THE JACK MALLERS SHOW

Stocks Becoming Policy, Bitcoin Becoming Money

🇬🇧 EN🇪🇸 ES
BitcoinMacroPolicy
98:04 min Video 2026 Semana 4 🇪🇸 ES

TL;DR

  • Finanzas Nacionales en Crisis: El sistema financiero de EE. UU. se está transformando en un esquema Ponzi debido a déficits insostenibles y la nacionalización creciente de los mercados, forzando una inminente impresión masiva de dinero e inflación.
  • Bitcoin vs. Mercado Nacionalizado: Mientras que el mercado de valores (Nasdaq) se convierte en un instrumento geopolítico controlado por estados, Bitcoin mantiene su tesis como la antítesis descentralizada a la desvalorización fiduciaria y los derechos de propiedad intrínsecos.
  • Estrategia Híbrida: Es posible ser maximalista de Bitcoin e invertir en acciones (como Strike) para participar en el crecimiento futuro, ya que estas empresas actúan como "mineros sintéticos" ofreciendo exposición a BTC y flujo de caja sin dilución accionaria.

Resumen

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9u7dc0EiYzg  |  Duración: 98 min

â—† Parte 1: La Trampa del Ponzi Financiero

El orador argumenta que el mercado de valores se está volviendo una política nacionalizada, contrastando con la naturaleza descentralizada de Bitcoin. Su análisis financiero es contundente: las finanzas federales de EE. UU. son insostenibles, ya que los gastos no discrecionales (salud y deuda) superan los ingresos totales del país.

Esto lleva a la conclusión crítica de que Estados Unidos está operando un esquema Ponzi. El déficit es tan crítico que incluso con el mercado bursátil en máximos históricos, los costos básicos exceden las recaudaciones. Los responsables políticos se enfrentan a una disyuntiva imposible: aceptar la inflación o provocar la insolvencia del sistema bancario y gubernamental.

▶ Parte 2: Geopolítica, Liquidez y Desacoplamiento

El aumento del gasto gubernamental y los déficits récord de EE. UU. están impulsando una fase de financiamiento en tiempos de guerra que incrementa la liquidez del dólar. Sin embargo, el Nasdaq se ha descorrelacionado recientemente tanto de Bitcoin como de esta liquidez del dólar.

Este fenómeno está ligado a la nacionalización de los mercados: naciones soberanas están migrando hacia el oro neutral, ya que no consideran que los bonos del Tesoro sean reservas seguras. La inteligencia artificial ha acelerado esta tendencia, convirtiendo los mercados tecnológicos en una utilidad política controlada por estados. El mercado de valores se está transformando en un instrumento geopolítico, mientras que Bitcoin mantiene su tesis como la antítesis a la desvalorización fiduciaria.

★ Parte 3: La Utilidad Política del Mercado Bursátil

La política exterior de EE. UU. busca asegurar la estabilidad del hemisferio occidental y dominar tecnologías clave (IA, biotecnología, computación cuántica). El orador critica los mercados nacionalizados; cuando el interés nacional anula al accionista, las empresas pueden ser destruidas (ejemplo: Didi en China).

Argumenta que el mercado de valores estadounidense se está volviendo una utilidad política utilizada para pagar la deuda y ganar votos. Esto contrasta directamente con Bitcoin, que representa los derechos de propiedad y los mercados libres. Debido a que los gastos reales del gobierno superan sus ingresos (Ponzinomics), es inminente una masiva impresión de dinero, esperándose que esta nueva ronda supere el estímulo de la pandemia.

► Parte 4: Crisis Inminente y Advertencias Técnicas

⚠️ Alerta Crítica de Riesgo: El orador describe una crisis económica donde el mercado está siendo nacionalizado y la liquidez del dólar se agota, comparando a EE. UU. con China en control gubernamental. Predice que habrá una impresión masiva de dinero, lo que llevará al regreso de la inflación y al auge de las materias primas. A pesar del sentimiento alcista extremo, advierte sobre la necesidad de cautela debido a la euforia actual.

El análisis técnico sugiere que el rendimiento fuera del Mag 7 indica que la tendencia impulsada por la IA se está agotando mientras la liquidez en dólares disminuye. Además, comparte actualizaciones de Strike sobre nuevos productos como líneas de crédito y el interés en fiat con Bitcoin.

◆ Parte 5: Cultura Empresarial y Exposición a BTC

La empresa opera bajo una cultura de prueba de trabajo y ética, evitando anuncios por la simple acción de anunciar. Desestima las críticas sobre la falta de actualizaciones, aclarando que eliminaron la métrica Bitcoin por acción porque el mercado busca ahora un vehículo con exposición máxima a Bitcoin y flujo de caja sin diluir accionistas.

Confirma que el lanzamiento de la nueva línea de negocio ocurrirá mucho antes del final del primer trimestre. Respondiendo a cómo ser defensor de Bitcoin mientras se invierte en acciones, argumenta que su empresa está diseñada para ofrecer la mejor participación en los mercados de capitales con exposición a Bitcoin y rentabilidad operativa.

▶ Parte 6: Filosofía, Propiedad y Perspectivas Alcistas

El orador defiende su participación en empresas mientras es un maximalista de Bitcoin, argumentando que la propiedad debe ser clara y accesible para todos. Aunque predice dificultades a corto plazo debido a las tarifas externas, mantiene una visión alcista para este año, apuntando entre 150k y 200k, ya que las tasas deben bajar.

En un plano filosófico, enfatiza que la armonía social se restaurará cuando las personas asuman su responsabilidad personal en lugar de depender del gobierno o grandes corporaciones. Critica los esfuerzos regulatorios como el Coinbase Clarity Act, considerándolos intentos de crear barreras monopolísticas para entidades centralizadas y no una necesidad real de Bitcoin.

★ Parte 7: La Estrategia del Maximalista Inversor

La pregunta clave es por qué un maximalista debería invertir en acciones cotizadas en moneda fiduciaria. El orador explica que, si bien el ahorro es simplemente poseer Bitcoin, la inversión implica participar en el crecimiento y el flujo de caja futuro de un negocio.

Defiende que 21 (la oferta máxima de BTC) no obliga a nadie a comprar, siendo una opción voluntaria. Strike se diferencia al construir productos de Bitcoin y ser altamente rentable, actuando como un minero sintético. Los inversores pueden obtener exposición a Bitcoin sin solo poseer el activo físico. El objetivo es poseer una parte del futuro de lo que será el banco más grande para los usuarios de Bitcoin.

📊 Resumen Financiero y Tesis

Ticker Rol en la Estrategia Tesis Principal
BTC Activo de Reserva Descentralizado Antítesis a la desvalorización fiduciaria; derechos de propiedad intrínsecos.
Nasdaq / Acciones Instrumento Geopolítico Nacionalizado Refleja el control estatal y la utilidad política de los mercados.
Strike Vehículo Híbrido / Minero Sintético Permite exposición a BTC y participación en el flujo de caja futuro sin dilución.

✅ Recomendaciones Clave para Inversores

  • Mantener la Cautela: Aunque el sentimiento es alcista, se debe ser cauteloso ante la euforia actual y las posibles correcciones del mercado.
  • Buscar Exposición Híbrida: Considerar vehículos como Strike para obtener exposición a Bitcoin mientras participan en el crecimiento operativo de una empresa rentable.
  • Monitorear Indicadores Macro: Prestar atención al agotamiento de la tendencia impulsada por la IA fuera del Mag 7 y a la disminución continua de la liquidez en dólares.

â—† Buscar el alpha

La tesis central no es que Bitcoin subirá, sino que la estructura fiduciaria global está colapsando bajo su propio peso fiscal. El dinero se está moviendo de los activos controlados por estados (acciones nacionalizadas y bonos del Tesoro) hacia sistemas descentralizados como Bitcoin, actuando este último como una póliza de seguro contra el esquema Ponzi operativo en EE. UU.

  • Rotación de Capital: Hay un agotamiento visible en la tendencia impulsada por la IA dentro de los índices tradicionales (fuera del Mag 7). Esto sugiere que el capital está rotando fuera de las narrativas tecnológicas puras y concentradas hacia activos con valor intrínseco o infraestructura descentralizada.
  • Catalizador de Régimen: La inminente masiva impresión de dinero, impulsada por la nacionalización de sectores estratégicos y los déficits insostenibles del gobierno, es el principal motor que justifica la migración hacia Bitcoin como cobertura contra la desvalorización fiduciaria.
  • Mejor Expresión Temática: La oportunidad no reside solo en poseer BTC (ahorro), sino en participar en su infraestructura financiera futura. Los vehículos de capitales bien estructurados, como el modelo de Strike, ofrecen exposición a Bitcoin junto con flujo de caja operativo y rentabilidad, actuando como un "minero sintético".
  • Condición de Reentrada/Objetivo: El horizonte alcista para Bitcoin se mantiene en el rango de $150k a $200k, siempre y cuando las tasas de interés sigan una trayectoria descendente. La cautela es necesaria debido a la euforia actual del mercado bursátil.
  • Evitar/Crowded: Se debe evitar invertir en mercados nacionalizados donde el "interés nacional" anula al accionista (ejemplificado por casos como Didi), ya que esto destruye valor corporativo y convierte las empresas en meras utilidades políticas estatales.
La vuelta de tuerca: El invitado no solo está prediciendo una subida de Bitcoin, sino que está ofreciendo un mapa para navegar la transición del sistema financiero. Está diciendo implícitamente que el maximalismo de Bitcoin es filosóficamente correcto (derechos de propiedad), pero financieramente incompleto si se limita a ser un simple "ahorro". La verdadera alpha radica en cómo participar en la infraestructura y el crecimiento de ese nuevo orden descentralizado sin depender exclusivamente del activo spot.

► Resumen por capítulos

Parte 1 (0:00)

El orador argumenta que el mercado de valores se está volviendo una política nacionalizada, mientras que Bitcoin mantiene su naturaleza descentralizada. Su análisis financiero revela que las finanzas federales de EE. UU. son insostenibles. Los gastos no discrecionales del gobierno, incluyendo salud y deuda, superan los ingresos totales del país. Esto lleva a la conclusión de que Estados Unidos está operando un esquema Ponzi. El déficit es crítico, ya que los costos básicos exceden las recaudaciones incluso con el mercado bursátil en máximos históricos. Los responsables políticos se enfrentan a una disyuntiva imposible: aceptar la inflación o provocar la insolvencia del sistema bancario y gubernamental.

Parte 2 (15:00)

El aumento del gasto gubernamental y los déficits récord de EE. UU. están impulsando una fase de financiamiento en tiempos de guerra que incrementa la liquidez del dólar. A pesar de esto, el Nasdaq se ha descorrelacionado recientemente tanto de Bitcoin como de la liquidez del dólar. Este fenómeno está ligado a la nacionalización de los mercados, donde China inyecta grandes excedentes comerciales en activos estadounidenses como acciones y oro. Las naciones soberanas están migrando hacia el oro neutral porque ya no consideran que los bonos del Tesoro sean reservas seguras. La inteligencia artificial ha acelerado esta tendencia al convertir los mercados tecnológicos en una utilidad política controlada por estados. El mercado de valores se está transformando en un instrumento geopolítico, mientras que Bitcoin mantiene su tesis como la antítesis a la desvalorización fiduciaria.

Parte 3 (30:00)

La política exterior de EE. UU. busca asegurar la estabilidad del hemisferio occidental y dominar tecnologías clave como IA, biotecnología y computación cuántica. El orador critica los mercados nacionalizados, señalando que cuando el interés nacional anula al accionista, las empresas pueden ser destruidas, ejemplificado con Didi en China. Argumenta que el mercado de valores estadounidense se está volviendo una utilidad política utilizada para pagar la deuda y ganar votos. Esta tendencia contrasta con Bitcoin, que representa los derechos de propiedad y los mercados libres. Debido a que los gastos reales del gobierno superan sus ingresos (Ponzinomics), es inminente una masiva impresión de dinero. Se espera que esta nueva ronda de emisión monetaria supere el estímulo de la pandemia, impulsada por la nacionalización de sectores estratégicos.

Parte 4 (45:00)

El orador describe una crisis económica donde el mercado de valores está siendo nacionalizado y la liquidez del dólar estadounidense se agota, comparando a EE. UU. con China en términos de control gubernamental. Predice que habrá una impresión masiva de dinero, lo que llevará al regreso de la inflación y al auge de las materias primas. A pesar del sentimiento alcista extremo, advierte sobre la necesidad de cautela, señalando que los mercados podrían corregir debido a la euforia actual. El análisis técnico sugiere que el rendimiento fuera del Mag 7 indica que la tendencia impulsada por la IA se está agotando mientras la liquidez en dólares disminuye. Además, comparte actualizaciones de Strike sobre nuevos productos como líneas de crédito y el interés en fiat con Bitcoin.

Parte 5 (60:00)

El orador explica que la empresa opera bajo una cultura de prueba de trabajo y ética, evitando anuncios por el simple hecho de anunciar, a diferencia del enfoque de prueba de participación o fiat. Desestima las críticas sobre la falta de actualizaciones en su sitio web, aclarando que eliminaron la métrica Bitcoin por acción porque el mercado busca ahora un vehículo con exposición máxima a Bitcoin y flujo de caja sin diluir accionistas. Confirma que el lanzamiento de la nueva línea de negocio ocurrirá mucho antes del final del primer trimestre. Finalmente, responde preguntas sobre cómo puede ser un defensor de Bitcoin mientras invierte en acciones, argumentando que su empresa está diseñada para ofrecer la mejor participación en los mercados de capitales con exposición a Bitcoin y rentabilidad operativa.

Parte 6 (75:00)

El orador defiende su participación en empresas mientras es un maximalista de Bitcoin, argumentando que la propiedad debe ser clara y accesible para todos. Respecto al mercado, predice dificultades a corto plazo debido a las tarifas externas, pero mantiene una visión alcista para este año, apuntando entre 150k y 200k, ya que las tasas deben bajar. Discute cómo los derechos de propiedad en Bitcoin son tan intrínsecos que solo la muerte puede impedirlos, aunque reconoce riesgos de seguridad física crecientes. En un plano filosófico, enfatiza que la armonía social se restaurará cuando las personas asuman su responsabilidad personal en lugar de depender del gobierno o grandes corporaciones. Finalmente, critica los esfuerzos regulatorios como el Coinbase Clarity Act, considerándolos intentos de crear barreras monopolísticas para entidades centralizadas y no una necesidad real de Bitcoin.

