Jack Mallers

Bitcoin and the End of Globalism

🇬🇧 EN🇪🇸 ES
BitcoinMacroPolicy
106:02 min Video 2026 Week 5 🇬🇧 EN

TL;DR

  • The current global financial system, built on fiat currency and the Bretton Woods structure, is fundamentally failing due to persistent deficits and debt crises.
  • Bitcoin is presented as the superior, decentralized monetary solution capable of replacing unstable fiat currencies in an impending "neutral reserve era."
  • Individuals must prioritize self-responsibility, adopting hard assets like gold and Bitcoin over relying on failing institutions or mainstream media narratives.

Summary

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xJ6fRNHT_KU  |  Duration: 106 min

â—† The Collapse of Fiat and the Need for a Monetary Reset (Parts 1 & 2)

The speaker argues that the current fiat currency system is over, pointing to evidence from high-level economic forums. At Davos, a US official highlighted that globalization has failed America, advocating for an "America first" model centered on national sovereignty. Furthermore, Mark Carney declared the global financial system is in a complete rupture, not merely a transition. This aligns with Ray Dalio's warning about the monetary order breaking down.

Historically, the post-World War II Bretton Woods system established the US dollar as a reserve currency, initially backed by gold. The 1971 decision to close the gold window allowed for limitless fiat money printing and dramatically increased US debt relative to GDP. This created Triffin's dilemma: the inherent conflict where meeting global demand requires running deficits, which simultaneously hollows out the issuing nation's domestic production and middle class.

â–¶ Globalism Failure and the Rise of Hard Assets (Part 3)

⚠️ CRITICAL ALERT: The current financial system, based entirely on paper claims, is facing a severe correction. Globalism is viewed as a failed policy leading to systemic collapse and the destruction of the middle class.

Sovereignty demands that nations abandon reliance on cheap imports enabled by printing money, instead focusing on reshoring production and reducing trade deficits. Physical assets like gold and silver are becoming critical for real-world needs, such as scaling AI. Japan's rapidly rising long-dated bond yields serve as a major warning sign that investors anticipate severe inflation due to years of ultra-low interest rates.

  • Action Recommendation: Individuals must abandon reliance on institutions, emphasizing personal responsibility, saving, and utilizing hard assets like Bitcoin in this changing economic reality.

★ Bitcoin vs. Gold: The Future of Money (Parts 4 & 5)

The current fiat system is described as a collapsing Ponzi scheme, exemplified by Japan's massive reliance on US debt markets. While gold provides an essential escape valve to absorb sovereign pressure and relieve immediate pain, the speaker argues it is not the long-term solution because it lacks software features and scalability.

Bitcoin is positioned as the superior future money and reserve asset capable of solving all monetary use cases. Its primary obstacle currently is its size; it must grow substantially to absorb trillions of dollars in global demand. This shift away from sovereign debt, evidenced by nations increasing gold reserves, signals the end of fiat currency dominance.

Financial Asset Roles and Theses

Asset Role Thesis
Bitcoin Future Money / Reserve Asset Superior to gold; functions as a "monetary tech stock" tied directly to fiat debasement.
Gold Immediate Pressure Relief / Hedge Absorbs sovereign pressure but lacks the scalability and software features of Bitcoin.

Regarding market dynamics, Bitcoin currently competes with risk assets like equities rather than sovereign paper. The speaker predicts an upcoming pro-liquidity cycle because quantitative tightening is ending and central banks are expected to print significant amounts of money. Separately, updates included early direct deposit features for Strike users and 21's strategy to differentiate itself by pairing cash flow with Bitcoin equity.

â–º Money vs. Equity & The Power of Personal Responsibility (Part 6)

The speaker distinguishes Bitcoin as true money from equity, arguing that using equity as currency forces unnecessary risks onto value preservation and criticizing traditional stock markets like the S&P 500 as flawed retirement accounts. Addressing media bias, he states people are either naive or malicious liars when public responsibility is at stake.

  • Action Recommendation: Individuals must pursue their passions and genuine curiosities to achieve excellence in any field.
  • Action Recommendation: The critical need for personal responsibility across finance, health, and information consumption is paramount, as external systems cannot save society.

★ Technology Synergy and Financial Innovation (Part 7)

The discussion covered the functionality of Strike's line of credit—a flexible payment method usable for various transactions, including buying Bitcoin or paying bills. While global expansion faces regulatory hurdles, Strike is developing internal "stacks" to allow users to manage different subaccounts within their profile.

The synergy between finance and technology is accelerating: AI tools from companies like Google and OpenAI are being used to create complex content. The central thesis here posits that Bitcoin allows individuals to save money and lower their time preference, while AI drastically reduces the cost of intellectual labor. This combination is predicted to spark a new art renaissance focused on human creativity rather than rote work.

â–º Conclusion and Audience Feedback (Part 8)

The speaker concluded the two-hour show by requesting detailed feedback from the audience. Viewers were encouraged to provide honest critiques on various elements, including the overall content, the effectiveness of new slides and setup, discussions involving companies, and Dylan's performance during Q&A sessions. The speaker thanked everyone and promised to return in seven days.

â—† Search for the alpha

The core thesis driving capital allocation is a structural flight from sovereign paper claims—both traditional equities and government debt—into hard, scalable monetary assets. The guest views this not merely as an inflation hedge, but as a necessary technological upgrade in reserve value, positioning Bitcoin as the superior long-term store of value capable of absorbing global systemic pressure.

  • Catalyst/Regime Change: The shift is predicated on the end of Quantitative Tightening (QT) and anticipated significant central bank money printing, which will trigger a major pro-liquidity cycle.
  • Best Expression of Theme: Bitcoin is explicitly framed as a "monetary tech stock," meaning its value appreciation is directly tied to continuous fiat debasement and expansion of the dollar supply.
  • Capital Rotation Signal: The implied rotation is away from reliance on traditional institutions (S&P 500, sovereign debt) toward decentralized, hard assets like Bitcoin, which functions as true money rather than equity.
  • Asset Hierarchy: Gold serves as a critical immediate "escape valve" against sovereign pressure, but it is deemed insufficient for the long term due to its lack of software features and scalability compared to Bitcoin.
Asset Signal Reading
Bitcoin Primary Long-Term Reserve Asset Superior to gold; capable of solving all monetary use cases due to software features.
Gold Immediate Pressure Absorber Currently absorbs sovereign pressure, but lacks scalability for future global demand.
The twist: The guest is implicitly arguing that the coming economic shift requires a dual focus on financial security (Bitcoin) and intellectual leverage (AI). By pairing Bitcoin's monetary stability with AI's ability to drastically reduce the cost of labor, individuals can achieve both value preservation and exponential personal productivity.

â–º Chapter Summaries

Part 1 (0:00)

The chapter introduces the concept of a fundamental monetary reset, arguing that the current fiat currency system is over. The speaker presents evidence from Davos, citing a US official who stated that globalization has failed America and advocated for an "America first" model centered on national sovereignty. Furthermore, Mark Carney of Canada declared that the global financial system is in a complete rupture, not merely a transition. This shift is supported by Ray Dalio's warning published in Fortune magazine about the monetary order breaking down, forcing a choice between printing money or facing a debt crisis. The host concludes that these geopolitical and economic events confirm fiat currency is dying as the world moves toward neutral assets governed by reality.

Part 2 (15:00)

The post-World War II Bretton Woods system established the US dollar as a global reserve currency, with its value initially backed by gold. This structure allowed the United States to export its economic stability worldwide but required the nation to run persistent trade deficits by importing goods globally while exporting dollars. The 1971 decision to close the gold window severed this link, allowing for limitless fiat money printing and dramatically increasing US debt relative to GDP. Triffin's dilemma describes the inherent conflict of a reserve currency: meeting global demand requires running deficits, which hollows out the issuing nation's domestic production and middle class. This cycle creates artificial currency strength while simultaneously fueling internal economic instability and wealth gaps.

Part 3 (30:00)

The speaker argues that globalism is a failed policy leading to the destruction of the middle class and systemic collapse, forcing nations to choose between continued globalization or becoming sovereign. Sovereignty demands reshoring production, reducing trade deficits, and accepting higher domestic costs instead of relying on cheap imports enabled by printing money. The current financial system, based entirely on paper claims, is facing a correction where physical assets like gold and silver are becoming critical for real-world needs such as scaling AI. Japan's rapidly rising long-dated bond yields serve as a warning sign that investors anticipate severe inflation due to years of ultra-low interest rates. Ultimately, the speaker urges listeners to abandon reliance on institutions, emphasizing personal responsibility, saving, and utilizing hard assets like Bitcoin in this changing economic reality.

Part 4 (45:00)

The current fiat system is described as a collapsing Ponzi scheme, exemplified by Japan's massive reliance on US debt markets. This global financial stress requires an escape valve, which gold currently provides to absorb sovereign pressure. However, the speaker argues that while gold relieves immediate pain, it is not the long-term solution because it lacks software features and scalability. Bitcoin is positioned as the superior future money and reserve asset capable of solving all monetary use cases. The primary obstacle for Bitcoin today is its current size; it must grow substantially to absorb trillions of dollars in global demand. This shift away from sovereign debt, evidenced by nations increasing gold reserves, signals the end of fiat currency dominance.

Part 5 (60:00)

Bitcoin operates on its own timeline and does not cater to individual needs or market demands. Currently, Bitcoin competes with risk assets like equities rather than sovereign paper, while gold remains the primary competitor to treasuries. The speaker argues that Bitcoin functions as a monetary tech stock, whose value is tied directly to continuous fiat debasement and dollar supply expansion. He predicts an upcoming pro-liquidity cycle because quantitative tightening is ending and central banks are expected to print significant amounts of money. This liquidity shift is seen as the catalyst for Bitcoin's next major upward movement. Separately, updates included early direct deposit features for Strike users and 21's strategy to differentiate itself from competitors like BlackRock by pairing cash flow with Bitcoin equity.

Part 6 (75:00)

The speaker distinguishes Bitcoin as true money from equity, arguing that using equity as currency forces unnecessary risks onto value preservation. He criticizes traditional stock markets like the S&P 500 as flawed retirement accounts. Addressing media bias, he states people are either naive or malicious liars, and both lack acceptable excuses when public responsibility is at stake. Regarding Bitcoin's price action, he maintains that it is not suppressed, noting its strong performance alongside gold during a major bull run in physical metals. He advises individuals to pursue their passions and genuine curiosities to achieve excellence in any field. Ultimately, the chapter emphasizes the critical need for personal responsibility across finance, health, and information consumption, asserting that external systems cannot save society.

Part 7 (90:00)

Strike's line of credit is a flexible payment method usable for various transactions, including buying Bitcoin or paying bills, though minimum requirements vary by state. While there are no immediate plans for a debit card, the speaker argues the Bitcoin-backed line of credit will revolutionize personal finance. Global expansion faces regulatory hurdles, but Strike is developing internal "stacks" to allow users to manage different subaccounts within their profile. The discussion shifts to how AI tools from companies like Google and OpenAI are being used to create complex content and presentations. The central thesis posits that Bitcoin allows individuals to save money and lower their time preference, while AI drastically reduces the cost of intellectual labor. This synergy between financial security and advanced technology is predicted to spark a new art renaissance focused on human creativity and expression rather than rote work.

Part 8 (105:00)

The speaker expresses intense excitement regarding new concepts and projects they have been working on. They conclude a two-hour show and immediately pivot to requesting feedback from the audience. The speaker asks viewers for specific critiques on various elements of the presentation. This includes opinions on the overall content, the effectiveness of the new slides and setup, discussions involving companies, and Dylan's performance during Q&A sessions. They encourage listeners to provide honest criticism without fear of hurting feelings. Finally, the speaker thanks everyone and promises to return in seven days.

Generated with algorithm jack-strike-watch-v1 · model google/gemma-4-e4b · 2026-07-02T11:47:58Z

Transcript

â—† Strike / Visa watch

Exact transcript excerpts most relevant to a potential Strike card, Visa relationship, or adjacent payments product discussion.

  • Jack discusses a card product directly, not just generic Strike usage.
  • The card discussion is tied to the broader line-of-credit roadmap.

92:11 · Supporting context

[92:11] but it's definitely not worth giving you

[92:13] a guess because I have no confidence in

[92:15] it. We're working on it is all I can

[92:17] say. So I'm really sorry we don't have

[92:18] the full suite and I appreciate the

[92:20] support. It really means a lot. Um can

[92:23] we have a debit card for our strike

[92:24] account so that we can pay for things in

[92:27] person with a card? Um

[92:31] no debit card planned. Uh, I think the

[92:34] line of credit is going to change every

[92:37] Bitcoiner's life because I can spend on

[92:40] a credit card and I can use my line of

[92:41] credit to pay off the credit card. So,

[92:43] it's effectively

[92:45] a Bitcoinbacked credit card basically,

[92:48] but you just use your MX or use your

[92:50] Chase card or whatever, whatever. It's

[92:52] giving you free airline points and all

[92:54] [ __ ] Uh, and then you just pay that

[92:57] with your line of credit. And we'll see

[92:58] how that goes. And if it makes sense for

90:51 · Supporting context

[90:51] And that's just because we're actually

[90:54] more defined by regulation than

[90:57] ourselves. So sometimes the states

[90:59] themselves set the minimums of our

[91:01] credit products. Uh and then we you can

[91:04] use the line of credit for anything. So

[91:07] it's like a payment method. When you go

[91:08] to buy Bitcoin or when you go to pay a

[91:10] bill or when you go to do anything

[91:12] inside of Strike, you can select maybe a

[91:15] bank account you have linked. You can

[91:16] select a card that you have linked and

[91:18] you can select your line of credit. If

[91:20] you're like, "Oh man, Bitcoin's dipping.

[91:21] I want to buy some." You can go buy, you

[91:23] can stack a little Bitcoin on your line

[91:25] of credit, which is basically taking out

[91:27] a loan and buying some Bitcoin, adding a

91:33 · Supporting context

[91:33] Bitcoin, you can just use your line of

[91:36] credit. It's just a payment method.

[91:37] That's all it is. Just like an It's just

[91:40] like, oh, I have a card linked to

[91:41] Strike. I have a bank account linked to

[91:43] Strike. I have a line of credit.

