Jack Mallers

Stepping Down From Twenty One, The Fed Coin Flip & The AI Credit Bubble

Complete 1:36:30 min youtube 2026 Week 31 Jul 27, 2026 🇬🇧 EN
Research summary

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V4LRsuAqzQw  |  Duration: 96 min

◆ Part 1: Resignation and Market Context

The discussion begins by analyzing current market conditions, focusing on the Fed's decisions and the influence of the burgeoning AI credit bubble. Ongoing inflationary pressures stemming from geopolitical conflicts, such as the situation in the Strait of Hormuz, are also noted. The central theme is the host’s resignation from 21. He describes this departure as a clarifying experience regarding his values and leadership. While acknowledging major achievements at 21—including raising over a billion dollars and building a significant treasury—he accepts full responsibility for failing to execute the second half of the comprehensive vision. His ultimate exit was driven by fundamental strategic differences between his desired path and the direction dictated by the company's board, which maintained governing control.

▶ Part 2: Core Beliefs and Bitcoin Adoption

The speaker elaborated that his resignation from Twenty One was rooted in the company's strategy diverging from his core beliefs, asserting that doing what is right superseded personal financial gain. He accepts full accountability for 21’s outcomes while noting the company continues successfully with a massive treasury. Shifting focus, he confirmed that Strike remains an independent business he runs and expressed pride in its profitability and growth despite the bear market. Furthermore, he challenged common narratives regarding Bitcoin adoption rates, arguing that genuine understanding of Bitcoin—not just indirect exposure through financial products—is necessary for true adoption. He concluded by questioning who will ultimately drive global Bitcoin awareness given how early the industry remains.

★ Part 3: Macroeconomic Risks and Systemic Vulnerabilities

The speaker announced his resignation as CEO of 21 but reaffirmed his commitment to Bitcoin advocacy through increased content creation and podcasts. Regarding macroeconomics, he cautioned against making definitive predictions about the Fed, noting that political factors make interest rate decisions unpredictable and volatility is expected. He highlighted significant risk in the US bond market because the government is financing massive deficits primarily through short-duration bills due to insufficient long-term demand. Additionally, the AI industry faces substantial credit risk as it relies heavily on debt rather than profitable cash flow. This vulnerability is intensified by intense competition from China, which threatens the future profits of major US AI companies. If these systemic issues worsen, he warned that market stress could lead to a large bailout event.

🚨 Critical Risk Alert: The combination of massive US government deficits financed by short-term debt and the high credit reliance of the AI sector creates a fragile financial structure, increasing the probability of severe market stress or systemic collapse requiring intervention.

► Part 4: The AI Credit Bubble and Bitcoin's Position

This chapter details a massive AI credit bubble fueled by significant malinvestment and concentrated risk among major tech companies, including Nvidia, Microsoft, and Amazon. Nvidia is increasingly acting as a lender of last resort, providing huge financing guarantees to entities such as OpenAI for colossal data center projects. This unsustainable financial structure implies that the US government or Federal Reserve will eventually be forced to intervene with bailouts to prevent systemic collapse. The speaker argues that Bitcoin is uniquely positioned to benefit immensely by absorbing the massive liquidity injection required when governments print money to cover these debts. While acknowledging market skepticism and potential volatility, he maintains a strong conviction in Bitcoin's long-term value as the most competitive form of money.

★ Part 5: Strike Expansion and Network Mechanics

Regarding Strike, he detailed its global expansion, including multilingual support and the integration of advanced AI features via a new software factory approach. Upcoming features include beneficiaries, an activity feed, interest on cash starting at 3.5%, and subbalances for asset organization. He emphasized his commitment to educating the public about Bitcoin through podcasts and long-form content because few people truly understand the technology. Concerning China's gold accumulation versus Bitcoin, he noted that while theoretically possible, practically dumping US gold reserves into Bitcoin is immensely challenging due to scale and network effects. Regarding mining profitability, he stated it remains a highly competitive, low-margin industry driven by energy costs. He concluded by explaining that Satoshi's difficulty adjustment mechanism ensures the network's long-term sustainability regardless of external market pressures or shifts in computational power.

◆ Part 6: Business Philosophy and Network Stability

The speaker detailed Bitcoin's ingenious self-curing difficulty adjustment mechanism, which keeps the network stable by adapting to mining demand. He analyzed why Sailor has not been buying Bitcoin lately, citing concerns over STRC’s MNAV metric and current liabilities. Philosophically, he asserted that any successful business must be cash flow positive—meaning it creates more value than it consumes from the world. For entrepreneurs, he advised solving personal problems first to ensure a product addresses a genuine need and can achieve profitability. The segment also included brief updates on regulatory timelines for UK borrowing in Strike and future feature rollouts like mobile check deposits.

▶ Part 7: Product Development and Audience Feedback

The discussion focused on prioritizing product development based on increased market demand and time efficiency. A major topic was the request for a debit card that converts to SATs, prompting a detailed discussion about whether Strike should offer credit or debit cards. He noted that cards are inherently costly due to fraud and interchange fees, leading him to question if Strike could economically compete with established banks like Chase or AMEX. However, growing customer demand is forcing an internal reevaluation of pursuing card offerings despite the high costs. The speaker concluded by thanking his audience for their support and criticism, stressing that feedback, even negative criticism, is essential for improvement. His ultimate goal remains using Strike to help more people understand Bitcoin.

📊 Financial Asset Analysis

Ticker Role Thesis
Nvidia Major Tech Company/Lender of Last Resort Providing huge financing guarantees (e.g., to OpenAI) for data center projects, fueling the AI credit bubble.
Microsoft Major Tech Company/Concentrated Risk Part of the concentrated risk group driving the AI credit bubble.
Amazon Major Tech Company/Concentrated Risk Part of the concentrated risk group driving the AI credit bubble.

◆ Search for the alpha

The guest's capital allocation thesis centers on recognizing an imminent systemic risk driven by massive malinvestment in the AI sector and unsustainable US debt financing. The implied rotation is away from highly leveraged, growth-dependent tech assets (like those fueling the AI bubble) and toward Bitcoin as a non-sovereign store of value positioned to absorb liquidity during necessary government bailouts.

  • Regime Change/Catalyst: Systemic market stress resulting from the collapse of the AI credit bubble, which is fueled by debt rather than profitable cash flow among major tech players (Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon).
  • Best Expression of Theme: Bitcoin's role as a potential beneficiary of massive liquidity injections required when governments are forced to print money to cover national deficits and bailouts.
  • Risk Avoidance: High credit risk in the US bond market due to the government financing massive deficits primarily through short-duration bills, indicating underlying structural weakness.
  • Market Vulnerability: The AI industry's reliance on debt (e.g., Nvidia acting as a lender of last resort for entities like OpenAI) creates concentrated and unsustainable financial structures ripe for collapse.
  • Long-Term Conviction: Strong conviction in Bitcoin's long-term value as the most competitive form of money, supported by its self-curing difficulty adjustment mechanism ensuring network sustainability regardless of external pressures.
Asset / signal / read
Asset Signal Reading
Bitcoin Strong Conviction / Hedge Positioned to benefit immensely from liquidity injections required by systemic collapse.
US Bond Market High Risk Warning Vulnerable due to massive deficits financed primarily through short-duration bills.
The twist: The guest is implicitly arguing that the current narrative of Bitcoin adoption being slow or niche misses the core macro risk. He suggests that the impending failure of highly leveraged, debt-fueled sectors (like AI) will force a massive liquidity event, making Bitcoin's role as an ultimate hedge against sovereign financial instability far more critical than simply its technological merit.

► Chapter Summaries

Part 1 (0:00)

The host begins by discussing current market conditions, including the Fed's decisions and the influence of the AI credit bubble, while also noting ongoing inflationary pressures from geopolitical conflicts like the Strait of Hormuz situation. The main focus is his resignation from 21, which he describes as a clarifying experience regarding his values and leadership. He explains that the original vision for 21 was to build a dream Bitcoin company by combining deep Bitcoin conviction with consumer-facing tools and cash flow. While acknowledging major achievements like raising over a billion dollars and building a significant treasury, he takes full responsibility for failing to execute the second half of this comprehensive vision. Ultimately, his departure stemmed from fundamental strategic differences between his desired path and the direction dictated by the company's board, which held governing control at 21.

Part 2 (15:00)

The speaker explains that he stepped down from leading Twenty One because the company's strategy diverged from his core beliefs, emphasizing that doing what is right was more important than personal financial gain. He accepts full accountability for 21's outcomes while noting that the company continues successfully with a massive treasury. He then shifts focus to Strike, confirming it remains an independent business he runs and is proud of its profitability and growth despite the bear market. Beyond his companies, he challenges common narratives about Bitcoin adoption rates. He argues that true understanding of Bitcoin, not just indirect exposure through financial products, is required for genuine adoption. He concludes by questioning who will drive global Bitcoin awareness given how early the industry still is.

Part 3 (30:00)

The speaker announced his resignation as CEO of 21 but remains committed to Bitcoin advocacy through increased content creation and podcasts. Regarding macroeconomics, he cautioned against making definitive predictions about the Fed, noting that political factors make interest rate decisions unpredictable and volatility is expected. He highlighted significant risk in the US bond market because the government is financing massive deficits primarily through short-duration bills due to insufficient long-term demand. Furthermore, the AI industry faces substantial credit risk as it relies heavily on debt rather than profitable cash flow. This vulnerability is exacerbated by intense competition from China, which threatens the future profits of major US AI companies. The speaker warned that if these systemic issues worsen, market stress could lead to a large bailout event.

Part 4 (45:00)

The chapter discusses a massive AI credit bubble fueled by significant malinvestment and concentrated risk among major tech companies like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Amazon. Nvidia is increasingly acting as a lender of last resort, providing huge financing guarantees to entities such as OpenAI for colossal data center projects. This unsustainable financial structure implies that the US government or Federal Reserve will eventually be forced to intervene with bailouts to prevent systemic collapse. The speaker argues that Bitcoin is positioned to benefit immensely by absorbing the massive liquidity injection required when governments print money to cover these debts. While acknowledging market skepticism and potential volatility, he maintains a strong conviction in Bitcoin's long-term value as the most competitive form of money.

Part 5 (60:00)

Strike is expanding globally with multilingual support and integrating advanced AI features, including a new software factory approach. Upcoming Strike features include beneficiaries, an activity feed, interest on cash starting at 3.5%, and subbalances for asset organization. The speaker emphasizes his commitment to educating the public about Bitcoin through podcasts and long-form content because few people understand the technology. Regarding China's gold accumulation versus Bitcoin, he notes that while theoretically possible, practically dumping US gold reserves into Bitcoin is immensely challenging due to scale and network effects. Concerning Bitcoin mining profitability, he states it remains a highly competitive, low-margin industry driven by energy costs. He concludes by explaining that Satoshi's difficulty adjustment mechanism ensures the network's long-term sustainability regardless of external market pressures or shifts in computational power.

Part 6 (75:00)

The speaker details Bitcoin's ingenious self-curing difficulty adjustment mechanism, which keeps the network stable by adapting to mining demand. He analyzes why Sailor has not been buying Bitcoin lately, citing concerns over STRC’s MNAV metric and current liabilities. Philosophically, he asserts that any successful business must be cash flow positive, meaning it creates more value than it consumes from the world. For entrepreneurs, he advises solving personal problems first to ensure a product addresses a genuine need and can achieve profitability. The segment also includes brief updates on regulatory timelines for UK borrowing in Strike and future feature rollouts like mobile check deposits.

Part 7 (90:00)

The speaker discusses prioritizing product development based on increased market demand and time efficiency. A major topic was the request for a debit card that converts to SATs, prompting a detailed discussion about Strike offering credit or debit cards. He noted that cards are inherently costly due to fraud and interchange fees, leading him to question if Strike could economically compete with established banks like Chase or AMEX. However, growing customer demand is forcing an internal reevaluation of whether the company should pursue card offerings despite the high costs. The speaker concluded by thanking his audience for their support and criticism. He stressed that feedback, even negative criticism, is essential for him to improve as a person and Bitcoiner. His ultimate goal remains using Strike to help more people understand Bitcoin.

