Anthony Pompliano
Por qué Bitcoin, las stablecoins y la tokenización harán subir mucho los precios
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TL;DR
Resumen de investigación
▶ Hackeos y riesgos para la adopción
El presentador introduce la conversación con Chris Perkins, entonces CEO de 250 Digital Asset Management, cuya adquisición por Franklin Templeton había sido anunciada; lo presenta como futuro responsable de Franklin Crypto. Pregunta por la oleada de hackeos y el posible papel de la IA. Perkins dice que el entorno para el sector es prometedor por la llegada de instituciones y unos fundamentos que considera sólidos, pero que los ataques frenan su potencial. Afirma que abril fue uno de los peores meses de la historia para los hackeos: 29 proyectos afectados y unos 600 millones de dólares sustraídos; atribuye muchos ataques a actores patrocinados por Estados, en particular Lazarus Group, afiliado al régimen norcoreano. Distingue el riesgo de mercado, que los inversores aceptan, de los riesgos de hackeo, operación y regulación, que no necesariamente desean asumir. Critica culpar repetidamente a los protocolos víctimas, aunque admite que pueden mejorar. Señala la ingeniería social y los enlaces maliciosos, y dice que los deepfakes y las herramientas de IA podrían facilitar ataques; a largo plazo, cree que instituciones con más capacidad de cómputo y modelos potentes también podrían defenderse mejor. El presentador observa que los 600 millones se repartieron entre muchos proyectos pequeños y no afectaron a Bitcoin, Ethereum o Coinbase, y plantea que los atacantes podrían elegir objetivos con defensas más débiles. Pregunta por una posible respuesta ofensiva de Estados Unidos.
▶ Propuesta de recuperación regulada de activos
Perkins cuenta que publicó un documento con Christian Carlo más de un año antes porque no veía una respuesta eficaz a los ataques. Propone recuperar el modelo histórico de los *privateers* —concesiones autorizadas mediante cartas de marca y represalia— y lo relaciona con la Constitución estadounidense. Según su relato, estos particulares atacaban la economía y los barcos de otras naciones durante la Guerra de Independencia y la guerra de 1812; afirma que la Constitución incluye esta facultad y que lleva unos 200 años inactiva. Su argumento es que un actor estatal puede superar en recursos a una startup, mientras que las agencias públicas afrontan dificultades para retener talento especializado, costes altos, procesos legales lentos y una superficie de respuesta insuficiente ante ataques numerosos y sofisticados. Plantea habilitar, mediante licencias y regulación, a ciudadanos del sector privado para ayudar a recuperar activos robados; el entrevistador pregunta si se trataría de hackear o de aportar información a cambio de una recompensa, y Perkins responde que podrían existir ambos modelos. En el mecanismo histórico, los participantes aportarían una fianza para cumplir la ley y tribunales determinarían el reparto de los bienes recuperados entre el participante, el Estado y otras partes. Perkins presenta la propuesta como posible negocio y como fuente para financiar una reserva de criptomonedas sin coste para el contribuyente. Dice que la recepción en Washington ha sido positiva, pero que incluir un programa así en las revisiones de la Clarity Act sería laborioso; cita como precedente moderno los programas para denunciantes. Sostiene que una protección de seguridad podría atraer de vuelta a emprendedores a Estados Unidos y califica la propuesta de legal y oportuna.
▶ IA, defensa y transición a la regulación
El presentador menciona las capacidades cibernéticas de modelos de IA y pregunta si una ventaja técnica estadounidense facilitaría recuperar activos. Perkins responde que sí para la recuperación y, desde su perspectiva de inversor a largo plazo, vincula IA, criptomonedas y eventualmente computación cuántica. Considera que la IA puede mejorar la seguridad si se dispone de modelos mejores, más rápidos y reflexivos y de más recursos de cómputo, aunque prevé una competencia continua y mantiene que las personas seguirán siendo vulnerables a engaños. Cree que la IA puede ayudar tanto a la defensa como a una posible ofensiva de particulares autorizados. Sobre el repunte de ataques, responde que la IA probablemente es parte de la causa y que los atacantes ya usan estas herramientas; anticipa que el problema podría empeorar. El presentador menciona una demostración de deepfake en un evento de Worldcoin y pasa a preguntar por la regulación y el avance de la Clarity Act.