[91:46] really cool product, like revolutionary

[91:48] product in my opinion. [sighs]

[91:50] Uh, question for Jack. Any updates on

[91:52] when Strike's full suite of services in

[91:54] New Zealand? I love the show. Thank you

[0:03] Yo,
[0:04] welcome back to another episode of the
[0:07] Jack Morers Show. My name is Jack and
[0:10] you are listening to another edition of
[0:12] Mail Bag Monday. I go live every Monday,
[0:17] 6:00 p. p.m. Eastern, 5:00 p.m. Central,
[0:19] 3:00 p.m. Pac Pacific time. No ads, no
[0:23] [ __ ] no noise. Signal, signal,
[0:26] signal. Give me the truth. Give it a
[0:28] truth.
[0:30] Here we go. Episode 102. Let's kick it
[0:33] off with the Bitcoin price and a time
[0:34] stamp. Ladies and gentlemen, I'm talking
[0:36] to you all at a Bitcoin price of $88,160
[0:40] US.
[0:42] That puts Bitcoin's market cap at a
[0:45] $1.76 trillion in total. Our all-time
[0:49] high remains at $126,160.
[0:52] We are 30% off our all-time high
[0:55] established on October 6, 2025.
[0:58] What's that guy? Um, Bruce, is it Bruce
[1:01] Buffer? The guy that um does the UFC
[1:05] intros?
[1:07] Um, that's who I'm trying to be like
[1:09] trying to practice my UFC intros.
[1:12] When it comes to Bitcoin's block height,
[1:14] what was the last Bitcoin block mine
[1:16] since I hit stream? Ladies and
[1:17] gentlemen, the Bitcoin block height. The
[1:19] last Bitcoin block mine since I hit
[1:21] stream is Bitcoin block 933,97.
[1:26] How do I sound,
[1:30] guys? I am excited. I'm excited for a
[1:34] lot of reasons. I'm pumped. It's good to
[1:36] be here.
[1:38] What a time to be alive. What a timeline
[1:40] to be living in. I feel good, man. I
[1:43] feel good. Um, okay. Enough of the
[1:47] intros. Let's get started. Um, episode
[1:49] 102. Now, real quick, guys, I know just
[1:52] based on um the numbers that I see in my
[1:55] dashboards, a decent amount of you
[1:57] listen on podcasting apps. So, I'm in
[1:59] your ears right now. You're driving,
[2:01] you're lifting at the gym, you're doing
[2:03] a chore, and I'm literally in your ear.
[2:06] I'm like really close to your brain.
[2:08] Spooky to think about, but the point is,
[2:10] you can't see what I'm presenting. A lot
[2:13] of you though watch on YouTube. Our
[2:14] YouTube videos get like 30 40,000 views
[2:17] a week. And so for those that watch on
[2:20] YouTube, you know that we've struggled
[2:22] with presentations. When I do a lot of
[2:24] tabs, when I want to present a lot of
[2:26] information, a lot of times my computer
[2:28] crashes. It was all [ __ ] up. So long
[2:30] story short, I got a heavier dutier
[2:33] machine. So we should not crash at all.
[2:35] Okay. But for those that don't know, I
[2:38] used to be an engineer. And so like
[2:40] before I became CEO and stuff, I was a
[2:43] coder. I was a hacker. I was an
[2:44] engineer. I worked on Bitcoin protocols,
[2:46] open source software. That was my first
[2:48] foray into Bitcoin really. My dad was
[2:51] the trader of the family. My stepmom was
[2:55] the like community participant. She'd
[2:58] organized the conferences. Uh we started
[3:00] the first ever Chicago Bitcoin meetup
[3:02] and my job was to be like the developer
[3:04] of the family. And so I was an engineer
[3:06] and so I spent the weekend hacking
[3:08] together a lot of AI tools for myself.
[3:11] Um, Strike is doing some crazy cool
[3:13] stuff with AI internally. It's really, I
[3:16] mean, we already ship products really
[3:18] fast. We're going to be even faster,
[3:20] even more efficient. But I built some
[3:23] stuff myself. And so, you guys will see
[3:25] I'm only on one tab, which is crazy,
[3:28] right? And if you look at the address
[3:30] I'm at, I'm at localhost 8000. So, I
[3:33] built some software where my AIS can
[3:37] actually help me build presentations
[3:38] running on a server local to my machine.
[3:41] And this is why this is cool. One, the
[3:43] quality of these presentations is going
[3:45] through the roof. Okay, the quality of
[3:47] this presentation I have for you guys
[3:49] today is like I'm presenting at a
[3:51] conference. My conference presentations,
[3:53] I spend weeks, I put in a lot of work
[3:56] and effort to present these. Um, and
[3:59] these presentations are now extreme high
[4:02] quality because of these tools I built
[4:04] for myself and for this show. And the
[4:06] other thing is I should be able to I
[4:09] haven't built this yet, but whenever I
[4:10] have a second, I'll I'll build this as
[4:12] well. I should be able to publish these
[4:15] online. So, if you guys can maybe I'll
[4:18] buy like jackmallers.com or something.
[4:21] And if if you go to like
[4:22] jackmowers.com/mailbagmmon
[4:24] Monday102
[4:26] for example um then you can actually
[4:29] flip through the slides yourself because
[4:30] it's a it's a website I built like these
[4:32] things. It's a it's on a server and then
[4:34] I can link to all the sources where I
[4:36] get my information because I know a lot
[4:38] of you are like hey we would love to
[4:40] read the full article that he's
[4:41] referencing. We would love to read the
[4:42] full report that he's referencing. We
[4:44] would love to see more of the charts
[4:45] that he's referencing. And it's been
[4:47] difficult like how do I get you guys
[4:48] this information? So anyway, I'm really
[4:51] excited. I built all this stuff. I'm
[4:52] hoping it works. Um, but give me
[4:54] feedback as always. I think you're
[4:56] really going to love it, but who knows?
[4:57] I mean, I'm winging this stuff. I'm not
[5:00] a professional podcaster. So, here we
[5:02] go. Without further ado, uh, the title
[5:04] of today is Bitcoin and the end of
[5:07] globalism, from Breton Woods to Bitcoin.
[5:11] Uh, and chapter one, the once in a
[5:14] century monetary reset. Fiat as we know
[5:17] it is over.
[5:20] Um, listen, I can be hyperbolic. I can
[5:23] be emotional. I can be exaggerative. Uh,
[5:26] I'm not being any of those things right
[5:28] now. I fundamentally believe that we are
[5:30] living through a very unique time.
[5:34] uh specifically regarding
[5:37] monetary reset, the global financial
[5:40] system, geopolitics, macroeconomics.
[5:43] I think the current iteration of fiat
[5:45] currency in the US dollar is over. And
[5:48] my evidence of that is multifaceted and
[5:51] fairly deep and we'll walk through it
[5:53] all in the presentation today. Um, but
[5:56] most specifically the price of gold, the
[5:58] price of silver, the sovereign debt
[6:01] markets, the treasury market, the global
[6:03] bond markets, those yields, they're
[6:05] getting out of control. And so, let's
[6:08] step through it. First and foremost, uh,
[6:10] Davos. So, this is the first episode
[6:13] coming off the week at Davos where all
[6:15] these elite people hang out in Davos and
[6:18] ego fight each other and compare whose
[6:21] private parts are bigger. Uh, this clip
[6:24] from Howard Lutnik should put your jaw
[6:27] on the floor. Um, the United States is
[6:31] explicitly opting out of globalism,
[6:35] which is effectively explicitly opting
[6:37] out of the current version iteration of
[6:41] the world reserve currency. Um, he
[6:43] explicitly says globalism did not work
[6:46] for the United States and I'm here to
[6:49] say we're done with it. which is I mean
[6:53] I can't even put into words the
[6:55] precedent of how big of a deal that is.
[6:58] People say why is gold up so much? Um
[7:02] cuz sitting US officials are saying
[7:05] stuff like this. Let me mute myself and
[7:07] play the clip.
[7:11] >> Okay.
[7:12] >> Okay. We are in Davos at the World
[7:14] Economic Forum and the Trump
[7:17] administration and myself, we are here
[7:19] to make a very clear point.
[7:22] Globalization
[7:24] has failed the West and the United
[7:27] States of America. It's a failed policy.
[7:31] It is what the we has stood for which is
[7:34] export
[7:36] offshore farshore find the cheapest
[7:39] labor in the world and the world is a
[7:41] better place for it. The fact is it has
[7:44] left America behind. It has left the
[7:47] American workers behind and what we are
[7:50] here to say is that America first is a
[7:53] different model. one that we encourage
[7:56] other countries to consider, which is
[7:59] that our workers come first. We can have
[8:03] policies that impact our workers.
[8:07] Sovereignty is your borders. You're
[8:10] entitled to have borders. You shouldn't
[8:12] offshore your medicine. You shouldn't
[8:14] offshore your semiconductors. You
[8:16] shouldn't offshore your entire
[8:18] industrial base and have it be hollowed
[8:20] out beneath you. You should not be
[8:23] dependent for that which is fundamental
[8:26] to your sovereignty on any other nation.
[8:29] And if you're going to be dependent on
[8:31] someone, it darn well better be your
[8:33] best allies. Okay? And so that is a
[8:37] different way of thinking.
[8:41] >> Okay. Oh [laughter] god, every time I
[8:44] watch it, it's crazy. Okay. So what he
[8:49] said, and he didn't mince words at all.
[8:51] I don't even need to like recquote him.
[8:54] Globalism didn't work for us. It's dead.
[8:58] You need to prioritize your own people
[9:00] over others. You need to build your own
[9:02] stuff. And if you're going to export any
[9:06] part of who you are as a nation, your
[9:09] national defense, your food supply, your
[9:11] technology, your robotics, any part, it
[9:14] needs to be with your allies, not your
[9:16] enemies. He's being very direct. It
[9:19] shouldn't be China.
[9:23] Now, you could say, "Well, that's fairly
[9:25] common sense, Jack. Wh why is that
[9:28] news?" Well, the fiat system is entirely
[9:32] built on this concept that the US
[9:34] exports its strength via the dollar and
[9:37] imports real stuff. It actually hasn't
[9:40] been making any of its own things, any
[9:42] of its military defense equipment, any
[9:44] of its iPhones, any of its electronics,
[9:47] any of its cars.
[9:49] And we're going to get into this is what
[9:52] is fiat? What is the policy? This is the
[9:54] triffin dilemma.
[9:56] But this is the first time a sitting
[9:58] administration in the United States
[10:00] since the current iteration of fiat has
[10:02] said there's a fork in the road and we
[10:06] are choosing ourselves. We are out.
[10:08] Screw this. And I'm gonna go now to the
[10:12] next slide. This is a separate video
[10:15] from Carney, excuse me, Mark Carney of
[10:18] Canada. Um,
[10:21] I have it timestamped. I want you guys
[10:22] to listen very closely. Um, Mark says
[10:26] that the system has ruptured.
[10:30] This is not a this is not a transition.
[10:32] This isn't an idea. This isn't a
[10:34] Republican thing.
[10:35] He's being very clear here and this is
[10:38] from someone that you know not the
[10:40] United States, not a major power, not a
[10:43] major nation, not US or China. What are
[10:46] the rest of the nations in the world?
[10:47] What are they supposed to do as a
[10:49] reaction to the fact that the United
[10:51] States is backing down from globalism
[10:54] from the very system that they
[10:55] implemented?
[10:57] Let's listen to what he said.
[10:59] >> Let me be direct. We are in the midst of
[11:02] a rupture, not a transition. Over the
[11:06] past two decades, a series of crises in
[11:08] finance, health, energy, and geopolitics
[11:11] have laid bare the risks of extreme
[11:12] global integration. But more recently,
[11:16] great powers have begun using economic
[11:18] integration as weapons, tariffs as
[11:21] leverage, financial infrastructure as
[11:23] coercion, supply chains as
[11:25] vulnerabilities to be exploited.
[11:28] You cannot live within the lie of mutual
[11:31] benefit through integration. When
[11:33] integration becomes the source of your
[11:36] subordination,
[11:40] >> again not mincing words,
[11:43] Mark Carney says very clear, this is a
[11:46] rupture. The old system is dead. We are
[11:50] entering new grounds. Things like
[11:52] tariffs are not only being weaponized,
[11:54] but they're they're drawing boundaries.
[11:58] They're reordering capital flows.
[12:01] What we know as the world of the past is
[12:04] the past. It's over.
[12:08] And guys, I cannot underscore enough the
[12:11] magnitude of these words and who they're
[12:14] coming from.
[12:17] This is plain English. The monetary
[12:20] system is changing. And listen, I know
[12:22] the Bitcoin price has not been the first
[12:24] to react, obviously. And all it takes is
[12:27] opening my comment section or looking at
[12:29] my notifications on Twitter to see
[12:31] people are frustrated by that. And I get
[12:32] that and we'll talk about that. But just
[12:35] take a step back and realize the
[12:36] timeline we're living through. I built
[12:39] this slide deck by talking to my AI. All
[12:43] the slides you guys see, I didn't use my
[12:45] hands. I built software with my hands so
[12:49] that my computer can listen to my ideas
[12:51] and put the slides together for me. So,
[12:53] I'm talking to my computer, which is
[12:55] making a presentation where I can show
[12:57] you guys my opinion on how fiat currency
[13:00] is dying and we're moving towards
[13:02] neutral assets. We're moving back to
[13:04] being governed by reality, by mother
[13:07] nature, by the universe.
[13:11] I mean, I every time I watch these
[13:13] clips, I've watched all of these
[13:14] multiple times. It's insane.
[13:17] Let's go to the next slide. So just more
[13:20] credibility to these ideas and all that
[13:22] transpired in Davos over the last week.
[13:24] This headline from Fortune where Ray
[13:26] Dalio says we have to print money or the
[13:29] whole thing's falling going to collapse
[13:30] and fall apart. So the headline from
[13:32] Fortune reads Ray Dalio warns that the
[13:35] monetary order is breaking down leaving
[13:37] us with a terrible choice. Do you print
[13:39] money or let a debt crisis happen?
[13:43] Guys, I this headline is not AI.
[13:45] [laughter]
[13:46] This is a real headline. I didn't I
[13:49] didn't make this up. This was published
[13:51] on January 21st from Fortune.
[13:54] This isn't a quote from the Jack Maller
[13:56] show. This isn't a quote from Michael
[13:58] Sailor. This isn't a quote from Bitcoin
[14:00] magazine. This is Ray Dalio in Fortune
[14:02] magazine saying, "Do you print the money
[14:05] or do you let a debt crisis happen?
[14:09] Why is gold going up? Why is silver
[14:11] going up? Why are sovereign debt yields
[14:14] going up?
[14:16] Guys, it's over. Now, how quick it
[14:19] happens, I don't know. I've told you
[14:22] guys time and time again, I'm happy to
[14:24] give my predictions, but they're
[14:25] probably wrong when it comes to price. I
[14:28] don't know when. I I know what is going
[14:31] to happen. I don't know when. Who knows?
[14:34] But it's happening. I mean, the last
[14:36] week was a monumental shift. And you
[14:38] could just look at a gold chart, see,
[14:40] oh, this is what gold has been front
[14:42] running. Oh, this is what silver is
[14:44] reacting to. Oh, this is why Japan
[14:47] yields. This is why the Fed is
[14:49] intervening. Well, technically the
[14:51] Treasur is intervening in Japan.
[14:55] Look at this.
[14:58] Gold up 82 and a half% over the last
[15:03] year, over $5,000 an ounce. Silver up
[15:07] over 260%
[15:09] over the last year, up over $100 an
[15:12] ounce.
[15:14] These markets, these metals are reacting
[15:16] to new policy, to a new structural
[15:19] change.
[15:22] Specifically, metals are
[15:25] reacting to too many paper claims and
[15:28] they're repricing themselves to the real
[15:31] world.
[15:33] We are seeing structural change.
[15:37] So, my idea for the presentation was to
[15:40] actually take a step back. You know, I
[15:43] pride this show on trying to be a common
[15:46] man making sense of the world for the
[15:48] common man. I'm just a dude. I think a
[15:51] lot of this show is humanizing all this