Full transcript
[0:02] Yo, welcome back to another episode of
[0:04] the Jack Mer Show. I am your host, Jack,
[0:07] and this is yet another edition of Mail
[0:10] Bag Monday. Every Monday, 6:00 p.m.
[0:13] Eastern, 5:00 p.m. Central, 3:00 p.m.
[0:15] Pacific, as much signal as I can, and
[0:18] the least amount of noise. No ads, no
[0:22] nonsense, no [ __ ] pure signal. Uh,
[0:25] trying to find truth and build a better
[0:27] world for us and our kids. How about it?
[0:30] Um, okay. Let's kick this episode off.
[0:32] Before I get started, I time stamp these
[0:34] things. I'm talking to you all at a
[0:36] Bitcoin price of 64,700
[0:39] US. Bitcoin's market cap sits at a clean
[0:42] $1.3 trillion.
[0:45] All-time high remains 126,160
[0:48] bucks. We're 48.7%
[0:52] off that all-time high we made on
[0:53] October 6, 2025.
[0:58] The last Bitcoin block mined since I hit
[1:00] stream. It's block height 959,890.
[1:08] Okay guys, uh it is good to talk to you
[1:11] all. Uh obviously we have a lot to
[1:14] discuss together. Um so the title of
[1:16] today's episode is stepping down from 21
[1:19] the Fed coin flip and the AI credit
[1:22] bubble. So this is the first episode
[1:24] since I stepped down. Um,
[1:28] so that I mean it is what it is. Uh,
[1:32] we'll talk about that. Sorry, I'm making
[1:33] sure I'm live. Not a professional
[1:35] podcaster.
[1:36] Um, we'll talk about that. Uh, hopefully
[1:39] you guys have seen my resignation video.
[1:41] Hopefully you have seen my letter to
[1:43] strike investors. Hopefully you have
[1:45] seen the essay that I wrote. But even if
[1:47] you didn't, we'll get into it. We'll
[1:49] cover it. And hopefully I can do the
[1:51] brunt of the work on Q&A. So, for those
[1:53] that don't know, I do live Q&A every
[1:55] single Monday. Show up no matter what
[1:57] and try and answer your guys' questions.
[1:59] So, Dylan is in the chat this week. He's
[2:01] writing down your questions as we speak.
[2:03] So, any question that you guys want to
[2:04] ask me about myself, about 21, about
[2:08] anything, literally try me. Um, I'm a
[2:11] wideopened book. I have no secrets. So,
[2:16] we'll talk about that and then, uh, in
[2:18] the back half of the show, we'll just
[2:20] keep it normal. I mean, there's lots
[2:22] going on in the markets. Uh, the Fed's
[2:24] got a decision to make this week. Are
[2:26] they going to raise rates? Are they
[2:27] going to keep rates as is? And then the
[2:29] AI credit bubble is increasingly driving
[2:32] a lot of market sentiment and market
[2:34] activity. And I do think that some
[2:37] resolution of this AI credit bubble is
[2:39] what's going to drive the next wave of
[2:41] money printing. We'll see. I mean, I'm
[2:43] not always right. Uh, so with that,
[2:46] let's get into it. Uh before we get
[2:48] started, as always, let's answer these
[2:49] first because technically we are in what
[2:51] is self-described by the United States
[2:53] as a conflict. I would say at what point
[2:56] is it a war? It's been going on for 5
[2:58] months now instead of the 5 weeks that
[3:00] we were told. But the questions are is
[3:02] the straight of horm still closed? Is
[3:04] this conflict still ongoing? Are global
[3:06] supply chains still disrupted? And can
[3:08] global debt survive this disruption? Uh
[3:10] the answers remain the same. So, I will
[3:12] admit that uh the straight update,
[3:16] here's a more detailed visual of what is
[3:19] going through the straight. And hey,
[3:21] credit where credit's due. You got to
[3:22] get you got to give credit where
[3:24] credit's due. It looks like things are
[3:25] moving in the right direction. And it's
[3:27] impossible for me to know if that's why
[3:31] oil is trading the way it is. Oil's come
[3:33] down.
[3:34] It seemed to come down and be directly
[3:37] correlated with Iran and the United
[3:39] States wanting to renew the idea of
[3:42] being at peace again late Sunday night
[3:44] as they do before market open. But we'll
[3:46] see. It looks like things are getting
[3:48] through again. But the whole point of
[3:50] asking these questions is because we
[3:52] don't know the answer. Following around
[3:53] headlines and politicians is exhausting
[3:55] and pointless. It doesn't matter. Uh,
[3:58] I'd rather spend our time focusing on
[4:00] more interesting things and figuring out
[4:02] where we can be productive and useful in
[4:03] the world. So, here's the straight of
[4:05] Hormuz update. I mean, listen, it's
[4:07] still relatively closed. That's just
[4:09] what this visual shows. And then, are we
[4:12] Last time I talked to you guys, we were
[4:14] in conflict with Iran. We were back.
[4:16] War, missiles, violence, and as of this
[4:20] morning, the president of the United
[4:22] States, Donald J. Trump, said uh that
[4:24] very friendly talks are ongoing. So now
[4:26] we are back agreeing to agree to agree
[4:29] to agree to not be in conflict anymore.
[4:31] So this is exactly why we don't spend
[4:33] too much time on the show about it
[4:34] because they flip-flop like pancakes. Um
[4:39] my guys, my sentiment remains the same.
[4:41] It seems like this conflict is going to
[4:43] go on longer than anyone thinks. That's
[4:46] always seemingly been the case no matter
[4:47] what politicians tell you. uh and it
[4:50] seems to be providing inflationary
[4:54] pressure onto a system that was already
[4:56] struggling with inflation and money
[4:58] printing to begin with. Uh that I I
[5:01] remain those two remain um you're going
[5:04] to get commodity inflation, you're going
[5:06] to get energy inflation, you're going to
[5:07] get oil market disruption um because of
[5:10] all of the things and and I don't see
[5:12] any near-term resolution. There's just
[5:14] nothing that gives me confidence. It
[5:16] doesn't mean it can't happen, but
[5:17] there's just nothing that gives me
[5:18] confidence in and that like, oh yeah,
[5:20] like this this is definitely going to
[5:22] end soon. Been saying that since
[5:24] February. Um, okay, chapter one. Let's
[5:27] get into it. Uh, I stepped down from 21.
[5:31] So, a lot of the messaging here will be
[5:34] there's not a ton of new information.
[5:36] Um, so I don't want to bore you guys.
[5:37] I'll I'll try and get through it at a
[5:39] medium pace. Not going to blitz through
[5:42] it. Not going to take my time and wax
[5:44] philosophically. I really do think the
[5:47] opportunity is to allow you guys to ask
[5:49] questions u for anyone that does. Um but
[5:52] I will reiterate some of the messaging
[5:54] that I've already been consistent on and
[5:56] and the things that I own um and where I
[5:59] feel uh disappointed in myself. Um and I
[6:02] want to own some of the outcomes uh and
[6:05] just what was accomplished or frankly
[6:07] lack thereof while I was the CEO. Uh,
[6:10] and then just some of the reasoning and
[6:12] what comes next, what this all means.
[6:14] Doesn't, you know, I'm not dying
[6:16] thankfully. Knock on wood, right? Uh, it
[6:19] strikes an unbelievable company. And I,
[6:21] I mean, this has been a very, uh,
[6:23] clarifying experience for me, uh, what I
[6:24] care about, who I am as a man, as a
[6:26] leader, and, uh, how I want to spend my
[6:28] time hopefully being useful. So, uh,
[6:31] let's do it. Uh first of all, let's you
[6:34] know, going all the way back what we set
[6:36] out to build at 21. Uh we wanted to
[6:39] build and you know they are still
[6:41] building this by the way the the folks
[6:43] still at the company. But we wanted to
[6:45] build the dream Bitcoin company. That's
[6:47] why I co-founded the business. That's
[6:49] why I got involved and that's what I was
[6:52] working on. And to me, I've given this
[6:55] presentation at Nauseium at this point,
[6:58] but that means Bitcoin on the balance
[6:59] sheet. So, owning Bitcoin and you know,
[7:04] sure, of course, I I would love to own
[7:06] the most Bitcoin in the world cuz I love
[7:08] Bitcoin so much. I don't know a
[7:09] Bitcoiner that wouldn't, but it it
[7:11] didn't necessarily mean we needed to own
[7:14] a 100,000 coins or 500,000 coins or a
[7:16] million coins. Um, it just meant that
[7:19] our conviction displayed through our
[7:21] balance sheet. So, our conviction
[7:23] explained economically, not just
[7:25] verbally. It's one thing to say, I love
[7:27] Bitcoin, but it's another thing to put
[7:28] your money where your mouth is. And so,
[7:30] there's a company where we put our money
[7:32] where our mouth is, and then a company
[7:35] that also built Bitcoin businesses
[7:36] underneath it. And it was the
[7:38] combination of those two. So, it's like,
[7:40] can you take the best of what Coinbase
[7:43] is or Robin Hood is and but the Bitcoin
[7:46] version and combine it with like what
[7:48] the best of Strategy is because I I view
[7:51] these companies as polar opposites uh in
[7:55] the sense that strategy has a ton of
[7:56] Bitcoin conviction, Bitcoin focus. They
[7:58] don't get distracted by shitcoin. Sailor
[8:00] seems to be a bitcoiner. Um but uh it's
[8:04] all financial engineering. um there is
[8:07] no cash generating products because of
[8:09] customers and building tools that push
[8:12] Bitcoin adoption at the consumer level
[8:14] or the business level. Uh they are is
[8:17] capital markets financial engineering.
[8:19] Now Coinbase is the opposite. Coinbase
[8:21] actually does not own a ton of Bitcoin
[8:24] relative to the size of their balance
[8:26] sheet. Um, so I would say Coinbase's
[8:28] conviction in Bitcoin has has not been
[8:32] in the same universe as someone like
[8:34] myself or someone like Sailor. Not to
[8:36] say that they don't like Bitcoin, but
[8:38] they seem to like crypto as a whole. And
[8:40] they like prediction markets and they I
[8:42] would say categorically have liked
[8:44] Ethereum more than Bitcoin throughout
[8:47] their history, which again, I mean, it's
[8:48] not an indictment. I personally think
[8:51] that that's a mistake, but whatever.
[8:53] That's not what this episode's about.
[8:55] The question was, can you build someone
[8:56] in between? Because Coinbase has loads
[8:58] of cash flow, loads of customers. They
[9:00] build lots of tools, but there's a lack
[9:02] of focus and conviction in Bitcoin
[9:03] itself. Strategy has only conviction in
[9:06] Bitcoin itself, which is very exciting
[9:08] and I love that. But there's no cash
[9:10] flow, customers, Bitcoin, and tools. And
[9:11] that's what we tried to build. Um, and I
[9:14] would say in large part, we built some
[9:15] of that. Um, we raised I mean outside of
[9:19] the founding founders capital, we raised
[9:21] over a billion bucks. Um, we bought a
[9:24] lot of Bitcoin. You know, there are some
[9:26] misunderstandings of that we never
[9:28] bought Bitcoin. That's not true. Um, you
[9:30] know, the technicality is Tether
[9:33] contributed Bitcoin in kind. That's
[9:35] true. But a lot of the Bitcoin that
[9:37] Tether bought to contribute in kind was
[9:40] purchased via capital that I raised. Um,
[9:43] and so we did raise over a billion
[9:46] dollars. We did buy I think it's 1.
[9:49] Don't hold me to this. And now I'm not
[9:51] bound by the SEC, so I don't give a
[9:53] [ __ ] But it's 1.4 billion, something
[9:56] like that. It was a really big number of
[9:58] Bitcoin that we purchased. Uh, and we
[10:00] did build what became the second largest
[10:03] treasury and we were able to get the
[10:05] company public in a fairly short time
[10:07] frame. So for for that much uh we
[10:10] achieved uh very proud of that. Uh and
[10:13] you know, we did it with a lack of a
[10:15] team. I mean for a very long time I was
[10:17] the only employee. Um so uh we did a lot
[10:21] but um the what we absolutely failed at
[10:25] utterly and completely and that I own is
[10:27] following through on the second half of
[10:29] the vision which I think is the most
[10:31] important part of the vision and the
[10:33] part that would make the business unique
[10:35] in its uh totality and uh I failed at
[10:39] that. I I as the CEO was unable to
[10:42] execute on what I was vocal about
[10:45] wanting to achieve and that's just a
[10:47] fact. That's just a fact. And you know,
[10:50] the reasons for that and the stories
[10:51] behind that and what will ever see the
[10:53] light of day and all of that doesn't
[10:54] matter. It doesn't matter. Um, you know,
[10:57] something I I'll tell you guys as a CEO,
[11:00] the buck stops here. That's my job. You
[11:03] know, there there is no there is nobody
[11:05] else to point and to blame and to no
[11:08] it's the buck stops here. You know, I'll
[11:12] never forget um after I graduated high
[11:15] school, um basketball was a huge part of
[11:17] my life until I realized I was going to
[11:19] be 5'8 and 150 pounds forever. But uh
[11:23] after I graduated high school, I
[11:25] followed up with my high school
[11:26] basketball coach who's had huge
[11:28] influence on my life just when it comes
[11:30] to leadership and work ethic. And uh he
[11:33] had a line that I'll never forget. And
[11:34] he was like um the type of leader that
[11:39] uh being a coach and a leader of men
[11:41] requires of you in basketball is when
[11:44] the team wins, it's credit to the
[11:47] players. And when the team loses, it's
[11:49] the fault of the coach. And that's a
[11:53] leader. And that's how I've really led
[11:56] as a CEO is like when things go well,
[12:00] you know, the amount of support you guys
[12:02] gave me and that shareholders and the
[12:05] Bitcoin community and investors to 21.
[12:08] But at the end of the day, like if it
[12:09] didn't work, it's my fault and it's
[12:11] leadership and I own that. So anyway,
[12:15] what changed? Why did I step down? Well,
[12:18] it's really simple, guys. the company's
[12:20] path and the path that I believed I was
[12:23] building and that I co-founded weren't
[12:26] the same anymore. Simple as that. Now,
[12:29] you ask yourself, how is that possible?
[12:31] Well, something else that you guys
[12:32] should know is that I never had
[12:36] governing control over 21, which if you
[12:39] want to draw a comparison is not true at
[12:41] strike. Strike is mine. I control every
[12:46] piece of it. There is no way I can get
[12:49] outvoted at strike. There is no one that
[12:52] can tell me what to do at strike. I call
[12:55] the shots. That is my ship to drive. I
[12:58] am the captain of that ship. You know
[12:59] how Bitcoin is decentralized and no one
[13:01] controls it. Well, that's not true at
[13:02] strike. I control it. And you know, some
[13:06] people love that, some people hate that.
[13:08] It doesn't matter. That's the way it is.
[13:09] Now, at 21, that was the furthest thing
[13:12] from the truth. I had no governing say.
[13:16] And that's not necessarily a bad thing.
[13:18] You know, different companies operate in
[13:20] different ways. Uh 21 ultimately was
[13:22] governed by the board and the board used
[13:26] to be made up of SoftBank, Tether and
[13:28] myself. And then obviously SoftBank
[13:30] departed from the business and the board
[13:32] was made up primarily of Tether. But the
[13:35] point is that the board ultimately has