Parte 7 (90:00)

La conversación se centra en la pregunta de por qué un maximalista de Bitcoin debería invertir en acciones cotizadas en moneda fiduciaria como Strike. El orador explica que, si bien el ahorro es simplemente poseer Bitcoin, la inversión implica participar en el crecimiento y el flujo de caja futuro de un negocio. Defiende que 21 no obliga a nadie a comprar, siendo una opción voluntaria para los inversores. Argumenta que Strike se diferencia al construir productos de Bitcoin y ser altamente rentable, actuando como un minero sintético. Los inversores pueden obtener exposición a Bitcoin sin solo poseer el activo físico. Aunque reconoce que las acciones tradicionales están sobremonetizadas, sostiene que hay oportunidades valiosas en empresas específicas. El objetivo es poseer una parte del futuro de lo que será el banco más grande para los usuarios de Bitcoin.

Generado con algoritmo v1-chunked · modelo google/gemma-4-e4b · 2026-02-18T11:00:00Z

Transcripción

[0:02] Yo, welcome back to another episode of
[0:04] the Jack Mallers Show. I'm your host
[0:07] Jack. You are listening to another
[0:09] episode of Mailbag Monday episode 101.
[0:13] We've done over 100 of these. Thank you
[0:15] guys for tuning in.
[0:18] Before we get started, let me timestamp
[0:21] this episode. I'm talking to you guys at
[0:24] a Bitcoin price of $92,410.
[0:27] Bitcoin's market cap sits at a clean
[0:29] 1.85 trillion.
[0:32] Our all-time high remains at $126,160.
[0:36] We made that all-time high on October
[0:38] 6th, 2025, which was 105 days from
[0:41] today.
[0:43] We're 26 and 1/2% off that all-time
[0:46] high.
[0:47] The Bitcoin block height, the last
[0:49] Bitcoin block mined since I hit record
[0:52] was Bitcoin block 933,000
[0:55] and
[0:56] two.
[0:59] Before we get started,
[1:03] I was at the game last night.
[1:05] That's why my voice is a little rough.
[1:09] Um
[1:10] listen.
[1:18] People say,
[1:22] "I don't like when you talk about
[1:23] football on your show."
[1:25] Well, guess what?
[1:26] It's my show. It's not your show. And
[1:29] so, we're going to talk about the NFL.
[1:32] There's been Packers fans in my
[1:33] comments, all sorts of fans. Bitcoin's
[1:36] this global phenomenon, this cultural
[1:39] phenomena.
[1:41] And it's cool.
[1:42] We all come from different parts of the
[1:45] United States or the world, and we align
[1:48] in this monetary peaceful revolution.
[1:50] And so, it's been fun
[1:52] for other parts of my life that don't
[1:55] involve Bitcoin to overlap with you
[1:57] guys.
[1:59] And so,
[2:00] I had to just say
[2:02] um to the Chicago Bears,
[2:05] an unbelievable season.
[2:07] This team, this 2025 Chicago Bears,
[2:12] 2025-2026 team, restored my faith in the
[2:16] city of Chicago.
[2:18] You know, we are one of the most
[2:20] indebted cities sitting inside one of
[2:22] the most indebted states. Crime is
[2:24] through the roof. I mean, it's bleak.
[2:26] Chicago's becoming a really tough sell.
[2:29] And I'm at a point in my life where I'm
[2:32] looking to get married, and I'm looking
[2:34] to have children, and I'm very excited
[2:37] to, hopefully, God willing, to become a
[2:39] father.
[2:41] And Chicago's been tough, man. It's
[2:43] always been home for me. I've always
[2:44] wanted my kids to grow up where I grew
[2:47] up, and I wanted to provide them the
[2:48] life that I felt so blessed to have, but
[2:50] this city's been deteriorating. There's
[2:52] just no doubt about that.
[2:55] And uh
[2:57] for some reason, this team has brought
[2:59] the best out of this city. Chicago, let
[3:01] me tell you guys Chicago.
[3:03] In in a bull case, there's obviously
[3:05] there's a bear case, which we talk about
[3:07] on this show frequently. The local
[3:09] politics have been bad, the fiscal
[3:11] situation is bad. I mean, Chicago's gone
[3:13] fiat as [ __ ]
[3:15] And we got to fix it, and we will fix
[3:17] it. I might run for mayor,
[3:19] okay? Someday, not now.
[3:22] But here's the bull case for Chicago,
[3:24] okay?
[3:26] Chicago is, you know, you've got the
[3:30] hyper-financialized
[3:32] East Coast.
[3:34] These [ __ ] insider penny stock
[3:36] trading
[3:38] hedge fund bro [ __ ]
[3:41] And then you've got the LA Hollywood
[3:45] West Coast. These plastic surgery fake
[3:48] tits, disgusting, gross, grotesque, like
[3:52] just no soul.
[3:54] And Chicago sits in the middle.
[3:58] Salt of the earth, brick by brick, real
[4:01] people, real humans, real ethics, real
[4:03] morals. Got a Midwest soul, got some
[4:06] grit.
[4:10] That's what this city is. We've got our
[4:12] own body of water. Soldier Field
[4:16] sits on Lake Michigan. We've got our own
[4:18] lake.
[4:19] We've got the highest volume financial
[4:22] exchanges in the world sitting on its
[4:24] own lake.
[4:26] We have our own beaches.
[4:29] We have our own professional sports team
[4:31] in each major sport.
[4:33] Our own private golf courses.
[4:36] Yeah, the weather sucks. But life isn't
[4:39] fair.
[4:41] And this city has grit. So, everyone
[4:44] from this city,
[4:46] it was really cool to go on this playoff
[4:48] run, to be in Soldier Field. Give me a
[4:50] little hope in Chicago, honestly. It
[4:53] really did. So, great season to the
[4:55] Chicago Bears.
[4:57] Um and I like talking [ __ ] with you guys
[5:00] uh on a Bitcoin podcast when it comes to
[5:01] the NFL. And who knows, maybe some of
[5:03] our other uh life interests will
[5:05] overlap. Okay, with that being said, and
[5:07] for all of you that don't give a [ __ ]
[5:08] sorry.
[5:10] I don't know what to say. It's my show.
[5:12] Um let's get into it. I'm really excited
[5:13] for this episode. Today's title, stocks
[5:16] becoming policy, Bitcoin becoming money.
[5:19] Uh the insight that I have is that, you
[5:22] know, I was arguing with Dylan after the
[5:23] game yesterday. We went to a little
[5:25] local restaurant, had a glass of wine,
[5:28] and we were talking about the show. And
[5:30] I was trying to tell Dylan, I said, "You
[5:31] know, I think the stock market is
[5:33] becoming nationalized. I think markets
[5:36] are becoming a public utility. They're
[5:37] bec- or excuse me, a political utility.
[5:40] They're becoming policy."
[5:42] And Bitcoin, importantly, is not. Uh
[5:45] obviously, it really can't. You can't
[5:47] control it. You can't nationalize it.
[5:50] And
[5:51] these things have started to diverge.
[5:53] Now, albeit, Bitcoin's diverged to the
[5:55] downside while stocks have remained
[5:57] relatively performant near all-time
[5:59] highs. And I'll explain that in a
[6:01] second. But the fact that they've
[6:03] diverged is really important. It's
[6:05] really telling. And some of the math, if
[6:07] you if you take a deeper look into this
[6:09] idea whilst you also do a little bit of
[6:13] the math, I think it tells a very clean
[6:15] story of where we are, what's going on,
[6:18] and what the next chapters might look
[6:20] like. So, first things first, let's look
[6:23] at the math. So, chapter one of today's
[6:26] episode, the math breaks the narrative.
[6:28] Okay?
[6:29] So, the thing that you guys need to
[6:31] understand what's going on and why the
[6:33] US is utterly and completely screwed is
[6:37] that true interest expense is now higher
[6:40] than 100% of our receipts. Okay? So,
[6:45] what does that mean? That means that
[6:49] our baseline expenses that aren't
[6:52] discretionary,
[6:53] okay? So, these are the expenses, our
[6:55] interest costs,
[6:57] uh social security costs,
[6:58] non-discretionary spending,
[7:01] is higher
[7:03] than
[7:05] the receipts that we bring in, the
[7:07] revenue that we bring in. So, what are
[7:08] you looking at here? This is the US
[7:10] federal government budget. For those of
[7:12] you listening on the podcast, I'm
[7:13] showing a visual of the US budget. And
[7:17] it has our outlays in red and our
[7:20] receipts in green. And the black line
[7:23] shows the difference between these two
[7:25] numbers, which is the deficit, right?
[7:28] Your receipts minus your outlays. So,
[7:30] currently, it shows the US brings in
[7:33] just below $5 of receipts. That's $5 of
[7:38] net revenue. Think about it. If we were
[7:40] accounting in basic business terms.
[7:43] And then if you look at our outlays,
[7:45] which, you know, for
[7:47] accounting 101, for just running a
[7:49] business, you could think of that as our
[7:50] cost. What are the costs to run the
[7:52] company?
[7:53] Was just below $7
[7:56] So, it's actually actuals are 4.92
[8:00] trillion of receipts and 6.75 trillion
[8:04] of outlays, which leaves a $1.83
[8:08] trillion deficit.
[8:10] And the last calendar year here on this
[8:13] visual is 2024. As I've talked about on
[8:15] this show, our annualized deficit has
[8:18] now exceeded $2 So, these numbers are a
[8:21] little bit outdated, but you guys get
[8:24] the point. Now, what I want the number I
[8:26] want you guys to focus on for a second
[8:28] is this 4.92, this $5
[8:32] number. That's our receipts. Now, if I
[8:35] go to the next slide, this kind of pulls
[8:38] on that thread, double clicks into the
[8:41] math. What makes up our costs? So,
[8:46] if you look at the title here, it says,
[8:47] "Net interest outlays is now higher than
[8:50] national defense."
[8:52] So, for one,
[8:55] when you have $38
[8:57] worth of debt, and that debt costs you 3
[9:01] to 4% in interest,
[9:04] we have now exceeded a trillion dollars
[9:07] in annual interest expense. So, it costs
[9:11] us $1
[9:14] in interest alone
[9:18] to run the United States of America
[9:20] because we're so indebted, cuz we have
[9:22] $38 worth of debt, and interest rates
[9:26] set by the Fed are so high
[9:31] that our bill, and I'm not talking about
[9:34] any just the interest on the debt, just
[9:37] paying those who have lent the United
[9:39] States money. So, those that buy
[9:41] Treasuries, right? So, maybe that's
[9:43] individuals, maybe it's banks with your
[9:46] bank deposits, maybe it's China, maybe
[9:47] it's Japan, maybe it's India.
[9:50] Whoever's lending the United States
[9:52] money, the United States owes them
[9:54] interest on those loans.
[9:57] It's a trillion dollars a year,
[10:00] okay? And
[10:02] what is
[10:03] hard to believe and seemingly impossible
[10:06] to comprehend
[10:08] is that the interest on our debt is now
[10:11] higher than our national defense budget.
[10:15] Okay? Now, if you take
[10:18] national defense, which in this visual
[10:21] is .9 trillion,
[10:23] and you take our net interest cost,
[10:26] which is 1 trillion, so you've got a
[10:29] little under 2 trillion dollars there,
[10:31] and you add health, Medicare, and Social
[10:35] Security. Again, that is
[10:37] non-discretionary
[10:39] spending. These are expenses that you
[10:42] the United States has, no matter who's
[10:44] in office, no matter the policy, no
[10:46] matter for war. These are annual
[10:49] expenses that we've promised to the
[10:51] American people, non-discretionary
[10:54] spending.
[10:55] You get 5.5
[10:58] trillion dollars.
[11:01] Now, the unbelievable Ponzi that you
[11:04] have to understand, guys, is if I go
[11:06] back a slide, 5.5
[11:09] trillion dollars is higher than 4.92
[11:15] trillion.
[11:16] Mic drop.
[11:18] The United States is officially living
[11:22] in a Ponzi scheme.
[11:25] I'm not I'm not I'm not being
[11:27] exaggerative. I'm not being dramatic.
[11:30] I'm being dead serious.
[11:32] Our non-discretionary spending, so the
[11:35] amount of bills that we have, no matter
[11:38] what. It doesn't matter what Elon Musk
[11:40] wants to cut for Doge. It doesn't matter
[11:43] It doesn't matter if the Democrats win
[11:45] or the Republicans win or this guy's
[11:47] right or that girl's wrong. It doesn't
[11:48] matter. Our baseline expenses exceed our
[11:53] revenue. And mind you, this is revenue
[11:56] with the stock market at all-time high,
[11:59] with the highest GDP print in years.
[12:02] The economy is supposedly booming. The
[12:04] stock market is at all-time high.
[12:10] This is why America. This is a Ponzi
[12:14] scheme.
[12:16] Okay?
[12:18] Now,
[12:20] if we look at our outlays, again, our
[12:22] biggest costs, okay? This chart comes
[12:25] courtesy of Luke.
[12:27] You have Health and Human Services is
[12:29] our biggest expense, okay? You have
[12:32] Social Security is our second biggest
[12:34] expense. Our third largest expense as a
[12:37] country is the interest on our debt.
[12:40] And so, if you want to get a better
[12:41] understanding, listen.
[12:44] Don't buy into the Jerome Powell and the
[12:47] Donald Trump fighting.
[12:49] It's political theater. You're wasting
[12:52] your time. You're wasting your energy.
[12:54] You're wasting your emotion. Focus on
[12:56] you, king.
[12:58] These guys are politicians. They're
[13:00] actors. They're entertainers.
[13:04] Their fighting
[13:07] has everything to do with this.
[13:10] The interest cost has to come down. The
[13:13] United States is literally running a
[13:15] Ponzi scheme. It's base level costs
[13:18] exceed
[13:20] its receipts while the stock market's at
[13:23] all-time high. They are over budget.
[13:26] They have to bring the costs down, and
[13:28] the only thing they can reasonably
[13:31] change is the cost of the interest
[13:33] payment. And this is where Keynesian
[13:35] economics gets you stuck in a pickle.
[13:39] Which one do you want? Do you want
[13:41] inflation?
[13:45] Right?
[13:46] Sure, the Fed can set interest rates to
[13:48] zero. The cost of money is literally
[13:51] zero. It costs you zero to borrow and
[13:53] create new units of currency.
[13:56] You're going to get inflation in
[13:57] everything. You're going to destroy the
[14:00] value of your money.
[14:02] Okay? That happened during COVID, right?
[14:06] Okay, so you want to hike interest rates
[14:08] up to destroy inflation. Okay. Well,
[14:13] you render your banking system insolvent
[14:15] because you forced them to lend to you
[14:18] with customer deposits.
[14:21] And you let you run your government
[14:24] insolvent because they are the biggest
[14:27] debtor of all, and they can't afford
[14:30] interest payments at this high of rates.
[14:33] Which one? Which way, Western man?
[14:37] But the fight is merely about whose
[14:39] fault it will be. That's all this is.
[14:42] But the reason Trump is so upset, the
[14:45] reason the Trump administration is so
[14:47] upset, is because the math isn't
