25:51] leverage that and my team to leverage
[25:54] that cryptonative experience to now come
[25:56] in and help shepherd them on this
[25:57] journey. Um, you know, help them find um
[26:00] the solutions that they're looking for
[26:02] uh the exposures that they're looking
[26:04] for in accordance with their uh risk
[26:06] tolerance. Um, and we've learned a lot
[26:09] uh in in in the last few years. Now, as
[26:11] far as risk goes, we talked about it up
[26:13] front. we have to address the security
[26:15] issue. Um, again, you know, that's one
[26:18] of the reasons why to your earlier point
[26:21] why people aren't going true native DeFi
[26:23] themselves on chain. Maybe they want to
[26:25] partner with a trusted institution who
[26:27] can help abstract maybe some of the I
[26:29] mean, everyone faces security
[26:31] challenges, but maybe you have more
[26:32] robust um capabilities at a at a big
[26:34] institution. That's one of the reasons
[26:36] why you're even seeing some of the OG
[26:38] Bitcoin guys went into the ETF. two
[26:41] reasons. Maybe a little better security,
[26:43] maybe they could avail themselves of the
[26:45] entire robustness of US capital markets,
[26:48] borrowing and lending and doing so in a
[26:50] more safe and secure manner. So, um
[26:53] security is something I think that that
[26:54] we're always thinking about. Obviously,
[26:57] um fundamentals like you know this idea
[27:01] of chasing the next hot meme um was a
[27:04] big part of the crypto industry in the
[27:05] past. I think going forward is how do we
[27:07] leverage our unique distribution to
[27:10] really understand and and capture
[27:12] fundamentals? How do we bring in, you
[27:14] know, the power of AI to to help power
[27:18] our our our thesises and our strategies?
[27:20] Um, there's so much disruption, right? I
[27:23] mean, it couldn't be more exciting time
[27:24] to be alive. You got this AI thing
[27:26] that's going to change everything.
[27:27] You've got crypto that's changing
[27:29] everything. And then we got quantum
[27:30] eventually that's going to change
[27:31] everything as well. And Elon's going to
[27:33] do it all in space. So like it couldn't
[27:35] be a more exciting time. We just are
[27:37] excited to to to partner with our
[27:39] clients to to to navigate these
[27:41] challenges.
[27:42] >> Talk a little bit about uh Franklin
[27:43] Tubson. I know that it was just the
[27:45] 5-year anniversary of the Benji Fund and
[27:47] they've been kind of dabbling in some of
[27:49] these things, but what is your view in
[27:51] terms of, you know, what does the next
[27:53] couple of years look like? Is it just
[27:54] replicate every single traditional fund
[27:57] strategy and asset and do it in the
[27:59] digital world? Is it focus on the more
[28:01] cryptonative things that maybe don't
[28:02] have a corlary example in the
[28:05] traditional world? How are you thinking?
[28:07] >> I think the answer is yes. Um to be
[28:09] honest with you, uh Jenny Johnson, Sandy
[28:12] call like these people are not new to
[28:15] the space. Um actually I sat next to
[28:17] Sandy for years. I think we we learned
[28:19] about Bitcoin together back in like 2013
[28:21] or something and um you know we were
[28:24] very close at the time uh at Croup and
[28:27] Jenny and and Sandy and the Franklin
[28:28] team have been in the space since 2018.
[28:30] So this is not new for them. Um what
[28:32] they really want to do is just galvanize
[28:34] their focus, galvanize their teams to to
[28:38] really solve clients, solve their
[28:40] clients problems. Um whether it's
[28:42] tokenization, whether it's cryptonative
[28:44] and everything in between. Um, you're
[28:46] going to hear a ton of announcements
[28:47] coming out. Um, and and hopefully, you
[28:50] know, my goal is to operate on the
[28:52] frontier. Um, focus on innovation and
[28:55] innovative solutions for our clients.
[28:57] >> One thing we haven't talked about is
[28:58] quantum. And I think that I've heard
[29:00] quantum mentioned by more institutional
[29:02] people than any other group. Uh, how do
[29:04] you thinking about quantum? Are you
[29:06] worried about it? What can people do to
[29:08] mitigate that?