[13:38] always and until that changes will
[13:42] always determine the future of 21. And
[13:45] so if you were to say, well, how is it
[13:47] possible that a co-founder and the CEO
[13:50] didn't align with where the company was
[13:52] going? It's pretty simple. That's how uh
[13:56] the board grew to have different
[13:58] opinions and vision than I did. Um,
[14:02] which I put here, but you know,
[14:04] sometimes my font is too small for you
[14:06] guys, especially on mobile, so I want to
[14:08] read it. That doesn't mean that there
[14:10] was a fight where people were throwing
[14:12] things at each other and screaming at
[14:13] each other. And that doesn't make
[14:15] anybody the villain. I think
[14:19] there was just a very fundamental
[14:20] difference in strategy. So that doesn't
[14:22] that doesn't mean that it I don't have
[14:26] to sit with this blame and I 100% own
[14:29] the fact that I couldn't get to the
[14:31] board to see and support my vision and
[14:35] that a lot of the market trusted me and
[14:37] trusted in me to be the CEO of this
[14:39] thing and I couldn't get the board to
[14:41] follow through on the vision that we had
[14:43] been communicating publicly like I own
[14:45] that 100%. But that's what happened.
[14:48] That's what happened. And obviously I
[14:49] will talk about that to the extent in
[14:51] which I can. I obviously can talk about
[14:53] my vision and and what I wanted to do.
[14:56] Um but I also need to respect my friends
[14:58] that are still running that business.
[15:00] And now that I'm not employed and not
[15:02] working on it, I'm the last person that
[15:04] needs to be talking about what they're
[15:05] going to do or what they should do. That
[15:07] would be the most like the mo the most
[15:11] small man childish thing I could do. um
[15:14] that they still I mean they have
[15:16] everything they need to be incredibly
[15:18] successful. Worldclass backing,
[15:20] unbelievable entrepreneurs sitting on
[15:22] the board. Paulo I mean uh Junk Carlo is
[15:25] not on the board but I mean the amount
[15:27] of people involved in that company the
[15:29] backing that they have the second
[15:30] biggest treasury I mean the world is
[15:32] their oyster. Unfortunately it just
[15:34] became clear to me that the right thing
[15:35] to do was for me not to lead the thing
[15:39] that um diverged from you know what I
[15:42] was there to build. Pretty simple. as
[15:43] much as painful it is as it is. Um I I I
[15:47] wholeheartedly think that was the right
[15:48] thing to do. Um so yeah anyway I I just
[15:52] I could not honestly lead and represent
[15:53] a strategy that I didn't believe in. So
[15:56] I stepped aside. I think and listen
[16:00] again I own all of it. Like all of the
[16:03] anger and the frustration and the
[16:05] emotion directed at me is not
[16:08] misdirected. I own all of that and I
[16:11] hear all of it. Um it's real. I mean, I
[16:14] tried a thing and it didn't work. That's
[16:16] just a fact. But with that being said,
[16:19] on something my dad instilled in me
[16:21] since I was a child was the difference
[16:24] between a good man and a great man is
[16:28] the ability to do what's right no matter
[16:30] how hard it is. Because what is right,
[16:34] you almost always know what is right in
[16:37] your heart. You know, like you know in
[16:40] your heart you should not be eating
[16:43] pints of ice cream for dinner. You
[16:45] should get your nutrients in. You know,
[16:47] you should, you know, dieting is it's
[16:50] not hard to know what the right diet is.
[16:54] It's hard to actually stick to it. It's
[16:58] not hard like what's what's better for
[17:00] you to just lounge on the couch or go to
[17:01] the gym? It's not that some people don't
[17:04] know the answer to that. Everybody in
[17:06] their heart knows the answer. But the
[17:09] difference between a great person and a
[17:12] person is the ability to commit to
[17:15] what's right no matter the difficulty.
[17:18] And and for me, this was another one of
[17:20] those instances is obviously um I I
[17:24] could have probably pursued an
[17:26] acquisition of strike and gone and said
[17:28] whatever the p the path the board wants
[17:31] and the path that I was here to build
[17:32] doesn't align, but whatever. you know,
[17:34] my paychecks are clearing and what do I
[17:36] care? I'm happy to just get on Bloomberg
[17:38] every now and then and and and push the
[17:40] stock. But I knew I knew that that
[17:42] wasn't right. I knew it. Um and and I
[17:45] knew in my heart in the same way that
[17:47] you know that a steak is better than ice
[17:49] cream, going to the gym is better than
[17:51] lounging on the couch. You know, in your
[17:53] heart. Um but it's hard. It's hard. And
[17:56] uh you know, I I try as a person, pass
[17:59] or fail. Um, you know, I'm not saying
[18:02] I'm the greatest performer or achiever
[18:04] of all time, right? Um, but I I try and
[18:07] hold myself accountable to being the
[18:09] most honorable, transparent person. And
[18:12] I knew in my heart what was right. It
[18:13] was right. It was right for the company.
[18:15] The future of the company needs to be
[18:17] led by someone that believes in that
[18:19] mission and that's aligned with the
[18:21] board. Period. That means it's also
[18:23] right for shareholders,
[18:25] right? That is also what's right for
[18:27] investors. And then on top of that, it's
[18:29] also what's right for Bitcoin, Strike,
[18:32] and myself to be pouring my blood, my
[18:35] sweat, my tears, and my energy into uh
[18:38] what I unequivocally can spend the rest
[18:41] of my life doing. And and I I took out I
[18:46] mean a lot of you had sent emails to me
[18:48] and DMs and text messages of just like
[18:52] really trying to challenge what my true
[18:54] calling was and did I need to be in the
[18:57] public markets and did I need to be
[18:59] building big treasuries in the capital
[19:01] markets. Um and and I think you guys
[19:04] were right at the end of the day. Um I'm
[19:06] a I'm a professional orange pillar and I
[19:09] I don't know how big Strike can be. I
[19:12] think Strike's becoming one of the
[19:14] important more important Bitcoin
[19:15] companies in the space for Bitcoiners,
[19:17] but I don't know how big of a company
[19:19] we'll be and if we'll ever achieve these
[19:22] massively great things and yada yada and
[19:24] this and that. Um, but it's mine and
[19:27] it's ours as this kind of uh corner of
[19:30] Bitcoin that that we all believe in and
[19:33] support and spend time and energy on.
[19:36] and just, you know, having you guys come
[19:38] up to me and say, "You're the person
[19:39] that truly truly got me to understand
[19:41] Bitcoin," or, "You give me a lot of
[19:43] hope." Or, "The fact that you control
[19:45] Strike um and you build tools for
[19:47] Bitcoiners means a lot to me and has
[19:49] changed my life." Like, those are the
[19:50] things that uh that um I I felt much
[19:56] more I felt much stronger about that
[19:59] life uh than I did the other one. So
[20:05] anyway, uh, repeating what I said, I own
[20:07] it. Um, I was a CEO. I gave you guys
[20:10] kind of the the analogy and the backdrop
[20:12] from what I learned when I was 18
[20:14] playing basketball. The buck stops here.
[20:16] Um, I didn't achieve what I wanted to
[20:18] achieve. There's just there's no more
[20:20] story to it. Uh, I own it. I do not, you
[20:23] know, it's it's tough because I want to
[20:25] be able to engage with you guys in Q&A.
[20:27] I want to be able to set the record
[20:28] straight, but I don't want that to be
[20:30] perceived as me asking for sympathy or
[20:32] you guys accepting. That's not, just to
[20:35] be very, very clear, that is not what
[20:37] I'm doing. I'm not asking for a, oh, now
[20:40] I understand why you did it. Okay, never
[20:42] mind. I get it. That's not it. I own it.
[20:45] I helped create expectations and we
[20:48] didn't finish what I said we would.
[20:50] Period. And here's the other thing,
[20:53] looking back, would I do anything
[20:55] different? And the answer is yeah,
[20:57] absolutely. Of course, that means I I
[21:00] didn't make poor decisions on purpose.
[21:02] But, you know, that's always for me in
[21:04] my opinion a judgment of if you made
[21:08] mistakes and if you can learn from those
[21:09] mistakes because obviously if there's
[21:11] nothing you would have done differently
[21:12] and whatever the ball didn't bounce your
[21:14] way, luck didn't didn't align with you
[21:16] that one time, well, there's only so
[21:18] much you can do. And and I do think that
[21:21] people sometimes spend too much energy
[21:24] on the past and dwelling and getting
[21:26] depressed and sorrow and you know
[21:28] there's so much life in front of you and
[21:30] the life behind you you can't do
[21:31] anything about. So I don't want you know
[21:34] typically in my life I don't want to get
[21:35] caught up on things I can't control. But
[21:38] in this instance I absolutely could
[21:40] control it. I was the CEO. There's
[21:42] things I would have done differently. I
[21:43] created expectations and we didn't hit
[21:44] them. Period. Point blank. Period.
[21:47] That's it.
[21:49] people trusted me and in many respects I
[21:52] feel like I let them down and I feel
[21:54] that and I own that.
[21:56] Now with that being said the company
[21:58] still goes on. You know what's
[21:59] interesting is like that this isn't like
[22:01] it's not like the company dissolves of
[22:02] itself and the Bitcoin we said we had we
[22:04] didn't have. I mean we have proof of
[22:05] reserves second largest treasury in the
[22:07] world. So I I also have to be careful in
[22:09] that my chapter of the story is over and
[22:12] I wish I was able to achieve what I
[22:14] wanted to achieve while I was there. But
[22:18] I mean, if the board goes on to build a
[22:21] massive Bitcoin company with cash flows
[22:23] and unbelievable product lines and they
[22:25] already have public markets access and a
[22:28] huge treasury, I mean, the best days of
[22:31] the company are surely in front of it.
[22:32] So, you have to you have to be clear
[22:34] about that as well. Um, so it's not my
[22:38] my story with 21 is over, but the 21
[22:42] story isn't over. Um, so anyway, uh,
[22:46] these two things I believe to be true.
[22:48] We built something real at the company.
[22:50] Um, and we didn't I didn't I didn't
[22:52] complete the full vision that I set out
[22:55] to do. So, I don't think either of those
[22:57] truths cancel out the other. Um, we did
[23:00] build the second largest treasury. I
[23:02] mean, there are many people that tried
[23:04] to take a company public, tried to do
[23:06] what we did, and they couldn't do it.
[23:09] And we did it, and it was hard. But I
[23:12] mean I would say on net if you were to
[23:15] tell me when I started 21 that this is
[23:19] how my time there would end and you
[23:22] would have told me what I did accomplish
[23:23] and what I didn't I would have said no
[23:26] way. Um I I wouldn't take that. So
[23:30] that's uh the unfortunate reality that I
[23:32] own. Um now what does this mean for
[23:35] Strike and myself? Uh just to be
[23:37] abundantly clear, Strike has always been
[23:40] independent, remains independent. Uh
[23:42] we're not selling anybody. Uh in case
[23:45] that's not clear, Strike is mine. I own
[23:48] that business. I run that business. I
[23:50] continue to run that business. I I
[23:52] tweeted out the letter I sent to
[23:54] shareholders or to Strike investors
[23:56] because um you know, Strike has no
[24:00] direct relationship to 21 outside of me.
[24:03] strike. I mean, we're sitting on over a
[24:05] hundred million dollars worth of
[24:06] Bitcoin. It's a it's a five-year-old
[24:08] startup, mind you, uh of of a of a team
[24:12] that, you know, I think is around a
[24:13] hundred people at this point. So, and
[24:16] we're 50% off the Bitcoin highs. I think
[24:18] at one point we had a quarter billion
[24:19] dollars on our balance sheet. So, I
[24:21] mean, Strike is sitting on Warchester
[24:22] Capital. Um, despite this bare market
[24:24] that's been ruthless to other peers in
[24:27] the space, Strike remains profitable,
[24:30] growing year-over-year. Uh, I mean,
[24:33] unbelievably proud of the team, of the
[24:36] culture, of the products, of the focus.
[24:38] Uh, we are kicking ass and like I said,
[24:42] like listen, is Strike going to be on
[24:43] the cover of every magazine and, uh, is
[24:46] Strike going to be documentaries made
[24:48] about it? I don't know. I think that we
[24:51] could be one of the coolest companies
[24:52] ever. Um, but I guess my point is I
[24:55] don't need that. I don't need that. Uh,
[24:57] I love building tools for Bitcoiners and
[25:00] as I'll get into a second, I love Orange
[25:01] Pilling. Strike is an unbelievable
[25:04] business. I believe in products, cash
[25:07] flow, profits. Yeah, our Bitcoin
[25:09] treasury is not 43,000 Bitcoin. I'm okay
[25:12] with that. I'm okay with that. You know
[25:14] what I mean? The Bitcoin treasury is
[25:16] ours and we produce it with cash flow
[25:18] and we're proud of that. Uh, so uh yeah,
[25:22] that strike is I'm pouring my blood,
[25:25] sweat, and tears. not that I wasn't
[25:26] before into Strike. Um I mean
[25:28] considering how young Strike is and the
[25:30] future that it has and the leadership
[25:32] team and how young we are. I mean I
[25:34] think Strike can grow over the decades.
[25:36] We think in decades into you know a
[25:39] Bitcoin financial institution that's
[25:40] that's gone a long way into pushing
[25:42] adoption around the world too for what
[25:45] it's worth. I mean there's not many
[25:46] companies that can say they distribute
[25:48] products globally on this new asset
[25:50] class and we do. Uh and then one more
[25:53] thing guys. So, as I reflected on all of
[25:55] this stuff, and again, I encourage you
[25:57] to take the time, and if you're
[25:58] interested, read the essay I put out,
[26:01] um, I I recorded an audio version and a
[26:03] video version for those of you that like
[26:05] walking around and listening to books or
[26:08] podcasts. Uh, I uploaded it to this
[26:11] YouTube channel and to the podcast feed.
[26:14] Um, but I do a lot of deep reflection on
[26:16] bare markets and uh tough lessons and
[26:19] you know what punishments are not gifts
[26:21] uh what hard times um are not things
[26:23] that you're ultimately grateful for in
[26:25] your future. Uh and so there's a lot
[26:27] more deeper philosophical waxing in
[26:29] those. Uh, but one thing that I didn't
[26:32] mention yet that I do want to is this
[26:34] idea of Bitcoin adoption because, you
[26:37] know, I spent a lot of time thinking
[26:39] about, you know, how can I help the
[26:43] most? Where can I be the most valuable?
[26:45] And I did, you know, a lot of you guys
[26:46] DM me and write me emails and stuff and
[26:48] I read every single one. And one of the
[26:51] things that uh I found interesting is
[26:53] there's this, you know, cliche that you