[14:49] mathing. They have to bring these costs
[14:52] down. This is not I mean, it is just a
[14:55] flat-out Ponzi.
[14:58] And the only way to do it is by bringing
[15:01] the interest down. That's it. Trump says
[15:04] he wants interest rates at one or lower,
[15:07] and he's going to get it. Why? How do I
[15:09] know that?
[15:10] Because I'm just doing the math.
[15:12] The The red arrow here, pointing at the
[15:15] Treasury interest expense, this is the
[15:17] only number that is politically
[15:19] acceptable to change.
[15:23] Unless Trump thinks he can win midterms
[15:25] and Republicans can get reelected if
[15:27] they take away everyone's health, human
[15:29] services, and Social Security.
[15:31] But if the Democrats are running and
[15:33] they're going to support that, I bet
[15:35] they win. That's the problem here.
[15:38] Government's gotten too big.
[15:42] And so, this from Reuters, the US posts
[15:44] record 145 billion dollar December
[15:48] deficit as outlays outpace receipts.
[15:54] Okay, so that's the basic math, and that
[15:56] framework obviously
[15:59] tells me that, you know, Bitcoin's going
[16:01] to go on a huge run because they we're
[16:03] entering, and we've talked about it on
[16:04] this show, we're entering wartime
[16:07] financing. The United States is going to
[16:09] start spending like we are at war, and
[16:13] war is a loose term. You can make the
[16:15] argument that we are at war. It's not a
[16:17] hot war. It's not a kinetic war.
[16:19] Hopefully, it doesn't get to lots of
[16:22] missiles and lots of dead bodies,
[16:24] but it could be a soft war. It could be
[16:26] an AI war. It could be an arms race for
[16:29] the next leg of, you know, the digital
[16:32] world. There's no doubt about that. And
[16:35] we're going to need to spend like it.
[16:37] Okay? And when the money printer comes
[16:39] on and dollar liquidity increases,
[16:42] Bitcoin's the fastest horse.
[16:44] Now, interestingly,
[16:46] for those that haven't noticed, the
[16:48] stock market and Bitcoin, which are
[16:51] traditionally very correlated, they've
[16:53] diverged.
[16:55] Bitcoin has found itself in this kind of
[16:57] weird sideways to bearish market as of
[17:01] recent. And 2025 was a very frustrating
[17:03] year for a lot of people. Everyone
[17:05] thought Bitcoin was going to go to the
[17:06] moon, four-year cycles, blah blah blah
[17:07] blah blah.
[17:08] And the stock market's still hovering
[17:09] around all-time highs.
[17:12] I'd like to make the point that I think
[17:15] that the stock market is currently being
[17:17] nationalized by the United States. It's
[17:19] obviously already nationalized in China,
[17:23] but it's being nationalized in the
[17:25] United States. Markets are now a
[17:27] political utility. We should not think
[17:29] of them as a free market. We also should
[17:31] not think of them as an expression of
[17:33] currency debasement.
[17:36] You know, human beings are natural
[17:37] optimists.
[17:39] A lot of our doing is placing a premium
[17:42] on the future and building for the
[17:43] future. In fact, money is the most
[17:45] effective technology that we've invented
[17:48] to allow ourselves to do that, to create
[17:50] value today, bring it with us tomorrow.
[17:53] And so, technology and things like the
[17:55] Nasdaq have historically always been an
[17:57] expression of currency debasement. Now,
[17:59] not a great one, not a perfect one.
[18:01] They're not supposed to be monetized.
[18:03] They're equity. They're not money.
[18:06] But nonetheless, they've traditionally
[18:08] been that, and all of a sudden, they're
[18:09] not. So, let's take a closer look. So,
[18:11] this comes from Arthur Hayes.
[18:14] There's four lines on this chart.
[18:16] The gold line is the price of gold.
[18:20] The red line is the price of Bitcoin.
[18:23] The green line is the Nasdaq index.
[18:27] And the pink line is the US dollar
[18:30] liquidity index.
[18:33] Let's state some obvious truths from
[18:35] just looking at this chart.
[18:38] One, Bitcoin is highly correlated to the
[18:42] US dollar liquidity.
[18:45] The pink line and the red line move
[18:47] together. You can see the pink line has
[18:49] been a slow sideways to downwards drag.
[18:53] What does that sound like? That sounds
[18:54] like Bitcoin's price action, a slow
[18:56] sideways to downwards drag.
[18:59] Now, weirdly, the green line was also
[19:03] historically very correlated to Bitcoin
[19:06] and to the US dollar liquidity index
[19:08] until recently. Until end of Q3 and Q4
[19:13] of 2025,
[19:15] the green line has
[19:17] de-correlated from Bitcoin. The Nasdaq
[19:20] has de-correlated from Bitcoin and has
[19:22] de-correlated from US dollar liquidity.
[19:25] If US dollar liquidity is tight, if
[19:28] markets are weak,
[19:30] Bitcoin will tell you that, and it has
[19:32] told us that truth.
[19:34] Why has the stock market not reflected
[19:37] that? Now, in gold, the other obvious
[19:40] truth is that gold has had a smashing
[19:42] last 18 months,
[19:44] record highs, outperformed everything.
[19:46] Let's talk through this. First of all,
[19:49] China,
[19:51] 1.2 trillion dollar trade surplus. That
[19:54] is a record. China had a massive 2025.
[19:59] This from AP. China's trade surplus
[20:02] surges 20% to a record 1.2 trillion even
[20:06] with Trump's tariffs. This from
[20:09] Bloomberg. China's 1.2 trillion dollar
[20:11] windfall quietly seeps into global
[20:14] markets.
[20:16] I read the first few paragraphs of the
[20:18] article. A record trade surplus racked
[20:21] up by China is washing up around the
[20:23] world as export earnings that once ended
[20:26] up in state coffers instead fund massive
[20:30] private purchases of overseas securities
[20:32] and business expansion abroad. Rather
[20:35] than leaving most of last year's 1.2
[20:38] trillion dollar windfall in the hands of
[20:40] the Central Bank, some 2/3 of the
[20:43] foreign assets sourced primarily from
[20:45] global trade ended up with companies,
[20:48] individuals, and state lenders. That
[20:50] brings with it the risk of a sudden
[20:53] capital reversal that China doesn't
[20:55] immediately control, especially in a
[20:57] world where the yuan is allowed to
[20:59] strengthen.
[21:01] Investors
[21:03] comprising China's so-called
[21:04] non-official sector saw their holdings
[21:07] of assets abroad soar by more than a
[21:09] trillion dollars in the first three
[21:11] quarters of 2025. According to the last
[21:14] available data from China's currency
[21:16] market regulator, more than double the
[21:19] annual average growth in the past
[21:20] decade. Why did I read those three
[21:22] paragraphs? There's some huge takeaways.
[21:24] One, 1.2 trillion dollar surplus. China
[21:28] is the world's factory. Tariffs are not
[21:30] slowing them down and yuan is not
[21:32] slowing them down. You're You've heard a
[21:35] stronger yuan referenced in this
[21:37] article. I just referenced it. What's
[21:39] the relevance of that? Guys, remember a
[21:41] weaker currency allows for cheaper
[21:43] labor. So, if you want to be the place
[21:46] that makes the world's rare earths, that
[21:48] makes the world's iPhones, that makes
[21:50] the world's cars, that makes the world's
[21:53] laptops, well, you're going to need
[21:54] cheap labor. The reason Tim Cook doesn't
[21:57] employ people in Manhattan to make the
[21:59] iPhone and he employs people in China to
[22:01] make the iPhone is very simple. It's
[22:03] because in Manhattan it costs $10,000 a
[22:05] month to barely survive. And in China
[22:08] that's not the case. That's in part
[22:10] because when the dollar is the world
[22:13] reserve currency, it strengthens the
[22:14] currency itself. It strengthens dollar
[22:16] assets like real estate, like the cost
[22:19] of living. And so, if you have a weaker
[22:21] currency,
[22:22] you have better cheaper labor markets.
[22:26] And so, this is despite the stronger
[22:28] yuan. So, obviously the United States,
[22:30] we've talked about this, is trying to
[22:32] weaken its currency cuz it's trying to
[22:34] reshore. It's trying to be competitive
[22:35] again in the game of producing real
[22:38] stuff. Okay, so it's trying to weaken
[22:40] the US dollar against the Chinese yuan.
[22:42] It's been able to do that successfully
[22:44] and Trump has imposed tariffs. Despite
[22:47] both of those things, China posted a
[22:50] record 1.2 trillion dollar trade
[22:53] surplus. Now, it's a 2/3 of that. So,
[22:56] over 60% of that was invested in foreign
[22:59] assets. Guys, there's not a lot of
[23:01] investable places in the world outside
[23:04] of China and the United States. If it's
[23:06] foreign to China, it's going into the
[23:08] United States primarily.
[23:10] And so, the point of this article is a
[23:12] lot of that money is going into the US
[23:15] stock market.
[23:17] We've talked about this.
[23:19] Part of being the world reserve currency
[23:21] means you're running a deficit. When we
[23:24] run a deficit, someone else runs a
[23:25] surplus, right?
[23:28] And so, we run a two trillion dollar
[23:30] deficit. There's two trillion dollars
[23:32] worth of trade surplus on the other side
[23:33] of that deficit and that money gets
[23:35] repatriated back into the United States,
[23:38] into our capital markets, into our
[23:39] farmland.
[23:42] And that's why we have an artificial
[23:44] premium on our [ __ ]
[23:47] You want to know why your real estate is
[23:48] unaffordable? Well, because institution
[23:51] and Chinese investors are bidding up all
[23:53] the nice real estate.
[23:55] Bidding up all the stocks. Bidding up
[23:57] all the farmland. Bidding up all the
[23:59] high quality food supply.
[24:02] And so, the point is China
[24:06] is There's a few points here. One,
[24:09] China's buying a [ __ ] ton of gold.
[24:12] When prices move like gold has been
[24:14] moving, that means there is a price
[24:16] insensitive buyer. There is a buyer that
[24:19] does not care about the price. They're
[24:22] buying no matter what. Who are these
[24:24] price insensitive buyers? China, Russia,
[24:28] India.
[24:30] US Treasuries are no longer safe.
[24:33] They're no longer viewed as risk-free.
[24:36] They're no longer viewed as reserve.
[24:38] You're seeing these countries remonetize
[24:40] gold. And when you think at the size and
[24:43] scale of 1.2 trillion dollars, that is
[24:46] what is moving the gold market for one.
[24:49] You have sovereign nations remonetizing
[24:52] neutral assets. That's incredibly
[24:54] bullish for Bitcoin.
[24:56] Bitcoin will catch its bid on the back
[24:58] half of that and we'll get to when and
[25:01] how in a second. But the fact that the
[25:03] world is moving away from debt-based,
[25:06] treasury-based reserves into neutral
[25:08] reserves is incredibly bullish not only
[25:11] for Bitcoin, but for humanity. We need
[25:13] to get back to being governed by Mother
[25:15] Nature, back to being governed by money
[25:18] that's neutral and fair.
[25:20] Two, China is pouring a ton of their
[25:23] capital into US technology. There's
[25:26] probably a lot of reasons for that. It's
[25:29] a good hedge for them. They want a pulse
[25:31] on AI. Also, there's some really
[25:34] interesting geopolitical strategy here.
[25:36] It allows China to basically intertwine
[25:39] itself into the US stock market. If the
[25:42] yuan strengthens too much, China's going
[25:45] to need to pull capital out of the US to
[25:48] finance itself,
[25:51] which will destroy the US stock market
[25:53] because they have such a concentrated
[25:55] position. So, it also gives them a lot
[25:57] of leverage. Because the US is so
[25:59] financialized, our greatest export is
[26:02] the dollar, is our stocks.
[26:05] And because we've run such a deficit and
[26:07] allowed China to run such a surplus,
[26:10] they're a material owner of US assets.
[26:12] And so, if we weaken the dollar against
[26:15] the yuan too much, they will have to
[26:18] capital flight out of America and it
[26:20] will crash the stock market. It's a very
[26:22] interesting geopolitical chess game.
[26:27] But it's another reason why
[26:29] stocks are becoming nationalized.
[26:32] That's the theme of this chapter here.
[26:36] The US stock market
[26:38] is becoming nation-state and
[26:40] sovereign-driven,
[26:42] which I don't think is a very good
[26:44] thing. So, this if you kept going in the
[26:46] Bloomberg article, you guys should read
[26:48] it independently, but I wanted this last
[26:50] paragraph to be read. By the end of
[26:52] September, Chinese private investors
[26:55] already owned 7.8
[26:57] trillion dollars of foreign assets with
[27:00] an increase that outpaced the buildup of
[27:02] official reserves by nearly five times.
[27:05] When counted together, China now amassed
[27:08] a stash abroad bigger than the entirety
[27:12] of foreign assets owned by Japan, Asia's
[27:14] second largest economy with an enormous
[27:16] hoard of offshore investments.
[27:19] The total value of foreign assets held
[27:21] by China's non-official sector adds up
[27:24] to a sizable pool of funding, accounting
[27:26] for the equivalent of more than a
[27:28] quarter of the 30 trillion dollar
[27:30] Treasury market. So, China now owns more
[27:33] foreign assets than Japan.
[27:36] They're breaking records as far as their
[27:38] annualized surplus.
[27:41] And they're dumping capital into US tech
[27:46] and gold.
[27:48] And so, let's get back to this idea that
[27:50] Bitcoin and the Nasdaq have diverged.
[27:53] And I write here, AI has become
[27:55] nationalized by the United States and
[27:56] China, which is why the stock market is
[27:59] levitating higher than dollar liquidity.
[28:02] Because the point here, and you can see
[28:03] the delta in the arrow here, you've got
[28:05] the Nasdaq in this gold line, Bitcoin in
[28:07] the white. And again, Bitcoin's been
[28:09] highly correlated to US liquidity. Which
[28:14] is, by the way, guys, it's what we
[28:15] always wanted.
[28:18] Bitcoin is not a hedge. Bitcoin is a
[28:21] solution. It's the antithesis to fiat.
[28:24] The more they print, the more it goes
[28:26] up.
[28:27] Bitcoin will win as long as fiat fails.
[28:31] That's always been the thesis. You've
[28:33] always wanted the best expression of
[28:35] currency debasement, an alternative
[28:37] monetary system.
[28:40] Okay? Now, why has the Nasdaq stopped