[29:09] I'm not terribly worried about it in
[29:12] crypto because crypto people by our
[29:15] nature are very focused on cryptography
[29:18] and cutting edge innovation. And so as
[29:21] you look across the ecosystems,
[29:24] it's very apparent to me that we're
[29:26] focusing on addressing the challenges
[29:29] and perhaps even, you know, identifying
[29:32] the opportunities. I mean, think of the
[29:34] compute and the power that that this
[29:36] technology will ultimately bring or
[29:38] these breakthroughs. This is not new
[29:40] stuff. Like, you know, you go to
[29:41] Columbia, they've been working on this
[29:42] for 100 years, but it feels like
[29:45] something like AI again will accelerate
[29:48] breakthroughs in quantum. Crypto is
[29:51] going to be the rails that bring it
[29:52] together, whether it's for
[29:53] authentication or for movement of of of
[29:56] capital. So like while it's very
[29:58] important for our industry because
[29:59] crypto is the name of our industry and
[30:01] cryptography and making sure that your
[30:03] quantum resistance is very important.
[30:05] I'm frankly more concerned about other
[30:07] industries and this could actually
[30:09] accelerate
[30:11] crypto adoption of those other
[30:12] industries provided that crypto that
[30:14] cryptography is quantum resistance. So
[30:16] again I think it's a forcing function
[30:18] that's going to bring more convergence
[30:20] um going forward.
[30:21] >> Let's talk about stable coins. those
[30:23] seem to be uh if there's any product
[30:25] that has as much product market fit as
[30:27] Bitcoin, stable coins have, you know,
[30:28] just grown like wildfire. Um how do you
[30:31] think these large institutions interact
[30:33] with stable coins? Is it okay, let's all
[30:35] go use, you know, Tether or USD um uh T
[30:39] or USDC or or is it they build their
[30:42] own? It seems like everyone's got kind
[30:43] of different strategies and then you've
[30:45] got like the payment processors and
[30:46] you've got the warehouses and and
[30:48] there's just a lot of complexity in
[30:50] players and so what's your view as to
[30:52] where we end up with stable coins in the
[30:54] traditional world?
[30:56] >> I think stable coins are going to be a
[30:57] huge part of the globe going forward.
[31:00] Um, if you think about it, the US
[31:03] greatest export is the greenback. And
[31:07] now for the first time, people anywhere
[31:10] in the world with access to the internet
[31:12] are going to be able to buy those
[31:14] dollars and hold those dollars as a
[31:16] store of value. And this is
[31:20] unprecedented. I think you're going to
[31:21] see the like the dollar dollar dominance
[31:25] just continue to um expand across the
[31:28] the world. I think there's going to be
[31:29] wars fought over this. Uh to be honest
[31:31] with you, I hate to say it, but like
[31:33] we're going to see the dollarization of
[31:35] of the world. I was talking to a really
[31:38] smart guy the other night. He's like,
[31:39] you know, I see currencies and languages
[31:42] being correlated over time. You know,
[31:44] the number of languages being spoken,
[31:46] I'm not saying this is a good thing, by
[31:47] the way. I'm just saying that this is
[31:48] how it is, continues to decrease. you
[31:50] know, eventually, you know, there'll
[31:52] only be everyone's going to speak
[31:53] English um and and you know, whatever
[31:56] and maybe Mandarin and maybe something
[31:57] else, but like you're seeing them
[31:59] continue to shrink. I I kind of see the
[32:01] same trend like perhaps in in
[32:04] currencies. Um and there's just going to
[32:06] be ins continued insatiable demand for
[32:08] the dollar. Now, one of the problems
[32:12] that continue to arise is yield. And you
[32:15] know it is a depreci though it's a very
[32:18] good relative store of value on an
[32:20] absolute basis maybe not so much. So how
[32:22] do you drive that yield to preserve that
[32:24] value? So I'm going to ask you a
[32:27] question. What's the difference between
[32:29] a tokenized money market fund and a
[32:31] stable coin?
[32:34] Depends who you ask there my friend. Now
[32:35] we're getting into the great debate. But
[32:38] I mean, look, it it's a very fair point
[32:39] and I think that uh to the average
[32:41] person um other than the consumption
[32:44] mechanism in terms of being able to use
[32:46] it, it's very similar.
[32:48] >> Yeah. I mean, so there we the risk,
[32:52] which one do you think is more risky, a
[32:53] money market fund or a stable coin?