[26:55] see people say of like, oh well, Bitcoin
[26:56] adoption, you know, is only like one to
[26:59] two to 3% of the world globally. We're
[27:01] so early. And I sat with that and I
[27:05] tried to do the math and I think that's
[27:07] [ __ ] There's no way Bitcoin
[27:09] adoption is 1% of planet Earth. And if I
[27:13] mean, if you do the math, I think it's
[27:15] it's non-debatable. There's 8 billion
[27:18] people on the planet, right? Roughly. I
[27:19] don't know. Call it 8 billion. 1% of
[27:21] that's 80 million. You think 80 million
[27:24] people understand Bitcoin? Because I to
[27:28] me like adoption of like, oh well, they
[27:30] have some proxied exposure. You they
[27:32] have a 401k that has exposure to that.
[27:35] No, that's not adoption.
[27:38] At least not to me.
[27:42] You know what I mean? Like I like I
[27:44] don't know if your dad or your mom or
[27:46] your best friend or your wife was like,
[27:50] "Yeah, I I have proxied exposure through
[27:52] this this this and I guess like.7% of my
[27:55] 401k is like technically exposed through
[27:58] a securities rapper." Would you say
[28:01] like, "Okay, cool. You get it. You're
[28:03] adopted." [ __ ] no. I wouldn't like
[28:06] that's not even a question. It's not
[28:08] even like the fact that some people
[28:10] believe that to me is asinon.
[28:14] I I don't know. It depends on what you
[28:15] want Bitcoin to be and it's Bitcoin's
[28:17] not for me to define. It's not mine.
[28:20] But that's not adoption.
[28:22] And so I sat and I thought I said,
[28:25] "Okay, well, you know, first of all, it
[28:27] goes to show how early we really are."
[28:29] Because if we're not at 1% Bitcoin
[28:31] adoption, at least how I think of
[28:33] Bitcoin, where like you at least
[28:35] remotely understand it. And whether you
[28:37] want to know own an ETF or a security or
[28:39] spot, whatever, but at least you like
[28:41] understand it. You get how it works, you
[28:42] get why it's important. Like 80 million
[28:45] people are at that level, guys. We
[28:48] aren't even close to that number. In
[28:50] fact, I don't think 8 million people
[28:53] have like a vague understanding of
[28:55] Bitcoin. We might not even be at
[28:57] 800,000. I don't even know if we've
[29:00] achieved a basis point of Bitcoin
[29:02] adoption, at least a level of adoption
[29:04] that the folks listening to me right now
[29:07] and I have, like not even close. And so
[29:10] I thought to myself, I said, you know
[29:12] what,
[29:13] of all the like how is the world because
[29:16] inevitably the world will get to 1%. 80
[29:19] million people, 8 million people, and
[29:21] then 800 million people, and then 8
[29:24] billion people will understand Bitcoin
[29:27] at some point. And it's going to take
[29:30] time, and it's going to be hard. But I
[29:32] thought to myself and I said, you know,
[29:34] who's going to do that work?
[29:38] It's a I I don't know. To me, it's a
[29:40] good question.
[29:42] Like, is Coinbase going to do it? Is the
[29:44] US government going to do it?
[29:48] is Chase Bank going to do it?
[29:52] And I don't know, I you know, because I
[29:53] was thinking to myself like, okay,
[29:55] obviously, you know, Strike, we have so
[29:57] much to do, but I was like, yeah, man.
[30:00] Um, you know, I still have so much
[30:02] ambition and and uh conviction in in
[30:04] this thing. And just because, you know,
[30:08] I didn't believe I was the right CEO for
[30:10] 21,
[30:13] I still like really really want to
[30:16] contribute to orange pilling. So, the
[30:19] other thing I'm going to be doing is
[30:20] focusing on that. Uh, so this YouTube
[30:24] channel, for example, we're I'm going to
[30:26] start bringing on a lot more guests. Um,
[30:29] I'm hitting the podcast waves more. I
[30:32] got uh I'm doing what now that I'm not a
[30:34] public company CEO. I could say what I
[30:37] want. I could talk when I want. I mean
[30:40] uh it's amazing. Uh and so in that
[30:43] respect. So I go on a podcast tomorrow,
[30:46] another one on Wednesday. Uh I'm going
[30:48] to produce more content on here. A lot
[30:50] more educational content. Um like what
[30:52] is money? Um how does Bitcoin work? I
[30:56] mean I don't know who's going to produce
[30:57] this stuff. And I I kind of sat with
[30:59] myself and I thought, well, why not me?
[31:01] And I don't know, maybe people will love
[31:02] it, maybe people won't. Um, but I think
[31:05] it's I think it's work worth doing. And
[31:07] again, this isn't like the sexiest work.
[31:09] Like, you know, I I don't think I'm
[31:11] going to be stacking 20,000 Bitcoin a
[31:13] week um doing this work. Um, but I don't
[31:17] care. I don't care. I really don't. I,
[31:21] you know, so much of Bitcoin is that ego
[31:24] death thing. Um, I don't that that stuff
[31:28] don't matter to me.
[31:31] So you guys can expect that from me.
[31:34] I'll I'll get your uh feedback a bit
[31:36] later into uh the show. But anyh who, um
[31:40] that's the section. So for those that
[31:41] hadn't heard the news, now you know. Uh
[31:44] unfortunate obviously what we set out to
[31:47] start and where the company's going is
[31:48] no longer the same. Um so I need to step
[31:50] down and I did. Uh it's the right thing.
[31:53] Hard thing but the right thing. um that
[31:55] doesn't take away from the fact that the
[31:58] outcome of my endeavors with the company
[32:02] didn't match the vision and the
[32:03] expectations I set and I own that 100%
[32:05] and um I apologize for that. Uh
[32:08] certainly not the story and the ending
[32:11] to this movie that I wanted in regards
[32:13] to 21. But it's the right thing to do.
[32:14] It's best for the company, its
[32:15] shareholders, for me, for Strike, for
[32:17] Bitcoin. Uh and so then what does it
[32:19] mean for the future? Well, I mean, let's
[32:23] [ __ ] build tools for Bitcoiners,
[32:25] build cash flow. I want to build the
[32:27] company that, you know, I have a very
[32:30] particular vision for what a Bitcoin
[32:32] company should look like, how it should
[32:33] behave, what it should be working on.
[32:35] And that's strike for me. And I also now
[32:38] have a lot more time and focus to orange
[32:41] pill and like really build uh a voice
[32:44] and a platform and content uh for
[32:48] Bitcoin adoption in the way that I think
[32:50] uh it matters. So, you know, Bitcoin is
[32:53] this Bitcoin is this open open thing.
[32:56] It's like a public utility. It's like a
[32:57] it's like a park down the street. You
[32:59] know, if I were to walk to the park to
[33:01] sit and read a book and, you know, a dad
[33:06] and his son come play catch, who's
[33:08] right? Is the park for catch? Or is the
[33:11] park for reading? Well, no one's right.
[33:13] It's it's a public utility. It's for
[33:15] whatever the [ __ ] you want. Some people
[33:17] are going to use the park to walk their
[33:18] dog. Some people are use the park for a
[33:20] picnic. Some are going to read a book.
[33:21] Some are going to play catch. Everyone's
[33:23] wrong and everyone's right. So, it
[33:26] doesn't invalidate everyone else's
[33:27] vision for a Bitcoin company. it doesn't
[33:29] invalidate everyone else's perception of
[33:31] what Bitcoin is, but what Strike is and
[33:34] what I am will be mine and I'm going to
[33:37] do it my way. And I'm very excited about
[33:40] that. And as painful as um some of this
[33:43] has been, uh like I write in my essay,
[33:45] uh what punishments are not gifts,
[33:48] I'm very grateful for acquiring lessons
[33:52] as cheap as I am. Um because I'm
[33:55] learning a lot about what it means to be
[33:57] a leader, what it means to be uh a great
[34:00] man, a friend, a colleague, a Bitcoiner.
[34:04] Um and uh listen, 21 is still a business
[34:08] that has a ton of Bitcoin and is set up
[34:10] to be successful. Strike is an
[34:12] unbelievable company that despite
[34:14] anything thrown at its way, it seems to
[34:15] just get stronger, get more profitable,
[34:18] grow bigger. Opportunities seem to be
[34:21] everywhere. I mean, for all all of the
[34:25] humbling and all of the pain, um, we're
[34:28] still here. And so, I'm very grateful
[34:31] for an ability to learn, as hard as it's
[34:34] been. And, uh, march on.
[34:37] March on. I think 99%
[34:41] of success is just showing up.
[34:46] I do, you know, at the margins, you'll
[34:49] have to make decisions of like, oh, you
[34:51] know, do we build this product or that
[34:53] product or do you price it this way or
[34:55] that way? And I'm not trying to
[34:56] invalidate that work, but I'm telling
[34:58] you guys, most of the work, like, like I
[35:01] say, markets try and wear you out or
[35:03] scare you out, right? It's just don't
[35:05] quit. Just show up. Just do the work.
[35:09] Take the lessons to the chin. Humble
[35:11] yourself. Own it. Be a man. Be
[35:14] transparent. be honest and show up.
[35:20] So, that's what I'll be doing. Okay.
[35:23] Now, for uh the listeners to this show
[35:26] that don't give a [ __ ] about any of
[35:28] that, I apologize. Um let's do market
[35:31] updates. So, uh we have a big week
[35:35] because the Fed has an opportunity to
[35:38] change interest rates. And I I just want
[35:40] to say something here. Um, you know,
[35:46] I've said there's no way wars hikes
[35:48] rates. That would be impossible. He'd
[35:50] have to be an idiot. And
[35:53] feedback for my own self, I got to be a
[35:55] little careful with such declarative
[35:57] statements like that because inevitably
[35:59] when he does raise rates, then
[36:01] everyone's going to be like, "Wow, I
[36:02] listen to your show. You're you're an
[36:03] idiot." So, let me just rephrase uh
[36:07] things quickly. I really don't think he
[36:10] should. I think it's a very bad idea
[36:12] mathematically. It cannot work. But that
[36:16] doesn't mean that he won't. I have to be
[36:19] honest about that because I mean we're
[36:21] dealing in a world of politics and I
[36:23] mean this is all Ponzi nomics. It's a
[36:26] woozy. It's a wazy. It's fairy dust,
[36:28] right? Wolf of Wall Street. And so I
[36:31] don't know, you know, the the politics
[36:33] and being in the war room and what's
[36:34] going on with Iran and AI companies and
[36:36] China. And so I can't make such
[36:38] declarative statements. So, I just got
[36:39] to be clear on that. Now, I I will walk
[36:41] you guys through once again why it just
[36:44] isn't an option for the long term, but
[36:46] it doesn't mean that he won't. And so,
[36:48] the market is effectively pricing this
[36:51] week as a tossup. So, Trump today was
[36:54] very vocal with the media. Um, so I got
[36:56] two screenshots here. Trump asked the
[36:57] Fed this week, costs are going down
[36:59] rapidly. Um,
[37:02] and then Trump again, rates should be
[37:04] lowered. So, Trump is sticking to his
[37:06] guns. He thinks he also had one I didn't
[37:08] put in here. He thinks the US should
[37:10] have the lowest interest rates in the
[37:11] world. So Trump wants aggressive rate
[37:13] cutting. He always has. Seemingly he
[37:16] sticks by that. Uh which is also fine
[37:18] but obviously is inflationary. Um and
[37:21] then this tweet from Fiju uh is really
[37:26] the visualization of what I was just
[37:30] describing is that it's kind of a
[37:31] tossup. The market is saying Worsh
[37:34] really might raise rates. like he really
[37:36] might do it. The way that he's talking
[37:38] and the way the market is pricing it in,
[37:40] it's a nonzero chance. Which is why I
[37:42] had to get on here and say I think it'd
[37:44] be a bad idea. He might pop the AI
[37:46] credit bubble. Uh he might cause a lot
[37:48] of irreversible harm to equities and to
[37:51] the bond market and that's when we're
[37:53] going to get like a big print bailout
[37:55] type of event. Um but he might do it
[37:58] because I don't again politicians I
[38:00] don't know. I mean it's the most
[38:01] irrational ridiculous chapter in human
[38:04] history arguably. I I can't predict
[38:06] these things. Um, and so this FU tweet
[38:09] reads, "Welcome to the new age. Rates
[38:11] being a tossup going into meetings is
[38:12] the new normal. Expect volatility." So
[38:15] that's really my market update is to
[38:17] expect volatility. Um, so this from the
[38:19] Wall Street Journal, how sky-high
[38:21] deficits threaten the bond market. And
[38:25] I mean, we've gone over this a million
[38:27] times. Luke Groman has gone over this a
[38:29] million time. Every macro analyst has
[38:31] gone over this a million times. the the
[38:34] slide on the left or the visual on the
[38:35] left is showing how the US Treasury has
[38:40] financed itself through bills as opposed
[38:43] to long duration. So, you know, when
[38:45] people say short duration, long
[38:46] duration, it's you're issuing these debt
[38:49] notes and you know what's the duration
[38:52] of the note? Like a 10-year US Treasury
[38:54] or a 30-year US Treasury. That's
[38:56] longterm. That's long duration, right?
[38:58] Versus a 3month bill. 3 month versus 10
[39:01] years. One is short, one is long. Now
[39:04] the US Treasury, so the US government
[39:06] has been financing itself on the short
[39:08] end, issuing bills short. And they're
[39:11] doing that because the long end doesn't
[39:13] have enough demand to sustain the amount
[39:16] of debt that the government needs to
[39:18] issue because of the deficits. So the
[39:20] government wants to spend $2 trillion a
[39:22] year that it doesn't have. Okay? It
[39:24] wants to run a $2 trillion deficit. They
[39:27] would issue 10 year 30 years if they
[39:30] could, but there's not enough demand for
[39:32] people willing to lend to the government
[39:34] over that duration. And so if there's a
[39:36] supply demand mismatch in the bond
[39:38] market, which we've talked about all the
[39:39] time, you know, remember bond math.
[39:41] Yields go up when the bond value goes
[39:44] down when right. So if they're pushing a
[39:47] lot of supply to the long end and
[39:49] there's not enough demand to meet it,
[39:50] then they're going to break the bond
[39:52] market. Yields are going to go to
[39:53] infinity. And so the way that they've
[39:55] been able to to subsidize the US
[39:59] government despite having really fragile
[40:02] uh treasury US treasuries market is by
[40:05] substituting the financing via bills.
[40:08] Okay. What are the consequences of that?
[40:11] Well, when you have to roll over all of
[40:13] the all of this short duration, I mean
[40:16] this is trillions of dollars. So on the
[40:19] right you can see privately held
[40:22] marketable US treasury debt maturing
[40:24] within one year is now over $8 trillion.
[40:29] And so the point is like the raising
[40:33] interest rates is like pouring gasoline
[40:35] onto a fire because who is the person
[40:39] most impacted by a higher cost of
[40:42] financing? Well, the US government
[40:44] itself.
[40:46] And so it's like it's like, you know,
[40:49] obviously we when you hear stories of
[40:51] like, oh well, you know, the Fed 50
[40:53] years ago was really aggressive with