[28:44] being correlated to dollar liquidity?
[28:48] I make the argument that markets are now
[28:51] political utility.
[28:53] Because of AI,
[28:56] they've been nationalized. They've been
[28:57] co-opted by the state.
[28:59] And, you know, to to summarize what I'm
[29:01] about to explain in detail, it's really
[29:03] this idea that
[29:06] the United States has decided that it is
[29:08] a of national security interest
[29:11] to win at AI, to be competitive. And by
[29:14] the way,
[29:15] AI is now comprising of over half of our
[29:19] economic growth.
[29:21] We've already went over this as well.
[29:22] 50% of the US economy is AI related. And
[29:27] so, not only do they view it as a
[29:28] national security threat and of national
[29:30] security interest,
[29:32] but on top of that, if they stopped
[29:34] supporting AI,
[29:36] we would go into a deep recession,
[29:38] likely depression.
[29:40] And so, what you've seen is
[29:42] AI has a government backstop. This, if
[29:45] you guys remember from November, the
[29:47] National Security Strategy of the United
[29:49] States of America, I highly encourage
[29:51] you guys read this. It's only 33 pages.
[29:53] It's a public document.
[29:55] I will flip to I think this is page
[29:57] five. I wanted to just highlight a few
[29:59] things here. So, this is what do we want
[30:02] in and from the world?
[30:05] Achieving these goals requires
[30:06] marshaling every resource of our
[30:08] national power.
[30:10] Yet, this strategy's focus is foreign
[30:12] policy. What are America's core foreign
[30:14] policy interests? What do we want in and
[30:18] from the world? I'm not going to read
[30:20] them all. I'm going to read the first
[30:22] and the last. They're the most relevant
[30:24] to today's episode.
[30:25] The first one. We want to ensure that
[30:28] the Western Hemisphere remains
[30:29] reasonably stable and well-governed
[30:32] enough to prevent and discourage mass
[30:34] migration to the United States.
[30:36] We want a hemisphere whose governments
[30:38] cooperate with us against macro or
[30:40] narco-terrorists, cartels, and other
[30:43] transnational criminal organizations. We
[30:45] want a hemisphere that remains free of
[30:48] hostile foreign intrusion or ownership
[30:51] of key assets and that supports critical
[30:54] supply chains and we want to ensure our
[30:56] continued access to key strategic
[30:58] locations. In other words, we will
[31:00] assert and enforce a Trump corollary to
[31:04] the Monroe Doctrine.
[31:07] It hits different to read this document
[31:09] again after Venezuela.
[31:12] They're talking about the Western
[31:13] Hemisphere. If you heard the Trump
[31:15] administration talk, he said, "This is
[31:17] our territory. This is our hemisphere.
[31:19] This is our side of the world. Get out.
[31:21] These are our resources. We're running
[31:24] Venezuela. We're going to stop
[31:27] mass migration away from this country
[31:29] because these people are coming into the
[31:30] United States." Again, it's not a
[31:32] political podcast. I'm just referencing
[31:34] and giving context to what they're
[31:35] saying.
[31:36] We don't We don't want Venezuelan people
[31:38] flooding into the United States.
[31:41] We don't want China, Iran, and Russia
[31:44] having their hands all over the natural
[31:45] resources in our hemisphere.
[31:48] We will assert and enforce the Trump
[31:50] corollary to the Monroe Doctrine.
[31:53] Okay, now I'm going to read the last
[31:54] one.
[31:55] The last one of this list. We want to
[31:57] ensure that US technology and US
[32:00] standards standards, particularly in AI,
[32:04] biotech, and quantum computing
[32:06] drive the world forward.
[32:09] These are the United States core vital
[32:12] national interests.
[32:14] While we also have others, these are the
[32:16] interests we must focus on above all
[32:20] others
[32:21] and that we ignore or neglect at our
[32:24] peril.
[32:27] Guys, it's a very clear.
[32:30] We are going to control our hemisphere.
[32:32] We're going to go after natural
[32:33] resources.
[32:37] And we are going to nationalize AI,
[32:39] biotech, and quantum computing.
[32:43] That's it.
[32:45] And that's And we've been seeing that.
[32:47] Now,
[32:48] so anyway, to make my point, why is the
[32:51] Nasdaq levitating
[32:53] up and above US dollar liquidity? Why is
[32:56] it diverging from Bitcoin? Why is it
[32:58] Bitcoin looks weak.
[33:00] You know, it's like, "Oh, Bitcoin's down
[33:01] 2% on the year and the Nasdaq's at
[33:03] all-time highs. What the fuck?"
[33:06] Well, it's because it has a nation-state
[33:07] bid.
[33:08] That's why.
[33:09] And people will say, "Well, that's a
[33:10] good thing, right?"
[33:12] No, I'd be careful.
[33:14] Here's the thing. If we've learned
[33:15] anything from China, a nationalized
[33:17] stock market is good cuz you get
[33:20] unlimited money from the government to
[33:22] prop the stock up until it isn't.
[33:27] You don't want non-free market. You
[33:30] don't want nationalized market. You want
[33:32] a free market. You want the truth.
[33:34] That's what Bitcoin allow real property
[33:36] rights, real freedom of speech, real
[33:38] free markets. That's what we're here
[33:40] for. That's what we're building.
[33:43] Because I'll tell you this, it's all fun
[33:45] and games until the national interest
[33:47] doesn't align with shareholder interest.
[33:52] What's a good example? Didi.
[33:55] We We Here's the thing, guys. We already
[33:57] know this because of China.
[33:59] We don't need to guess at how this goes.
[34:04] So, here's this company Didi Group that
[34:07] I I want to just read. This is from
[34:08] their Wikipedia.
[34:10] So, check this out.
[34:13] On June 10th, 2021, Didi filed to go
[34:16] public on the New York Stock Exchange
[34:17] hoping to raise $10 billion making it
[34:19] the second largest Chinese share
[34:21] offering in the US since Alibaba.
[34:24] On June 16th, it was reported that the
[34:26] State Administration for Market
[34:27] Regulation launched an investigation
[34:30] into Didi around pricing and competitive
[34:32] practices.
[34:33] On June 30th, the company went public on
[34:35] the New York Stock Exchange under the
[34:36] ticker Didi raising $4.4 billion at a
[34:39] valuation of close to $70 billion US
[34:42] dollars.
[34:43] It did so against Chinese government
[34:45] guidance.
[34:47] The Cyberspace Administration of China
[34:50] had sought to persuade Didi to postpone
[34:53] its IPO filing in order to allow for it
[34:56] to have time
[34:58] to do a thorough cybersecurity review.
[35:00] On July 4th of 2021,
[35:03] the CAC, that Cyberspace Administration
[35:05] of China,
[35:07] ordered app stores to remove Didi citing
[35:10] violations around the company's
[35:11] collection and usage of personal
[35:13] information.
[35:14] According to Chinese regulators, the
[35:15] company had delivered sensitive data to
[35:17] the United States Securities and
[35:18] Exchange Commission.
[35:20] The CAC cited that the National Security
[35:22] Law, the 2017 Cybersecurity Law, and
[35:26] Measures on Cybersecurity Review as the
[35:28] basis for its approach.
[35:30] Now, I'm going to go to the next slide
[35:33] and that's the stock. It's now down 70%
[35:37] in the five years since it's publicly
[35:39] listed because the Chinese government
[35:42] destroyed it.
[35:48] Nationalized controlled markets sound
[35:52] better than they are because as soon as
[35:54] national interest isn't shareholder
[35:56] interest, you're [ __ ]
[36:02] This company wanted to go public on the
[36:03] New York Stock Exchange, had all sorts
[36:06] of plans, shareholders were excited,
[36:08] everyone was going to get some
[36:09] liquidity,
[36:10] capital raising from the US.
[36:15] China said, "Uh
[36:18] that's not in our national interest.
[36:20] Your company's dead."
[36:24] Okay.
[36:25] What's another example? What about Trump
[36:29] announcing that he's going to start
[36:31] controlling the credit card market
[36:33] saying that he's going to cap interest
[36:35] rates on credit cards.
[36:38] Well, here's the change since Trump
[36:40] credit cards proposal.
[36:42] Capital One down.
[36:45] Visa down. Jack Dorsey's Block our
[36:48] Bitcoiner Dorsey's down. Citigroup down.
[36:51] Bank of America down. Mastercard down.
[36:53] JP Morgan down.
[36:58] Whoops.
[37:02] The stock market is becoming
[37:04] nationalized.
[37:06] It is
[37:07] really critical
[37:09] that we as Bitcoiners understand what
[37:11] this means, what is happening.
[37:16] Markets are political utility now. They
[37:18] will use them to win votes. They will
[37:21] use them to pay off the indebtedness of
[37:24] the United States. They will use them to
[37:27] soften the economic blow
[37:31] that all of us have to live through.
[37:33] But they are not free markets. They are
[37:36] no longer expressions of currency
[37:37] debasement. This is a huge deal. Bitcoin
[37:41] remains king of property rights, king of
[37:45] free markets, king of freedom of speech.
[37:51] When the dust settles, this is going to
[37:52] be a huge huge deal.
[37:57] There is only one thing you can truly
[37:59] own for free in your brain that is your
[38:02] property and that expresses currency
[38:05] debasement perfectly.
[38:08] Stocks are no longer that. Now, I get
[38:10] it. It's frustrating that they are at
[38:12] all-time highs while Bitcoin is
[38:14] Bitcoin's only us that US dollar
[38:17] liquidity
[38:18] is tight, that markets are weak. It's
[38:21] doing what it's supposed to do.
[38:23] I'm not mad at Bitcoin's 2025 2025
[38:26] performance at all. Listen, of course, I
[38:28] want Bitcoin to go up 1,000% today.
[38:32] But the reality of the situation is I
[38:34] own it
[38:35] for the properties that it has.
[38:38] And US dollar liquidity went down and so
[38:41] I expect Bitcoin to go down, too.
[38:44] And we've reached the point of Ponzi
[38:47] where the US government's true interest
[38:50] expense is higher than its receipts.
[38:55] Why America? Ponzinomics.
[38:59] So much so that the US government is
[39:01] going full-blown China and is
[39:03] nationalizing the stock market.
[39:06] And the stock market is no longer an
[39:09] expression of currency debasement.
[39:14] So, all of this to say that the money
[39:16] printer is coming. So, to bring this
[39:18] back, here is Bitcoin and the US dollar
[39:21] liquidity index. Again, you can see
[39:22] them. They're deeply correlated, okay?
[39:26] And you can see them bottoming out a
[39:28] bit. It looks like So, the US dollar
[39:31] liquidity index here is in the white. It
[39:33] looks like US dollar liquidity bottomed
[39:35] out late last year right before QT
[39:38] ended. And we've been saying it on the
[39:40] show. We called it.
[39:42] the level of quantitative tightening
[39:44] that we lived through
[39:45] from post-COVID boom until this last
[39:49] December 2025 is immense. People say,
[39:52] "What if China dumps all of its US
[39:53] Treasuries?"
[39:54] What the Fed did was orders of magnitude
[39:58] worse than China and Russia and India
[40:00] and Japan dumping all their Treasuries.
[40:03] The Fed erased over $3 trillion of
[40:07] assets.
[40:09] It shrunk its balance sheet from 9
[40:11] trillion to 6 trillion.
[40:15] Markets were tight.
[40:19] And it looks like that has found a
[40:20] bottom.
[40:22] The Fed's balance sheet is expanding. We
[40:24] know what Trump's plan is here and it
[40:25] looks like Bitcoin is trying to find a
[40:27] bottom as well.
[40:30] Okay? Here's my expectation for the
[40:32] money printing that has to happen.
[40:34] Again, we are in Weimarica. We are in
[40:37] Ponzinomics. The stock market's being
[40:39] nationalized. Trump has to print the
[40:41] money. They don't have a choice. It And
[40:43] it doesn't matter Republican, Democrat,
[40:45] left, right, red, blue, doesn't matter.
[40:49] One, the Fed's balance sheet
[40:51] will keep growing.
[40:53] Two,
[40:55] commercial banks will start lending
[40:56] again.
[40:58] A huge piece of the money printer is the
[41:00] commercial banking system. And when we
[41:02] talk about the United States
[41:04] nationalizing things like AI, what
[41:06] they're going to do is have people like
[41:09] Jamie Dimon lend incredible amounts of
[41:12] money effectively risk-free because he
[41:14] knows he has a government backstop to
[41:16] these becoming strategic sectors to
[41:18] America. And three, housing.
[41:21] So, one,
[41:23] we're starting to see it. This is the
[41:25] hostage video from Jerome Powell.
[41:28] Rates will come down. We know this
[41:31] because true interest expense is higher
[41:34] than our receipts. We know this because
[41:36] the only expense item that they can
[41:38] bring down is the interest cost. They
[41:40] have to get rates down cuz we are living
[41:43] through Ponzinomics America.
[41:46] Two,
[41:47] what did I just say about JP Morgan
[41:49] being a critical commercial lender as an
[41:52] arm of the US government? Remember this
[41:54] press release I read you guys late last
[41:56] year. JP Morgan Chase launches a 1.5
[41:59] trillion with a T trillion dollar
[42:03] security and resiliency initiative to
[42:05] boost critical industries. The firm will
[42:07] make direct equity investments of up to
[42:10] 10 billion dollars as part of its 1.5
[42:13] trillion dollar initiative to address
[42:15] pressing needs in key sectors from
[42:19] critical minerals and frontier
[42:21] technologies. Where do you think they
[42:23] got that idea from, guys? Do you think
[42:24] Jamie Dimon came up with that in a board
[42:26] meeting with his executives? [ __ ] no.
[42:28] He got that straight from the US
[42:30] government.
[42:32] I mean, read this thing. Supply chain
[42:34] and advanced manufacturing, defense and
[42:37] aerospace, energy independence and
[42:39] resiliency, frontier and strategic
[42:41] technology. So, that's AI, critical
[42:44] minerals, defense, manufacturing.
[42:49] Here comes the money printer. It's being
[42:52] nationalized.
[42:54] And then the last one, Trump and his 200
[42:56] billion dollar, you know, instead of QE,
[42:58] you get TrumpE.
[43:00] Trump easing. He's just going to do it
[43:02] himself. 200 billion dollar bond
[43:04] purchase to lower the mortgage rates.
[43:08] And
[43:09] you know,
[43:10] I did a much more less kind of doom and