[32:56] >> Again, depends on who you ask, but
[33:00] >> it's it's basically the same, I would
[33:01] argue,
[33:02] >> right? So if you have one that doesn't
[33:05] that pays somebody else interest and one
[33:07] that pays you interest, the only
[33:09] difference currently is one's a security
[33:11] and one is under genius, right? But if
[33:14] you go back to principles-based
[33:16] approaches,
[33:17] you know, why should you not be able to
[33:19] give that yield bearing asset more
[33:22] easily to somebody else? And so one
[33:24] thing that I'm very excited about is the
[33:26] tokenization of capital markets, the
[33:27] tokenization of equities, tokenization
[33:29] of securities. And you know right now
[33:33] maybe it's time to look at a more
[33:34] principles basis where you know I think
[33:36] we announced in our transaction that
[33:38] proceeds are going to be um paid in the
[33:41] money market fund. So lines will
[33:43] continue to blur um irregardless the
[33:46] dollar is going to become much more
[33:48] available and much more dominant across
[33:50] the world and I think that's very good
[33:52] for the US government.
[33:54] >> Makes uh makes sense to me. Um, when you
[33:56] think about the liquid strategies that
[33:58] you guys were running, uh, how many of
[34:00] these institutional clients that
[34:02] Franklin has or others, are they looking
[34:04] to buy the underlying, you know, Bitcoin
[34:06] or other asset? How many of them are
[34:08] looking to, hey, I want to go invest in
[34:10] the infrastructure and own equity almost
[34:11] in a venture, you know, public market
[34:13] style versus, look, I want trading
[34:16] exposure. I want hedging. I want alpha,
[34:18] you know, and those types of uh,
[34:19] activities.
[34:22] You know, people will will say, and I've
[34:24] heard this come up a few times recently,
[34:26] oh, I like equity, I don't like tokens,
[34:28] or I like tokens, I don't like equity.
[34:29] Maybe that was in 21. To me, that's kind
[34:32] of all BS. And the reason why is that it
[34:36] doesn't matter whether it's an equity or
[34:38] a token. The token does provide
[34:40] incremental utility, you know, where you
[34:43] can move it around the world 24/7. It's
[34:45] about the fundamentals underneath,
[34:47] right? And so, what is the value acrruel
[34:49] to that equity? What is the value
[34:50] acrruel to that token whether it's a
[34:52] native form or otherwise but these are
[34:53] just effectively rappers whether you
[34:55] wrap a crypto asset as as like bitcoin
[34:58] under a security as an ETF or you wrap a
[35:00] security in a token it's really about
[35:02] the fundamentals underneath and so you
[35:05] know like any other investment strategy
[35:07] clients will want to understand you know
[35:09] basic things you know what are the
[35:11] investment objectives the benchmarks etc
[35:13] um and so I think it's hard to talk you
[35:16] know every single investor has different
[35:19] objectives
[35:20] I think in time you're going to see a
[35:21] lot more customization via things like
[35:23] vaults, right? Think about it. You know,
[35:27] even at the retail level, you're you're
[35:29] an your adviser. Send me your data.
[35:31] Okay, I'm going to run it through an AI
[35:32] model to understand exactly what you
[35:34] want. I'm going to spit out like and
[35:36] very quickly I'll spit out a vault
[35:38] that's particularly catered to anything
[35:40] that you need, your life events, blah
[35:41] blah blah blah blah blah. So,
[35:43] customization will also be a very
[35:45] important form factor going forward.
[35:47] makes uh makes sense to me when you look
[35:49] at um all of the geopolitical stuff
[35:51] that's happening. Look at all the
[35:52] macroeconomic stuff. Uh we're going to
[35:54] get a new Fed chair. Um and that that
[35:56] new Fed chair uh seems to have a
[35:59] proclivity for lower rates. Uh the
[36:01] president would definitely like lower
[36:02] rates. Uh drone Powell seems to be a
[36:04] little bit more resistant to that idea.
[36:06] Um what is your take on the Fed and
[36:09] their importance for crypto prices? Is
[36:11] it as simple as they cut rates and
[36:13] crypto goes higher through the rest of
[36:14] this year? That's definitely what the
[36:16] data has been showing. Um, I think it's
[36:18] a lot bigger than that, though. And I
[36:20] think the crypto markets completely got
[36:22] worse wrong. Um, when he was named,
[36:25] everyone's like, "Oh, this guy's going
[36:26] to stop QE and it's going to be over."