[15:53] stuff. I'm just a dude who has his
[15:55] flaws, who sits in the empty closet, and
[15:58] we just try and make sense of all this
[15:59] stuff. Really, it's not that
[16:01] complicated, and I think it's important
[16:02] that everybody can understand. So the
[16:05] next few chapters are going to take a
[16:06] step back, walk through history together
[16:08] to understand what is this policy Jack
[16:11] is talking about. What is the trip
[16:13] dilemma? What is the current fiat
[16:14] system? What exactly did we create and
[16:16] why is it ending? So this chapter is the
[16:20] original deal after World War II. This
[16:23] all started after World War II. Okay, so
[16:27] let's step through it.
[16:29] Um Bretton Woods. So, those of you that
[16:33] have been in American history class are
[16:35] probably familiar, but in case you're
[16:37] not, there's the Brettonwoods system. We
[16:40] came to the Brettonwoods agreement. And
[16:42] the Bretonwoods agreement was fairly
[16:43] simple. So, imagine post World War II
[16:46] all the way back then almost a hundred
[16:48] years ago. Imagine the world. Everyone's
[16:51] devastated. So much murder, so much
[16:53] death, so much destruction. So not only
[16:56] the loss of human lives but the loss of
[16:58] manufacturing sites in ability to create
[17:01] things food crop. Imagine sovereign
[17:04] nations utterly and completely destroyed
[17:07] all throughout Europe, all throughout
[17:08] Asia, all throughout the whole world.
[17:12] America stood the strongest. Okay, I
[17:15] would say there is no winner of a world
[17:17] war. But if there was someone who
[17:20] survived the strongest, it was the
[17:22] United States. the strongest
[17:24] manufacturing capabilities, the
[17:26] strongest economy, the strongest
[17:27] financially. And the Bretonwood system
[17:30] was supposedly designed to export
[17:34] America's stability and power. So if you
[17:37] look at the diagram on the left, it was
[17:40] taking the US's stability and power and
[17:43] trying to export it. And the way they
[17:46] designed the system is they said the
[17:48] dollar is backed by gold. the US had the
[17:52] most gold in the world and the dollar is
[17:55] redeemable by gold. And then we're going
[17:56] to peg your currencies, your weaker
[17:59] currencies to the dollar. So your
[18:02] currencies to the dollar, the dollar to
[18:04] gold and this whole $35 for an ounce of
[18:07] gold that you hear about today and how
[18:10] the Treasury should, you know, basically
[18:12] refresh the gold price on their balance
[18:15] sheet so that they can get more money
[18:17] into the TGA. Where's that $35 come
[18:21] from? That $35 per ounce came from this
[18:23] Brettonwood system post World War II.
[18:26] And so again, the idea was the US can
[18:28] export its strength via the dollar. How
[18:30] do we give people the strength of our
[18:32] economy, the strength of our
[18:33] manufacturing base, the strength of our
[18:36] country? Well, we were going to do it
[18:38] through our currency. And everyone
[18:40] else's weaker currency was going to be
[18:42] pegged to ours. And the deal was, hey,
[18:44] we'll export our currency and we'll
[18:46] allow you guys to make us electronics,
[18:49] you guys make us automobiles, you guys
[18:52] make us food, you guys make us military
[18:55] equipment, and we're going to do that as
[18:57] a favor. Again, this is an American
[19:00] reciting history from my American
[19:02] history classes. Now, is this the truth?
[19:05] Is this how it actually went down? I
[19:07] don't know. We don't know, right?
[19:09] History is written by the victors. I'm
[19:11] not sure. But theoretically, the idea
[19:14] was, let's let everyone get up off their
[19:17] feet after pure destruction by letting
[19:20] them produce stuff for us. We'll import
[19:22] their stuff that will give them local
[19:23] jobs, local economy, help strengthen
[19:25] their currencies back, and we will
[19:27] export them the dollar, which is in
[19:29] effect exporting our strength, power,
[19:32] and stability. Okay. Now, we go on. The
[19:36] world ended up being rebuilt on the US
[19:39] dollar. So as of Q4 of 2022,
[19:43] the global FX reserves by currency, the
[19:45] United States was nearly 60% and behind
[19:48] that Europe was 20%. So the US combined
[19:50] with Europe was nearly 80% of XF XF FX
[19:54] excuse me, reserves by currency. And so
[19:57] what you end up getting on this system
[19:59] is value compounds and then you end up
[20:01] getting network effects and economies of
[20:03] scale where as the world reserve
[20:05] currency you know listen if the Nigerian
[20:09] Naira wants to do crosscurrency swap
[20:11] into the Ganaian SETI they actually
[20:13] don't have enough liquidity amongst each
[20:15] other to do a direct exchange. So the
[20:18] Naira has to exchange into the dollar
[20:20] then the dollar is used to exchange into
[20:21] the SETI. Why? trust, liquidity, network
[20:25] effects, economies of scale. And so the
[20:28] world as we know it was entirely rebuilt
[20:32] on the US dollar on the back of Breton
[20:35] Woods. Now, what's the cost of this
[20:39] system? Think of it this way. We were
[20:42] helping out everyone else again in
[20:45] theory by exporting our strength. Um,
[20:50] nothing in life is free. Everything has
[20:52] a cost. You know, these sound simple,
[20:55] but if you listen to enough politicians
[20:57] and you try and understand history,
[21:00] somehow these ideas get convoluted.
[21:02] Okay? You by taking your strength and
[21:05] giving it to other people, you
[21:07] inherently are making yourself weaker,
[21:09] right?
[21:11] And one of the hidden costs is that when
[21:16] you are the world reserve currency and
[21:19] you are simply exporting your currency
[21:22] to other nations and importing their
[21:25] stuff, which was the agreement,
[21:28] you end up running a massive negative
[21:30] account balance. You run these
[21:32] persistent deficits.
[21:35] Think about it. If the United States is
[21:37] making its own stuff, it doesn't need to
[21:39] import from Europe. It doesn't need to
[21:41] import from China. It doesn't need to
[21:42] import from Japan. So the rule is the US
[21:46] makes nothing and imports everything.
[21:50] And then everyone gets dollars. We get
[21:53] their stuff. What happens over time,
[21:56] especially once we close the gold
[21:57] window. Look at look at our US current
[22:00] account balance. Dollars go out, goods
[22:03] and debt come in. That's what it means
[22:06] to be the world reserve currency. When
[22:08] you hear economists and when you hear
[22:10] influencers online say things like China
[22:13] doesn't want to be the world reserve
[22:14] currency. They want gold to be the world
[22:16] reserve currency. You have to understand
[22:19] where that idea is coming from. No.
[22:21] After watching what the United States
[22:23] has gone through, nobody wants to be the
[22:25] world reserve currency.
[22:27] Your currency goes out. Debt and other
[22:29] people's produced goods come in. Okay.
[22:32] So now let's fast forward to 1971 where
[22:35] we officially divorced from what I call
[22:38] reality, the moment fiat could be
[22:40] printed out of thin air. So this is the
[22:43] famed Nixon closing the gold window
[22:46] where he came out and he said, "We're
[22:48] severing the link between dollars and
[22:50] gold." So mind you, if I go back some
[22:52] slides to Bretton Woods, the whole
[22:53] structure is that the US had all this
[22:55] gold, all this economic power, all this
[22:58] manufacturing power, and we're going to
[22:59] export that stability to the rest of the
[23:01] world by exporting our currency backed
[23:03] by gold. Now, some decades later,
[23:07] clearly we didn't have the gold to back
[23:09] it. Clearly, we were relying on money
[23:11] printing. And here's the thing. Any good
[23:13] empire, any empire at all, if you recall
[23:16] through history, any empire has very
[23:18] easy low-level productivity gains. In
[23:21] the beginning, it was very easy for the
[23:23] United States. Had a strong
[23:24] manufacturing base. And in fact,
[23:26] America's strength was built after the
[23:28] Great Depression where we wiped out all
[23:30] debt. We wiped out all leverage. And and
[23:33] back to first principles, you w you let
[23:36] the free market run its course. You wipe
[23:38] out those that need it. Like the the
[23:40] whole idea of the free market is if it's
[23:42] not meant to last, it shall die. That's
[23:44] the Darwinism, right? That's the idea of
[23:47] scientific evolution, idea of free
[23:50] market. And if if you recall history,
[23:53] America's strength and its good times
[23:56] were built on the back of bad times. You
[23:58] guys know how the saying goes. Good
[24:01] times
[24:02] create weak men. Weak men
[24:06] Oh, good times. Wait, now I don't know
[24:09] how it goes.
[24:11] Hard times create strong men. Strong men
[24:13] create good times. Good times create
[24:16] weak men. Weak men create hard times.
[24:18] There we go. That's it. So, the Great
[24:20] Depression was hard times. Those hard
[24:22] times create strong men, strong economy,
[24:25] no leverage,
[24:27] right? Free market.
[24:31] So, anyways, we move on.
[24:33] What happens after we sever our
[24:35] relationship with gold, which by the way
[24:37] makes printing new US currencies
[24:40] limitless. You could print money
[24:41] whenever you want because you're not
[24:43] governed by mother nature. You're not
[24:46] governed by the laws of the universe.
[24:49] Before to theoretically, now who knows
[24:51] what they were actually doing, but in
[24:53] theory to make a US dollar, you had to
[24:56] have the equivalent in gold. And you
[24:57] can't print gold out of thin air. You
[24:59] got to mine it out of the ground. Gold
[25:01] is governed by mother nature. Gold is
[25:03] governed by the universe. I've said time
[25:04] and time again on this show, I think
[25:06] humans are meant to be governed by
[25:09] mother nature. The closer we are to
[25:12] nature, the more we prosper if you look
[25:15] throughout history. And I think human
[25:17] beings have this eb and flow where we
[25:20] innovate, we create, and sometimes we
[25:22] find ourselves astray and too far from
[25:24] nature and then we whiplash back because
[25:28] it doesn't work.
[25:29] And so in my opinion, severing from
[25:32] gold, closing the gold window was
[25:35] closing our connection, our
[25:38] connectivity, our ability to be governed
[25:40] and constrained by reality. All of a
[25:43] sudden, we were living in La La Land.
[25:45] All of a sudden, we are living in
[25:46] abstract ideas made up from a bunch of
[25:50] central planning humans. What's the
[25:52] result of that? Well, look at the US's
[25:54] debt to GDP. Our debt to GDP today now
[25:57] exceeds the debt to GDP during the World
[26:00] Wars. Put that into perspective. We have
[26:04] wartime financing today and nothing is
[26:08] wrong. Well, you guys know what I'm
[26:11] saying. There's plenty wrong in the
[26:12] world. In fact, there's more wrong today
[26:14] than arguably ever before. But not world
[26:17] war wrong. There isn't a lot of hot war.
[26:19] There isn't a lot of kinetic war.
[26:23] And you could see, you know, once we
[26:25] severed ourselves from the gold window
[26:27] and then especially once China joined
[26:29] the World Trade Organization,
[26:31] it was all bets are off. All bets are
[26:34] off. So, let's talk about Triffin's
[26:36] dilemma. I I reference it frequently,
[26:38] but I want to make sure I define it
[26:40] specifically. So, Triffin's dilemma.
[26:42] Triffin was an economist back in the day
[26:44] and he was very straightforward in the
[26:47] idea that being a world reserve currency
[26:50] comes with a trade-off and it's not free
[26:52] lunch. Nothing is free and you are
[26:55] sacrificing your own domestic population
[26:57] for the benefit of everyone else around
[26:59] the world and you basically have to
[27:01] choose. The dilemma is do you focus on
[27:03] yourself in your own country or do you
[27:06] focus on everybody else? Okay. And here
[27:09] is kind of the self-referential loop
[27:12] that basically defines Triffin's dilemma
[27:14] in my opinion. At the top, you're the
[27:16] global reserve currency.
[27:19] As you're the world reserve currency,
[27:21] people have demand for your currency.
[27:23] They need to hold your currency in
[27:24] reserves. They need to hold your
[27:26] currency for trade. They have debt in
[27:28] your currency. So when debt comes due or
[27:30] when they need to borrow more, they need
[27:31] your currency. What about crosscurrency
[27:33] swap? Like I had mentioned, they need
[27:35] your currency. So your currency has a
[27:37] premium. Your currency is always in
[27:39] demand. How do you meet the demand of
[27:42] your currency? Well, you have to run a
[27:44] deficit. Basically, you have to print
[27:46] more dollars than you make. You have to
[27:48] run a negative balance because the world
[27:51] needs more dollars and you need stuff.
[27:54] So, you run persistent deficits. What
[27:57] does that do? Well, that hollows out
[27:59] your domestic production, your domestic
[28:01] population. It destroys your middle
[28:02] class. We're not going to have jobs for
[28:06] people that are making cars, that are
[28:08] making clothes, that are making food,
[28:10] that are making iPhones, that are making
[28:11] electronics. Those jobs need to be
[28:14] overseas.
[28:15] What is our job? Printing money.
[28:19] So the coasts of America, boom,
[28:23] boom.
[28:25] Because we design the products for our
[28:27] population. We're the biggest consumers
[28:29] in the world, right? Because we print
[28:30] money, we export the money, and we
[28:32] import all this stuff. So, we consume
[28:34] like crazy.
[28:37] And so, our companies design the
[28:39] products we're consuming. Apple designs
[28:41] the iPhone. They just don't make it. So,
[28:44] California and New York, boom,
[28:48] because they are beneficiaries of this
[28:51] system of the money printer.
[28:54] You're either founding Apple or you're
[28:56] on Wall Street. You're
[28:58] hyperfinancializing or you're building
[29:00] consumer technology products. And
[29:02] consumer technology products aren't
[29:03] specifically tied to being the world
[29:05] reserve currency, but they just happen
[29:06] to be, you know, modernday product
[29:09] market fit, the time we're living in.
[29:13] And then this this circle just keeps
[29:15] spinning and it keeps spinning. So
[29:17] you're the global reserve currency,
[29:19] which means everyone else has demand for
[29:21] your currency, which gives it artificial
[29:23] strength, right? Blah blah blah. We've
[29:24] talked about this. Which means that you
[29:26] have to run deficits to give everyone
[29:28] the currency that they have demand for.
[29:30] Which means you're hollowing out your
[29:32] own country,
[29:34] which means you need to print more money
[29:35] as the world reserve currency, which
[29:37] increases the demand for the dollar,
[29:39] which means you have to grow your
[29:40] deficits, which means you're hollowing
[29:42] out further. And this circle spins and
[29:45] it spins and it gets faster and it gets
[29:46] faster and it gets faster until it
[29:48] collapses.
[29:50] And we're at the collapse part.
[29:53] The wealth gap inside of the United
[29:54] States has never been bigger. The chaos,
[29:59] political infighting, I mean,
[30:01] assassination levels in the United
[30:02] States are at levels only rivaling the
[30:05] mid1 1800s, which was the Civil War.
[30:09] Like, the system has run its course.
[30:11] It's destroyed the country. It's
[30:12] destroyed the middle class. It's
[30:14] destroyed the world. And so, just to put
[30:17] this into context in real life, so what
[30:21] do I mean by this?