[40:55] rates and got inflation under control.
[40:56] Yeah. But 50 years ago, debt to GDP
[40:59] wasn't 120 some odd percent. They didn't
[41:01] have $40 trillion of debt. They weren't
[41:03] doing most of the issuance via bills.
[41:06] Like it doesn't don't tell me what
[41:08] happened 50 years ago. It's a different
[41:10] world.
[41:12] We had taken goldbacked currency notes
[41:16] and we've now just printed them out of
[41:18] thin air running $2 trillion deficits
[41:21] going to wars we can't afford. I mean
[41:23] don't that's why raising rates is a
[41:27] joke. Now on top of that the AI industry
[41:31] continues to see stress and I have to
[41:35] just say it every single week because
[41:37] you can't ignore it at this point. The
[41:40] reason we have to care about the AI
[41:41] market is it is such a m it's become
[41:44] such a material part of the economy. If
[41:47] you take AI and tech out of economic
[41:50] data, we are in like a depression. In
[41:53] fact, because of this whole K-shaped
[41:54] economy thing, I mean, a lot of America,
[41:59] maybe the majority is in some form of
[42:01] recession depression and has been for
[42:02] quite some time. So AI needs to succeed
[42:07] and the well I don't I you know I have
[42:11] to divorce the US government's opinion
[42:13] from my personal opinion. That's not my
[42:14] personal opinion. I think it will
[42:16] succeed. I think it's very cool. But I
[42:19] if I'm not convinced that the these US
[42:22] AI companies are going to be successful.
[42:24] I have no idea how they're going to out
[42:25] compete China, which we'll get to in a
[42:26] second. But the point is the US
[42:28] government, the Trump administration,
[42:30] there's been no ifands or buts about it.
[42:33] AI is strategically important. It is a
[42:36] national security uh event. I if
[42:39] anything else, we must win the AI race.
[42:42] We must reshore America as part of this
[42:46] re-industrialization around AI, around
[42:49] uh energy production
[42:52] and and we must win with with like it is
[42:56] at all cost win. So we have to pay
[42:59] attention to AI because if AI starts to
[43:01] face issues, you're going to start to
[43:02] see stress in the market, stress in the
[43:04] market, you're getting to bailout
[43:06] territory. You're getting to like, okay,
[43:07] well, you know, do we let this whole,
[43:10] you know, US western civilization empire
[43:13] collapse? Uh, or do we print the money
[43:16] and sustain it? So what are we looking
[43:18] at here? This is credit credit risk
[43:21] across AI backers or AI finance years.
[43:25] So, something that you guys need to keep
[43:26] in mind, and I'll say it, I'll say it
[43:28] every single week if I have to. AI is
[43:30] not financed out of profitable cash
[43:32] flow. These guys are borrowing an insane
[43:35] amount of money. And the biggest
[43:37] borrowers are companies that don't
[43:39] produce profits. So, there is no path
[43:42] currently to pay that back. Now,
[43:44] obviously, you borrow money because you
[43:46] think your future will be worth more
[43:47] than your present. And so, if that's
[43:49] true and they're able to produce loads
[43:51] and loads and loads of profits, good for
[43:52] them. But that's why Chinese competition
[43:55] seems to be like a knife to the throat
[43:57] of these guys where they're like, "Ban
[43:59] that shit." Or, "I can't believe I'm
[44:01] seeing uh AI o open AI executive say
[44:05] open source is bad." I mean, you'd have
[44:07] to be some kind of [ __ ] up human with
[44:09] the moral compass backwards to say that
[44:12] open source is bad. But this is what
[44:14] these guys are saying. Why are they so
[44:16] threatened by China? Well, if China
[44:18] comes in and is even marginally
[44:20] competitive to their business, well, all
[44:22] of the profits that they were banking on
[44:24] somehow achieving in the future is
[44:27] severely threatened. Even if someone
[44:28] comes in and takes 20% 30% market share
[44:31] in some, that's enough to have made all
[44:33] of the financing decisions that they've
[44:35] already chosen a moot and totally
[44:38] worthless, right? So, who are they
[44:40] borrowing money from? Well, we haven't
[44:43] gotten to a point where the US
[44:45] government in combined in combination
[44:47] with the banks have been doing like
[44:49] large swasts of effectively
[44:51] governmentbacked financing, which is
[44:54] that highly inflationary pure money
[44:56] printing. That's when I, you know, my
[44:58] interpretation of of Bitcoin is it's
[45:00] calling out there's not enough liquidity
[45:02] to support all of this right now. There
[45:05] is a ton of malinvestment going on and
[45:07] there's a ton of people swimming naked.
[45:09] And so Bitcoin has pointed this out
[45:12] since the end of last year and it's been
[45:14] sitting here waiting for a resolution. I
[45:17] call it this fiat liquidity smoke alarm.
[45:19] I think Bitcoin is going to rip people's
[45:21] face off if and when the US government
[45:24] de facto backs all of this garbage and
[45:26] says whatever. Open AAI probably [ __ ]
[45:28] up and who knows if they're going to be
[45:30] a good company, but we they can't fail
[45:31] at this point. So whatever, screw it.
[45:33] Then Bitcoin, gold, all these things are
[45:35] going to rip. And the more time goes on
[45:37] and the more these questions are
[45:39] presented and the more trouble in pe uh
[45:41] people get in trouble and the more China
[45:43] presents like legitimate technology
[45:45] threats in the AI sector to the United
[45:46] States then the more like Bitcoin and
[45:49] other assets are going to chop around
[45:50] and fall. So who's lending the money
[45:52] today? Uh Oracle, Microsoft, Amazon,
[45:57] Meta. That's what we're looking at right
[45:59] here. So this is Oracle, Microsoft, Soft
[46:02] Bank, AMD, Meta, Amazon, uh, Coreweave.
[46:07] Okay, look at the credit risk across
[46:10] these businesses, which was, you know,
[46:12] virtually nothing in the middle of last
[46:15] year outside of Oracle, and now they're
[46:18] all right. Like this trend is real. Now,
[46:21] it's not saying that these businesses
[46:23] aren't creditworthy, but I think the
[46:25] point is that the market is starting to
[46:27] assess this as one giant correlated bet
[46:32] that is not certain any longer. Okay?
[46:36] Meaning, it's not as if like, oh, like
[46:38] some of this might work out, some not,
[46:41] and you know, oh, the the risk is
[46:43] isolated over it's like no, no, no. It's
[46:45] like if this doesn't work out, like the
[46:48] risk is spread across all of these
[46:50] lenders. Nobody is safe. There's
[46:52] concentrated risk, which again continues
[46:55] to imply that there's probably going to
[46:57] be a government back stop, government
[46:58] bailout. And then today, one of the only
[47:01] companies that seem to have a unique
[47:03] product that was cheap for them to
[47:05] produce relative to the cost they were
[47:07] able to sell it, cash flow out the
[47:09] wazoo, stock through the roof. Nvidia
[47:12] came out and said they're going to
[47:16] guarantee $250 billion in financing to
[47:20] Open AI. I've been calling out Open AI
[47:23] for a while now of like they are not
[47:26] profitable. The path to profitability is
[47:28] not within the next half decade. So I
[47:31] mean what like what model is reliable
[47:34] that's further than 5 years out for a
[47:36] company that's not even 5 years old? I
[47:38] mean what are we talking about? So, the
[47:40] details include uh guarantees from
[47:41] Nvidia to help OpenAI lease a 10 gawatt
[47:44] project that SoftBank is developing in
[47:46] Ohio. In total, the project could cost
[47:49] more than $500 billion. It's hard to say
[47:52] these numbers out loud. I mean, they're
[47:53] just so preposterous. Cost more than
[47:56] $500 billion. The largest data center
[47:58] project ever announced. The power for
[48:01] the project is controlled by the US
[48:02] government and funded separately by
[48:04] Japan under a recent trade deal.
[48:07] signpost. Commerce Secretary Lutnik is
[48:10] reportedly involved in deciding who will
[48:12] get the power. Interesting. Uh the data
[48:15] center buildout just hit a whole new
[48:17] level. Now, Nvidia
[48:20] I have on the left, don't forget is the
[48:22] largest waiting in the S&P 500 right
[48:24] now. Their credit risk jumped
[48:28] tremendously. It looks like it jumped 40
[48:31] basis points over a 100% just based on
[48:35] this announcement today and the stock
[48:37] got hammered. The whole stock market got
[48:39] hammered because of these decisions. Jim
[48:41] Chenos writes, "So we're at the point in
[48:43] the cycle where Nvidia has to provide
[48:45] financing guarantees for roughly 2/3 of
[48:48] the cost of the chips it is selling to
[48:50] the data center project." And then he
[48:52] follows up to that and says just so you
[48:54] have an idea of how immense that figure
[48:55] is. It represents 135% of Nvidia's total
[48:59] retained earnings. I mean these are
[49:03] gargantuan preposterous numbers. And
[49:06] what we're seeing is the financing of
[49:08] all of this keeps getting pushed further
[49:11] and further down the stack until you get
[49:12] to the US government. So now Nvidia is
[49:15] the lender of last resort.
[49:18] and and how long until they're deemed
[49:20] not creditworthy. And you know, I
[49:22] thought this tweet was spot on. The
[49:24] market doesn't reward circular financing
[49:26] and revenues roundtpping each other
[49:28] anymore. Time is up on this whole
[49:30] charade. That's kind of what I've been
[49:32] saying. And I'm not saying AI itself is
[49:34] a charade. I use AI every day. It's here
[49:36] to stay. I think it's an unbelievable
[49:38] innovation. And like I said, it's very
[49:40] in line with my worldview where I think
[49:42] the human story is commercializing
[49:45] energy from the sun. Bitcoin is energy
[49:48] money. We have commercialized energy
[49:50] into a market good that we can monetize.
[49:52] That's unbelievable invention. AI is
[49:56] commercializing energy and turning it
[49:57] into accessible cheap intelligence.
[50:00] That's an unbelievable invention. I
[50:02] mean, who knows where the world's going
[50:03] to be in a year, in 5 years, and 10
[50:05] years. However, is China going to be
[50:09] really competitive and just open source
[50:10] all of AI? Has there been malinvestment?
[50:13] Who's going to finance and pay for all
[50:15] of this? None of those questions have
[50:17] been answered. I think there's been tons
[50:19] of malinvestment. And when we're talking
[50:20] about, you know, on the order of
[50:23] trillions of dollars, guys, like if you
[50:25] thought the COVID print was big, all of
[50:28] the malinvestment that's gone into AI
[50:31] projects, did nobody think China was
[50:33] going to be competitive? I mean, it's
[50:34] mind-blowing assumptions and risk and
[50:38] decisions that have been made, which um
[50:41] I don't know how it's going to work out,
[50:42] but the point is SoftBank was down big
[50:44] today. Nvidia was down big today. The
[50:46] market is basically saying
[50:49] we can't make the math work and I also
[50:52] can't make the math work. And so we'll
[50:54] see. Inevitably, I think the Fed and the
[50:58] US Treasury, so the government and the
[51:00] Federal Reserve are going to have to
[51:01] decide
[51:04] who are we protecting?
[51:06] Are we who are we let me say it another
[51:08] way, who are we willing to let fail? Are
[51:11] you willing to let
[51:14] Oracle, Google, Meta, all these
[51:16] companies fail? Are you willing to let
[51:18] Open AI in anthropic fail? Are you
[51:22] willing to let China win the AI race?
[51:24] Are you willing to let these commercial
[51:26] banks that probably have dog [ __ ] loans
[51:30] riddled throughout their books fail? If
[51:33] not, all of this has to be papered over,
[51:36] which is fine. Bitcoin's going to the
[51:38] moon. Now, if you are, well, you know, I
[51:42] don't know how investable that little
[51:44] time that we'll have to live through
[51:45] will be because I mean, the world will
[51:47] fall apart. It will get built again, and
[51:50] I think it will use Bitcoin. Ultimately,
[51:52] Bitcoin's just the most competitive
[51:54] thing we have access to in regards to
[51:56] money. But, I mean, yeah, uh either way,
[52:01] Bitcoin will win. I think that they're
[52:03] going to paper this over, print their
[52:05] way through it, and uh Bitcoin is gonna
[52:08] sniff that liquidity out and be the
[52:10] greatest absorber of it because it's the
[52:11] scarcest thing, right? But I mean, guys,
[52:14] every single week this AI stuff just
[52:15] gets a little more interesting right
[52:17] now. All of a sudden, Nvidia's backing
[52:20] guaranteeing a quarter trillion dollar.
[52:23] And just so you guys know, the reason
[52:24] they're doing that is because Open AI is
[52:27] has lost like Open AI. No, no one's
[52:30] willing to lend to OpenAI. Let me say it
[52:32] that way. And I like I use their
[52:35] products. I think OpenAI is great in
[52:37] regards to the products I use. I'm I
[52:40] don't know anyone that works there. I'm
[52:42] not like talking [ __ ] but it's like,
[52:43] okay. Um, no bank was willing to lend to
[52:48] these people. So, they had to get Nvidia
[52:51] to backs stop it in order
[52:55] for them to get the backing to build
[52:57] this stuff.
[53:00] So we can continue to kind of like
[53:01] shuffle through larger and larger
[53:04] balance sheets, bigger and bigger
[53:05] lenders
[53:06] before no one's creditw worthy anymore.
[53:09] No one can get a loan because there is
[53:12] no ability to pay all of this back. And
[53:15] then you ask the US government like,
[53:16] okay, do you want, you know, the stock
[53:19] market and your banking system to fall
[53:21] apart or, you know, do we must win the
[53:24] AI race and you got to monetize your uh
[53:27] all of this debt and you print it. So,
[53:29] we'll see. But it seems that this whole
[53:32] AI credit bubble thing is racing towards
[53:37] some finish line. And that and that's
[53:38] another thing when I when I see the
[53:40] market pricing in Worsh like is they're
[53:43] saying, "Oh yeah, Worsh is definitely
[53:45] going to raise rates." It's like these
[53:49] guys borrowing all this money are going
[53:51] to go through a rate hike.
[53:53] Someone's going to blow up. I'm just I'm
[53:57] just calling a spade a spade. Somebody's
[53:59] going to blow up. Um so he might though.
[54:02] Worsh might. Hey, he's got to establish
[54:04] his independence. Trump is out on the
[54:06] airwaves saying cut, cut, cut. Worsh has
[54:08] to show that the Fed is independent.
[54:10] He's been clear on that. He's not here
[54:12] to bail anybody out. That those are
[54:14] exactly his words. The Fed's not here to
[54:16] bail anybody out. Okay, he can hike. I'm
[54:19] not saying he can't. I really don't
[54:21] think he should. Um but whatever. Um I I
[54:24] just wouldn't be surprised if someone
[54:25] blew up.
[54:28] I mean, mind you, that's what happened