[36:29] The guy, you know, has a pretty amazing
[36:31] portfolio. Now, I don't know how in the
[36:32] weeds he is. Maybe he's outsourcing that
[36:34] to some some some advisers, but the guy
[36:37] has a pretty robust um crypto portfolio
[36:40] to begin with. as he's as you hear him
[36:43] speak, he's very pro crypto. And you
[36:47] know, I think what you're gonna see at a
[36:48] higher level and we know, you know,
[36:50] Secretary of Treasury Besson is also pro
[36:52] crypto. He wants to make he he he loves
[36:55] stable coins. He wants to start pushing
[36:57] stable coins out to the world. But what
[36:59] my thesis is is you're going to see a
[37:00] new Fed Treasury accord where some roles
[37:04] that the Fed has creeped into are going
[37:06] to move back into Treasury and that's
[37:08] fine. Um, and you know, the Fed can stay
[37:12] perfectly independent. Certain tasks and
[37:15] responsibilities can be moved into the
[37:16] Treasury and that's okay because the
[37:18] Treasury is held accountable through
[37:20] elections and I don't have a problem
[37:22] with that. And as certain roles and
[37:24] responsibilities migrate back to
[37:25] Bessant, it gives him a lot more
[37:27] flexibility, I believe, you know, to to
[37:29] to to pursue his agenda, which has been
[37:32] very clear from the president himself. I
[37:34] want to make the US the crypto capital
[37:36] of the planet. And so yes, I do think
[37:39] crypto as risk assets are very
[37:40] responsive uh to lower rates. You know,
[37:43] we're seeing governments around the
[37:45] world right now saying, "Wait a second.
[37:47] You know, I don't I have this huge issue
[37:49] with oil. It's skyrocketing. I'm going
[37:51] to have to raise rates." Um I think
[37:53] there's a real conundrum around the
[37:55] world which direction to go. Um but the
[37:58] US is different. We're energy resilient.
[38:00] We're independent. And I I do think
[38:02] you're going to see very conducive a
[38:05] very conducive environment with worse in
[38:06] the seat and him working like why
[38:09] wouldn't we want uh chairman of the
[38:11] Federal Reserve and the Secretary of the
[38:12] Treasury to be working hand inand
[38:14] coordinated. I think that makes a lot
[38:15] better sense. Um and that doesn't mean
[38:18] no independence for the Fed.
[38:20] >> I uh I completely agree. I think that
[38:22] we're going to get uh quite a bit of
[38:24] support here. Um which is not
[38:25] necessarily uh because people are just
[38:28] sympathetic to crypto. It's that the
[38:29] world needs this and America wants to be
[38:31] a leader and so no different that we
[38:32] want to be a leader in AI and space and
[38:34] crypto and you know genetic uh DNA
[38:37] sequencing or self-driving cars or
[38:39] whatever. It's an innovative technology
[38:40] that is good for uh people to use in
[38:43] various ways. And so uh why should we
[38:45] not be the leader, right? I don't think
[38:46] we ever set out to be, you know, number
[38:48] 10 on the list. We want to be number
[38:49] one.
[38:50] >> That's what we're here to do. And I'm
[38:51] glad you mentioned uh DNA uh and uh and
[38:56] bio like you know it's these are really
[38:59] interesting verticals that we're going
[39:00] to see incredible um advancements.
[39:03] >> Yeah, I completely agree. All right,
[39:04] where can we send people to uh to find
[39:06] you and uh they want to learn more about
[39:07] the uh the new role and what you're
[39:09] going to be doing at Franklin. Where can
[39:10] we send them?
[39:11] >> Yeah, u still on Twitter. Uh Perkins
[39:14] CR97 Pop. Always good to see you, man.
[39:17] Uh look forward to doing it again
[39:18] sometime.
[39:19] >> Of course. So, I'm I'm super excited for
[39:20] you. Congratulations on uh the
[39:22] acquisition, the new role, and I'm
[39:24] excited to see what you guys do at
[39:25] Franklin Tempmpton.
[39:26] >> All right. Good to see you. Carry on.

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