[30:23] We, let's just take the iPhone for
[30:25] example, iPhones, electronics, cars, all
[30:28] of that is made in China primarily. All
[30:30] of our stuff. And so we send the dollars
[30:34] out overseas. Overseas makes our [ __ ]
[30:36] they send the [ __ ] in. And it's this
[30:39] feedback loop. Okay? And if you look at
[30:42] our trade deficit, and again, China
[30:44] joined the WTO, the World Trade
[30:46] Organization, December of 2001.
[30:49] And so I I frame this from that era and
[30:53] you can just see the utter and complete
[30:54] collapse of our trade deficit
[30:58] and especially after COVID
[31:02] um it was just a ticking time bomb. And
[31:04] as Bitcoiners, we're all familiar with
[31:06] this right now. Maybe some of these
[31:07] concepts are a little confusing or you
[31:10] felt were over your head. Hopefully
[31:11] they're more attainable and achievable
[31:13] and and uh easy to understand on the
[31:15] show, but we know this. You can't just
[31:17] print money out of thin air. That
[31:19] doesn't have any value, right? That
[31:22] can't work forever. Well, that can't
[31:24] work forever. It's ending now. That's
[31:26] what Howard Lutnick said at Davos.
[31:28] That's what Scott Besson said at Davos.
[31:30] That's what Ray Dalio told Fortune that
[31:33] headline. That's what Mark Carney of
[31:34] Canada said. Hey guys, wake up. It's
[31:37] over. The US isn't our friend. I'll put
[31:41] it to you this way. That may not be
[31:42] true. The US isn't prioritizing us over
[31:45] themselves, us over their people.
[31:51] We're turning back to a world where it's
[31:52] every man for himself, which by the way,
[31:55] like not this again, it's not a
[31:57] political show. It's just the way it
[31:59] should be.
[32:02] Everyone should have to be a productive
[32:05] person, family, company, nation.
[32:09] Meaning, you produce more than you
[32:10] consume. That's it.
[32:13] We should all be governed by that. Be
[32:15] productive. Make the world a better
[32:16] place. If you consume more than you
[32:19] produce, if you are a net negative to
[32:20] the world, then the free market should
[32:22] expune of you. Your business should go
[32:24] under. No one should continue to finance
[32:27] your lifestyle.
[32:29] Right?
[32:34] So, the fork in the road. uh are we
[32:37] going to continue to support globalism
[32:38] or is the United States going to try and
[32:40] be a sovereign nation and fix its
[32:42] issues? And the point is you can't have
[32:45] both. We've kind of exhausted this
[32:47] point, but again, just to be clear, you
[32:50] have globalism or you can be sovereign.
[32:52] You can't have both. Globalism means you
[32:54] got to supply the world with dollars,
[32:56] persistent trade deficits, offshore your
[32:58] production, but you do get extremely
[33:00] cheap imports. So, you know, the
[33:03] American that thinks being born in
[33:05] America just means that I get to a
[33:07] guzzling twocar garage that's just
[33:09] guzzling oil and energy like crazy. And
[33:12] of course, I have a washing machine. Of
[33:13] course, I have television. Of course, I
[33:15] have all this energy expensive stuff.
[33:18] Well, we've had extremely cheap imports
[33:20] on the back half of being the world
[33:21] reserve currency. And we get the benefit
[33:24] to just print time and energy. I've
[33:26] discussed frequently money is time and
[33:27] energy in an abstracted form. and you
[33:30] effectively get to print it. It's as
[33:32] close as we've ever come to time travel
[33:33] in that way. That's globalism. Now,
[33:36] sovereignty is we got to reshore
[33:39] production. We have to secure our own
[33:40] supply chains. We have to reduce our
[33:42] deficits.
[33:44] We have to increase our domestic costs.
[33:47] What's another way of saying that?
[33:48] Inflation. Things are going to be more
[33:50] expensive. If you want a two-car garage,
[33:52] you're going to have to pay for that
[33:53] energy. It doesn't just come with being
[33:55] a US citizen. and you lose the privilege
[33:58] of being able to print time and energy.
[34:00] Not everyone is going to store their
[34:01] reserves in your currency so you don't
[34:03] get to steal from them by debasing them.
[34:09] You have to pick one.
[34:12] And the point is here's what I need
[34:14] everyone to understand. The gravity of
[34:16] the last week the United States has
[34:19] decided.
[34:22] Now, if you guys want in Q&A, we can
[34:25] have a totally separate conversation of,
[34:27] well, what would I have decided? Well,
[34:29] what do you guys think? Well, what does
[34:31] that guy think versus that guy think?
[34:33] But I'm here to tell you, none of that
[34:35] matters. It doesn't matter what you
[34:38] think. It doesn't matter what I think.
[34:41] It matters what the United States thinks
[34:44] and what the United States has decided.
[34:46] It also matters what mother nature
[34:49] governs and what reality will enforce.
[34:53] It's over
[34:56] and and everyone need the quicker you
[34:59] understand that the better off you'll
[35:01] be.
[35:03] Here's some oneliners that paraphrase a
[35:06] lot of the messaging I'm trying to to
[35:08] deliver. Nobody will save you.
[35:12] No government, no institution, no
[35:16] corporate leader,
[35:18] no monetary policy, no feder
[35:22] Be responsible for yourself. Be
[35:24] sovereign. Be family driven. Be
[35:26] communitydriven.
[35:27] Earn more than you spend. Save.
[35:32] Use hard assets. Be healthy.
[35:38] The world is correcting back to reality.
[35:41] The collective idea of the West in this
[35:44] fiat era that we're living in, it's got
[35:47] a margin call. Look at these headlines.
[35:50] Globalization is a failed policy. US
[35:52] Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnik at
[35:54] Davos Summit. Ray Dalio warns that
[35:57] capital wars could follow Trump's
[35:59] actions with countries dumping US
[36:00] assets. Sweden's Electa sold most of its
[36:04] US treasuries since early 2025. Trump
[36:07] threatens Canada with 100% tariffs if it
[36:10] makes a deal with China.
[36:13] It's over.
[36:15] It's over. And as Bitcoiners,
[36:20] so much of the power of this asset and
[36:23] this technology
[36:25] is we can provide a prosperous future to
[36:27] ourselves. Listen, I want nothing more
[36:30] than everybody to be prosperous and for
[36:32] the world to be a better place. And I'm
[36:34] willing to die on that hill.
[36:37] I am.
[36:41] But
[36:43] it is unfortunately the case that you
[36:45] can only help someone else so much.
[36:48] We've all been there. Dude, please buy
[36:50] Bitcoin. Please look into it. Please
[36:51] understand macroeconomics. Please
[36:53] understand the geopolitical landscape.
[36:55] Please.
[36:56] Sometimes people aren't ready. But what
[36:59] I urge everyone who is listening to
[37:01] this, who does own some Bitcoin, guys,
[37:04] it's it's here. It's here. Now, how fast
[37:08] is it going to change?
[37:10] the gravity in which it will change, how
[37:13] intense that will be. Well, that
[37:15] depends. Who are you? Where are you
[37:17] living? What do you want in your life?
[37:20] That comes back to this idea of like be
[37:22] responsible for you.
[37:25] Harmony will be restored in society when
[37:27] self-responsibility is restored again.
[37:31] Don't look to me. Don't look to a
[37:33] president. Don't look to anyone else but
[37:35] you. What do you want out of your life?
[37:37] What do you want out of your family?
[37:39] What do you want for this world? What
[37:40] legacy do you want to leave behind? But
[37:43] it's happening now. And I find that
[37:45] exciting. A lot of Bitcoiners right now
[37:48] are down in the dumps. I'm fired up.
[37:50] What timeline would you rather be living
[37:52] in than right now? Satoshi blessed us
[37:55] with the greatest invention of our
[37:57] lifetime. The monetary era. Once in a
[38:00] century monetary regime change and
[38:03] intelligence, the marginal cost of
[38:05] intelligence in creating software is
[38:07] zero.
[38:12] So, let's talk about um more recent
[38:15] stuff. Let's tie this all to uh gold and
[38:17] silver running. Why is gold and silver
[38:19] going up so much, Jack? What the hell's
[38:21] going on? Well, um here's the deal. When
[38:24] the United States creates this world
[38:26] reserve currency system of the US
[38:28] dollar, okay,
[38:30] uh it it hyper financializes. Our
[38:32] greatest export is the dollar and
[38:35] financial instruments. So our greatest
[38:37] minds, think about this. Our greatest
[38:38] minds inside the United States, all the
[38:40] guys that go to Harvard, all all the
[38:42] girls that go to Stanford, what are they
[38:44] working on? What are they doing?
[38:46] Primarily creating highfrequency trading
[38:49] firms, options contracts, futures
[38:52] contracts.
[38:53] They're not creating new ways to
[38:56] manufacture electronics.
[38:59] Up until recently, they're not working
[39:01] on harvesting cheaper energy. The story
[39:04] of humanity is being able to
[39:05] commercialize energy from that bright
[39:08] yellow thing in the sky. That's the
[39:10] story of our whole species.
[39:13] Meanwhile, the brightest minds in the
[39:15] greatest country of the world are
[39:17] working on hyper financialized
[39:20] derivative contracts.
[39:22] That's what pays them the most. That's
[39:24] what gets them the bonus. That's what
[39:25] gets them the house. That's what allows
[39:26] them to have kids. What is the result of
[39:29] that? Our entire financial system is
[39:32] based on paper claims.
[39:35] Bitcoiners will recognize this as not
[39:37] your keys, not your coins. Institutions
[39:40] have gold and silver exposure, but
[39:43] through futures,
[39:46] through paper contracts, they don't hold
[39:48] physical gold. They don't have physical
[39:50] silver.
[39:53] What is happening to gold and silver?
[39:56] This is when paper exposure meets
[39:59] [ __ ] reality. Welcome to the real
[40:02] world. Welcome to the show. All these
[40:04] paper claims need to be physically
[40:06] settled. Whoops. We don't have all of
[40:10] the gold and all of the silver that back
[40:12] your paper claims. We had built this
[40:14] entire financial system on trust, on
[40:16] promises, and on paper.
[40:21] So the before financial system, all you
[40:25] needed was financial exposure. You
[40:27] didn't need the real thing. Cash
[40:28] settled, no delivery.
[40:31] Now we're in a race for minerals. The
[40:34] war is about resources. The war is about
[40:37] supply chains. Guess what is needed to
[40:41] scale AI? Take a wild guess. Silver.
[40:47] Do you think Sam Alman, Elon Musk,
[40:51] Google, Mark Zuckerberg, do you think
[40:53] that they can build AI server farms with
[40:56] your silver futures contract? Or do you
[40:59] think they need the actual metal
[41:04] after the United States sanctioned
[41:06] Russia in 2022 and after Trump is
[41:09] running around tariffing everyone and
[41:10] saying, "Fuck you. It's America over
[41:13] everybody."
[41:14] Do you want your gold in a futures
[41:16] contract in London or New York? Or do
[41:19] you want it in a vault in your country
[41:22] behind armed men?
[41:26] Which one?
[41:30] That's what I thought.
[41:33] Now, let's understand Japan and what's
[41:35] going on in Japan. The canary in the
[41:37] coal mine, the straw that broke the
[41:39] United States back. That's what I have
[41:41] as the subheader here. Um, so first of
[41:44] all, let's understand what's the
[41:46] problem. Bye-bye to longdated bonds. So
[41:49] just again for you guys to understand
[41:52] bond math. When bond yields go up, that
[41:55] means bond demand is down. When people
[41:58] are selling these things, so let's say
[42:00] someone's dumping the crap out of bonds.
[42:04] Well, what that's basically saying is
[42:05] there's not enough demand, let's say, at
[42:07] 2%. And so if people are selling,
[42:10] selling, selling, selling, that drives
[42:11] the yield up. Well, then what about
[42:13] 2.1%, 2.2%, 2.3%. How high do the yields
[42:17] have to be for demand to meet supply
[42:20] again? Does that make sense? And so when
[42:23] you see yields go up in a bond market,
[42:26] that means that people don't want them.
[42:28] That whatever yield they were before
[42:30] wasn't good enough. They weren't getting
[42:32] compensated enough. And so Japan's
[42:35] long-dated bonds, so longdated meaning
[42:38] right now we're looking at the 30-year,
[42:39] the 40-year, or even the 10-year, the
[42:41] yields are going skyrocketing high. So
[42:44] people are saying, giving me 0% or 50
[42:48] basis points on a 30-year bond in Japan
[42:50] is no longer going to cut it. I need
[42:52] more than that. Why? Well, for the
[42:55] longest time, Japan's rates were zero.
[42:58] In fact, sometimes they were negative.
[43:00] You would get paid to borrow money. This
[43:03] doesn't make any sense. The cost of
[43:04] money can't be zero. It doesn't make any
[43:06] sense. I get up, I go to work, I spend
[43:08] my time, my energy, I sacrifice, and the
[43:10] cost of what I'm getting in return is
[43:12] worthless. That doesn't make any [ __ ]
[43:14] It's the dumbest thing. Our kids and
[43:17] grandchildren and great great
[43:19] grandchildren will look back at the time
[43:21] now and be like, "What idiots? What? You
[43:24] guys accepted fiat currency in return
[43:27] for going to work? You utter and
[43:29] complete moron."
[43:32] The rates in Japan were negative. So you
[43:34] get paid to borrow what you're getting
[43:37] compensated for to do work, you idiot.
[43:40] Okay. Anyways,
[43:42] Japan had such a long stretch of low
[43:46] rates that inevitably what's that do
[43:49] guys? We know this. It intrus introduces
[43:51] inflation.
[43:53] When the amount of currency in the
[43:56] market starts to exceed and outgrows the
[43:59] amount of stuff people are buying, well
[44:01] then there is inflation. The cost of the
[44:04] goods and the services goes up when
[44:06] priced in the currency. Okay? And so why
[44:08] are yields going up? Well, Japanese
[44:10] investors, people lending to the
[44:12] government are saying, "We're expecting
[44:14] lots and lots and lots of inflation.
[44:15] We're experiencing lots and lots and
[44:17] lots of inflation. if I'm going to
[44:18] continue to lend to you, I need to be
[44:21] compensated for that inflation. And
[44:23] that's exactly why we're why we're
[44:25] seeing this happen. Now, what does this
[44:28] have to do with the United States? Why
[44:30] is the United States talking about
[44:32] bailing out? Why are markets reacting to
[44:34] this? Well, it's fairly simple. First of
[44:36] all, let's take a look at this uh
[44:39] headline. So, yen jumps most since
[44:41] August as risk of intervention ramps up.
[44:44] And then the zero hedge headline,
[44:46] Japan's Mamura keeping close contact
[44:49] with US on Forex. So this is you guys
[44:52] [snorts] smell that.
[44:54] That's the money printers revving up.
[44:58] Revving up. Revving up. The rates go
[45:00] first, the currencies go next.
[45:03] What's going on? Darius tweets here,
[45:05] confirmation if the JGB market goes
[45:07] belly up that the US Treasury market is
[45:10] next. Okay. Why is that? Well,
[45:14] Japan is the largest holder of foreign
[45:17] is our largest foreign holder of US
[45:19] treasuries. Okay? They hold over a
[45:21] trillion dollars of treasuries. Think of
[45:23] it this way.
[45:25] So, here's kind of the flow of funds
[45:27] during the fiat era, the Triffins
[45:29] dilemma, all the things we reviewed. We
[45:31] export the dollars, right? And we import
[45:33] everyone else's stuff that they're
[45:34] making. basically our jobs locally here
[45:37] in America to make the clothes, to make
[45:39] the phones, to make the TVs, to make the
[45:40] cars, to make uh the rare earths, to
[45:43] make the military equipment, all those