[43:12] gloom AI white collar topic today.
[43:16] But, I wanted to squeeze this in.
[43:18] Breaking, Americans with four-year
[43:20] college degrees now account for a record
[43:22] 25% of US unemployment.
[43:25] The percentage has doubled since 2008,
[43:28] leaving more than 1.9 million degree
[43:30] holders age 25 and over currently
[43:32] unemployed. This is the highest level
[43:34] since data collection began in 1992.
[43:38] And the visual reads, college educated
[43:40] job loss rises, white collar slowdown
[43:43] hits four-year degrees.
[43:46] It is no longer safe
[43:49] to go to college, study hard, get a
[43:51] degree, get straight A's.
[43:59] Crazy.
[44:00] And the reason I bring this up and the
[44:01] relevance to the episode is if the the
[44:03] United States has to do two things. It
[44:05] has to bring its cost down, which it
[44:06] will by lowering rates.
[44:08] It doesn't give a [ __ ] about commodity
[44:10] inflation. It doesn't give a [ __ ] about
[44:11] inflation generally. The math is the
[44:13] math. The costs have to come down. The
[44:15] only thing they can control without you
[44:17] know, losing elections is
[44:19] the interest costs. And so,
[44:22] rates got to come down. And the other is
[44:24] the growth has to come up.
[44:27] Because listen, if you you got to grow
[44:30] your receipts. You got to grow your tax
[44:32] income.
[44:33] And it's going to be really [ __ ] hard
[44:36] to grow your tax income if everyone's
[44:38] unemployed.
[44:40] So, this the amount of money printing,
[44:43] guys, is going to dwarf COVID. I'm
[44:45] telling you now. Just run the math.
[44:47] Maybe next episode I'll do that math for
[44:49] you. Run the math yourself. It's going
[44:51] to dwarf COVID.
[44:53] You're going to have to print enough
[44:55] money
[44:56] to do wartime spending on AI national
[45:00] defense. We already know our national
[45:01] defense budget's going from a trillion
[45:02] to 1.5 trillion, a 50% increase.
[45:06] >> [laughter]
[45:07] >> By the way, everyone college educated
[45:11] white collar is unemployed.
[45:14] How are they going to pay off their
[45:15] mortgage? How are they going to pay off
[45:16] their car note? How are they going to
[45:18] pay off their credit cards?
[45:20] How are you going to get them to vote
[45:21] for you?
[45:22] Mamdani's going to win every [ __ ]
[45:24] election. Mamdani's like, "We're going
[45:25] to I'm going to take everyone else's
[45:27] property and split it up."
[45:29] You got all these kids that are saying,
[45:31] "You know what's a sick joke?
[45:34] You had us go into extreme levels of
[45:36] debt to learn mathematics
[45:38] for 20 years of our lives only to have
[45:41] Elon's robots take our [ __ ] job."
[45:45] [ __ ] you.
[45:47] I'm going to elect the guy that's going
[45:48] to take everyone else's property and
[45:50] split it up.
[45:53] So, the only way to paper that over is
[45:56] more money printing.
[45:59] Now, to end it,
[46:04] slow and steady wins the race. So, all
[46:07] this to say,
[46:08] what are we living through right now?
[46:10] The stock market's being nationalized.
[46:12] It's diverging from US dollar liquidity.
[46:16] America is looking a lot more like China
[46:19] than people are willing to admit.
[46:22] I'm just being honest.
[46:24] During the Biden administration, it was
[46:26] censoring speech.
[46:28] The US government was literally going
[46:30] into social media companies and
[46:32] determining
[46:34] what people were allowed to say and
[46:36] consume.
[46:37] The furthest thing from free speech. You
[46:39] want an example of what isn't free
[46:41] speech?
[46:43] Look at the Biden administration.
[46:44] Pathetic.
[46:47] Now, Trump administration is the same
[46:49] but for property rights.
[46:52] Nationalizing the stock market, taking
[46:55] over companies, controlling credit card
[46:57] rates.
[47:00] Guys, this is China.
[47:04] We're America
[47:06] with a little bit of China. Only a
[47:08] little bit. Only enough to make it
[47:11] interesting.
[47:18] So, we we're living in this weird world.
[47:22] We're living in the best timeline.
[47:24] The world's changing rapidly in front of
[47:26] us.
[47:28] The US is going through a debt crisis.
[47:30] The world is going through a debt
[47:31] crisis. We're getting back to being
[47:33] governed by Mother Nature, back to
[47:34] neutral reserve assets, back to
[47:35] technology, back to distributed
[47:37] networks, back to ethics, principles,
[47:39] morals, back to who humans are meant to
[47:42] be, in my opinion.
[47:45] But, I don't think Bitcoin's ready to
[47:47] take off yet. I I want to end this with
[47:49] a little bit of caution. Slow and steady
[47:51] wins the race, the tortoise and the
[47:52] hare.
[47:54] You know, wise man once said this
[47:55] differently, it's stay humble and stack
[47:58] sats.
[47:59] And my point is, I think that markets
[48:02] right now
[48:04] are front running themselves a little
[48:05] bit because if if you listen to this
[48:07] episode or you read the news,
[48:10] I mean, it's un like there's no doubt
[48:13] the level of money printing is going to
[48:15] be immense. There's no question where
[48:18] all of this is going. There's no debate.
[48:21] Bitcoin will go to the moon. There we
[48:23] will see inflation again. Commodities
[48:25] will continue to soar. The Fed's balance
[48:27] sheet is going to explode. We'll
[48:28] probably see some form of yield curve
[48:30] control. We're probably going to see a
[48:31] lot of these things. The question is
[48:33] when?
[48:35] This is the prediction market. They
[48:38] prediction market doesn't expect rates
[48:39] to change anytime soon.
[48:42] We might not get the rate change until
[48:44] Powell's out.
[48:47] This is bullish sentiment.
[48:50] These are
[48:51] um
[48:51] Goldman Sachs
[48:53] uh research memos. Bullish sentiment
[48:55] rose to its highest since November 2024.
[48:59] Every time that retail bullish sentiment
[49:02] hits these highs, we see a correction.
[49:05] Okay? Another one.
[49:08] Goldman's marquee client poll shows
[49:10] bullishness at levels seen only three
[49:12] other times in the past decade. In late
[49:14] 2017, remember, Bitcoin took a little
[49:17] bit of a dip after that. Late 2020, took
[49:19] a little dip. Late 2024, took a little
[49:21] dip.
[49:22] Two of those instances, markets
[49:24] experienced a correction within 3
[49:25] months.
[49:27] And then this last one, market sentiment
[49:29] has kicked off 2026 on a very strong
[49:31] note. Our risk appetite indicator has
[49:33] accelerated to a 0.9, a 96 percentile
[49:37] reading historically in the highest
[49:40] level [ __ ]
[49:42] There we go. The highest level since
[49:44] early 2025. At these levels small
[49:46] pullbacks tend to become more frequent
[49:48] and outsized equity returns are rarer.
[49:53] And then let me go to the next.
[49:56] Now this to me is the most telling. This
[49:57] is from the Bitcoin layer. Shout out
[49:59] Nick. I love his stuff.
[50:01] Um
[50:02] the S&P 493. So we all know the S&P 500
[50:06] and the mag 7 that dominates the S&P
[50:08] 500. So the S&P 493, the companies that
[50:11] aren't the mag 7.
[50:13] They have been outperforming the mag 7
[50:17] since November.
[50:19] And to me this tells me that the AI
[50:22] trade is running a little dry.
[50:27] How do you bet on AI? You take the mag
[50:29] 7. Give me Google. Give me meta. Give me
[50:32] Amazon.
[50:34] Right?
[50:37] So the fact that the 493 are
[50:39] outperforming the 7
[50:41] AI's running dry. What's another way to
[50:43] say AI's running dry since all of this
[50:45] is getting nationalized? US dollar
[50:47] liquidity is running dry, guys.
[50:50] Yes, it's bottoming. Yes, the Fed
[50:52] stopped QT.
[50:54] They have not started really printing
[50:56] the money yet. Rates are not expected to
[50:58] be cut cuz Jerome is fighting with
[50:59] Trump. I think the markets are getting
[51:01] ahead of themselves. Slow and steady
[51:03] wins the race. I would not be surprised
[51:07] if the markets washed people out one
[51:09] last time before Valhalla.
[51:12] I'm just calling it how I see it.
[51:15] I think we've reached peak Ponzinomics.
[51:19] True interest expense is greater than
[51:22] receipts.
[51:23] They got to get rates down.
[51:26] Commercial banks have to start lending.
[51:27] They have fully nationalized certain
[51:29] parts of the US stock market where it is
[51:31] no longer an expression of currency
[51:32] debasement. Bitcoin is one of the last
[51:35] standing vehicles of true currency
[51:37] debasement, true free markets, true
[51:38] property rights.
[51:40] All extremely bullish.
[51:43] But I don't think
[51:46] we're ready for takeoff yet. I I
[51:49] be cautious cuz I see a lot of people
[51:51] talking about leverage and treasury
[51:53] company. Just be careful.
[51:55] Just be careful. I wanted to squeeze
[51:57] this one in here. Miners are slightly
[51:59] net short. Retail is slightly net long.
[52:02] That's typically also a bearish sign.
[52:05] Okay? So just be careful. Okay, some
[52:08] company updates before I hop into Q&A.
[52:11] Uh strike. I saw this dude Ryan Reynolds
[52:15] tweeted at me. Or no, this is on Noster.
[52:19] Uh line of credit from strike which is
[52:22] coming.
[52:23] Line of credit will start to roll out in
[52:25] the first half of February. So we are
[52:27] less than a month away from our line of
[52:29] credit product rolling out. Bitcoin
[52:31] interest on fiat. That also is in the
[52:34] works. So you can see he says line of
[52:36] credit, Bitcoin interest on fiat. Those
[52:37] are in the works. And then he also
[52:39] wanted the ability to have separate
[52:40] buckets in his account. A checking, a
[52:42] savings, an account for his kids. That's
[52:44] also in the works, Ryan. So strike is
[52:47] firing on all cylinders. The company
[52:48] continues to amaze me. The people are
[52:50] incredible. I mean just the hardest,
[52:52] most dedicated, efficient group of
[52:54] Bitcoiners on the planet in my opinion.
[52:56] We just churn out incredible tools.
[52:59] And I'm really excited for the next few
[53:02] months cuz we're going to have line of
[53:03] credit, interest on fiat deposits. You
[53:06] call it these these buckets. We'll have
[53:08] these account buckets for you guys. We
[53:10] got some really good news from New York
[53:12] that I can hopefully announce any day
[53:13] now which is really exciting. So
[53:16] we're firing on all cylinders at Strike.
[53:18] Continue to give us feedback. I mean
[53:20] we're such a customer focused company.
[53:22] We really build for you guys. I work for
[53:25] you guys. And so keep letting us know in
[53:28] the comments. Tweet at us. These posts
[53:30] mean a lot. You'd be surprised at how
[53:31] many of these make it internally when
[53:34] we're designing our road map, designing
[53:35] our products. So
[53:37] I really I'm proud of the relationship
[53:38] we have with you guys. And so I'm
[53:41] looking forward to Strike. Strike I mean
[53:43] had an all-time year in 2025 and I think
[53:46] 2026 will be even bigger. Our Bitcoin
[53:48] treasury sits at 1,530
[53:51] now and
[53:53] it's not a public company. So Strike is
[53:56] like I mean it's crazy. Strike is a
[53:58] private business that stacks Bitcoin
[54:02] with profits when it's not investing in
[54:03] its own future. And we're I mean our
[54:07] Bitcoin treasury is huge. I mean we
[54:09] would be a top one of all all these
[54:11] other, you know, like capital markets
[54:14] companies. So really impressed by the
[54:16] team and thanks to all of our customers
[54:18] who support us.
[54:21] Okay, 21.
[54:22] I want to spend some more time here.
[54:24] Um
[54:25] I don't know cuz it to me earlier today
[54:28] it seemed fun. We'll see if I
[54:32] believe that after I do it, but
[54:35] I saw this tweet. I got tagged in this
[54:37] tweet.
[54:38] Um
[54:40] what's this guy's name? Bitesidequest.
[54:43] Questions I'd ask Jack about 21 if I had
[54:46] the chance. Well,
[54:47] chance granted, my friend. And thanks
[54:49] for the support and the interest, by the
[54:51] way.
[54:51] Um one, how will you balance being CEO
[54:55] of both Strike and 21 while giving your
[54:57] best to each? Uh I would say
[55:01] we view it. So I personally view it and
[55:05] at both companies we collectively view
[55:07] it as a benefit that I work at both
[55:10] companies. It gives me an incredible
[55:13] amount of leverage, strategic insight,
[55:15] benefit, resourcing
[55:17] to work at both businesses. You know,
[55:19] it's interesting. It's not as if, you
[55:21] know, one business
[55:23] is a cake bakery and the other is a
[55:25] Bitcoin company. They're both Bitcoin
[55:27] businesses. They serve different
[55:28] markets. So 21 is more institutional,
[55:31] more wholesale. Strike is a lot more
[55:33] focused on SMB and retail. But I still
[55:36] work on Bitcoin every single day. That
[55:38] is expressed differently depending on
[55:41] what exactly I'm working on. But the
[55:43] companies benefit each other far more
[55:46] than they detract from each other. And
[55:47] if that were to ever change or be a
[55:49] concern, I would talk about it publicly,
[55:52] especially in a way that communicates
[55:54] responsibly to shareholders. But so far
[55:56] it's been the exact opposite. You know,
[56:00] I say this not from an egotistical
[56:04] stance, um but more just a proof of work
[56:07] stance. You know, there's not many
[56:09] people that have insights into the
[56:11] industry greater than myself
[56:13] being the CEO of these businesses. I
[56:15] mean I'm taking meetings on Wall Street
[56:17] with some of the biggest banks in the
[56:18] world. My business partner being
[56:20] Tether's, one of the biggest companies
[56:22] in the world.
[56:23] And then on the Strike side, I'm I serve
[56:26] I'm one of the largest Bitcoin companies
[56:28] in the world. I mean Bitcoin focused
[56:30] financial services companies in the
[56:32] world. I founded it. I lead that
[56:34] business as well. So I have a deep deep
[56:36] deep understanding of this market, of
[56:39] this industry, where there are
[56:40] opportunities.
[56:42] And so it's been a net benefit for both
[56:45] businesses. Strike has benefited
[56:46] tremendously from my work and
[56:48] relationships at 21. And 21 has
[56:50] benefited tremendously from everything