[54:31] last time. They hiked rates a bunch.
[54:33] Silicon Valley Bank blew up.
[54:38] History doesn't repeat, but it rhymes.
[54:40] Okay. Uh let's check in on Bitcoin. At
[54:43] the end of the day, I consider this a
[54:45] Bitcoin show. Don't want to go a whole
[54:46] show without checking on Bitcoin. Um on
[54:48] the left, you see the COT data. Um so,
[54:52] uh
[54:54] still I mean still bearish looking. Um
[54:59] just looking at the shorts here. And on
[55:02] the right, I've got the ETF flows. So, I
[55:05] I mean, again, don't rely on me for
[55:08] predictions about the future. I'm not a
[55:10] genie. No one knows the future. Anyone
[55:11] that sells you on an idea that they know
[55:13] the future's full of [ __ ] Um
[55:16] I my base case is Bitcoin's going to
[55:19] continue to chop around. Is the bottom
[55:21] is the low end? Could be. Could not be.
[55:24] So, you know, I I know for a fact I'm
[55:27] not going to regret buying Bitcoin at
[55:29] these levels in 1 year, 2 year, 3 year,
[55:32] four year, 5 years. Uh I've got DCAs on
[55:36] uh I'm a buyer every single day. Strike
[55:38] produces cash every single day and we
[55:40] buy Bitcoin. So, um I feel good about
[55:46] the fact that the bare market's going to
[55:47] continue to try and wear people out,
[55:49] scare people out. Let's go through an
[55:50] example. Worsh raises rates, someone
[55:52] blows up, Bitcoin goes down 20%, stocks
[55:55] down 20%, and that's like the that's the
[55:58] level of pain where you would get
[56:00] central bank or US government
[56:02] intervention and bailouts. But like that
[56:05] would be a scare you out scenario where
[56:07] if Bitcoin went from, you know, 65k to
[56:10] 50k overnight or it hit the 40s, that's
[56:13] a scare you out. a wear you out is we're
[56:15] at the same price in November and it's
[56:18] just chop and chop and wear you down and
[56:21] it's grueling and as midterms approach
[56:24] we're going to learn more about how
[56:25] politicians are either trying to ban
[56:27] Bitcoin or using bit using shitcoins and
[56:30] memecoins to enrich themselves. So I
[56:32] expect more wear you out. I expect more
[56:34] scare you out. Um as I always say, earn
[56:37] more than you're spending. Uh try try
[56:41] and reduce your cost the best you can.
[56:42] try and be more valuable and and earn
[56:44] cash where you can. Turn on your DCA,
[56:47] stay patient, touch grass, lift weights,
[56:50] eat well. Um, take care of yourself. Uh,
[56:52] Bitcoin is a game of survival. Like I
[56:54] said earlier in the show, 90 some odd
[56:57] percent of achieving things. It's just
[56:59] showing up, just never quitting, just
[57:02] making sure that you're there tomorrow.
[57:04] So, don't take on too much risk. Don't
[57:05] blow yourself out. Don't think that, you
[57:07] know, you're going to solve your life's
[57:08] problems with one wick or one smash by.
[57:12] Um, you're not you're not um it's a it's
[57:15] a long duration game. Uh, and then I
[57:18] don't know, people ask me about the
[57:19] Clarity Act. I guess the Clarity Act
[57:21] odds are going lower and lower and lower
[57:23] like it's not going to pass. Again, if
[57:25] you're into crypto and whatever, I don't
[57:29] understand why as a Bitcoiner I care
[57:32] about this. Um, Bitcoin is fine. it. I'm
[57:37] sure there's like one or two things that
[57:38] would be nice like if we can protect
[57:41] Bitcoin developers or if we can protect
[57:43] self- custody. Sure. But largely, I
[57:45] mean, all of these things like the
[57:47] Genius Act or the Clarity Act, it's all
[57:50] a bunch of hot air garbage. What does
[57:52] this have to do with Bitcoin? Like
[57:53] Bitcoin is like the US government
[57:57] recognizes it not as a security because
[57:59] it's not uh it's taxed as property which
[58:02] I mean outside of no taxes at all is
[58:05] reasonable. Makes sense. Um and so I
[58:08] don't know why um I need a shitcoin
[58:12] bill. Why why do I need to care about a
[58:14] shitcoin bill? I certainly don't care
[58:16] about a shitcoin bill. So people will
[58:18] point, oh, Bitcoin's going to go down
[58:20] because the Clarity Act. I' I'd be happy
[58:22] with that. I'm happy to buy cheaper
[58:23] because people interpret a shitcoin bill
[58:25] as anything to do with Bitcoin. But in
[58:28] regards to like how I run Strike, the
[58:29] things I want to achieve in my career
[58:31] has nothing to do with the Clarity Act.
[58:33] Like literally, the Clarity Act could
[58:35] pass or not pass. And I would I wouldn't
[58:38] know unless someone told me the outcome.
[58:40] Like it's none of my life would change
[58:42] as a Bitcoiner, just to be clear. So I
[58:45] just expect I expect more more grind. Um
[58:48] okay. Uh, I wanted to leave room for Q&A
[58:52] today, so I skipped grind my gears.
[58:54] We'll get back to that at some point,
[58:55] but I I figured Q&A would be uh the most
[58:58] valuable section of today given the
[59:00] context. So, quickly from Strike. So,
[59:03] what we Oh, where's my animations? There
[59:06] they are. Uh, what we shipped this week.
[59:08] So, every single week we're producing
[59:10] products, enhancements, features for our
[59:12] customers, um, which we're obviously
[59:14] very proud of. I don't think anybody the
[59:17] velocity of uh product building um I I
[59:21] don't think anyone does it like we do.
[59:23] Um just being honest. So what we shipped
[59:26] last week uh Apple Pay and Google Pay in
[59:29] the United States, you can now buy
[59:30] Bitcoin. I think that this is the
[59:32] cleanest experience. Um one of the
[59:34] metrics that we follow closely is when a
[59:37] customer signs up and onboards to
[59:39] Strike, what's the quickest way we can
[59:40] get them to get in some sats? And
[59:42] sometimes there's a lot of friction in
[59:44] linking your [ __ ] bank account or
[59:45] needing to send a wire. So obviously if
[59:47] you're looking to buy a million dollars
[59:48] worth of Bitcoin, Apple Pay is probably
[59:50] not the way to go. But if you're just
[59:52] looking to get a friend on and say,
[59:53] "Hey, you know, double tap the side of
[59:55] your iPhone um and just get yourself 10
[59:57] bucks worth of SAS. We now support it."
[60:00] These are these are tiny features,
[60:01] right? But they're important. But
[60:03] they're important because if you
[60:04] compound every single week, which is
[60:06] building building things people care
[60:08] about, listening to customers, and then
[60:10] you take that and you do it for years,
[60:11] and you take those years, and you do it
[60:13] for decades, you're going to be able to
[60:15] change the world. Um, so the other one
[60:18] is uh German. So, Strike now speaks
[60:21] German, obviously, if you're in Germany.
[60:23] Uh, and what's really exciting about
[60:25] this is since we got Mika, we are now
[60:28] allowed to add different languages. We
[60:30] weren't allowed to add native languages
[60:32] to the app before we got our Mika
[60:34] license and registration. So now we do
[60:37] have MA. So we are allowed to add more
[60:39] languages. So Strike will get a lot more
[60:42] uh multilingual with time. We want to be
[60:44] a global financial institution because
[60:46] Bitcoin is global and uh that was part
[60:48] of my frustration uh and why I started
[60:51] Strike is nobody had built a global
[60:53] Bitcoin company just focused on doing
[60:55] Bitcoin stuff. So, uh, yeah, those is
[60:58] that's what we shipped, uh, the two main
[61:01] things last week. Um, again, my essay,
[61:04] so I'm going to try and highlight more
[61:05] content that I do, whether it's other
[61:07] podcasts I'm on or having guests on here
[61:10] or doing more educational uh, videos.
[61:14] Uh, I'm just going to try and orange
[61:16] pill like I'm taking it personally that
[61:19] not even 1% of the planet vaguely
[61:21] understands Bitcoin. Like, I think I can
[61:24] help. So, I'm going to try and highlight
[61:26] some of my stuff. So, last week I
[61:29] published an essay. It's called The Last
[61:31] Honest Market. This is definitely a more
[61:33] sophisticated piece. Um, definitely a
[61:35] more vulnerable and emotional piece. It
[61:37] is not for someone that doesn't really
[61:39] know Bitcoin. It's definitely for
[61:40] Bitcoiners, but if you haven't checked
[61:42] it out, check it out. If you are an
[61:44] audio or video listener as opposed to a
[61:47] reader, um, I did upload a version to my
[61:50] podcast feed and to this YouTube
[61:53] channel. Uh, one more thing really
[61:56] quick. Uh, strike is,
[62:00] uh, we are doing some really cool [ __ ]
[62:02] with AI, like really really cool [ __ ]
[62:05] And our CTO published a new blog, uh,
[62:10] about
[62:12] he calls it the strike software factory,
[62:14] AI agents as first class part of our
[62:17] team. But we're building insane features
[62:20] uh and insane things with AI. It's
[62:23] really really cool. Uh and check it out.
[62:27] Give it a read. Um if you're interested.
[62:30] Um but the reason we're one of the
[62:32] reasons we're able to ship so fast and
[62:35] do so much with not a ton of people, you
[62:38] know, remain profitable, all the things
[62:39] that I brag about is, you know, there
[62:42] there's a lot of reasons. culture,
[62:43] leadership, mission alignment, you know,
[62:46] not being spread between prediction
[62:48] markets and shitcoins and memecoins.
[62:50] That all obviously plays a very
[62:51] important part, but another is our
[62:54] technical capabilities and our technical
[62:55] prowess and how we're using AI. So, it's
[62:57] a very cool post. Um, I'd recommend you
[62:59] guys check it out if that interests you.
[63:02] And then last but not least before we
[63:04] get into Q&A is what's coming up next.
[63:07] So, on the strike side, some features
[63:09] you guys can look out for. We're
[63:10] launching beneficiaries. So you en
[63:12] ensure your assets, your Bitcoin goes
[63:14] directly to your loved ones. So that's
[63:16] coming to strike a new activity feed. So
[63:18] we've gotten a lot of requests that
[63:20] parsing through your history, being able
[63:23] to search, being able to download
[63:25] specific parts of your transaction
[63:28] history and do it your way. So we call
[63:30] it activity 3.0 internally. Um but we'll
[63:34] be rolling that out to customers. Our
[63:36] interest on cash. So um we are going to
[63:39] start internal testing hopefully this
[63:40] week. uh for our interest on cash which
[63:43] should start at 3.5% or or even higher
[63:47] and I think it'll get to hopefully over
[63:49] time like five six maybe even 7% and
[63:53] I've talked about how we would do that
[63:55] but there are rules about uh banking
[63:57] rules about offering you know certain
[64:00] amounts of interest but we're going to
[64:02] start at a pretty attractive number and
[64:04] that uh has an ability to be paid in
[64:07] bitcoin which is very exciting and then
[64:09] stacks is also this quarter stacks is
[64:12] creating subbalances inside of strike.
[64:14] Uh because people, this is one of the
[64:18] biggest requested features of I would
[64:20] like to create a sub balance or a sub
[64:22] account or a subwallet for my wife or
[64:25] for my children or for you know my kid
[64:27] by the time he turns 18 and organizing
[64:30] your Bitcoin balance or your asset
[64:32] balances within different sub accounts.
[64:34] That's also coming. So pretty exciting
[64:36] there. if you're not seeing, you know,
[64:38] your killer feature that you expect to
[64:40] be announced soon, um, and it's not in
[64:42] that list, let me know. And then for me,
[64:44] um, now that I'm not a public company
[64:46] officer, uh, as much as this outcome
[64:49] sucks, uh, I'm [ __ ] back. I am so
[64:52] excited. So, I'm hitting the podcast
[64:54] circuit, I'm orange pilling as much as I
[64:56] can. If you want me to come on your
[64:57] show, just DM me, DM Dylan. Uh, again,
[65:00] we got to orange pill the world. So, I'm
[65:03] hitting the podcast circuit. I'm going
[65:04] on a podcast tomorrow night. I'm going
[65:06] on another podcast Wednesday. Uh I'm
[65:09] going to bring more guests onto the
[65:10] show. So you guys let me know who you
[65:12] would like to see me interview. I will
[65:13] say this, I don't want to bring on all
[65:15] the same guests that go on all the
[65:17] Bitcoin podcast cuz this isn't my this
[65:20] isn't how I pay my bills. Um I, you
[65:23] know, Strike is a profitable business. I
[65:26] own a lot of equity in it. I pay my
[65:29] bills that way. Uh I want to have
[65:33] interesting conversations. I want to
[65:34] educate people. I want to continue to
[65:36] push this movement that we're all
[65:38] building together. And so I was kind of
[65:40] planning on bringing on guests that just
[65:41] interest me. And it might be the Luke
[65:43] Romans or the Lin Aldens and stuff if
[65:45] they're willing to come on. But it also
[65:47] might be Saquon Barkley. It also might
[65:50] be Diplo is a investor in Stripe that is
[65:53] a friend of mine. He's a DJ. I don't
[65:55] know how much we would end up talking
[65:56] about Bitcoin. It might be Jason Freed,
[65:58] which is a friend of mine about, you
[66:00] know, we have really tight alignment on
[66:02] how to build a company, being
[66:03] profitable, being small, being focused.
[66:05] So, you know, I kind of want to just
[66:07] talk to people that interest me. Um, and
[66:11] obviously what interests me is Bitcoin.
[66:13] So, there will be a strong Bitcoin lean.
[66:16] But, um, yeah, I don't know. I I I don't
[66:18] I don't feel necessary to like make
[66:20] another macro show with the same guest,
[66:23] but just like my voice asking questions.
[66:24] I I personally don't feel the need to
[66:27] create that and I assume you guys don't
[66:29] have like a deep desire for that either.
[66:31] But let me know who you would want to
[66:33] hear on the show or what conversations
[66:35] you think would be fun. Uh and then
[66:37] educational content. So what is money?
[66:40] What is Bitcoin? Um how does Bitcoin
[66:42] work? I think there's an opportunity to
[66:44] create long videos, short videos, um
[66:48] digestible content. Cuz like I said, you
[66:50] I was asking myself, damn, like
[66:52] basically nobody on planet Earth totally
[66:55] understands this Bitcoin thing or even
[66:57] remotely understands it. Who's going to
[66:59] like spend the time and do the work to
[67:01] educate them and not educate them on
[67:03] like, you know, digital credit or, you
[67:06] know, not that those things are bad, but
[67:08] like what is money?
[67:11] Like why was Bitcoin invented? You know,
[67:14] [ __ ] like that. Who's going to do that?
[67:16] Coinbase hasn't been doing it. You know
[67:17] what I mean? Um, I'm going to give it a
[67:20] try.
[67:21] Uh, okay. Let's do questions. Let me
[67:24] pull up Dylan's document and, uh,
[67:29] try and answer as many as I can.
[67:47] Okay.
[67:49] Uh, all right. We're starting out with
[67:51] macro questions. Uh, "Hey Jack, China is
[67:54] stacking gold faster than ever, so why