▶ Clarity Act, taxonomía y debate ético
Perkins dice que dedica tiempo a la regulación porque una palabra o frase legal puede crear o destruir miles de millones de dólares de valor. Coincide en que Bitcoin puede prosperar sin una nueva ley, aunque considera que el resto del mercado necesita una taxonomía más clara para distinguir valores de materias primas. A su juicio, la Clarity Act podría dar impulso al sector al incorporar reglas en la ley; si no se aprueba, sostiene que las decisiones y precedentes diarios de los presidentes de organismos reguladores ya están proporcionando claridad. Añade que ser considerado un valor no equivale necesariamente a una condena para un activo, pues puede dar acceso a los mercados de capitales estadounidenses. Sobre el estado del proyecto, dice que el debate sobre los intereses de las monedas estables ya quedó resuelto y que el siguiente obstáculo es la ética. Rechaza, en su opinión, convertir la asociación entre Trump y las criptomonedas en motivo para oponerse al proyecto, y propone tratar por separado los problemas éticos gubernamentales. El entrevistador afirma que ve problemas en distintas clases de activos y en ambos partidos; Perkins coincide en que deben abordarse, menciona que Trump habló dos veces de una ley contra el uso de información privilegiada y pide centrarse en los asuntos concretos del proyecto y del sector.
▶ Fundamentos del mercado y tesis geopolítica de Bitcoin
El entrevistador organiza su lectura del mercado en tres aspectos: tecnología, adopción institucional y regulación, y el papel de Bitcoin en el contexto macroeconómico y geopolítico. Considera que la tecnología funciona —menciona Bitcoin, algunos altcoins, monedas estables y tokenización— y que las instituciones avanzan más que los políticos, con inversiones y anuncios frecuentes. Perkins desarrolla una tesis de realpolitik: si los Estados actúan según sus intereses, aumenta el valor de activos que no requieren confianza ni permiso. En su opinión, Bitcoin podría tener utilidad en ese entorno, y la resistencia a la censura también representa una ventaja material para Ethereum aunque no sea el activo más rápido. Afirma que los Estados intentan reducir su dependencia del dólar, pero que hacerlo es difícil; dice que vendieron algunos bonos del Tesoro y compraron oro. Atribuye la preferencia por el oro a que algunos compradores no conocen alternativas y sostiene que es difícil almacenar y transportar oro físico, mientras que acudir a derivados vuelve a involucrar instituciones financieras estadounidenses. Como señal de mercado, afirma que el gráfico de Bitcoin frente al oro ha mejorado desde el inicio de Epic Fury, que Bitcoin está cerca de su media móvil de 150 días y que una ruptura podría señalar un cambio de régimen. Presenta el panorama geopolítico y el comportamiento de ese gráfico como constructivos para Bitcoin.
▶ Pausa publicitaria y regreso a la relación entre mercados
La conversación se interrumpe con anuncios de Uphold y Arch Public. Uphold se describe en el anuncio como una plataforma para operar, obtener rendimiento, hacer staking y gastar cripto; se promocionan acceso a más de 300 monedas cripto y fiduciarias, intercambios entre activos, una bóveda de autocustodia, reservas completas y prueba de reservas actualizada cada 30 segundos. El anuncio también afirma que usuarios de Estados Unidos pueden obtener rendimiento sobre dólares sin comisiones ni mínimos, con fondos asegurados hasta 2,5 millones de dólares mediante Atomic Cash Suite. El anuncio de Arch Public presenta estrategias automatizadas de compraventa de criptomonedas, con algoritmos, personalización y asistencia de un equipo de concierge; menciona posibles estrategias para Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana y XRP, y afirma que la plataforma es socio de Coinbase, Kraken, Robinhood y Gemini. Al terminar los anuncios, el entrevistador pregunta cómo se relacionan Bitcoin y las acciones.