[56:53] that I do and have built at Strike. And
[56:55] so I think that they are both assets to
[56:57] each other. I think it's a good thing.
[56:59] Um I think that because they are both in
[57:02] the same industry, there is no
[57:04] detracting focus. Some days I work on
[57:06] more on one company than the other. But
[57:09] at the end of the day
[57:10] I continue to just work on Bitcoin.
[57:13] And that's that's the truth.
[57:15] So
[57:16] it's a good question. I see people ask
[57:18] these a lot. So I figured I would I
[57:20] would just spend a second and answer.
[57:22] Two, what's holding back more details on
[57:24] the business side of 21 now that the
[57:26] merger is fully completed? Regulatory
[57:28] hurdles or something else? Well, there's
[57:30] a few things. One, as a public company
[57:32] there's just a lot of strict rules,
[57:34] right? Like I cannot
[57:36] give insider information that isn't
[57:39] disclosed properly, for example. Like we
[57:42] have public filings and there are proper
[57:44] disclosures that I have to make with the
[57:46] SEC as our regulator as a public
[57:49] security. I cannot just get on a live
[57:51] stream and just start running my mouth
[57:53] about what is potentially sensitive
[57:55] strategic information. Um so that is for
[57:58] one. It's just Strike is very different.
[58:01] Strike is a private business. I control
[58:03] everything about Strike. And so I do
[58:06] whatever I want. 21 is a public company
[58:09] and it doesn't really matter the
[58:10] internal structures you put in place.
[58:12] When your company is public, it is
[58:13] technically for sale to the public. And
[58:16] you have to then by proxy
[58:19] work with a regulator to give proper
[58:21] disclosures to the public at all times.
[58:23] And so it's just a different form and
[58:26] style of communicating. And there's so
[58:27] there's pros and cons, right? Like in
[58:29] the Strike side maybe I can be a little
[58:31] bit more free willy in myself when it
[58:33] comes to talking and disclosing things.
[58:35] Um but I don't have access to the
[58:36] capital markets. I don't have access to
[58:38] a lot of the tooling and opportunities
[58:40] that 21 has. And on the 21 side we get
[58:43] access to Wall Street deep pockets. I
[58:45] mean we already are the third largest
[58:46] holder of Bitcoin. And you know, I'd
[58:48] like to think we haven't even really
[58:49] gotten started yet. But you know, at
[58:52] times things are a little bit slower.
[58:55] That was true during our process of
[58:57] taking the company public and trying to
[58:58] complete the merger. That took far
[59:00] longer than we would have liked. The
[59:01] government shutdown got in our way.
[59:04] And then you know, the thing that we're
[59:06] working on, um there's just certain
[59:08] rules that apply. So that's for one. I
[59:10] would say the other thing that I want to
[59:12] talk about is as a company culturally,
[59:15] you know, you get a lot of tweets and a
[59:16] lot of posts at me. Being a public
[59:18] company officer has been interesting.
[59:20] You know, no one has tweeted at me every
[59:23] single day as a Strike shareholder,
[59:25] right? Cuz the stock's not traded
[59:26] publicly and it doesn't bump up and down
[59:29] and you know, go on these crazy runs and
[59:31] then fall. You know, like what's
[59:33] interesting is nothing about the company
[59:35] has changed since the stock has been
[59:37] either $8 or $50. Literally nothing has
[59:40] changed. All we've done is own
[59:43] 43,514
[59:45] Bitcoin. And for some reason at one
[59:47] point the market thought that was worth
[59:49] $50 a share, $8 a share, now back to $10
[59:53] a share. I have no like I can't explain
[59:55] that. I have no idea why, right? Um
[59:59] Strike, I don't have that issue. Like
[60:02] the stock doesn't it's not freely traded
[60:04] to the public. And so anyways, you get
[60:07] all these tweets every single day. Say
[60:09] something, announce something, do this,
[60:10] do this, do this. That's not who I am.
[60:13] That's not who we are as founders,
[60:15] Tether and I.
[60:17] That's also not who we are as
[60:18] Bitcoiners.
[60:20] We're going to announce something, we're
[60:21] going to do it ethically, principally,
[60:22] when it's ready. We believe in proof of
[60:24] work. I've I've told you guys enough. I
[60:26] feel like I've I've talked enough.
[60:28] I every single day Fox wants me on,
[60:31] Bloomberg wants me on, CNBC wants me on,
[60:34] some really really big podcasts that you
[60:35] guys probably know want me on. And I've
[60:37] said give me a second.
[60:39] Cuz I'm done talking.
[60:41] You know, I like coming on here on my
[60:43] own show and giving my opinion on macro
[60:46] and the world, but I'm done talking
[60:48] about, you know, treasury companies and
[60:51] MNAV this and that.
[60:53] We are working very hard internally on
[60:56] what we think is a very big deal. You
[60:58] guys already know what it is
[61:00] directionally. Bitcoin business line,
[61:02] high profit, high margin, high growth.
[61:05] We're working on it. Just because we
[61:06] haven't announced anything doesn't mean
[61:08] we're not working.
[61:10] We're working on it. And it will be
[61:12] announced when it's ready. And that's
[61:13] just a culture of who we are as as
[61:16] people, as leaders, as executives, as a
[61:19] company, and as Bitcoiners. We don't
[61:21] make announcements for the sake of
[61:22] announcing things. I don't believe in
[61:24] that. That's very proof of stake. That's
[61:26] very fiat. It's just not who we are. So
[61:28] I would say it's a combination of those
[61:30] two.
[61:31] It's
[61:32] being regulated as a public company, you
[61:34] have to be very careful about who gets
[61:36] information, how they get said
[61:38] information, making sure that you're
[61:39] following the rules, and also I believe
[61:42] in that ethically. I don't think that
[61:44] certain groups of individuals should get
[61:45] certain type of privileged information
[61:47] over others. I don't want to participate
[61:49] in anything like that. I don't think
[61:50] that's ethical and fair.
[61:52] And then the other is just more proof of
[61:53] work approach. You know, I'm not going
[61:55] to announce something for the sake of
[61:56] appeasing anybody. You know,
[61:58] Tether and myself like
[62:02] own the like a lion's share of this
[62:04] company. We are long-term holders of
[62:06] this business. This is not a trade for
[62:09] us.
[62:09] We're we don't, you know,
[62:12] we we are building for decades and we're
[62:15] going to announce this thing when it's
[62:16] ready.
[62:17] Um so I'll move on to the next one.
[62:20] What happened to the XXI website? Why
[62:22] did the Bitcoin per share metric
[62:23] disappear and why has the news tab not
[62:25] been updated since April? Will there be
[62:27] a website revamp soon?
[62:30] Yeah, I mean we took off the Bitcoin per
[62:31] share metric because
[62:33] I I think it's lesser important. I you
[62:35] know, I think um Bitcoin per share was
[62:38] really top of mind for us when we
[62:41] initially launched.
[62:42] Uh and
[62:44] listen,
[62:46] I think it's become clear in my opinion
[62:48] that the market
[62:51] wants
[62:54] a Bitcoin equity that
[62:57] can do things like get leverage and give
[63:00] maximal exposure to Bitcoin with cash
[63:02] flow
[63:03] without having to dilute common
[63:07] shareholders or potentially sell their
[63:08] Bitcoin.
[63:10] We've seen certain Bitcoin treasury
[63:11] companies have to sell their Bitcoin.
[63:13] We've seen certain Bitcoin treasury
[63:14] companies have to dilute shareholders to
[63:16] finance themselves.
[63:18] And so in that world, I think the metric
[63:21] makes lesser sense. And so that's the
[63:23] only reason. You know, people are like,
[63:25] oh, he did it before. He printed a bunch
[63:26] of shares. Like no, none of that's true.
[63:29] Like the the math is still the same.
[63:32] Um it's just a lesser focus for us and
[63:35] we will come out and give a lot of
[63:38] clarity on what we think is important.
[63:41] Uh again, when we feel that timing is
[63:44] right and things are ready and and we've
[63:46] done the proof of work that we feel is
[63:48] necessary to our standards.
[63:50] Uh and then as far as the news,
[63:53] I mean we could up I mean we could
[63:54] update the news. I sure, I don't know.
[63:57] Um again,
[63:59] I'm turning down CNBC. I'm turning down
[64:02] Fox. I'm turning down podcasts right now
[64:05] because I don't want to, you know,
[64:08] I want to talk about what we've been
[64:09] working on. And I think I I have low
[64:12] time preference here. Um I'm building
[64:16] for what I think matters. That's really
[64:18] who we are. So um
[64:20] that that's when I was planning on
[64:22] updating the news, but I'm sure people
[64:23] write articles about us every [ __ ]
[64:25] day. I mean, I'm sure. I I don't check.
[64:28] I don't read them. Um but if there are
[64:30] some that you guys want me to add to the
[64:32] website, I'm more than happy to do it.
[64:34] It'll take me 2 seconds. If you want to
[64:35] tweet at me and share me the articles
[64:37] that you want me to add, I'm more than
[64:39] happy to do that.
[64:40] Uh is the rough timeline on the start of
[64:42] the business line still early this year,
[64:44] by the end of Q1, or has that shifted?
[64:47] Yeah, it's a sooner rather than later. I
[64:48] mean, if we announce it by the end of
[64:51] Q1, I would be disappointed in us. Um
[64:54] this is a you know, much sooner rather
[64:56] than later thing. We've been working
[64:57] really hard and it's just about um
[65:00] you know,
[65:01] the right way of of crossing the finish
[65:03] line. So we're excited. Um
[65:06] and yeah, that's pretty much
[65:08] all I think I can responsibly
[65:10] communicate um
[65:12] outside of the
[65:13] outside of what I'll talk about next,
[65:15] which is kind of some of the areas of
[65:16] focus for us, but yeah, no, definitely.
[65:19] This is this is not an effort that's
[65:21] going to take us a year. It's not an
[65:22] effort that's hopefully even going to
[65:23] take us many months. Uh
[65:25] this is a top of mind focus. Everyone
[65:27] internally has been working on this. And
[65:30] uh we're very excited about it. And
[65:33] yeah, um
[65:35] oh, let me read the end. I'm still very
[65:36] bullish on the company. The team is
[65:37] amazing, but I think everyone with
[65:39] shares would appreciate as much info as
[65:40] possible right now. Full transparency
[65:42] matters a ton to a lot of us. Yeah, so
[65:44] that ultimately at the end of the day,
[65:45] that's why I decided to screenshot this
[65:47] and spend a little bit of time on 21 cuz
[65:50] I appreciated this question and that
[65:52] comment specifically.
[65:54] You guys kind of have gotten to know me
[65:56] as a man
[65:57] a decent amount through this show and
[65:59] you know, hanging out with me every
[66:00] Monday. And yeah, I think
[66:03] I care a lot about principles,
[66:05] integrity, ethics, and I don't mind
[66:08] taking shots. I mean, you guys I I'm
[66:11] speaking you guys vaguely as the
[66:12] internet have taken shots at me since
[66:15] the 21 saga uh plenty. Uh and I like it.
[66:19] I think you guys are both funny.
[66:20] Sometimes you're right, but it's always
[66:22] useful and helpful. You know, Bitcoiners
[66:24] hold each other accountable. Um at the
[66:26] end of the day,
[66:27] we are all on the same team at achieving
[66:30] a common goal. Like you guys aren't my
[66:32] dad. You're not my girlfriend. You don't
[66:35] need to be nice to me and care for me.
[66:38] You're my teammate. You know, we're here
[66:40] to win. And you hold me accountable in
[66:42] playing my role. And so I appreciate it.
[66:45] I like it. I believe in transparency.
[66:47] And so I thought that this was cool. And
[66:49] I have no problem answering questions
[66:51] like this. And I hopefully I don't know
[66:53] how much new information you got, but
[66:55] hopefully yeah, you appreciated the
[66:57] transparency piece and just kind of who
[66:59] we are as a company. And like I said, it
[67:02] it's going to take one announcement
[67:04] and all of a sudden it's like, oh, wow,
[67:06] that's what they were working on and
[67:07] holy [ __ ] this is really exciting. So,
[67:10] you know,
[67:11] I think human emotion and markets are
[67:13] funny.
[67:14] Uh this guy, I love this guy. I follow
[67:16] him actually. So I get a notification
[67:18] every time he tweets, which is somehow
[67:21] all day. So I really respect the work
[67:23] ethic and I think he's hilarious, but he
[67:25] comes for my neck constantly.
[67:28] Um and he wrote, "Coinbase has someone
[67:30] was saying Jack talks a lot about
[67:31] lending. Jack talks a lot about lending,
[67:33] which is a very good insight, I must
[67:34] say. I do talk a lot about Bitcoin back
[67:36] lending." And he said, "Coinbase and
[67:38] tons of other companies are already
[67:40] doing Bitcoin back lending. Jack and Co.
[67:43] are already late to the game."
[67:45] Uh I just want to say something. Tether
[67:47] is 60%
[67:50] of the Bitcoin back lending market and
[67:52] that might be wrong to the downside.
[67:55] Obviously, I know their business better
[67:58] than you guys do.
[68:00] Um
[68:01] yeah.
[68:03] This article says they have about $15
[68:05] billion in secured loans. Again,
[68:08] I would say at least. And I'm not
[68:11] disclosing anything about Tether that
[68:12] isn't public. You can go look at the So
[68:15] this article's referencing the
[68:16] transparency report. But you know, just
[68:19] again, guys, take it with a little bit
[68:21] of grain of salt some of the stuff you
[68:22] read on the internet.
[68:24] Saying that we're late to the game,
[68:27] uh we are the largest Bitcoin back
[68:29] lender in the world by far. Second place
[68:33] is like $2 billion.
[68:36] And Tether sits at $15 billion and
[68:38] again, that might be low.
[68:41] So like
[68:43] I would just say and and I love this
[68:46] account. I follow this account. I think
[68:48] he's [ __ ] hilarious even when he
[68:50] comes at my neck. Again, like I said,
[68:53] it's all for the love of the game. I'm
[68:55] here to do my job in this revolution and
[68:57] I appreciate, you know, you guys are
[69:00] very supportive and nice to me and