[45:45] jobs are gone. You're either on Wall
[45:47] Street, you're in Silicon Valley, or
[45:49] you're broke.
[45:51] Sorry. You're either getting poorer or
[45:53] you're benefiting from asset inflation.
[45:55] That's it. Now, all the dollars we're
[45:58] exporting, what are people doing with
[46:00] those dollars? It's a really important
[46:01] question. you do not invest them locally
[46:04] into your country because that will to
[46:06] make a very long story short that will
[46:08] strengthen your local currency which
[46:10] will make it harder for you to have
[46:13] competitive labor markets. Specifically,
[46:14] China will not do that. So you
[46:16] repatriate the money that you're
[46:18] getting, the dollars you're getting in
[46:19] something else. For the longest time, it
[46:22] was US debt. So the US prints dollars,
[46:25] gives it to us, we take those dollars,
[46:26] and we lend them back into the United
[46:28] States. And it's this obviously the way
[46:30] I just explained it, which is just the
[46:31] flatout truth. It's a perpetual motion
[46:33] machine that ends up collapsing, which
[46:34] is what we're living through right now.
[46:36] But the point is, if Japan ends up
[46:38] having issues,
[46:40] where do they go get money to save
[46:43] themselves?
[46:45] All of their money is in us. [laughter]
[46:49] This is the stack. This is the pyramid
[46:52] scheme, the stack of cards where if you
[46:55] pull one, it's like Jenga. If you pull
[46:57] Japan from the bottom, the whole thing
[46:58] falls apart because all of Japan Japan's
[47:01] money isn't sitting in a gold vault. It
[47:04] isn't sitting in a Bitcoin cold card.
[47:08] It's sitting in the US debt markets.
[47:10] It's sitting in the US stock markets.
[47:13] Oh, Japan needs to bail itself out and
[47:16] save itself and protect its currency.
[47:18] Oh, it needs to sell a bunch of MAG7. It
[47:22] needs to sell a bunch of US debt. So why
[47:25] if Japan goes, does the US face stress?
[47:29] Well, because all of a sudden the
[47:30] largest holder of their debt has to dump
[47:32] that [ __ ]
[47:35] So you see, it's one giant Ponzi scheme.
[47:39] There is no isolation. There is no the
[47:41] US is going to get away with this, but
[47:42] Japan's going to have to take the
[47:44] beating. No, no, no, no. Japan's
[47:48] Japan's money is in us. It's a perpetual
[47:51] motion machine. You see? And so why
[47:55] would we print money if Japan's in
[47:57] trouble? Now let politicians tell it,
[48:00] "Oh, well, we care about Japan. We love
[48:01] Japan. We're going to work on AI
[48:03] together." No, it's the same reason Sam
[48:05] Bankman Freed tried to [ __ ] buy
[48:06] BlockFi because he was trying to protect
[48:08] himself from blowing up. And so what's
[48:11] the quickest way in the and the most
[48:13] politically politically palatable way to
[48:15] default?
[48:17] Via inflation.
[48:20] What what the New York Fed and the US
[48:23] Treasury is proposing if Japan continues
[48:25] to have trouble is we will print dollars
[48:28] and buy Japanese currency to protect you
[48:30] guys. What's another way of saying that?
[48:33] Don't sell your US debt. Don't sell your
[48:36] US stocks. Don't crash our markets,
[48:39] which will bring down US receipts, which
[48:41] will put us in a death spiral. If you
[48:43] crash our bond markets, then we can't
[48:45] borrow. We can't run the deficits. Don't
[48:48] do that. We will just print dollars so
[48:51] that you don't have to. We will steal
[48:53] the time and energy and wealth of the
[48:55] American people and those around the
[48:58] world holding dollars by diluting them,
[49:01] by debasing them. You don't sell your
[49:03] assets. That's what's happening. So why
[49:07] is everyone focused on Japan? What's
[49:09] what's the canary in the coal mine? Why
[49:12] is Japan the straw that could break the
[49:15] US's back? That's why
[49:19] Very simple. Now, going back to gold,
[49:22] going back to metals, here's the
[49:24] question you have to ask yourself. Where
[49:28] where does all this stress and this
[49:30] tension go? Everyone knows energy can't
[49:32] die, right? So, if you have listen,
[49:36] there's all of this wealth that's been
[49:39] created because the reality is the
[49:42] global population has grown to
[49:44] supposedly 8 billion people.
[49:48] We have created a lot of stuff.
[49:53] All the value we've created, all the
[49:55] time, the energy, the money. What can
[49:58] absorb that level of sovereign stress
[50:01] and pressure?
[50:04] And the answer, if you look at a chart,
[50:06] has very obviously been gold.
[50:09] That's where it's all gone.
[50:12] So, if everyone has to find an exit door
[50:14] in an escape valve and get the hell out,
[50:18] what's big enough to absorb it? Because
[50:21] if you're just to make the point clear,
[50:23] well, can we all run into
[50:27] um I don't trying to make up something
[50:30] funny like uh can we all run into
[50:34] Pokemon cards? Can can China run out of
[50:39] sovereign debt and into Pokemon cards?
[50:41] Well, probably not. There's not enough
[50:43] liquidity. They're not sellable. There's
[50:45] not even enough of them. Pokemon cards
[50:48] can't grow to be a 50 trillion dollar
[50:50] market. They can only be so big. They
[50:53] can only be so liquid. They can only be
[50:55] so sellable. They can only, you know,
[50:57] what's their ability to transcend
[51:00] through time? How do I store them
[51:02] safely? What if someone spills on my
[51:04] Pokemon card?
[51:05] Right. So the question is what can
[51:08] expand to 30 trillion, 50 trillion,
[51:12] hundred trillion in size?
[51:15] And the answer that sovereigns have come
[51:16] up with is gold. And the obvious
[51:18] question is why not Bitcoin? I've talked
[51:21] about this on this show. Bitcoin's
[51:23] better than gold. Bitcoin will be the
[51:25] money because I think it just out
[51:27] competes every other money pound for
[51:29] pound, property for property, period.
[51:33] But the problem Bitcoin has today, it
[51:35] just wasn't ready, guys. Like, it's just
[51:37] too small.
[51:39] China needed to I mean, China's trade
[51:42] surplus alone in 2025 was over $1
[51:44] trillion.
[51:46] I just read you guys Bitcoin's market
[51:48] cap during the introduction. What was
[51:49] it? $1.7 trillion something.
[51:53] It's not big enough.
[51:56] China there there's not enough room for
[51:58] China to pour a trillion dollars in. And
[52:00] by the way, they got to pour way more
[52:01] than that. That's just their trade
[52:03] surplus in one calendar year.
[52:07] What about a lot of their other savings
[52:09] and assets? And that's just one country.
[52:15] Bitcoin
[52:16] is gradually catching a sovereign bid.
[52:19] But the biggest biders of Bitcoin right
[52:21] now are ETFs and corporations like
[52:25] Strategy or 21.
[52:29] And that that that doesn't mean that
[52:31] people don't understand what it is and
[52:33] people don't know where it's going. It
[52:35] just it's it's how old it is. It's still
[52:37] a teenager. It's a certain size. Michael
[52:40] Sailor can plow a billion dollars a week
[52:43] into Bitcoin and Bitcoin can absorb that
[52:44] no problem. One one and a half to2
[52:46] trillion dollar asset, no problem.
[52:48] plenty salailable, plenty liquid, easy.
[52:52] China,
[52:54] it's just not big enough. So the thing
[52:57] is gold,
[52:58] gold, the way I would describe gold
[53:01] relieves the pain today.
[53:05] It is not the solution for the future.
[53:07] We all know that. How do I know that? It
[53:10] already failed.
[53:12] Did gold get any more decentralized?
[53:15] Did gold get any faster? Did gold get
[53:17] any lighter? Did gold add any new
[53:19] features? Did gold address any of the
[53:21] reasons that it got demonetized and
[53:23] failed humanity as a money? No. It's not
[53:26] software. We can't make it better. We
[53:28] can't improve it. It's a [ __ ] rock.
[53:33] Gold is simply relieving the pain and
[53:37] the panic today.
[53:39] And I'm excited about this because as a
[53:42] Bitcoiner, I've been in Bitcoin for over
[53:45] 10 years. I've been in Bitcoin for a
[53:48] very long time. Late 2012, early 2013,
[53:52] that's how long I've been in Bitcoin.
[53:53] Okay? I dream of these days. They're
[53:57] real now.
[54:00] We're moving away from sovereign debt.
[54:02] The US is done being the world reserve
[54:05] currency, at least in its current
[54:06] status. I'd be shocked if politicians
[54:08] admitted to what I'm saying in plain
[54:10] English, but whatever. The the the older
[54:13] version of the dollar's dead.
[54:16] That's great. Let gold Let gold absorb
[54:18] the sovereign capital. Let it Bitcoiners
[54:22] should not be upset by this. We should
[54:24] be celebrating this.
[54:26] We are entering a neutral reserve era.
[54:29] Fiat currencies are dead. The free
[54:32] market will elect the winner. Lower your
[54:34] time preference. Be confident in what
[54:37] you own. Bitcoin's fine. It's just too
[54:41] young and too small.
[54:44] How the [ __ ] would Bitcoin absorb
[54:47] trillions of dollars of physical spot by
[54:50] demand? Guys, gold was 10 to 20 times
[54:53] bigger than Bitcoin. And it itself can't
[54:56] even absorb the amount of demand. It
[54:58] looks like a memecoin chart. How the
[55:01] [ __ ] do you think Bitcoin was going to
[55:02] react to that? China would have 10x the
[55:05] price on one order.
[55:10] Hold on. I'm so dark. The sun went down
[55:13] in Chicago. Let me turn on a light.
[55:15] Really short intermission.
[55:19] Two seconds.
[55:33] Okay, we're back.
[55:36] Let's go to the next slide. Sorry about
[55:38] that. Should turn the lights on before I
[55:39] start.
[55:42] Um, so if you look at gold priced in the
[55:48] 10-year, uh, this is real rates, by the
[55:51] way. So reminding you guys, what are
[55:53] real rates? Real rates are if you take
[55:55] the rate that a bond is giving you and
[55:58] you offset it by inflation. So if the US
[56:01] is paying you 2% on a 10-year, but
[56:04] inflation is 6%, you're actually getting
[56:07] negative 4%, right? because yes, you're
[56:09] getting paid 2% in yield, but everything
[56:12] else is getting 6% more expensive. So on
[56:15] net, are you up? No, obviously not.
[56:17] Right? And so if you look at the 10-year
[56:20] real rates, right, you can see on the
[56:22] far left,
[56:24] right around when COVID was starting,
[56:25] real rates were positive. Real rates
[56:27] were about 1%. And now postcoid, bonds
[56:31] through the worst bare market they've
[56:33] ever been through. Bonds are [ __ ]
[56:34] horrible. All these boomers, endowments,
[56:37] institutions getting absolutely wrecked
[56:39] and smoked. 60 portfolios dead. You can
[56:42] see we've had negative real rates.
[56:44] That's financial repression. That's I
[56:47] mean they are the government is stealing
[56:50] money from people lending to it. How are
[56:52] they doing that? Well, they're driving
[56:54] inflation is higher than what they're
[56:56] willing to pay. If you are going to ask
[56:59] for me to lend you money, at the very
[57:01] least you have to compensate me for
[57:03] inflation. Why would I give you money if
[57:06] you're not going to compensate me for
[57:08] how much my the housing prices and the
[57:10] price of eggs and the price of me to
[57:12] travel and go on vacation? If you're not
[57:14] compensating me for that, then you're
[57:15] just stealing from me. [laughter]
[57:18] So anyways, the point is to see gold's
[57:21] performance compared to the 10-year.
[57:24] And the point of this, guys, is think of
[57:26] gold like a bond.
[57:29] The world is moving to a new bond. It
[57:31] pays 0% yield, but it can grow infinite
[57:34] in size and no one can make more of it.
[57:37] Well,
[57:40] you know, how much gold is it out there?
[57:43] Um, is it truly scarce? No, of course
[57:45] not. But you guys get the point.
[57:47] Basically, the world is moving on. The
[57:49] world is moving on. This is a huge,
[57:51] huge, huge deal. Um, one more. I just
[57:55] thought this was crazy. The National
[57:57] Bank of Poland,
[57:59] like it's not a typo. The National Bank
[58:01] of Poland
[58:03] plans to raise its gold reserves 700
[58:06] tons from 550 tons. So, a massive
[58:10] increase of 150 tons of gold from one of
[58:13] the United States allies, like our
[58:16] European ally.
[58:18] And like no one batted an eye,
[58:22] guys. Hello.
[58:24] Like this is not Poland decided to lend
[58:28] a bunch of money to the United States.
[58:29] It's the opposite. Poland said, "Shit,
[58:33] [laughter]
[58:34] it's time to get out of here." That's
[58:37] crazy.
[58:39] That's crazy. These are the headlines
[58:41] that Bitcoiners should be like, "Oh my
[58:43] gosh, it's happening. It's happening."
[58:45] [sighs and gasps]
[58:46] Okay, so now let's talk about Bitcoin.
[58:48] Let's talk about the orange coin because
[58:50] Lord knows if I open the live chat, you
[58:52] guys are going to be all up in arms.
[58:54] Bitcoin's not going up.
[58:56] So now what? Where does Bitcoin fit in
[58:58] all this? Um,
[59:01] let me say something quick.
[59:04] Where is Bitcoin going? Bitcoin is going
[59:06] to be the reserve asset for all of us.
[59:08] Bitcoin is going to be the reserve money
[59:10] for all of us. I pray and I hope that
[59:14] I'm alive for hyper Bitcoinization.
[59:18] I would love nothing more
[59:20] out of my Bitcoin career than for that.
[59:24] Truly, truly, when I sit back and I
[59:26] daydream,
[59:28] I've talked about it. God willing, I I I
[59:32] would want nothing more than to be a
[59:33] father, than to build family. And I
[59:36] would like nothing more out of my
[59:38] career. Strike 21, this show, whatever
[59:42] comes next. As long as we get to hyper
[59:44] Bitcoinization,
[59:46] I will die the happiest man that this
[59:49] species has ever seen. Okay, that's
[59:51] where we're going. Bitcoin solves for
[59:53] all monetary use cases.
[59:56] Now, let's talk about where we are today
[59:59] because I've said this before.
[60:01] Unfortunately, Bitcoin doesn't give a
[60:03] [ __ ] about me. It doesn't give a [ __ ]
[60:05] about you either. Sorry to break it to
[60:07] you. We're on Bitcoin's time. Bitcoin
[60:10] isn't on our time. Time and time again
[60:12] in my career in Bitcoin, what I've seen
[60:14] is people think Bitcoin cares about
[60:16] them. Bitcoin cares about their
[60:17] business. Bitcoin cares about their time
[60:19] preference. People have come and said,
[60:21] "I need Bitcoin to be faster. I need
[60:23] Bitcoin to do this. I need Bitcoin to go
[60:25] up. I need Bitcoin to stop crashing."
[60:27] Bitcoin doesn't give a [ __ ] about you.
[60:30] You're welcome to ride Bitcoin's ride,
[60:33] but Bitcoin's going on its own time, at
[60:35] its own pace, and you're either okay
[60:37] with that or you're wrecked.
[60:40] So, where are we today on Bitcoin's ride
[60:43] right now?
[60:46] I'm overgeneralizing slightly, but what
[60:48] I would say is Bitcoin is not competing
[60:51] with sovereign paper. It's not competing
[60:54] with US treasuries. It's not competing
[60:57] in that market right now. It's just not
[60:58] It's not big enough. It's not it. We're
[61:02] getting there. We got the ETFs. We're
[61:04] growing. We're getting there. I'm not
[61:07] There's a literal strategic reserve from
[61:10] the United States of America. We could
[61:12] pass the Bitcoin Act and be on our way
[61:14] to owning a million bitcoins as a
[61:15] country. We are getting there. You're
[61:17] talking to the guy that helped the first
[61:19] country adopt Bitcoin in El Salvador.
[61:22] Like, trust me, I we're getting there. A
[61:24] lot of blood, sweat, and tears. Like, I
[61:27] thought I was going to die at one point.
[61:29] Like, we're we're working on it, but
[61:31] we're not there. I would say gold is
[61:33] competing with sovereign paper. Gold is