▶ Tokenización, negociación continua y monedas estables
El entrevistador observa que Bitcoin resistió relativamente bien al inicio del conflicto con Irán mientras varios mercados caían, y que después las acciones recuperaron máximos mientras Bitcoin aún no los alcanzaba. Perkins dice que Bitcoin empieza a mejorar frente a grandes acciones tecnológicas y sostiene que los mercados de renta variable atraviesan una transformación por la tokenización. La compara con el paso de las operaciones a viva voz a la negociación electrónica: considera que la tokenización es la siguiente iteración y permite mercados 24/7. Como fiduciario, dice que podría preferir una acción tokenizada para poder gestionar el riesgo durante los fines de semana, cuando pueden ocurrir acontecimientos geopolíticos y la negociación tradicional está cerrada. Explica que esa disponibilidad puede hacer que participantes usen el mercado cripto para cubrirse o vender en esos periodos, lo que habría contribuido a dificultades de precio; a largo plazo, ve como ventaja la continuidad de los mercados cripto. Enlaza esta tesis con las monedas estables: si un mercado de acciones de 127 billones de dólares se tokenizara, pregunta cómo se pagaría por esos activos y responde que con monedas estables. Menciona que el secretario del Tesoro habló de tres billones, cifra que Perkins considera probablemente conservadora. Cierra diciendo que las acciones se recuperan pese a las tensiones geopolíticas, que las criptomonedas resistieron, que el sentimiento —aunque muy malo— mejora gradualmente y que espera el regreso del inversor minorista.
▶ Nuevo cargo y gestión de riesgos institucionales
El entrevistador pregunta qué riesgos preocupan a Perkins al asumir un nuevo puesto en Franklin Templeton. Perkins explica que la firma anunció la adquisición de las estrategias líquidas de su empresa y que, una vez cerrada la operación, será responsable de Franklin Crypto. Dice que su equipo acumuló experiencia cripto en años de operación y afrontó riesgos regulatorios; ahora, en cambio, ve que las instituciones corren el riesgo de quedarse fuera de un sector cuyos fundamentos y creación de valor mejoran. Su papel será ayudarles a encontrar exposición y soluciones compatibles con su tolerancia al riesgo. Identifica la seguridad como un desafío central: algunos inversores pueden preferir operar a través de una institución de confianza que les ayude a gestionar riesgos en lugar de usar DeFi directamente. Sugiere que una mayor seguridad y el acceso a los mercados de capitales estadounidenses, incluidos préstamos y financiación, pueden explicar el uso de ETF por parte de algunos inversores veteranos de Bitcoin. También plantea alejarse de perseguir el siguiente meme y utilizar la distribución institucional y la IA para analizar fundamentos y estrategias. Menciona la disrupción que, en su opinión, traerán IA, cripto y eventualmente la computación cuántica, y dice que quiere ayudar a sus clientes a afrontar esos cambios.
▶ Prioridades de Franklin y computación cuántica
Preguntado por la estrategia de Franklin Templeton, Perkins responde que combinará productos tradicionales tokenizados con oportunidades cripto nativas. Dice que Jenny Johnson, Sandy Call y el equipo de Franklin ya conocen el sector: afirma que Johnson y Call han estado involucrados desde 2018 y que él aprendió sobre Bitcoin junto a Call alrededor de 2013. Según Perkins, la prioridad será coordinar los equipos para resolver problemas de clientes en tokenización, cripto y áreas intermedias; espera numerosos anuncios y quiere centrarse en soluciones innovadoras. Sobre la computación cuántica, dice que no está muy preocupado por las criptomonedas porque el sector presta atención a la criptografía y la innovación, y cree que ya se trabaja para abordar los desafíos e identificar oportunidades. Añade que la IA podría acelerar avances cuánticos y que las criptomonedas podrían servir como infraestructura para autenticación y movimiento de capital. Considera que la resistencia cuántica de la criptografía es importante, pero dice estar más preocupado por otras industrias y plantea que una criptografía resistente podría facilitar que esas industrias adopten infraestructura cripto. Presenta la computación cuántica como un factor que puede impulsar la convergencia.