[69:01] sometimes you're not and
[69:03] you know, doesn't matter. Like you got
[69:05] to you you know, you got to be tough
[69:06] enough to build through it. Who cares?
[69:09] But like to say that we're late to the
[69:11] game,
[69:12] I mean, buddy,
[69:15] uh being the 60% of the entire market is
[69:19] not [laughter] late to anything.
[69:21] Can you imagine
[69:23] what we could build together, Tether,
[69:25] myself, with access to the capital
[69:27] markets with an already 60% market
[69:31] share.
[69:33] But no, according to the internet, I'm
[69:35] late. According to the internet, we're
[69:37] late to the game.
[69:39] >> [laughter]
[69:41] [sighs]
[69:42] >> Oh, man.
[69:44] What a [ __ ] job I have. So, yeah. I
[69:48] sometimes I think like how I would
[69:49] explain my life to my 16-year-old
[69:51] version of myself.
[69:53] I wouldn't have a chance. All right,
[69:55] with that
[69:57] let's
[69:58] let's do some Q&A before I get out of
[70:00] here. I'll blow up my screen.
[70:06] There we go.
[70:08] Head over to Dylan.
[70:10] Shout out, Dylan.
[70:12] On the ones and twos, and let me pull up
[70:14] uh
[70:15] Oop, I don't want to do that.
[70:18] Let me pull up the chat here.
[70:21] So that I can see what you guys are
[70:23] saying to me.
[70:25] 21,
[70:27] let me move some for me.
[70:33] Fun episode.
[70:35] Little bit of math.
[70:38] Understanding China.
[70:41] The US nationalizing the stock market is
[70:44] a huge deal, guys.
[70:47] Really, really big deal. We're obviously
[70:48] in the early innings of it, but its
[70:50] divergence from US liquidity is that's
[70:53] crazy to me, at least.
[70:56] China, let me
[70:59] There we go.
[71:01] Pull up the chat. Okay, question one.
[71:05] Q&A.
[71:06] I love you, Jack. Oh, I love you, too.
[71:09] However, I can't quite understand how a
[71:11] Bitcoin maxi is so focused on your new
[71:13] 21 stock. You talk about how crap stocks
[71:17] are, but you are diving headfirst into
[71:19] it. Can you explain?
[71:23] A little confused. Um
[71:26] I mean, stock a stock is just
[71:30] equity in a company, and a company is
[71:33] just
[71:36] my time and energy expressed in building
[71:39] tools for other people.
[71:41] I don't know what part of that
[71:42] invalidates being a Bitcoin maxi. I
[71:44] mean, I think Bitcoin's not going to
[71:46] disrupt businesses. We're still going to
[71:47] have companies.
[71:50] Uh
[71:52] so I'm a little confused by your
[71:53] question.
[71:54] I guess I understand that like yes, I
[71:56] think the stock market's being
[71:57] nationalized. I think the stock market
[71:59] should be demonetized. But 21 is built
[72:03] to be the best it's a Bitcoin company,
[72:06] and we want to be the best way to
[72:07] participate in Bitcoin in the capital
[72:08] markets.
[72:10] I've told this story before. You know
[72:12] I
[72:14] own
[72:15] Strike. So I own Strike equity. I own my
[72:18] house that I'm sitting in here. I own
[72:20] Bitcoin. That's it.
[72:22] And seeing all of the demand from
[72:25] institutions and capital markets and all
[72:29] these treasury companies and in Bitcoin
[72:31] at large, whether it's the ETF, the
[72:32] treasury companies, now there's
[72:33] different flavors. You know, Tether and
[72:35] I thought that what we would want to own
[72:38] didn't exist.
[72:40] We wanted a company that could seek out
[72:42] maximal Bitcoin exposure, large Bitcoin
[72:45] treasury exposure, but paired with an
[72:48] actual you know, profitable, growing
[72:51] operating company.
[72:52] And so, that's what we're building. And
[72:54] I don't know if that's in invalidates uh
[72:58] I guess maybe I'm misunderstanding the
[72:59] question, but yeah, I mean, I'm always
[73:01] going to like I'm always going to be
[73:03] building businesses, building stuff. Uh
[73:05] I also am a big believer in producing
[73:07] more than you consume. I'll never be
[73:09] able to retire and sit on my ass and do
[73:11] nothing and just spend my sats. I always
[73:13] want to be stacking. I always want to be
[73:15] learning and building.
[73:17] I don't know if that was a good answer.
[73:19] A little confused by your question, but
[73:20] anyway, love you, too.
[73:22] Why doesn't China buy Bitcoin?
[73:25] Who says they're not buying Bitcoin?
[73:26] They probably are buying Bitcoin, but
[73:28] Bitcoin's market cap right now, as I
[73:30] read in the intro of the episode, is
[73:32] 1.85 trillion. And China ran a 1.2
[73:36] trillion-dollar surplus. So their annual
[73:38] surplus is almost as big as the entire
[73:40] Bitcoin market. So Bitcoin's not
[73:42] structurally big enough just yet for
[73:45] them.
[73:46] But who's to say that they're not? I'm
[73:47] sure that they're mining a ton of
[73:49] Bitcoin. We have no idea. It's one of
[73:51] the cool parts. But I would say Bitcoin
[73:54] isn't structurally big enough yet. Right
[73:56] now, Bitcoin is in this era of like
[73:59] MicroStrategy, 21, IBIT, where it's big
[74:03] enough to support the largest,
[74:05] fastest-growing ETF from BlackRock ever.
[74:08] It's big enough to support some of these
[74:09] big companies becoming, you know,
[74:11] hundreds of billions of dollars in
[74:12] market cap. But it's not big enough to
[74:14] support, you know, the largest net
[74:16] sovereign surplus. And so, gold is the
[74:20] only neutral asset that can structurally
[74:22] catch their bid.
[74:24] Like physically catch it.
[74:26] Bitcoin's just not big enough yet. It'll
[74:28] get there. It'll get there, but who
[74:30] knows uh
[74:31] who knows
[74:34] if they're buying or not. I I would
[74:36] assume China has more than zero coins.
[74:39] Question, what happens to Bitcoin when
[74:41] one sat is worth more than, let's say, a
[74:43] pair of shoes?
[74:45] What then? A soft fork or just
[74:48] everything reprices? Very hypothetical
[74:50] long-term view. Thank you. Uh
[74:54] You know what's interesting is um the
[74:57] lightning network actually divides a sat
[75:00] into
[75:02] a a million different pieces. So I guess
[75:05] we can continue to divide Bitcoin up if
[75:09] we need to. I think is your question.
[75:11] The question is you know, what if
[75:13] Bitcoin's worth so much in purchasing
[75:15] power terms that a sat we're going to
[75:18] need change from a sat. We can uh
[75:24] You got Man, the chat is so mean.
[75:28] "Confused by your question is Jack's way
[75:30] of not answering a 100% legit question.
[75:33] Complete gaslighting and [ __ ]
[75:35] commentary." All right, tough guy. Um
[75:39] can you rephrase your question, then?
[75:41] I'm happy to answer the question.
[75:43] I think the question is how do you own
[75:46] equity in a company while being a
[75:48] Bitcoin maxi? That was my interpretation
[75:50] of the question. If that if you would
[75:53] like to rephrase it, I'm happy to answer
[75:55] the question. You piece of [ __ ] [ __ ]
[75:59] Get off your high horse, you [ __ ]
[76:00] loser.
[76:03] Yeah, tiger.
[76:05] Suck my [ __ ] dick, tiger. How about
[76:08] that? How I'm not I'm not some like you
[76:10] know, too good too too goody-two-shoes
[76:13] to read the chat and respond to you.
[76:15] Hey, tough guy.
[76:17] Rephrase the question. Get off your high
[76:19] horse. You're sitting somewhere
[76:20] fat-necked up in a YouTube chat. Like,
[76:23] "Oh, this Forget a load of this [ __ ]
[76:24] guy." [ __ ] you.
[76:27] Literally go [ __ ] yourself.
[76:30] "You've crapped on stocks for years. Now
[76:32] you're pitching it to listeners." I
[76:34] dude, I own equity in companies that I
[76:37] founded.
[76:39] Like, what part of that is unethical or
[76:43] not good? Yeah, I do I like I crap on
[76:46] stocks all the time.
[76:48] They're they're far more monetized than
[76:51] they should be.
[77:00] "Tough guy, the
[77:01] the tough guy in the chat keeps chatting
[77:04] at me and won't rephrase his question."
[77:07] What question do you want me to answer,
[77:09] tough guy?
[77:14] Oh, you guys are loving it.
[77:26] "Why would anyone buy XXI?" Because they
[77:29] want to own equity in what we're
[77:31] building. That's literally the only
[77:33] reason anyone would buy equity in any
[77:35] company, tough guy.
[77:38] Why would you buy anything? Because you
[77:40] want to own it. That's why I bought this
[77:42] hoodie. That's why I bought this house.
[77:44] If you want future proceeds and value
[77:47] from the company we're building,
[77:49] you should own equity in it. If you
[77:51] don't, you shouldn't.
[77:53] Pretty simple. And by the way, tough
[77:55] guy, I've gotten on the show and I've
[77:57] said if you don't like my [ __ ]
[77:59] company, sell the stock. I'm going to
[78:01] own it until I die. Tether and I are
[78:03] building for decades to come. If you
[78:05] don't like the company, I've never put a
[78:07] gun to your head and told you to buy it.
[78:08] Sell the [ __ ] stock.
[78:11] Bet against me at your own wish. People
[78:15] have bet against me my whole life, and
[78:17] every single time they've lost.
[78:20] I like it. I I appreciate it. You can
[78:23] bet against me. I don't care. It's all
[78:25] good, tough guy.
[78:32] These tough guys, man.
[78:34] Fat-necked up.
[78:36] Tough guys are fat-necked up in bed in
[78:39] this YouTube chat. Like, "Bro, I thought
[78:41] stocks were crappy.
[78:44] [ __ ] tough guys. All right, let's
[78:47] keep going.
[78:49] Enough of tough guys in the YouTube
[78:51] chat. Fat-neck tough guys.
[78:54] "Jack, with the ruling of Trump's
[78:55] tariffs happening this week, what do you
[78:58] think will happen to Bitcoin's price
[78:59] short-term if the Supreme Court's rule
[79:01] in favor against the tariffs?" Yeah,
[79:04] I think Bitcoin's probably going to
[79:05] struggle. Again, Bitcoin is the only
[79:08] truly free market, and so it doesn't
[79:09] have it doesn't close, it doesn't have
[79:12] circuit breakers, it doesn't have rules.
[79:15] It's just truly free-traded property.
[79:18] And for that reason, it usually
[79:20] expresses the truth far sooner and far
[79:23] more violent than anything else. And so,
[79:26] like I said to end the episode,
[79:29] I think the narrative is moving a lot
[79:31] quicker than the markets. You know, we
[79:35] know where rates are going. We're doing
[79:37] the Ponzi-nomics math. We know rates
[79:39] have to come down. But,
[79:42] they're not coming down yet. And so,
[79:44] this market is an announcement away of
[79:47] something. Something, anything. Could be
[79:51] uh Meta or Amazon or Google or Microsoft
[79:55] misses earnings. It could be the Supreme
[79:57] Court rules against tariffs from a lot
[80:00] of leverage being washed out and taken
[80:02] to the back shed pretty quick. So, I
[80:05] would just be a little careful. And you
[80:06] know what's really funny? When Dylan and
[80:08] I were at the Bears game,
[80:10] I said uh
[80:12] you know, I
[80:13] I said on the episode tomorrow, I'm
[80:16] going to be a little wary. Bitcoin
[80:18] doesn't look like it has enough
[80:19] follow-through strength, and that just
[80:21] tells me that dollar liquidity is
[80:22] tighter than people are giving credit
[80:24] for. The narrative is moving quicker
[80:25] than the market. And then by the time we
[80:28] walked out of Soldier Field last night,
[80:29] Bitcoin was at 92,000. And I was like,
[80:31] "Damn it. I wish I wish I was able to
[80:33] call it before and look smart in front
[80:36] of all of our followers." But, the
[80:38] Bitcoin market beat me to it by about 12
[80:40] hours or whatever the the math on that
[80:42] was, 18 hours. Um so, yeah. I I think
[80:45] Bitcoin would get hit a little bit, but
[80:47] I I think we're going to whatever, 150
[80:49] to 200,000 this year given that rates
[80:52] got to come down, they got to print the
[80:53] money, you got midterms. But, we we
[80:56] might dip a little before we go higher.
[80:59] Who knows?
[81:03] Um okay.
[81:05] Next section, Bitcoin and markets. Hey
[81:07] Jack, just wondering if you ever worry
[81:09] about safety when it comes to disclosing
[81:10] that you are a Bitcoiner. I know you
[81:12] mentioned that no one can take or do
[81:14] anything from you since you have the 12
[81:16] words. Yeah.
[81:18] Um safety's definitely been a more
[81:23] top-of-mind thing for me, and I would
[81:25] encourage it for you guys, too. So, this
[81:27] uh listener's question is referencing
[81:30] before when I said, you know, Bitcoin's
[81:32] property rights are so entrenched
[81:35] that it's literally words in your head.
[81:38] It's a very cool idea because, you know,
[81:41] I am I'm sitting in this house, right?
[81:42] Someone could kill me and just take the
[81:45] house.
[81:46] I have a a bunch of gold, let's say. I
[81:48] don't actually. I don't own any gold.
[81:49] But, let's say I had a bunch of gold in
[81:51] a vault. Someone could kill me and take
[81:53] the gold in the vault.
[81:55] What's really interesting about Bitcoin
[81:57] is I have a bunch of Bitcoin as
[81:59] memorized words in my head.
[82:01] The only way to not get the Bitcoin is
[82:04] to kill me.
[82:05] If you want the Bitcoin, you got to keep
[82:07] me alive.
[82:09] And that's really cool. That's the level
[82:10] of property rights Bitcoin has is so
[82:13] entrenched. It's crazy.
[82:16] And so, that's it's remarkable. And so,
[82:19] the question is, well,
[82:21] does that relieve you of any security?
[82:23] Like, do you think that you're secure
[82:25] because people shouldn't kill you if
[82:26] they want your Bitcoin? No, cuz there's
[82:28] still torture and kidnappings, and I
[82:31] think uh security's going to become more
[82:33] and more important for Bitcoiners. Yeah,
[82:35] I think
[82:36] a lot of my worldview, I think half the
[82:39] world will look at Bitcoin and
[82:42] technology as hope,
[82:45] and buy into what I think the human
[82:47] story is, which is engineering a better
[82:49] world.
[82:51] And then I think the other half of the
[82:52] world will look to Bitcoin as the reason
[82:56] the world is falling apart,
[82:58] unfortunately.
[83:00] And so,
[83:02] uh yeah. I I I think the attack surface
[83:05] area is only going to grow because uh
[83:07] those that feel disenfranchised by
[83:08] Bitcoin um are only going to grow. So,
[83:12] anyway,
[83:13] yeah, take take security seriously. Uh
[83:17] I'm not going to get into details about
[83:19] my own security, but yeah. No, I uh
[83:23] I will say I think