[67:57] not have the US sell its gold and buy
[67:59] Bitcoin? It sinks gold and pumps Bitcoin
[68:02] demand, switching reserves." Um,
[68:08] yeah, I I guess it's possible. I I'm a
[68:11] little bit dubious of like dumping all
[68:14] of our gold uh to stack Bitcoin. I mean,
[68:18] the the practical answer to that
[68:20] question
[68:22] um is fairly nuanced, right? Like the US
[68:26] owns far more gold than the Bitcoin has
[68:30] in market cap. So, how do you do that
[68:33] without, you know, buying the top of
[68:36] this asset class? like, you know, um
[68:39] like I said, Bitcoin's skeletal frame is
[68:42] just still not wide enough and tall
[68:44] enough to support
[68:47] uh sovereign liquidity. Um and so
[68:51] h how you would practically pull that
[68:53] off would be challenging.
[68:56] Um but I get the point. The point is
[69:00] well taken. Why doesn't the US if what
[69:02] we want to be like the US prides itself
[69:04] on being a tech leader? I think that's
[69:06] the most frightening thing about China's
[69:08] ability to compete in AI is that it's
[69:11] starting to question like are we the de
[69:13] facto king of technology? Um, and even
[69:16] if we are, but like has the margins in
[69:19] our lead drastically shrunk over the
[69:22] recent decades? Uh, so if we are
[69:25] America's about technology and freedom
[69:28] and open source and stuff, then like
[69:30] first of all, all these high-flying
[69:31] execs can't talk [ __ ] about open source.
[69:33] Uh but then yeah, we should lean into
[69:35] Bitcoin 100%. So I get I I don't think
[69:38] uh in theory that thesis is wrong, but I
[69:41] think in practice
[69:43] it would be incredibly challenging to
[69:46] just like you can't just log into
[69:48] Coinbase, dump all the gold, and buy a
[69:50] bunch of Bitcoin and like aha China
[69:52] checkmate. Um unfortunately, I don't
[69:55] think it I don't think we could do that.
[69:58] Um and there's, you know, in the same
[70:00] way that the dollar has lots of network
[70:01] effects, so does gold, right? like all
[70:03] the central banks around the world don't
[70:05] own Bitcoin, they own gold. And so it's
[70:08] like, well, what do you own the Bitcoin
[70:10] for? To trade. Trade with who? Um, none
[70:13] of them have nodes running, right? So
[70:16] So, you know, I I think it will take a
[70:19] bit longer um than we would hope, but I
[70:23] your your point is well taken. Um, and I
[70:26] get it and it's awesome. Uh so uh so
[70:31] yeah any
[70:33] um as more miners transition to AI/HPC
[70:36] workloads with compute often locked up
[70:38] for 5 to 10 years for AI what do you
[70:41] forecast for the Bitcoin hash price?
[70:45] Uh that's a good question. I don't know.
[70:47] Um obviously you listen Bitcoin mining
[70:51] is so cutthroat as a business. It is not
[70:55] a business that is going to have high
[70:58] margin. And even if you do experience
[71:00] high margin in some interim period, I
[71:03] don't know if high margins are very
[71:05] sustainable in that industry. Um, you
[71:08] know, it you're you're effectively
[71:09] saying like
[71:11] it's an open bid for
[71:15] energy in the world. Whoever can amass
[71:19] the cheapest energy source on planet
[71:22] Earth, that's incred that it doesn't get
[71:26] more competitive than that because
[71:28] energy is the currency of the universe.
[71:30] And so that's a highly highly highly
[71:34] competitive
[71:35] margin compressing industry to be in.
[71:39] And so, uh, I think, you know, Bitcoin
[71:44] mining, uh, is going to always be
[71:48] challenging, difficult, doesn't mean
[71:50] it's not worth doing. Um, supporting the
[71:52] network. And, you know, the coolest part
[71:54] about Bitcoin is it's a it's constantly
[71:57] incentivizing excess energy and cheap
[72:00] energy because imagine this. Imagine you
[72:03] have a waterfall in rural [ __ ]
[72:07] The energy that's produced by that
[72:09] waterfall was currently meaningless to
[72:12] society because what? How is the energy
[72:15] hundreds of miles away in a in a
[72:18] waterfall in a forest going to wash my
[72:21] clothes or going to stream the NBA game
[72:24] or going to allow me to live stream to
[72:26] you guys in my office? It couldn't. What
[72:29] am I extension cord 200 miles out and
[72:32] trying to plug it into a waterfall that
[72:35] wires all the way up into my empty
[72:36] closet? Of course not. But what Bitcoin
[72:38] allows you to do is take that energy and
[72:41] turn it into a money that then you can
[72:45] transmute and sell. And so it's
[72:47] constantly, you can picture the Bitcoin
[72:49] network is constantly
[72:51] auditing planet Earth for, hey, who's
[72:54] got abundant, cheap, accessible energy
[72:58] that would be better off being turned
[73:00] into bitcoins? And if the answer for a
[73:03] period a chapter of human history is
[73:05] well there there's not many because we'd
[73:07] rather be you know plugging them into
[73:10] open AI and being backed by SoftBank
[73:13] which is backed by Nvidia which is
[73:15] backed by the US government. We'd rather
[73:17] be doing that then you know the Bitcoin
[73:19] market's fine with that difficulty
[73:20] adjust the show goes on. It doesn't
[73:22] really matter. Um so I don't know. I
[73:24] just know that Bitcoin mining's going to
[73:26] perpetually be, you know, a very
[73:29] cutthroat space um with, you know, low
[73:32] margins very hard. I mean, also guys,
[73:34] never, like, let me say this. I've never
[73:37] ever ever ever ever in my life heard of
[73:39] a of an industry where it's like, you
[73:43] know, every four years our revenue model
[73:45] gets cut in half. It's like, okay, I
[73:49] mean, that sounds challenging, right?
[73:53] So, so yeah, I don't know if I answered
[73:56] your question, but the what I will leave
[73:59] you guys with is it's really important
[74:00] to understand that it doesn't matter.
[74:03] One of Satoshi's greatest inventions was
[74:04] what's called the difficulty adjustment,
[74:07] where what Bitcoin does is it measures
[74:10] how fast blocks have been produced on
[74:12] average over a certain duration of time,
[74:15] which is technically supposed to be
[74:17] around two weeks, although, you know,
[74:20] Bitcoin doesn't think in human time. It
[74:22] thinks in blocks, [snorts]
[74:26] but call it every two weeks, the Bitcoin
[74:28] network is looking back and saying,
[74:30] "What was the average time a block was
[74:33] found?" If it was slower than 10 minutes
[74:37] on average, that means there Bitcoin
[74:41] call it math problem that miners are
[74:42] trying to solve is too hard because it's
[74:46] targeting for every 10 minutes. And if
[74:47] everyone's solving it on average 11
[74:49] minutes, 12 minutes, then we got to
[74:51] reduce the difficulty of the math
[74:54] problem to get them back in line to a
[74:56] target of around 10 minutes. Now, if
[74:58] they're solving it quicker than 10
[74:59] minutes, say they're solving it on
[75:00] average every minute, 5 minutes, 7
[75:03] minutes, well, the problem's too easy.
[75:05] There's a lot more demand to solve the
[75:07] problem than the difficulty of the
[75:08] problem itself. So, let's make the
[75:10] problem a little bit harder. And is the
[75:12] most ingenious insight because the
[75:14] question is how do you you know imagine
[75:16] Bitcoin like a heartbeat like boom boom
[75:19] boom boom boom how do you keep it at a
[75:23] steady heartbeat? You don't want it the
[75:24] heart to race like and then you die of a
[75:28] heart attack. You also don't want the
[75:29] heart to barely beat and you die from
[75:33] you know lack of blood flow. You need a
[75:36] consistent 10 minutes on average
[75:39] heartbeat. And the question is, well,
[75:40] how do you achieve that? And Satoshi had
[75:43] this like really simple but really
[75:45] brilliant insight which is instead of
[75:47] changing the outside world, the outside
[75:50] world will always change and you can't
[75:52] control the outside world. What we can
[75:53] control is how hard it is for the
[75:57] outside world to contribute to Bitcoin.
[75:59] Like Bitcoin itself can change. And so
[76:02] it's this selfreinforcing,
[76:04] self-curing
[76:06] difficulty adjustment. And so it doesn't
[76:08] really matter. Like there's been times
[76:10] since I've been in Bitcoin where
[76:12] everyone wants to be a Bitcoin miner and
[76:14] then the difficulty gets really really
[76:15] hard because everyone's trying to solve
[76:17] it. So blocks are produced faster on
[76:19] average. the difficulty gets really high
[76:21] and then all of a sudden people like,
[76:22] "Holy [ __ ] like this is so hard and now
[76:25] there's a having and my revenue is going
[76:27] to get cut in half and all these miners
[76:28] that borrowed all this money get blown
[76:29] the [ __ ] out and then no one wants to
[76:32] mine Bitcoin and then difficulty comes
[76:34] all the way back down because it's
[76:36] incentivizing people say, "Hey, looks
[76:38] like according to the average block
[76:41] being found over the last two weeks, no
[76:43] one gives a [ __ ] about me anymore."
[76:44] Well, let me entice you a little bit.
[76:46] Let me make it a little bit easier. And
[76:48] then it's kind of been this cyclical
[76:51] thing. It's very cool. So, Bitcoin
[76:53] doesn't care that people are infatuated
[76:56] with AI for now. Let them go. They're
[76:58] going to go in their little sandbox and
[77:00] have fun and throw sand at each other
[77:02] and borrow money from everyone until
[77:04] they need the government. And Bitcoin
[77:06] doesn't mind. We'll we'll sit and we'll
[77:08] watch. We we'll have our DCAs on and
[77:10] we'll watch from a distance. Uh, okay.
[77:15] Bitcoin markets. Uh, hey Jack. Why
[77:17] hasn't Sailor bought Bitcoin lately when
[77:19] he said he will be buying the top
[77:20] forever?
[77:23] Yeah, let me say this. Uh, everyone
[77:25] assumed that my questions about sailor
[77:29] and strategy were because I was the CEO
[77:31] of 21. Now, I can say that's not the
[77:34] case cuz I still have the same
[77:35] questions. I still don't totally
[77:37] understand the strategy and I'm not the
[77:39] CEO of 21. So, in case you guys didn't
[77:42] truly know me as a person, very
[77:46] integral, very transparent, very honest,
[77:49] very principled. I do not do passive
[77:52] marketing gimmicks by asking questions
[77:54] about other CEOs. That's not how I roll.
[77:58] Never will be ever. It's why I step
[78:01] down. If I wanted to compromise on my
[78:03] morals and my integrity and who I am as
[78:06] a man to be the CEO of something, I
[78:09] would still be the CEO. I'm not. So,
[78:12] just to be clear, why has Sailor not
[78:14] been buying Bitcoin lately? Because the
[78:16] market basically told him to stop. Um,
[78:21] he does not have a very rich MNAV. So,
[78:24] the premium uh that his equity has to
[78:28] his uh Bitcoin holdings is effectively
[78:31] zero. And to be honest, it's zero based
[78:34] on the new metric that he unreleased.
[78:37] So, also, you know what's kind of [ __ ]
[78:39] up? I asked these questions and everyone
[78:42] got mad at me, but then the questions
[78:44] were good questions because then after I
[78:46] asked the questions, STRC fell off a
[78:49] 100, still hasn't recovered, and he
[78:51] introduced a brand new version of MNAV.
[78:53] So, it's [ __ ] up. Like, you know, no
[78:55] one ever called me and said, "Hey, dude.
[78:57] Sorry for how hard we were on you."
[78:58] Those were really good questions. So,
[79:00] you know, not that I'm waiting for the
[79:01] phone call. I'm just kidding. But yeah,
[79:04] I mean, listen, the the problem is that
[79:06] he reinvented uh the MNAV metric, which
[79:09] is fine. You know, he told me uh you
[79:12] know, maybe it's such a new becoming
[79:14] industry, maybe it needs new metrics. We
[79:16] need to revisit this stuff. Whatever. I
[79:17] don't care. Um but certainly confusing,
[79:20] confusing for the market. So, it depends
[79:21] on how you measure his metric, but if
[79:23] you measure it the way he used to
[79:25] measure it, it's severely under. If you
[79:27] measure it his new way, it's about at
[79:29] one, but it's not rich enough to be
[79:31] buying Bitcoin. Uh, and uh he's now the
[79:37] the market is also concerned about this
[79:38] STRC like liability thing and he's now
[79:41] starting to spend money buying that
[79:43] back. So, and here's the other thing.
[79:45] Let me say, you know, I was very very
[79:48] very offended as a Bitcoiner and I know
[79:51] I'm sure Michael didn't mean it and um
[79:54] I'm I get it. Like people clip things on
[79:56] the internet and you know it goes it
[80:00] it's taken out of context and it's used
[80:02] against you and like I get it. So I'm
[80:04] just being clear. I'm not calling
[80:06] anybody out. But I was offended when I
[80:08] saw a clip that said without strategy
[80:11] Bitcoin would be worth 5K. And so like
[80:14] Bitcoiners should be thankful for
[80:16] strategy um or else like it wouldn't be
[80:19] a successful project. Like I was very
[80:21] offended by that. There's a lot of
[80:22] people that you know and the other thing
[80:24] about being a Bitcoiner is you're you
[80:27] are able to experience this phenomenon
[80:30] because of all the people that came
[80:31] before you because of the open source
[80:34] developers that were building on Bitcoin
[80:35] when Bitcoin was zero dollars per coin
[80:37] right because of Satoshi. um because of
[80:40] how thiny. And so it's just always like
[80:42] I just I was really offended by that.
[80:45] Like you know, no one no one on Wall
[80:47] Street today was at the Bitcoin meetup
[80:50] in my living room in 2014.
[80:53] Like come on, that's super offensive.
[80:56] And I think it's a really cool sign that
[80:58] Bitcoin's up 10% since the last time
[81:01] these treasury companies have been
[81:03] buying Bitcoin, which doesn't make them
[81:06] bad, but I'm just saying they're not the
[81:08] entire market. They don't determine the
[81:10] price. Uh Bitcoin would be plenty
[81:13] successful with or without them. You
[81:15] know, I always say you need Bitcoin.
[81:19] Bitcoin doesn't need you. Bitcoin will
[81:21] survive without any of us. None of us
[81:24] are too important. Trust me. And you do
[81:28] not want Bitcoin to have to prove that
[81:29] to you. Trust me. Trust me, daddy. So,
[81:35] why hasn't Bitcoin been or Sailor been
[81:36] buying Bitcoin lately? Because he can't
[81:38] really. I mean, he could, but the stock
[81:40] would keep going down. So, the market
[81:42] was basically saying, "Hey, this STRC
[81:44] thing is a mess. You need to tend to it.
[81:47] You need to add cash reserves." Um, and
[81:49] your MNAV is low. And so he's changed
[81:52] the way he encourages the market to
[81:54] think about the MNAV and he's trying to
[81:55] aid towards the STRC thing. Um, and then
[81:59] hopefully he can get back in a position
[82:01] where he can uh be responsibly buying
[82:03] Bitcoin. But who knows? Um, that's my
[82:07] interpretation. And I I still have the
[82:09] same kind of questions or lack of full