▶ Monedas estables, rendimiento y predominio del dólar
El entrevistador señala el crecimiento de las monedas estables y pregunta si las instituciones usarán productos existentes como Tether o USDC, o crearán los propios. Perkins cree que serán importantes a escala mundial porque permitirán a personas con acceso a internet comprar y conservar dólares como reserva de valor. Pronostica que la dominancia del dólar podría expandirse y que aumentará la demanda mundial; aclara que no presenta esa tendencia como algo necesariamente bueno. Relaciona la expansión de monedas e idiomas con una posible concentración monetaria. Identifica el rendimiento como un problema: el dólar conserva valor de forma relativa, pero puede depreciarse en términos absolutos. Pregunta por la diferencia entre un fondo del mercado monetario tokenizado y una moneda estable. El entrevistador responde que depende de a quién se pregunte y que, salvo por el mecanismo de uso, pueden parecer similares. Perkins pregunta cuál es más arriesgado; el entrevistador contesta que depende de quién opine, y Perkins plantea que ambos podrían ser básicamente iguales. Perkins sostiene que la diferencia regulatoria actual es que uno paga intereses a otra parte y el otro puede pagar al tenedor; argumenta que un enfoque basado en principios debería permitir compartir más fácilmente un activo que produce rendimiento. Ve con interés la tokenización de mercados de capitales, acciones y valores, y afirma que la operación de su empresa prevé pagar el producto en un fondo del mercado monetario. Espera que las líneas entre productos sigan difuminándose y que el dólar se vuelva más accesible y dominante, algo que considera favorable para el gobierno estadounidense.
▶ Exposición, fundamentos y carteras personalizadas
El entrevistador pregunta qué prefieren los clientes institucionales: comprar Bitcoin u otros activos directamente, invertir en infraestructura mediante acciones, o buscar negociación, cobertura y alfa. Perkins rechaza, como opinión, tratar acciones y tokens como categorías excluyentes: sostiene que el token añade utilidad al poder transferirse mundialmente las 24 horas, pero que lo decisivo son los fundamentos y la acumulación de valor para cada activo. Compara los ETF que envuelven criptoactivos en valores con tokens que representan valores. Dice que cada cliente evalúa objetivos de inversión y referencias distintas, por lo que no puede generalizar sobre todos los inversores. Anticipa más personalización mediante bóvedas: propone que un asesor procese los datos de una persona con un modelo de IA y genere rápidamente una cartera adaptada a sus necesidades y acontecimientos vitales.
▶ Política monetaria, liderazgo estadounidense y cierre
El entrevistador pregunta por la Reserva Federal, un nuevo presidente que, según él, parece favorecer tipos más bajos, y la posible relación entre recortes y precios cripto. Perkins afirma que los mercados cripto interpretaron mal el nombramiento y que la persona designada tiene una cartera cripto considerable y se expresa a favor del sector; también describe al secretario del Tesoro Bessent como favorable a las criptomonedas y a las monedas estables. Presenta como tesis que podría surgir un nuevo acuerdo entre la Reserva Federal y el Tesoro, con algunas funciones que, según él, han pasado a la Fed regresando al Tesoro. Sostiene que la Fed podría conservar su independencia mientras el Tesoro, sujeto a elecciones, asume otras responsabilidades. Cree que esto daría más flexibilidad a Bessent para impulsar una agenda que describe como convertir a Estados Unidos en la capital cripto del mundo. Reconoce que los activos de riesgo responden a tipos más bajos, pero señala el dilema internacional entre la inflación energética y subir tipos; considera que Estados Unidos tiene más resiliencia e independencia energética y prevé un entorno favorable si Tesoro y Fed coordinan su trabajo, sin eliminar la independencia de la Fed. El entrevistador coincide y defiende que Estados Unidos aspire a liderar en cripto, IA, espacio y otras tecnologías. Perkins también menciona avances posibles en biología y ADN. Para cerrar, Perkins indica que sigue en Twitter como PerkinsCR97, intercambia agradecimientos con el entrevistador y este lo felicita por la adquisición y el nuevo cargo.