[83:27] I think harmony in society will be
[83:29] restored when personal responsibility is
[83:33] fully restored.
[83:34] And so, you know, people look to the
[83:37] government to fix all their problems,
[83:40] right? Or look to big corporations to
[83:42] fix all their problems. And when they
[83:43] realize like no one's going to come and
[83:45] save you.
[83:46] No one's going to save you.
[83:48] If you want to save money, you're going
[83:50] to have to find the hard assets and work
[83:52] hard and save. You're going to spend
[83:55] less, save more, buy Bitcoin. You want
[83:58] to be healthy? No one's going to come
[83:59] and save you. You got to put down the
[84:01] seed oils, put down the processed foods,
[84:02] you got to eat whole foods, you got to
[84:04] eat meat.
[84:05] You want to be healthy? You got to find
[84:07] time to exercise, take care of yourself,
[84:09] right? And so,
[84:11] in the same thing of personal security,
[84:13] like no one's going to save you.
[84:15] Learn how to take care of yourself, stay
[84:17] in shape, be fit, use tools. So, I think
[84:20] that, you know, my worldview is I this
[84:22] kind of goes in with this trend of
[84:25] of restoring personal responsibility
[84:28] again, which I think will restore
[84:30] harmony in society again.
[84:35] Oh, is tough guy back?
[84:38] What'd you say, tough guy?
[84:39] Laugh out loud. Y'all think Jack calling
[84:41] me tough guy is a W instead of answering
[84:43] the question with honesty. He did
[84:45] exactly what I said, more gaslighting
[84:47] while being an ass.
[84:50] What's your question, tough guy?
[84:52] Can you Can you please
[84:57] with all that you're doing in the chat,
[84:59] can you please
[85:01] Dylan, can you
[85:03] get the question from tough guy
[85:05] while I answer everyone else's question?
[85:07] I still don't know your question, tough
[85:09] guy.
[85:14] Get tough guy's question so we can
[85:16] answer it.
[85:17] He's doing all this typing. He's worked
[85:19] so hard. He really needs this question
[85:20] answered. Okay.
[85:23] Jack, I think Saylor was right to call
[85:25] out the part of the Bitcoin community
[85:27] that opposes institutional adoption.
[85:29] What's your take on his criticism and on
[85:31] the TC and BTC companies one week later?
[85:37] Um
[85:43] Did he call He called out He called out
[85:47] Bitcoin community
[85:50] opposing institutional adoption, did he?
[85:54] If he did, I don't know. I listened to
[85:56] the episode a few times. If he did, then
[85:58] I Yeah, I agree with that. I think
[86:01] opposing institutional adoption is
[86:03] silly. Opposing any adoption is silly.
[86:05] If Bitcoin's neutral money, then anyone
[86:08] can use it. Institutions, people you
[86:10] love, people you hate.
[86:13] I'd never understand when people say, "I
[86:14] don't want these people using Bitcoin."
[86:16] It's like, "Well, do you know what you
[86:17] own?"
[86:19] You own the one asset where no one can
[86:21] stop anyone from using it. That's the
[86:23] whole point.
[86:25] So,
[86:26] uh yeah. I I mean, if he did oppose
[86:30] that, I agree with him. Um
[86:33] I still I My my thoughts on the
[86:37] interview haven't changed. I don't
[86:39] understand what ticked him off and set
[86:42] him over the edge.
[86:44] And uh
[86:46] I don't know. I also just find I don't
[86:49] know. The whole thing was a little
[86:50] strange to me, but I already said my
[86:52] opinion, you know. Uh people have bad
[86:54] days.
[86:56] Uh I don't know the context. Um I wasn't
[86:58] there. There's all sorts of stuff,
[87:00] right? So, it's hard for me to opine
[87:03] more than I already have. But, yeah, and
[87:06] I was I was reading online. People are
[87:07] like, "Well, you know, he's a
[87:08] billionaire." It's like, "Dude."
[87:11] Like, I don't care how much money I
[87:13] make. I don't know what I'm worth. I
[87:15] mean, Strike's probably worth billions
[87:17] of dollars. 21's worth billions of
[87:19] dollars. So, I'm the CEO and founder of
[87:20] two multi-billion-dollar companies. It
[87:23] doesn't change who I am or how I'm
[87:25] allowed to treat people. It was weird
[87:27] Seeing people justify it was super
[87:29] weird.
[87:31] It's like, "Oh, he's a billionaire."
[87:33] It's like, "Dude."
[87:36] Doesn't matter.
[87:39] I didn't understand the opinion. I
[87:40] didn't understand the reaction. I didn't
[87:42] understand the whole interview. But,
[87:44] whatever. I already said that. That's
[87:46] been my opinion.
[87:48] Um
[87:50] Okay. My question for Jack, what do you
[87:52] think of the Coinbase Clarity Act stuff?
[87:55] Ah, snooze fest. Who cares? I mean,
[87:58] all that stuff, in my opinion,
[88:02] it's super fiat. Coinbase has
[88:05] been for a while now tried to create
[88:08] regulatory moats for themselves, tried
[88:10] to create a lead for themselves and then
[88:12] protect it with rules and regula- I
[88:15] mean, they're recreating the existing
[88:18] bank lobbying, but for crypto.
[88:21] And Bitcoin doesn't need any more
[88:24] clarity or any more rules. They're
[88:25] looking for clarity on their prediction
[88:27] markets, and their tokenized stocks, and
[88:29] their smart contract this and that. They
[88:31] want the clear ahead to create a bunch
[88:34] of tokens, allow people to gamble more
[88:36] on their casino. Bitcoin has been clear
[88:40] for years now. It doesn't need any more
[88:43] clarity. If anything, you know, we can
[88:45] squeeze in things like protecting
[88:47] developers, protecting people's right to
[88:49] write code, but
[88:51] I don't know. All these big lobbying
[88:54] corporations that are trying to entrench
[88:56] themselves with competitive advantages
[88:59] in doing like degenerate uh crypto [ __ ]
[89:03] I don't give a [ __ ] about that. Nor do I
[89:06] don't know. I don't know.
[89:08] What's that You know that meme like,
[89:10] "Sorry that happened to you" or "Happy
[89:12] for you" like, "But, I'm not reading
[89:13] that."
[89:14] Yeah. Sor- sorry that happened to
[89:16] Coinbase or I'm happy that they get
[89:18] their regulatory lobbying moat. But like
[89:21] I'm not following that. I have
[89:23] no interest.
[89:25] It has nothing to do with Bitcoin at the
[89:26] end of the day. My interest is in
[89:27] Bitcoin.
[89:30] Uh
[89:31] Hey Strike question, when proof of
[89:32] reserves for Bitcoin backed loans? Uh
[89:34] we're working on it. We're working on
[89:36] it. It's a little complicated, but uh
[89:38] we're working on it. Should be this
[89:39] year.
[89:40] Hi Dylan, can you ask Jack if you can
[89:41] add a feature that shows your Bitcoin
[89:43] buying streak on Strike?
[89:45] Yeah.
[89:46] We should send that to the product team.
[89:48] I will send that to the product team. No
[89:49] problem.
[89:50] Hi Dylan, can you ask Jack if Strike
[89:52] will be hiring more accountants?
[89:55] Probably. Probably someday. I don't
[89:57] think we are now, but you can always go
[89:59] to strike.me/jobs.
[90:01] Is that our URL?
[90:04] Let's see.
[90:12] Um
[90:13] Yeah, strike.me/jobs and check out who
[90:16] we're hiring for. And I'm sure before I
[90:17] die, I'll hire at least one more
[90:19] accountant, hopefully. Or else that
[90:20] means we're not
[90:23] growing.
[90:24] Uh regarding Strike's new line of credit
[90:26] feature, are you able to tell us what
[90:27] the interest rates will be? Not yet, but
[90:30] give me like two more weeks. I think
[90:32] that's around when we'll announce it.
[90:35] Um okay, last few other questions. Dylan
[90:39] always sneaks in other.
[90:41] Dylan, please ask Jack what his favorite
[90:43] breed of dog is.
[90:46] Mhm.
[90:47] Golden retriever.
[90:49] I love a good high energy athletic
[90:53] golden retriever. That'll probably be my
[90:56] dog uh when I
[90:59] feel like
[91:00] uh I want one. I do want a dog, just not
[91:03] right now.
[91:05] Uh Tiger aka tough guy's question. Oh,
[91:08] here we go. It's not my question for the
[91:10] fourth time, but I understand it. You
[91:13] were asked why you're pitching stocks
[91:16] and why we should buy equities priced in
[91:18] fiat when you've been a BTC maxi for
[91:21] years.
[91:24] Dylan, do you understand that question?
[91:27] Why
[91:29] we should buy equities priced in fiat?
[91:40] What?
[91:41] I'm going to post this in AI and see if
[91:43] it understands what this guy's trying to
[91:45] ask me.
[91:48] What does this question mean?
[91:52] Do you guys understand it?
[92:08] Okay.
[92:10] So I guess the question is why own any
[92:12] equities at all?
[92:15] Yeah, okay. I'll I'll answer that. Or
[92:17] let me see does Dylan understands.
[92:22] Tough guy is saying I love that we call
[92:24] him tough guy.
[92:25] Uh
[92:27] Tough guy is saying if you live your
[92:29] life and preach all things Bitcoin. For
[92:31] example, paying for everything in
[92:32] Bitcoin and avoiding fiat, why did you
[92:35] launch 21 which requires us to buy it
[92:37] with fiat?
[92:39] Um first of all, guys, it doesn't
[92:42] require you to do anything. I've kind of
[92:43] been pretty clear in this. If you don't
[92:46] want to own 21, you shouldn't own it.
[92:49] Like let me here, hold on. Okay, fine.
[92:51] Let's take a step back for a second.
[92:55] 21 is not selling. So like in MSTR for
[93:00] strategy,
[93:01] Saylor is using common stock
[93:04] to finance these preferred dividends. So
[93:07] he needs new investors via common equity
[93:10] to pay out his preferred investors.
[93:13] That's not what 21 is doing, to be
[93:15] clear. So you don't need to buy like if
[93:18] you don't want to buy if you don't want
[93:19] to invest in our company, you don't have
[93:21] to invest in our company. It's not going
[93:22] to hurt my feelings. Totally reasonable
[93:24] stance.
[93:26] Um I myself personally, I own the
[93:28] equities in my company. I own Bitcoin. I
[93:31] own my house.
[93:33] That's my position. I I own
[93:36] the future cash flow and value that my
[93:40] businesses produce
[93:42] and people would buy
[93:45] into my companies if they also want
[93:49] to own the future output of my
[93:52] businesses. So for example, Strike has
[93:54] outperformed Bitcoin since it's been
[93:57] invented.
[93:58] Okay?
[93:59] The first opportunity to ever invest in
[94:01] Strike when we like incorporated was
[94:03] April 1st, 2020 and since that day,
[94:07] Strike has outperformed Bitcoin. How?
[94:10] Well, we build Bitcoin products. We're
[94:12] super profitable Bitcoin company. We use
[94:15] our software to stack Bitcoin. So you
[94:17] got Bitcoin exposure on the balance
[94:18] sheet. We're like a synthetic miner.
[94:20] We're like instead of mining by solving
[94:23] the difficulty proof of work, we're
[94:25] mining by serving products to Bitcoiners
[94:28] and producing cash flow. And so people
[94:30] bought equity into Strike because they
[94:32] wanted There's a lot of reasons why they
[94:34] did that. They want to support the
[94:35] ecosystem. They want a Bitcoin bank to
[94:38] be created for Bitcoiners, not just
[94:40] Coinbase. They wanted to potentially get
[94:43] Bitcoin exposure, not just through
[94:45] owning the physical asset. But I agree
[94:47] with you guys or I think I agree with
[94:49] tough guy, I'm not sure, in the sense
[94:50] that there's a difference between saving
[94:53] and investing.
[94:54] You know, you're investing in a
[94:55] business. You have counterparty risk.
[94:57] You're trusting the management team.
[94:59] You're trusting future execution. What
[95:01] are all the things that could go wrong?
[95:02] That's investing. Saving is Bitcoin.
[95:04] It's just I work hard, I have excess
[95:07] capital, I save it. And if you were to
[95:10] say, "I'm not looking to invest. I just
[95:12] want to work and I want to save." Yeah,
[95:14] just own Bitcoin.
[95:16] I myself, I've only invested in myself.
[95:19] I only The only equities I own are my
[95:22] own companies.
[95:24] But why would someone want to own my
[95:26] companies?
[95:27] Well, I kind of just told you. We have
[95:28] value propositions. We have cash flows.
[95:30] We have growth. We have stuff. 21 has
[95:33] you know, a lot of Bitcoin
[95:35] and
[95:37] we have lots of plans and there's Tether
[95:39] and there's myself and we have our
[95:40] reputations and our history and our rep.
[95:43] So that's why you would want to own it.
[95:45] But I I agree that like the S&P 500 has
[95:48] been monetized. I think it will get
[95:51] demonetized. It's treated as money. It's
[95:53] treated treated as a savings account and
[95:54] it's not.
[95:56] But I don't think that that means that
[95:57] Strike equity in Strike is dumb.
[96:00] You can I mean like there will be
[96:02] investable opportunities in businesses
[96:04] till the end of time.
[96:05] Let's see Dylan's messaging me.
[96:07] Yeah, Dylan says he also doesn't
[96:09] understand the question.
[96:10] Yeah, I don't either. But um
[96:13] anyway,
[96:15] I don't know. Does that uh
[96:22] Does that answer your guys or does like
[96:24] does that answer the question?
[96:30] I'm not sure yet if it does or not. I'll
[96:32] wait for you guys to answer.
[96:35] But I mean,
[96:38] why invest in any company? Cuz I want,
[96:41] you know, future output. I I think
[96:43] stocks are over monetized. National AI
[96:48] stocks are becoming nationalized. The
[96:50] mag seven will be fully nationalized
[96:52] within the next decade or two. But
[96:57] why would I want to own equity in
[96:59] Strike?
[97:00] Because I want to own the future output
[97:03] of the biggest Bitcoin bank in the world
[97:05] servicing Bitcoiners.
[97:14] Okay, people are fed up
[97:17] and tired of this.
[97:19] Too much attention to the tough guy.
[97:21] At least he got his question answered.
[97:23] Okay, with that,
[97:26] I think this episode can now comfortably
[97:28] come to a close.
[97:30] Uh I appreciate you guys.
[97:34] Um
[97:36] oh, we're even getting a compliment from
[97:38] the tough guy. A pretty backhanded
[97:40] compliment, but a compliment
[97:41] nonetheless.
[97:42] I love tough guy. I love
[97:45] What a happy ending. All right, with
[97:47] that, this episode is ending. Uh
[97:50] appreciate you guys. Feedback in the
[97:52] comments. Um
[97:54] I read it all and uh
[97:56] I'll see you next Monday. Peace and
[97:58] love. Bear down.
[98:00] And uh stay humble and stack.
[98:02] Phew.

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