[82:11] understanding of uh kind of like the
[82:14] whole thing. Not that I want to spend my
[82:16] time on it, at least right now. If you
[82:18] guys really want me to, I will. But good
[82:21] opportunity for me to say that had
[82:22] nothing to do with 21 at all. That had
[82:25] everything to do with I'm a Bitcoiner.
[82:27] Spent my life here. Plan to spend the
[82:29] rest of my life here. I care deeply
[82:30] about Bitcoin. I just didn't get it.
[82:33] Still don't.
[82:35] Uh how do you reconcile a cash flow
[82:37] business in fiat terms with the belief
[82:39] that Bitcoin is going to replace fiat?
[82:41] like I get strike as it is onboarding
[82:43] people onto slash into the network but
[82:47] um I mean this kind of goes into
[82:48] Austrian theory a little bit and that
[82:51] you know people will say why do you care
[82:54] about cash flow why don't you just buy
[82:55] Bitcoin well I'm doing something
[82:58] productive to produce cash that I don't
[83:00] yet have you know what I mean like it's
[83:03] not like I'm saying you know do I
[83:05] produce $100 million of cash or do I
[83:08] spend $100 million of cash well I can't
[83:10] spend spend $100 million of cash on
[83:12] Bitcoin without earning it first. And I
[83:14] earn it by being valuable. You know, in
[83:17] in in Austrian theory, that's the
[83:20] definition of whether something is
[83:21] successful or not, is if it's profitable
[83:23] because that is the literal expression
[83:25] of something being more valuable to the
[83:28] world than it is consuming from the
[83:30] world. If something's earning $100
[83:32] million of revenue a year, but it costs
[83:34] them $200 million to produce that $100
[83:36] million worth of value, well, they're a
[83:38] net negative to the world.
[83:40] they cost more to the world than they
[83:42] are driving value to the world. So you
[83:45] you want to create more value than
[83:47] you're consuming, that's being
[83:48] profitable. Now whether you measure
[83:50] those profits in Bitcoin terms or in
[83:52] fiat terms or in gold terms, whatever.
[83:54] But the point is you're cash flow
[83:56] positive, which means you're productive,
[83:58] you're useful, you're adding and aiding
[84:00] towards society. And if you're not,
[84:03] well, and and sometimes there's excuses
[84:05] for that. Maybe you're making
[84:07] investments currently to be more
[84:10] valuable in the future and you're using
[84:11] your cash flows for that or you're
[84:12] taking out a loan for that. That's all
[84:14] fine. But like the idea that you can be
[84:16] perpetually not profitable is just a
[84:19] violation of common sense. It doesn't
[84:21] make any sense. Uh and
[84:25] I think that the world should just be
[84:27] governed by it's like a form of
[84:28] Darwinism almost. is like those who
[84:31] survive
[84:32] should be the ones that you know that
[84:35] then make up the DNA of the future of
[84:37] the species. Like the giraffes with the
[84:40] short necks didn't make it cuz they
[84:42] couldn't reach the leaves. So like the
[84:45] companies that couldn't find a way to be
[84:47] more valuable for the world than the
[84:49] cost that they burdened on the world
[84:51] should not make it. And the companies
[84:54] that are able to figure that out, those
[84:57] are the people that get to dictate
[84:59] future investment into
[85:02] businesses, society, funding new new
[85:05] companies. Um,
[85:08] so yeah, I don't know whether whether
[85:10] you measure it in fiat or bitcoin, it
[85:13] doesn't matter. Like strike for example,
[85:15] any like excess cash that we build up
[85:17] like we plow into bitcoin. So, if your
[85:19] point is why am I earning fiat only to
[85:22] be replacing it? I mean, I earn fiat
[85:26] because that's what people give me, but
[85:28] then I take the fiat and I buy Bitcoin,
[85:30] so it doesn't really matter. I guess I'm
[85:32] long fiat for like a second. Uh, but it
[85:36] doesn't matter. It's not like where I'm
[85:37] storing my savings.
[85:40] Uh, Jack or Dylan question. What
[85:41] opportunities do you see for
[85:43] entrepreneurs in Bitcoin? Um, something
[85:45] for a common Michigander.
[85:48] I don't know, dude. I will say this.
[85:50] I've had the most success building
[85:53] things for myself.
[85:55] I think people like want to be either
[85:59] want to be rich or want to be famous or
[86:02] want to they they and that's fine.
[86:07] Wanting those things is reasonable and
[86:09] there are some people that do, some
[86:11] people that don't. I don't necessarily
[86:12] recommend being anything remotely close
[86:15] to a public figure. Uh it's an it's an
[86:19] interesting thing. But anyway, you can
[86:21] want what whatever you want, but that
[86:23] doesn't mean that that's a good reason
[86:26] to start a product or a company. You
[86:29] know, you need to you need to feel very
[86:31] strongly and passionately about solving
[86:33] a problem and then become very good at
[86:35] solving that problem. And again because
[86:38] at the end of the day to be profitable
[86:41] to create something valuable to society
[86:42] you have to produce more value for the
[86:45] world than it costs you know for you to
[86:47] consume from the world. That's very
[86:49] hard.
[86:51] That's a very hard thing to invent. And
[86:53] so I've found the most success solving
[86:57] my own problems. Like I was a Bitcoiner
[87:00] for many years before I started Strike.
[87:02] But I started it because I needed to
[87:05] solve my own problems. There was no
[87:07] Bitcoin company that didn't give me a
[87:08] bunch of shitcoins, that wasn't giving
[87:10] me stablecoin APY [ __ ] that wasn't
[87:14] incentivizing me to gamble and March
[87:16] Madness
[87:18] that was going to like just do Bitcoin
[87:21] the right way, educate Bitcoiners, be
[87:24] simple, be useful, be reliable,
[87:26] reasonably priced. We're not going to
[87:28] explode our headcount and explode our
[87:30] investment. So then we're going to need
[87:32] to raise our prices to justify this,
[87:34] that, and the third. remain founder led
[87:36] and founder control so that you don't
[87:39] get a bunch of VCs that then have their
[87:41] incentives changed and now the company
[87:43] is being driven in a totally different
[87:45] direction. So like I was able to create
[87:48] something that was very high quality
[87:52] because I was the first user.
[87:54] So, I don't know. I would ask, you know,
[87:56] what problems do you have? And I would
[87:58] try and solve your own problem. And then
[87:59] the odds that other people have your
[88:01] same problem are probably high. And then
[88:04] you just start saying like, hey, would
[88:06] you pay for this thing that I built?
[88:08] Solved solved X, Y, and Z problem for
[88:10] me.
[88:13] Uh, that's the story of Strike at least
[88:15] to be honest. Uh, hi Jack. Thanks for
[88:18] all you do for Bitcoin and Bitcoiners.
[88:21] Do you have any latest info on when
[88:23] borrowing and line of credit might be
[88:24] available in the UK? Um, yeah, it's just
[88:27] a regulation thing. Uh, we're hopeful
[88:30] next quarter, which would be Q4, so
[88:33] earliest a few months from now, latest
[88:36] hopefully by the end of the year, but
[88:37] it's just a regulators thing
[88:39] unfortunately, but we're working on it.
[88:41] So, should be soon. Um, but I apologize
[88:44] for the delay. Obviously, if we could,
[88:45] we would be there now. Um, hey Dylan,
[88:48] can you ask Jack when Strike will roll
[88:50] out mobile check deposits?
[88:52] Uh,
[88:54] yeah. I think I don't know. I would say
[89:01] maybe end of this year, early next year.
[89:04] It's just a problem of priority. Like we
[89:06] we know that you guys want interest on
[89:08] your cash. You know that you want
[89:09] stacks. We know that you want IRA.
[89:12] There's so much to build. And so where
[89:14] does that fit in? Um, but it's on it's
[89:17] on the list for sure. And if more of you
[89:19] guys say, I need mobile check deposit
[89:21] really really bad, then it'll move up
[89:23] the list. But I would say it's probably
[89:24] like a Q4 Q1 thing earliest for now. Uh,
[89:28] hi Jack. Question regarding strike. The
[89:30] cash withdraw to banks option uses plaid
[89:33] which says that it is US only. Is there
[89:35] something that can be done for El
[89:36] Salvador and withdraw to banks here?
[89:38] Thanks.
[89:39] Um,
[89:41] if there's a lot of demand
[89:44] for El Salvador specific withdrawals,
[89:49] we can build it. That's another thing.
[89:52] You guys should not be quiet about what
[89:54] you need from us because we we like b I
[89:58] mean we work for you. And so I would say
[90:00] if there's increased demand in certain
[90:02] markets, we'll turn our focus there. we
[90:04] try and figure out, hey, given we have
[90:06] 24 hours in a day, what's the best use
[90:10] of our time? What can we be building?
[90:12] And uh that's usually what drives these
[90:14] decisions. So, I'll I'll try and
[90:16] personally take a look for integrations
[90:18] in El Salvador. Um and if there's more
[90:21] of you out there that really need that
[90:23] feature, uh let us know and and maybe it
[90:25] can become more of a priority. Uh strike
[90:27] question. Lots people asking for a
[90:29] credit card, but what about a debit card
[90:31] that converts to SATs upon charge so I
[90:33] can ditch Coinbase? I depend on their
[90:35] debit card, but would prefer to use one
[90:37] with Strike? Um,
[90:41] yeah, my answers on this one have always
[90:44] kind of been predominantly
[90:47] cards are tough. There's a lot of fraud
[90:49] and cost that come with them. And so,
[90:52] you know, in order to justify a card
[90:54] product,
[90:55] you know, I got to charge you guys some
[90:57] way somehow. I could not give you
[90:59] rewards and I can keep the interchange
[91:03] and then I can pay the expenses that
[91:05] come with launching a card that way. But
[91:06] if you guys want the rewards and you
[91:08] want a card, I just need to find a way
[91:10] to make it economical. Obviously, we can
[91:12] make our money via other products,
[91:15] buying Bitcoin, lending and stuff, but
[91:17] they're this is very like cost
[91:19] intensive. There's lots of fraud
[91:20] involved and there's all sorts of [ __ ]
[91:23] involved in cards. And I've always
[91:25] wondered, well, are we going to be
[91:27] better at making a card than like AMX or
[91:29] Chase? Is that really where I want to be
[91:31] spending so much resources and effort as
[91:33] opposed to more Bitcoin native stuff
[91:35] that they're going to be really bad at
[91:37] and maybe never get to? Um, so that's
[91:39] kind of been my internal justification,
[91:41] but the more and more we build, the more
[91:43] and more customers want Strike to be
[91:45] their primary financial account. And you
[91:47] really can't like just live your life on
[91:50] Strike without a card. I mean, I do. I
[91:54] use Strike's bill pay. So, I use credit
[91:56] card and then I pay my credit card bill
[91:58] and my HOA and my Comeded, my
[92:02] electricity bill. I I pay all my bills
[92:03] with Strike. But, uh, point taken. I
[92:06] don't spend on Strike. I spend I have an
[92:09] Apple card, whatever. So, um, yeah, I I
[92:13] have a feeling we'll reevaluate this
[92:14] soon because so far our answer's been,
[92:17] "Ah, we're not going to be better than
[92:19] Chase Bank at this. Why would we even
[92:22] try?" But if you guys really want cards
[92:24] from us, we could do it easily. Um, just
[92:27] have to find a way to justify it. Figure
[92:28] out how we're going to make it
[92:30] economically reasonable. Cuz like I
[92:32] said, I don't want to run a perpetually
[92:34] VCF funded, unprofitable
[92:36] thing. There's no endgame there. That's
[92:39] stupid. um doesn't make any sense. So
[92:41] that that's the only thing I'm trying to
[92:42] avoid.
[92:45] Um okay,
[92:48] interesting. No 21 questions.
[92:52] Uh
[92:54] don't get mad at me cuz Dylan curates
[92:57] these. So either you guys don't care
[93:00] that much about it, which is fine. I
[93:03] mean, uh or Yeah. or Dylan didn't put
[93:08] him in there for some reason.
[93:10] We'll see. Um okay. Uh that's the end of
[93:15] my questions list. I'm gonna I know that
[93:17] you got this is like 20 second delay I
[93:19] think. So uh I'll give Dylan a second um
[93:25] to respond to that because I really
[93:28] really
[93:30] you know like I said you got to show up.
[93:33] Um,
[93:52] okay. I'm getting nothing from Dill and
[93:55] I got no more questions. Uh, appreciate
[93:57] you guys all the support um and and all
[94:00] the criticism. Like I said, um
[94:05] yeah, I I'll end it by just the
[94:08] relationship I have. Oh, I did get a
[94:10] message from Dylan. Uh oh, most of the
[94:13] questions were covered by me talking. Um
[94:17] and others he does not think I'm allowed
[94:20] to answer. Uh cuz I mean at the end of
[94:24] the day, it is still a public company
[94:26] run by my friends. So, you know, there
[94:28] are there is only so much I could say.
[94:30] Um, so I guess I covered most and uh the
[94:34] other ones uh he doesn't think I'm
[94:35] allowed to answer. Fair enough. Uh yeah.
[94:38] Um just real quick, you guys, um I'm
[94:42] telling you maybe maybe I do include
[94:44] these in the next show, but like the
[94:46] emails you guys send me or the DMs you
[94:48] guys send me um
[94:51] they really mattered in how I thought
[94:56] about how to spend my life. and uh
[95:00] and where I can be valuable and who I am
[95:02] as a person and what matters to me and
[95:05] uh yeah, man, you know, you guys and I
[95:09] have a special thing going.
[95:12] Um whatever we got going on over here
[95:15] and like I said, I don't know how big
[95:16] this all all this is going to be and
[95:19] like if we're, you know, the building
[95:22] the next SpaceX or whatever. Um but I
[95:24] don't think it really matters. um we got
[95:27] a cool thing going and you guys have
[95:30] changed my life in many ways but
[95:32] specifically recently you really really
[95:34] did change my life and just uh the
[95:36] messages that you sent and um yeah I
[95:41] don't know you guys get it if you know
[95:43] you know I really really appreciate it
[95:45] and the support and support is not
[95:47] always you know compliments and roses
[95:49] and stuff it's criticism too when it's
[95:51] necessary um I don't take criticism as a
[95:54] personal indictment Um, if I need to be
[95:57] called out on my [ __ ] uh, and I need to
[95:59] be a better person or a better
[96:01] Bitcoiner, you guys, uh, hold me
[96:03] accountable to that. So, I appreciate
[96:05] it. Um, I appreciate what we have and I
[96:08] appreciate the fact that, uh,
[96:12] I have Strike to build for you guys and
[96:14] I get to produce a lot more content and
[96:16] try and orange pill. Let's get to that
[96:17] 1%. Let's see if 80 million people over
[96:20] the next 10 years can like remotely
[96:22] understand Bitcoin.
[96:24] Uh, cool. Okay. Uh, I'll talk to you
[96:26] guys later. Peace and love. Take care.

← Back to videos list

Scroll to Top