[61:35] competing with treasuries. Gold, for
[61:38] that reason, frontuns liquidity.
[61:43] Bitcoin right now today is competing
[61:47] with risk assets. It is. It just is.
[61:51] Bitcoin's competing with equities and
[61:52] growth. Bitcoin doesn't frontr run
[61:55] liquidity. It responds to actual
[61:58] liquidity.
[62:00] Bitcoin sells off when markets get
[62:03] tight. And Bitcoin rips your face off
[62:06] when they print the money.
[62:10] That's why gold leads. Gold anticipates
[62:13] the liquidity. Bitcoin responds to the
[62:16] liquidity.
[62:17] That's just where we are today. That's
[62:21] the truth. And that's fine. If you can't
[62:25] be here for these times, then you don't
[62:28] get the gains.
[62:31] I'm cool with that. I've been in this
[62:32] game for a long time. I know Bitcoin. I
[62:35] know it well. This is a snippet from an
[62:38] Arthur Hayes Substack. It's very good
[62:41] article. It's called frowny cloud. I
[62:44] would recommend you guys go take a take
[62:45] a read. I think Arthur's he's super
[62:48] funny. I'm going to read this snippet
[62:50] from his article in full. Um and you'll
[62:54] you'll get a sense of his humor and
[62:55] writing style along with it as well. It
[62:58] goes, "In every era, there are
[63:00] high-flying technology stons. During the
[63:03] roaring 1920s US bull market, RCA, the
[63:06] radio manufacturer, was the hot tech
[63:08] stock of the day. In the 1960s and
[63:11] 1970s, it was IBM that made the new
[63:13] fangled mainframe computer. Today, AI
[63:17] hyperscalers and chip makers are in
[63:20] Fuego. Humans are natural optimists. We
[63:23] love to forecast a glorious future where
[63:26] the money spent today by tech companies
[63:28] results in a social utopia. For the
[63:31] fortunate enough to own the future
[63:33] through equity in said businesses,
[63:35] riches will rain down from the heavens.
[63:38] To eventuate this certain future in the
[63:40] minds of investors, companies burn cash
[63:42] and take on debt. When liquidity is
[63:45] cheap, it becomes easy to bet on the
[63:47] future because in the future, opius cash
[63:49] flows will acrue to these intrepid
[63:52] entrepreneurs.
[63:53] As such, investors are happy to splge
[63:56] worthless cash today on tech stons for a
[63:58] chance to own as much larger future cash
[64:01] flows as possible, which pumps up their
[64:04] price to earnings multiples. Therefore,
[64:06] technology growth stocks rise
[64:09] exponentially during periods of excess
[64:12] liquidity.
[64:13] Bitcoin is monetary technology. The
[64:17] technology is valuable only in relation
[64:19] to the amount of fiat debasement. The
[64:22] invention of the proofof work
[64:23] blockchain, which achieves a form of
[64:25] Byzantine fault tolerance, is
[64:27] stupendous. This alone guarantees that
[64:30] Bitcoin's value is greater than zero.
[64:33] But for Bitcoin to be worth close to
[64:35] 100,000 United States of America dollars
[64:38] requires continuous fiat monetary
[64:40] debasement. Bitcoin's asympto rise
[64:44] directly results from an explosion in
[64:47] the supply of dollars post the 2008
[64:49] global financial crisis.
[64:51] And really what Arthur is saying here is
[64:54] Bitcoin is like a monetary tech stock
[64:57] today. I've described Bitcoin before as
[65:01] some combination of technology plus fiat
[65:04] liquidity.
[65:06] It's a macro asset because it is it is
[65:10] the smoke alarm to fiat liquidity. It's
[65:12] the only truly free market we have left.
[65:15] Truly, gold is a freer market than
[65:18] others, but it's not a truly free
[65:20] market. How do I know? Because the US
[65:22] government decided one day that it
[65:24] wasn't in 1971. We already went over
[65:26] that
[65:28] Bitcoin is the only true free market
[65:30] that we have left. And it's a macro
[65:33] asset because it is so tied to fiat
[65:36] liquidity. But it also is this
[65:37] technology piece literally because it's
[65:39] software. It improves itself. The
[65:41] companies around like Strike, they're
[65:42] building [ __ ] right? But it's that's
[65:46] where it is today. It's true. And so
[65:50] here are some charts that I found
[65:51] interesting. And listen again my don't
[65:54] don't take my speculation to heart.
[65:58] Don't go out. This is not financial
[66:00] advice. I shouldn't even say that. Okay?
[66:03] This is my corner of the internet. I
[66:05] like to express my ideas. Have fun with
[66:07] it. Um if you look at Bitcoin priced in
[66:10] gold. So Bitcoin has been outperforming
[66:13] gold ever since I got involved. It's
[66:14] tearing the face off gold. And I now I
[66:16] know people now are like, "Oh my god,
[66:19] gold's kicking Bitcoin's butt. This is
[66:21] the chart of Bitcoin price in gold." No,
[66:23] it's not, dude. Just give it time, man.
[66:26] It's not at all. It's really not. Gold's
[66:28] up 80%
[66:30] in a year. And everyone's like, "Oh my
[66:34] god, 80% for Bitcoin is nothing.
[66:39] Literally nothing. Gold's performance is
[66:42] fine. It's I mean, no, it's fine. It's
[66:44] good. It's fine.
[66:46] Okay. Now, if you price Bitcoin and
[66:48] gold, the bare markets we experience in
[66:52] gold terms because fiat really distorts
[66:54] your ability to assess reality. It it
[66:57] it's like wearing drunk goggles.
[67:00] Like everything's spinning like you
[67:02] can't see straight. I don't know which
[67:04] ways up, down, left, right. It's
[67:06] distorting reality. Like the denominator
[67:08] in which I'm measuring everything. At
[67:10] the end of the day, guys, money is
[67:12] information. How much value am I
[67:14] creating for the world? And what can I
[67:16] get in relation to the value I'm
[67:18] creating? That that's all it is. Like
[67:21] it's it's information at the end of the
[67:22] day. Who owes what to whom? That's what
[67:25] money is. And if you are using bad
[67:28] money, it's like wearing drunken
[67:30] goggles. Like your information is all
[67:32] [ __ ] up. So let's look at Bitcoin in
[67:34] gold terms. And you realize, you know,
[67:37] the these are monthly candles. So, you
[67:39] know, Bitcoin's bare markets are a
[67:41] little over a year, and we're at that
[67:43] point in gold. Now, I'm not saying
[67:44] Bitcoin's about to shoot up. I do think
[67:47] 2026 is going to be a good year because
[67:49] I think they're going to have to print
[67:50] the money. And again, when they actually
[67:51] print the money is when Bitcoin goes.
[67:53] Gold always frontr runs the money
[67:56] printing. Bitcoin outperforms it when
[67:58] they actually print it. And that is
[68:02] made, this case is made like again with
[68:04] this slide. And you know, these charts I
[68:06] got from Twitter, so shout out to their
[68:07] authors. But um the this slide titled
[68:11] the liquidity cometh. Um what are we
[68:14] looking at? We're looking at the RSI at
[68:16] the very bottom, those green and red.
[68:18] Okay, that is the US tenure multiplied
[68:21] by the Chinese tenure. And what that is
[68:23] saying is this is basically indicating
[68:25] when liquidity is tight from nation
[68:28] states versus when liquidity is
[68:30] abundant, when they're printing a lot of
[68:31] money. and it just crossed up where
[68:34] they're about to start printing a lot of
[68:36] money. What do what do I mean by that?
[68:38] Quantitative tightening is ending. We
[68:40] know QE either is about to start or has
[68:43] started. It depends what you count the
[68:46] Fed doing today. But we're about to
[68:48] enter a pro liquidity cycle. We know the
[68:50] Fed's balance sheet went from $9
[68:52] trillion to $6 trillion. And I think not
[68:55] only isn't it going to go up again, but
[68:57] it's going to go from around $6 trillion
[68:59] and make new all-time highs and exceed 9
[69:00] trillion. I think they're going to have
[69:02] to print an an ungodly amount of money.
[69:06] We know Trump has not only not reduced
[69:08] the budget, but he wants to grow our
[69:10] defense budget by, you know, he wants to
[69:12] take it from a trillion to 1.5 trillion.
[69:14] We know that true interest expense is
[69:16] greater than our receipts. I mean, we
[69:18] have all sorts of problems. But every
[69:20] single time this liquidity marker starts
[69:23] to break up, Bitcoin goes on a tear.
[69:26] Why? Well, because they're actually
[69:28] printing money. They're not talking
[69:29] about printing money. They're not
[69:31] forecasting printing money. They're
[69:32] actually expanding the balance sheets.
[69:36] That's just happening. So to me, the
[69:38] combination of, okay, we've been a in a
[69:40] gold bear market for a little over a
[69:42] year. Okay, they're about to start
[69:43] printing money
[69:45] and you you you pair that with the fact
[69:48] that like globalism according to the
[69:51] United States is dead, which means the
[69:53] current version of the US dollar and the
[69:55] world reserve currency is over. It's
[69:56] dead. I mean, I'm just bullish. I don't
[70:00] know what to tell you guys. I'm just
[70:01] bullish. All right, quick updates um for
[70:04] Strike.
[70:06] Um I always give you guys kind of the
[70:08] sneak announcements of what we're about
[70:10] to launch before we actually launch them
[70:12] on the show. Um because you guys are
[70:14] loyal and support me. So don't frontr
[70:15] run our announcements, but uh this week,
[70:18] fingers crossed if testing goes well, we
[70:20] should have early direct deposit. So,
[70:22] for the record on Strike, if you have a
[70:25] DCA or you convert some of your paycheck
[70:28] into Bitcoin via the product, uh it's no
[70:31] fees and no spread. I saw someone
[70:34] tweeting like, "Well, Cash App does no
[70:35] fee, no spread." Yeah. Where do you
[70:37] think they got that from? Like, we've
[70:39] been doing that. So, no fee, no spread
[70:41] on direct deposit and on DCA. And now
[70:44] your direct deposit, your paycheck,
[70:46] you're you'll get it two days early. So,
[70:48] if you're about to get paid on Friday,
[70:50] we'll actually process your paycheck and
[70:52] get it to you Wednesday. So, you're
[70:53] buying Bitcoin two days early. You're
[70:56] getting the money early at no fees and
[70:59] no spread. So, we're doing some testing
[71:01] now. Given everything goes according to
[71:03] plan, we'll turn that on and we'll
[71:05] release that and roll that out this week
[71:07] um to our American customers. Um New
[71:09] York, we're on the one yard line. Um
[71:13] we've heard some really good news from
[71:14] New York. Uh I'm hopeful. This is it's
[71:17] an any day now thing. Like I'm gonna get
[71:18] an email one day like, "Well, you got
[71:20] your bit license." So, we're very
[71:22] excited about that. Um I'm gonna throw a
[71:24] party in New York uh at Pubkey is my
[71:26] plan. So, if you're in New York or in in
[71:29] the area, New Jersey, um be on the
[71:31] lookout for that. And then, uh we've got
[71:33] our line of credit product um coming and
[71:36] continuing to enable uh state access for
[71:40] I think we got Texas right around the
[71:42] corner as well for Bitcoin back loans.
[71:43] So, Strike continues to ship at an
[71:45] incredible pace. On fire. Proud of the
[71:48] team as always. Um, in 21, heads are
[71:51] down. We're building. Um,
[71:54] I know, I know, I get it. Um, I get it.
[71:58] Frustrating. Um, but I mean, we're
[72:01] building. We're building the business.
[72:02] We're building our products. Um, I'll
[72:05] announce stuff when uh when we're ready
[72:07] and uh I'll answer questions in the
[72:09] meantime as you guys have them. But
[72:10] we're holding our Bitcoin. nothing about
[72:12] the business has changed. Uh we're
[72:14] really excited about what we're working
[72:16] on and uh again I there was a really
[72:20] interesting announcement. BlackRock is
[72:22] coming out with a new ETF that produces
[72:24] yield on top of the Bitcoin by selling
[72:26] covered calls. And again, I I think
[72:29] it'll be a really interesting landscape
[72:31] that evolves for these different types
[72:36] of Bitcoin vehicles that are, you know,
[72:39] things like yield. And it's going to be
[72:41] interesting um the difference between
[72:43] Black Rockck and Strategy and and and
[72:45] all of the other companies that are
[72:47] doing preferred and stuff and 21. Um we
[72:50] want to be distinctly different. um you
[72:52] know as of now um we think that there's
[72:55] a big opportunity to serve a different
[72:57] set of the market which is pairing cash
[72:59] flow and growth and high margins um in
[73:02] Bitcoin businesses and sectors with a
[73:04] treasury and and being the Bitcoin
[73:06] equity in that way. So obviously um I
[73:10] plan to show more than I can tell. Okay,
[73:12] QA time. Will the real tough guys please
[73:15] stand up? [laughter]
[73:17] It's just a joke, man. It's just a joke.
[73:19] I want before we do uh before we do
[73:24] uh Q&A, I wanted to read this back and
[73:27] forth uh I had on on uh Noster with
[73:30] someone um just to I don't know you guys
[73:34] were asking about the tough the tough
[73:35] guys become an inside joke and it's all
[73:37] I the title of this slide is it's all
[73:39] love man it's all love tough guy um you
[73:43] know don't throw don't throw stones from
[73:44] a glass house uh right come on it's all
[73:48] fun man. Uh, you know, if you're if
[73:51] you're going to hang out on the internet
[73:53] and in Bitcoin circles, you got to be
[73:54] able to take a jab. Uh, at least I
[73:57] certainly have learned that the hard
[73:59] way. But let me read this uh back and
[74:01] forth. Someone uh posted at me and said,
[74:03] "Tough guy part was not a good look. The
[74:06] question is fair. Probably approached it
[74:08] the wrong way." I said, "What is the
[74:10] question exactly?" Or at least the
[74:12] question that you think is fair. Also,
[74:14] which part was not a good look?
[74:15] Genuinely curious. He said the overall
[74:18] interaction wasn't a good look. The
[74:19] question of how you [ __ ] on equities and
[74:21] also run a company that is issuing one
[74:23] is fair. It's like saying they are
[74:25] complete [ __ ] but mine is okay. Why is
[74:28] that? I'm sure the way they asked it was
[74:30] like a complete [ __ ] but to think on
[74:32] the surface that the question was fair.
[74:34] Me saying this now people can't handle
[74:36] that they bought an equity high and the
[74:38] price is way down which is not your
[74:40] objective. This is you're building it to
[74:43] be a profitable company. But I did think
[74:45] that the portion of the pod about how
[74:46] Bitcoin per share isn't important, not
[74:48] your exact words, anymore. And when you
[74:51] were on TV not too long ago saying the
[74:53] opposite, is what gives people fuel.
[74:55] Like you said, you're building for the
[74:57] long term and most people can't think
[74:58] like that. And when they want to day
[75:01] trade and are over their heads with
[75:02] trades that they can't afford, no doubt
[75:05] you will announce stuff and you can, but
[75:08] the average chat warrior on the internet
[75:10] doesn't understand these things.
[75:13] Okay, it's reasonable. I appreciated the
[75:16] interaction. My response to that was,
[75:18] okay, let me clarify the premise. As I
[75:21] said on the show, I've never been
[75:23] against owning equity. I'm the largest
[75:25] equity holder of Strike. I'm one of the
[75:28] largest equity holders of 21. I own a
[75:31] [ __ ] ton of equity.
[75:34] My criticism has never been equity is
[75:36] bad. My criticism is using equity as
[75:40] money. Equity is an investment. It
[75:43] carries counterparty risk, execution
[75:45] risk, and time, all sorts of risks. If
[75:48] you've already created value and you are
[75:50] trying to save that value, you shouldn't
[75:52] be forced to take those risks just to
[75:55] save. That's what Bitcoin is for. That's
[75:58] why Bitcoin is different. It's money.
[76:00] Equity is a claim on the future of a
[76:03] business, of execution, of a management
[76:05] team, of a product.
[76:07] When equities like the S&P 500 simply
[76:10] track debasement or underperform
[76:13] hard money, I find them pointless and
[76:16] just misleading. The US stock market is
[76:19] exactly this. It's a Ponzi retirement
[76:21] account for the United States that gets
[76:23] bailed out at every dip. Strike Equity
[76:26] is not that. 21 Equity is not that.
[76:30] As for the tough guy moment, these shows
[76:33] are unscripted and raw. They're
[76:35] different. I do them for fun, for
[76:38] personal enjoyment and real connection
[76:40] with like-minded people. I also do them,
[76:43] and this part's important, guys. I also
[76:46] do them in part to remind everyone the
[76:48] human element behind everything that we
[76:51] do and experience. The things you see
[76:53] around you every day are made up by
[76:55] people no greater than you. We're all
[76:58] just human, capable of hopping on a
[77:00] stream and shooting the [ __ ] trying to
[77:02] find our way. I don't do the show for
[77:05] money, for ads, or for optics. I'm not
[77:08] trying to be polished like I have to be
[77:10] on TV. If that ever becomes the
[77:13] requirement, I just won't do the show.
[77:16] I'm not If I'm not having fun with it,
[77:18] I'll be done with it. Shout out Drake.
[77:20] That's a Drake line. There are guys that
[77:23] come at my family and my livelihood
[77:25] every single day. A little banter is
[77:28] fun. This is the internet. This is
[77:30] Bitcoin. Anyways, I'm happy to engage
[77:33] honestly with questions, especially when
[77:35] they're asked in good faith. I'll
[77:36] reference this exchange on the next
[77:38] episode. If you have follow-up
[77:40] questions, don't hesitate. So, that's my
[77:43] official stance. If you ask questions in
[77:45] the Q&A, I might make fun of you. I
[77:47] might rip on you. I might call you a
[77:48] [ __ ] idiot. I might call you a tough
[77:50] guy. You guys come at me all the time. I
[77:53] think it's fun. You guys have been a
[77:54] huge part of my personal growth, my
[77:56] career growth. I dropped out of college.
[77:59] I was raised on the internet. Think
[78:01] about it. I was sitting in my dad's
[78:03] basement on Bitcoin Talk, on Reddit, on
[78:06] Twitter. I was raised by these chat
[78:09] forums. Um, makes you a better person.
[78:12] Don't take it personal. It's all love.
[78:14] No stress. If I need to clarify my
[78:16] stance on equity, um, I'm happy to. And,
[78:21] uh,
[78:22] will the real tough guy please stand up?
[78:24] All hail the tough guys. [laughter]
[78:29] And with that,
[78:31] we'll do a little bit of Q&A.
[78:33] What about the quality of those slides,
[78:35] guys? My AI tools. Not bad. Really cool.
[78:40] Is really, really cool. I didn't make
[78:42] any of those slides. It was I I I built
[78:45] all these tools. And if I can find a way
[78:47] to publish those on my website and then
[78:49] it'll link to all those sources that I
[78:51] used so that you guys can go do, you
[78:53] know, deeper research or whatever you
[78:56] want to do in your own time.
[78:58] Um, all right. Let's uh pull up Shout
[79:02] out Dylan. Shout out Dylan.
[79:05] Let's pull up uh
[79:09] our Q&A and uh do some uh do some tough
[79:14] guy responding.
[79:16] Um macro, are they lying on global
[79:19] television?
[79:22] What's the context, Dylan? When was this
[79:24] asked? I'm not sure what that is in
[79:26] reference to. I think
[79:30] there's this really interesting spectrum
[79:31] where either people are stupid and
[79:35] lying. No, they're either stupid and
[79:39] naive or lying and malicious.
[79:42] The issue though is that you shouldn't
[79:44] get an excuse for either. Both are bad.
[79:47] If you're an idiot, you should be
[79:49] punished for being an idiot. Like that's
[79:52] not like being an idiot is like, "Oh,
[79:53] well, be easy on him. He's an idiot."
[79:55] No, being an idiot is not acceptable. If
[79:57] you're carrying responsibility and that
[79:59] has implications on civilians, that's
[80:02] not it's not okay. Okay? It's also not
[80:05] okay if you're malicious and a liar. And
[80:07] so sometimes it's like I can't tell if
[80:09] that guy's an idiot or if he's
[80:11] malicious. Either way though, it's not
[80:13] okay. So are people either dumb and
[80:16] naive or lying and malicious on
[80:18] television? Yes. All the time, every
[80:20] day. Um, but I don't, unless uh Dylan,
[80:26] you have any more context? I don't know
[80:28] exactly. Oh, Dylan's typing. I don't
[80:30] know exactly what uh what you're talking
[80:34] about or referencing. I'll [snorts] let
[80:36] Dylan type and uh I'll go to the next
[80:38] one for now. What is your view on
[80:40] Bitcoin's price action now that ETFs and
[80:42] derivatives are now commonplace? Did
[80:44] this system now make it easy to suppress
[80:45] Bitcoin's price? No, I I kind of
[80:48] addressed this at the end of the show,
[80:49] guys. I don't think Bitcoin's price is
[80:51] suppressed. I really don't. I think if
[80:54] you look at it in gold terms, if you
[80:57] like some of the charts that I'm looking
[80:58] at, Bitcoin looks fine. If Bitcoin was
[81:01] at 20K and we're seeing like really
[81:03] unordinary price action, but like
[81:05] Bitcoin and gold rarely if ever run
[81:08] together.
[81:11] It for the same reason gold and tech
[81:13] stocks haven't traditionally run
[81:15] together. You know what else has had a
[81:16] rough go at it? The Mag 7 recently. I
[81:19] think Bitcoin's fine. I It's It's okay.
[81:23] It's I mean, it's like the worst year
[81:26] ever and everyone's panicked and
[81:28] frustrated and it's flat year-over-year
[81:30] during all of this. Like, Bitcoin has
[81:33] kept with mind you, gold is having the
[81:36] greatest bull run in gold's history.
[81:39] Like, gold bugs can't believe it. US
[81:42] politicians are literally reordering the
[81:44] monetary system in real time. And gold
[81:47] has gone from being worth five trillion
[81:49] to 40 trillion. And it's had the same
[81:53] performance as Bitcoin over the last
[81:55] four to five years. [laughter]
[81:58] [snorts]
[81:59] Bitcoin's fine. It'll be fine. I'm not
[82:02] worried about anything. I'm I'm not I'm
[82:05] being serious. I'm not compensating. I'm
[82:06] not worried. Genuinely. Hey Jack. I love
[82:09] the show. Thank you so much, man. If you
[82:11] were a Bitcoin developer, where would
[82:13] you put your time and focus?
[82:15] Um, you know, my advice, uh, really for
[82:20] anybody, um, not just Bitcoin
[82:24] development, um, you got to follow your
[82:26] own curiosities
[82:29] to get over the hump to excel at a
[82:32] certain level. Um, you can't fake that.
[82:35] You can't cheat that. Um, that doesn't
[82:38] come from, oh well, I got into the right
[82:40] topic, or oh, I I chose the right time.
[82:43] like that comes from hard work, proof of
[82:46] work. And proof of work is easier to
[82:49] sustain when you care, when you're
[82:51] curious. And so my advice is always
[82:56] just ask questions, be curious, um
[82:59] follow your genuine passion, follow your
[83:02] heart. It sounds cliche, but it's true.
[83:04] If I didn't love Bitcoin and truly
[83:06] believe in what I'm doing, guys, I would
[83:09] have gotten I would have gotten washed
[83:11] out years ago.
[83:14] years ago. I mean, to stay the course,
[83:15] to continue to pound pavement, stack
[83:18] good days on top of good days on top of
[83:20] good days, and just keep going,
[83:23] you you have to really love what you do.
[83:26] Uh, and you have to be really genuinely
[83:28] curious. So, if you're interested in
[83:30] protocol development, then go explore
[83:33] that. If you're interested in starting a
[83:35] business or working for a business like
[83:36] Strike, go explore that. But it's going
[83:39] to be really hard to be the best version
[83:41] of yourself if uh it doesn't align with
[83:46] with you. That goes for anything. To be
[83:49] honest, I don't know anybody who's the
[83:52] best at what they do and the best
[83:53] version of themselves when they're
[83:55] they're not fulfilling their passions,
[83:57] their interests, their purpose.
[84:00] So, you got to start there.
[84:04] Uh question for Dylan. when strike
[84:06] merch.
[84:11] How am I supposed to answer that?
[84:15] I don't know. See if Dylan has an answer
[84:18] for that. Uh Dylan wrote, "I think that
[84:21] this is more about how they rant and lie
[84:24] in your face in plain sight. Like if you
[84:26] have no context on what they're saying,
[84:28] it makes sense. But if you have an ounce
[84:31] of information on things like Bitcoin or
[84:33] macroeconomics, then it's slop. Yeah. I
[84:35] mean, are they lying on TV? 100%, guys.
[84:38] I mean, there is an asymmetric
[84:40] information. There's there's a big
[84:42] delta, a big gap of information in the
[84:45] world.
[84:47] Just, you know,
[84:51] like I I've talked about this before.
[84:54] Sometimes I'll go to, you know, whether
[84:57] it's events, uh, with my girlfriend or,
[85:01] you know, whatever. You're out and about
[85:03] in life, you're going to social events,
[85:05] you're meeting new people. And there's
[85:07] certain social circles where I'm like,
[85:08] these people have no idea. They don't
[85:10] know what I know. And I'm sure there's
[85:12] things I don't know that they know and
[85:14] they're, you know, focus of life. But
[85:17] there's just, you know, not that many
[85:18] people understand how money works,
[85:20] understands
[85:22] the current fiat regime, what's going on
[85:25] truly between the US and China. Why gold
[85:27] and silver? I mean, gold and silver are
[85:29] going up because everyone asked for the
[85:31] physical metals because they need it's a
[85:33] not your keys, not your coins. Like
[85:36] that's what's happening today.
[85:37] Everyone's like, "All right, [ __ ] it. I
[85:38] don't want the futures contract in New
[85:39] York anymore. Give me the bars." It's
[85:41] like, "Oh [ __ ] we don't have them. You
[85:43] got to go get them." Oh, you got to go
[85:44] get them. Well, price just goes through
[85:46] the [ __ ] roof.
[85:49] So, yeah. Are people lying? Are they
[85:50] misleading? Is the media been more and
[85:53] more has traditional media been more and
[85:55] more a vehicle to manipulate public
[85:57] opinion? Yes. Yes.
[86:02] Here, let me pull up a quote. Actually,
[86:04] I've been softly referencing it, but I
[86:06] want to read it word for word. It's very
[86:10] powerful. Hold on.
[86:24] I am convinced that any attempt to
[86:26] restore harmony in the world can only
[86:28] rest on the renewal of personal
[86:29] responsibility.
[86:33] That's it.
[86:35] Really sit with that one, guys. Really,
[86:38] really sit with that one.
[86:41] Really sit with that.
[86:44] Let me project it on the screen. One
[86:46] sec.
[86:48] And my my point while I while I pull
[86:51] this up
[86:53] is um
[86:57] you know, you're not the media is not
[87:00] going to save you.
[87:03] The president's not going to save you.
[87:05] The government's not going to save you.
[87:06] A big corporation's not going to save
[87:08] you. You're going to save you. And
[87:11] collectively as society, we're going to
[87:14] save us.
[87:16] That's how it's going. That that that's
[87:17] the only way
[87:20] here.
[87:27] I don't even know how to say this guy's
[87:28] name. Andre Tarovski. I'm convinced that
[87:31] any attempt to restore harmony in the
[87:33] world can only rest on the renewal of
[87:35] personal responsibility.
[87:37] Know the food you're putting in your
[87:38] body. have an opinion on which foods are
[87:41] good or bad. Understand how to measure
[87:43] it. Right? I see similar things in
[87:46] health as I do in Bitcoin and economics.
[87:50] Some random Harvard study tells you that
[87:53] some biomarkers bad or good for you and
[87:55] people just believe it. Do the research.
[87:57] Be curious. Have opinions.
[88:00] It all rests on the renewal of personal
[88:02] responsibility. Hold your own keys.
[88:05] Manage your own life. Have your own
[88:07] opinions. Do your own research.
[88:09] The mainstream media? Yes. Are they
[88:12] lying? Probably.
[88:15] Is Trump acting in his own personal
[88:17] interest? Probably. Our corporate
[88:20] probably. Yes. Probably. Yes. All Yes.
[88:22] All of it.
[88:27] Where society is being forced to figure
[88:31] itself out again. you. Not only can we
[88:33] not outsource and export our
[88:35] manufacturing capabilities, but you also
[88:37] should not be outsourcing and exporting
[88:39] your health and your diet and your money
[88:42] and your assets and your your
[88:45] relationships,
[88:47] the way you digest news, like just
[88:49] relying on algorithms, all of it.
[88:54] Okay. Anyways,
[88:58] um
[89:02] strike question. How can I get Oh, did
[89:04] Dylan answer about the merch?
[89:07] No, I know that we have I will say this
[89:10] for some of our really loyal longtime
[89:13] customers at Strike, we're sending them
[89:15] some gifts. Um I know this because it
[89:18] comes with a handwritten letter from
[89:20] myself. My [ __ ] wrist was killing me.
[89:22] You know the jokes where your your wrist
[89:24] is killing you and people like, "Oh
[89:26] yeah, what are you what are you doing?"
[89:27] Uh at night your wrist hurts. Haha. It's
[89:30] like a teenage sex joke about
[89:33] masturbation. My wrist was hurting
[89:35] because I was writing you guys letters.
[89:38] Um and so we wrote a lot of personal
[89:40] letters and we personalized some gifts,
[89:42] but that's not going to go to everybody.
[89:44] That's to our strike private, our really
[89:46] loyal customers, you know, accounts that
[89:48] have been open since the day we
[89:50] launched. Just can't thank you guys
[89:52] enough. And in there is some merch for
[89:54] you guys, but that is special. So, when
[89:57] is Strike merch going to be available
[89:58] for everyone?
[90:00] That's a Dylan question. Dylan's in the
[90:02] chat. Maybe he can answer that. How can
[90:05] I get strike services in New York City?
[90:07] Like I said, any day now. We're really,
[90:10] really close and we're going to
[90:12] celebrate with you guys uh by throwing a
[90:14] party in New York. So, once we get it,
[90:16] trust me, you'll know. Um we'll let you
[90:19] know. I'll be hooting and hollering and
[90:21] screaming about it and uh I'll fly down
[90:23] to New York and uh we'll go to a bar.
[90:26] We'll do a fireside chat. Some of the
[90:28] team will be there so you guys can ask
[90:29] us questions and get to know the
[90:31] products and the services and uh and
[90:33] we'll celebrate.
[90:35] Uh question Dylan, will the strike line
[90:37] of credit have minimums? Also, can I
[90:40] only get credit using bill pay or will
[90:43] there be other use cases besides bill
[90:45] pay? Um it will have a minimum. These
[90:49] minimums depend on the state you're in.
[90:51] And that's just because we're actually
[90:54] more defined by regulation than
[90:57] ourselves. So sometimes the states
[90:59] themselves set the minimums of our
[91:01] credit products. Uh and then we you can
[91:04] use the line of credit for anything. So
[91:07] it's like a payment method. When you go
[91:08] to buy Bitcoin or when you go to pay a
[91:10] bill or when you go to do anything
[91:12] inside of Strike, you can select maybe a
[91:15] bank account you have linked. You can
[91:16] select a card that you have linked and
[91:18] you can select your line of credit. If
[91:20] you're like, "Oh man, Bitcoin's dipping.
[91:21] I want to buy some." You can go buy, you
[91:23] can stack a little Bitcoin on your line
[91:25] of credit, which is basically taking out
[91:27] a loan and buying some Bitcoin, adding a
[91:28] little bit of leverage. If you have a
[91:30] bill coming up and you want to cover it,
[91:32] but you don't want to spend any of your
[91:33] Bitcoin, you can just use your line of
[91:36] credit. It's just a payment method.
[91:37] That's all it is. Just like an It's just
[91:40] like, oh, I have a card linked to
[91:41] Strike. I have a bank account linked to
[91:43] Strike. I have a line of credit.
[91:46] really cool product, like revolutionary
[91:48] product in my opinion. [sighs]
[91:50] Uh, question for Jack. Any updates on
[91:52] when Strike's full suite of services in
[91:54] New Zealand? I love the show. Thank you
[91:56] so much. Uh, yeah. No, I don't know. The
[92:01] truth is no timeline on when we'll have
[92:03] lending. We're working through we're
[92:05] chewing through uh all of the licensing
[92:07] abroad and uh you know I have a guess
[92:11] but it's definitely not worth giving you
[92:13] a guess because I have no confidence in
[92:15] it. We're working on it is all I can
[92:17] say. So I'm really sorry we don't have
[92:18] the full suite and I appreciate the
[92:20] support. It really means a lot. Um can
[92:23] we have a debit card for our strike
[92:24] account so that we can pay for things in
[92:27] person with a card? Um
[92:31] no debit card planned. Uh, I think the
[92:34] line of credit is going to change every
[92:37] Bitcoiner's life because I can spend on
[92:40] a credit card and I can use my line of
[92:41] credit to pay off the credit card. So,
[92:43] it's effectively
[92:45] a Bitcoinbacked credit card basically,
[92:48] but you just use your MX or use your
[92:50] Chase card or whatever, whatever. It's
[92:52] giving you free airline points and all
[92:54] [ __ ] Uh, and then you just pay that
[92:57] with your line of credit. And we'll see
[92:58] how that goes. And if it makes sense for
[93:00] us to add a card on top of our line of
[93:02] credit, I've told you guys we'll do
[93:04] that. But it's still not entirely clear
[93:06] to me we're going to be better at giving
[93:08] you rewards than AMX and Chase and all
[93:10] these people that have lobbying
[93:12] relationships and stuff. Like I'm not
[93:15] going to be better at giving you guys a
[93:18] fiat product, but I'll be way better
[93:20] than them at a Bitcoin line of credit
[93:22] for sure. So we'll see how you guys like
[93:25] the line of credit. You know, I want to
[93:27] make sure everyone understands the line
[93:28] of credit, how it works, and how to use
[93:30] it because it should really change your
[93:33] life. It I mean, it's changed my life.
[93:35] Just the Bitcoin backed loans and all
[93:37] these products like fundamentally
[93:39] changed my life. So, we'll see how that
[93:41] goes. And uh you know, as you guys know,
[93:44] this team's capable of anything like you
[93:47] know, we're only limited by our
[93:49] imagination. So, we can build anything.
[93:50] We're happy to build you guys a credit
[93:51] card. just uh want to learn a little bit
[93:53] from the line of credit products and
[93:55] have some more conversations with our
[93:56] customers to make sure we're building
[93:58] something that is really worth it and
[94:00] solves a real problem for you.
[94:03] Uh hey Jack, can you integrate with
[94:04] Plaid? Uh would be useful for using
[94:06] Strike as a bank. Many financial
[94:08] institutions only allow Plaid Connect.
[94:11] We uh are going to be working with Plaid
[94:13] to see if we can enable this. Um so stay
[94:17] tuned. We're on it. Thanks for the
[94:19] feedback. Uh, can you list the states
[94:22] that do not have lending and slash or
[94:23] the line of credit product yet and give
[94:26] an idea of when we should be able to
[94:27] expect each? Um, this is on our website.
[94:30] So, I have here in my notes strike.me
[94:32] FAQ where are bitcoinbacked loans
[94:35] available, but all this stuff is in our
[94:37] FAQ. It should be pretty easy to find.
[94:39] Is there an update on personal lending
[94:40] in Australia? Unfortunately, not.
[94:42] Australian regulators are a pain in the
[94:45] ass. They've been pretty difficult to
[94:46] work with. If you can just spin up a
[94:48] business, we're happy to give you a
[94:50] loan. Um, if not though, um, we'll keep
[94:52] working with the regulators in
[94:54] Australia, but uh, it's been difficult.
[94:56] Uh, any update on Strike having a teen
[94:59] parent custodial account? My 13-year-old
[95:01] daughter wants to buy Bitcoin when paid
[95:03] in fiat for her 3D printed Bitcoin
[95:05] items. First of all, badass family. You
[95:08] sound like an awesome dad. That's cool.
[95:11] I'm jealous. Um, that sounds amazing. Uh
[95:16] our answer to that um no it requires
[95:20] certain licensing to be able to serve
[95:21] kids in America. Weirdly too many rules
[95:25] stops innovation you know.
[95:28] But with that being said we are working
[95:30] on internally we call the product
[95:33] stacks. I think that will be the brand
[95:34] externally as well where you can create
[95:37] you know different sub accounts inside
[95:39] your account. So, I know people want to
[95:41] have a savings account inside Strike and
[95:43] an account for this feature, an account
[95:46] for your wife, an account for your kid,
[95:48] and we'll enable that so that you can
[95:50] have different buckets inside or we call
[95:52] them stacks, different stacks inside
[95:54] Strike to manage your money, whether
[95:56] it's fiat or dollars or both or loans.
[95:58] So, I know that's coming um fairly soon.
[96:02] Um, when Nevada, uh,
[96:06] we're we're we're we're coming
[96:09] everything. We're coming. I promise. Um,
[96:13] you know, unfortunately,
[96:15] regulations a son of a [ __ ] and you
[96:18] just got to you just got to put your
[96:20] head down and get them one at a time.
[96:22] We'll look back and we'll be the global
[96:24] Bitcoin company able to serve all of you
[96:27] guys all over the world. But proof of
[96:29] work, man. Like we talked about, you
[96:30] can't print licenses like you can Fiat.
[96:32] You got to do the work. So, we're
[96:35] coming. Nevada's we're we're in the
[96:36] process of getting it. We'll get there
[96:38] sooner rather than later for Nevada, for
[96:41] sure. All right. Other uh questions that
[96:45] aren't related to anything. Hey Dylan,
[96:48] can you start streaming the show on
[96:50] Noster? Talk with Odell. Yeah, I see
[96:54] Odell in person tomorrow. I will ask
[96:57] him. Yes, sure. I have no preference.
[96:59] I'll stream wherever you guys want. I I
[97:00] don't care. I I really don't. Question
[97:03] for Jack. What's your opinion on pleb
[97:04] slop? It seems to be the phrase of 2026
[97:07] so far. I don't know. The vibes are just
[97:10] bare market vibes. Everyone's pissed.
[97:12] Everyone's angry. Everyone's emotional.
[97:14] Everyone wants a victim. Everyone's
[97:16] trying to slay their heroes.
[97:19] [snorts]
[97:25] Boring. Put me to sleep. I don't know,
[97:28] man.
[97:29] It's just not productive.
[97:32] Only thing scarcer than Bitcoin is time.
[97:35] Not going to spend it. Been arguing with
[97:36] you guys on Twitter. Uh nice coded
[97:39] presentation, Jack. Looking good. Claude
[97:42] code. Yeah. So, my um
[97:46] my
[97:49] presentation
[97:51] I'm using a bunch of AI tools, a lot of
[97:54] them. Um so this has been a combination
[97:57] of some open AAI products. So it's open
[98:00] AAI, Anthropic and Google are the core
[98:04] ones. So
[98:06] I'll walk you guys through it if you
[98:08] want. So
[98:10] um the visuals that I've made so like
[98:14] these type of graphics that I'm making
[98:16] here like this all all these graphics I
[98:19] made that's using Google. I'm using Nano
[98:22] Banana. Um, so I have a Gemini account.
[98:27] Um, I also have started making videos as
[98:29] well. Um, but that wasn't ready for
[98:32] today. But, uh, a lot of the imagery is
[98:35] Google. Um, some of the framework and
[98:38] the research and stuff is open AI. And
[98:41] what I did is OpenAI
[98:44] I I basically built something that
[98:47] allows me to organize and take my ideas
[98:50] and export them into certain JSON
[98:52] formats which then I feed cloud code uh
[98:56] which helps me put together the actual
[98:59] software. So I kind of use basically my
[99:02] developer environment is I have a bunch
[99:04] of agents running at once and I use Mac
[99:09] Whisper to talk to my developer
[99:11] environment and then depending on what
[99:13] I'm asking for it knows which agent to
[99:15] use. And so it's been like super it's
[99:20] been like honestly ridiculous. Here the
[99:22] server is running locally.
[99:26] Um,
[99:28] so
[99:29] let me show you guys. Uh, I will just do
[99:34] something live. Um, so I'm going to hold
[99:37] down my Mac whisperer and talk to my AI
[99:41] server that's running right now. And
[99:42] we'll add another slide that says,
[99:45] "Thank you guys for tuning in. Love you.
[99:48] Bye."
[99:50] Hey, can we make another uh chapter
[99:53] slide where the main header is that's
[99:57] all folks, thank you. And the subheader
[99:59] is love you guys so much. See you next
[100:02] week.
[100:06] Okay, so
[100:08] it's now off and running and doing its
[100:10] thing. And so it's all the agents are
[100:12] talking to each other. So it's like, do
[100:14] we did did Jack ask for any imagery? Did
[100:16] he give opinions? And then again, if I'm
[100:18] doing [clears throat] something more
[100:19] complex like, hey, I'm interested in the
[100:22] data. How have how is gold compared to
[100:26] the US 10-year real rates? Let's pull
[100:29] that data. Let's try and chart that. Um,
[100:32] oh, it's interesting. Like, it looks
[100:34] like after COVID, it really there's
[100:37] really started to be a rotation. And is
[100:39] that COVID or what happened in Russia
[100:41] during the seizure like the Biden
[100:43] administration seizing Putin's stuff?
[100:46] Um, and so now it already finished. And
[100:49] so if I go back to my slideshow with you
[100:55] guys and I
[100:59] uh refresh and I go to the next one, it
[101:02] created that slide for me. Did you see
[101:04] that? I didn't touch anything. It just
[101:07] made it. That's all, folks. Thank you.
[101:08] Love you guys so much. See you next
[101:10] week. So maybe one one day I record a
[101:13] video and walk you guys through it. I
[101:15] used to be an engineer, so um I'm fairly
[101:18] technical if I need to be. Um which is
[101:20] cool. And so I finally found some time
[101:23] to kind of sit with AI and figure out
[101:25] how it can help me. And this changed my
[101:27] life. Like I can now do keynotes and
[101:29] express ideas and create content for you
[101:32] guys like this. Like I created this
[101:34] whole presentation today just talking to
[101:36] my computer and asking it to do
[101:38] research, pull data, um format a lot of
[101:42] what's in my head. Here's my last rant
[101:44] before I leave you. I've told you guys
[101:46] time and time again, and I will do a
[101:48] keynote at some point this year at some
[101:50] conference um because it's the topic I'm
[101:52] fascinated by and I'm passionate about.
[101:54] I think AI and Bitcoin will bring about
[101:57] a new art renaissance for humanity um
[102:01] which I'm really excited about. And my
[102:03] thesis behind that is twofold. One, on
[102:06] the Bitcoin side, if you have money that
[102:08] you can actually save, as you guys know,
[102:10] it will lower your time preference. It
[102:12] will make you more future oriented. And
[102:14] so whatever your profession is, whether
[102:16] you're a doctor, a physical therapist,
[102:18] an engineer, you don't also have to be a
[102:21] speculator. You don't also have to be a
[102:23] sports gambler. You don't also have to
[102:24] be an expert on Japanese central bank
[102:26] monetary policy. You can just do what
[102:29] you want to do. And there's a lot of
[102:30] professions right now that just don't
[102:32] produce enough money for you to survive.
[102:34] You can't just be a teacher. You can't
[102:36] just be a historian. You can't just be a
[102:38] musician unless you're like Drake or
[102:40] Kendrick Lamar. And so if you have hard
[102:44] money that you can actually save, you
[102:46] can lower your time preference. You can
[102:47] focus on your passion, focus on your
[102:49] professions, and then combine that with
[102:51] AI where if intelligence, if software,
[102:55] if the marginal cost of these things
[102:58] trends to as close to zero as what's
[103:00] reasonable, then really what's left is
[103:03] what's actually the hard part. Like when
[103:05] people say like what's the hardest part
[103:07] of Strike? Well, it's actually not the
[103:09] engineering. If it was the engineering,
[103:12] I'd still be coding. The hardest part of
[103:14] Strike is all the intangibles. It's the
[103:16] taste. It's understanding what the
[103:17] market wants, the order in which to
[103:19] build it, how to convey it, how to
[103:20] design it. How do you inspire a
[103:23] revolution of a bunch of people on the
[103:25] internet? How do you cohesively express
[103:27] ideas? That's the hard part. And I
[103:30] consider a lot of what I do to be an
[103:32] art. So, I don't mean an art revolution
[103:35] like everyone's going to be painting or
[103:37] everyone's going to be playing guitar. I
[103:39] think what I do is art. I create
[103:42] different ways to express ideas to you
[103:45] all through products, through
[103:46] presentations, through podcasts.
[103:49] There's an art in trying to take complex
[103:52] topics and make them relatable and take
[103:56] a revolution and make it approachable
[103:59] and make it inspiring, right? And so I
[104:02] think the the renaissance will be we
[104:04] won't have to do you don't have to write
[104:05] the code. You don't have to do all the
[104:07] accounting work. You don't have to write
[104:09] the legal documents. Like the cost to do
[104:12] all of that will be zero. Everyone will
[104:15] have access to that. And what will be
[104:16] left is a new renaissance of art, of
[104:19] ideas, of expression. And we'll be able
[104:22] to save in money that allows us to lower
[104:24] our time preference and be future
[104:25] oriented and not compromise on the now.
[104:29] and we'll have the tools that allow us
[104:31] to be, you know, the most curious,
[104:34] artistic, expressive versions of
[104:36] ourselves, which I think is where we're
[104:37] meant to be. I don't think humans are
[104:39] meant to be in a cubicle writing word
[104:42] docs all day. Let the AI do that. And so
[104:46] that's kind of my focus when I was
[104:48] building my developer tools for the show
[104:52] was, you know, let how can I more
[104:55] efficiently and effectively express my
[104:58] my art, the the art that is Jack ideas,
[105:03] visuals, concepts.
[105:07] So pretty exciting. I'm very I'm very
[105:10] pumped by it. I haven't been this
[105:11] excited and like hacking over the
[105:13] weekends and, you know, locking myself
[105:15] in my room for a very long time. Okay,
[105:19] with that, I'm out of here. Almost a
[105:21] two-hour show. This was a fun one. Um,
[105:23] like I said, give me some feedback. So,
[105:25] this is totally different. I got a new
[105:27] computer and a totally new setup with
[105:29] new slides, new presentation. What parts
[105:32] of it did you like? What parts of it did
[105:34] did you not like? How about the delta
[105:36] between the presentation itself, talking
[105:38] about the companies, doing Q&A? Is Dylan
[105:41] doing a good job collecting your
[105:43] questions? Give us feedback. Like I
[105:45] said, you guys can't hurt my feelings.
[105:47] It's all love. We're all on the same
[105:48] team. Um I got I got thick enough skin.
[105:52] Lay it on me. Uh and I appreciate you.
[105:55] With that, I will uh I'll see you guys
[105:56] in seven days. Much love. Take care.
[105:59] Stay warm.

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