Transcripción completa
[0:01] we are geopolitically and across the
[0:03] globe, this is an era of what we call
[0:05] real politic where nation states are
[0:08] acting in their interests which is
[0:09] distinct from idealism which we've you
[0:11] know this these things go back and
[0:12] forth. And so real politic is really um
[0:16] predicated by a trustless permissionless
[0:18] world. And if only there was an asset
[0:21] that was trustless and permissionless I
[0:23] think it's going to have incredible
[0:25] utility during this era of human
[0:27] evolution. That's Bitcoin. What's going
[0:30] on, guys? Today we got a great
[0:31] conversation with Chris Perkins. Chris
[0:33] is currently the CEO of 250 Digital
[0:35] Asset Management, but they are being
[0:36] acquired by Franklin Templeton. And so,
[0:38] Chris is the incoming head of crypto at
[0:40] Franklin Crypto. Now, in this
[0:42] conversation, Chris brings up a point
[0:44] that I have never heard anyone else talk
[0:45] about. It's the idea of unleashing
[0:47] American citizens in a privateeering
[0:49] mechanism to go on the offense against
[0:52] all of the cyber warfare that's
[0:53] happening in crypto. It's a fascinating
[0:55] conversation. We also go through
[0:56] different geopolitical and macroeconomic
[0:58] impacts on crypto. And then Chris
[1:00] explains what Franklin Templeton's been
[1:02] doing in the crypto sector and what he's
[1:04] going to be doing in his new role. This
[1:05] conversation is going to make you think
[1:07] much more deeply about what's going on,
[1:08] why there is so much cyber crime that's
[1:10] been happening recently, and also where
[1:12] the world's going from an institutional
[1:14] perspective. Here's my conversation with
[1:16] Chris Perkins. All right, Chris, there
[1:18] has been an enormous number of hacks
[1:20] this past month in crypto, and I'm
[1:21] wondering how much of that is like
[1:22] driven by AI, how much of it is people
[1:24] are just getting lazy in the crypto
[1:26] world, but this feels like a
[1:27] significantly bigger problem than people
[1:29] are talking about publicly. And so, how
[1:30] are you evaluating this right now?
[1:33] >> Yeah. Hey, good to see you, Pomp. I
[1:35] would say like when you step back, it
[1:37] couldn't be a more exciting time to be
[1:39] in this crypto space, right?
[1:41] Institutions are marching in. Bitcoin is
[1:44] looking very, very constructive right
[1:45] now. on. In fact, the entire the
[1:47] fundamentals of the asset class look
[1:49] great, but there's one thing standing in
[1:51] our way as you mentioned, and that's all
[1:53] these hacks. Do you know April was one
[1:56] of the worst months in history of
[1:58] hacking? 29 projects were hacked. About
[2:01] $600 million were taken. A lot of this
[2:03] is uh perpetrated by state sponsored
[2:05] actors, particularly Lazarus Group,
[2:08] which is affiliated with the North
[2:09] Korean regime. Um, and that's a real
[2:12] problem. Uh, it's a real problem for a
[2:14] few reasons. Number one, a lot of
[2:16] investors, and you know this, they're
[2:18] very comfortable taking market risk.
[2:20] That's what they get paid to do. That's
[2:21] what they get paid to underwrite, but
[2:24] they don't get paid, you know, to take
[2:25] the risk of hacking or operational risk
[2:28] or regulatory risk or any of this stuff.
[2:30] And so, as long as this this threat
[2:32] looms, it it it's stopping the
[2:35] incredible asset class where we operate
[2:38] from achieving its full potential. And
[2:40] so we haven't seen, you know, the thing
[2:43] that kills me about this this whole
[2:45] thing is that often times in on crypto
[2:47] Twitter or wherever you are, people will
[2:49] say, "Oh, you know what? Um, shame on
[2:52] that protocol. Shame on them." You know,
[2:54] it's like blaming the victim over and
[2:56] over again. Um, and look, can things be
[2:59] done better? Absolutely. We see and to
[3:01] your to your question, a lot of this is
[3:04] due not it's frankly due to social
[3:06] engineering. They get people to click on
[3:08] the wrong link. It's getting very scary
[3:10] with deep fakes and AI. Now you have
[3:12] Mythos, like all these AI tools. And
[3:15] perhaps one of the reasons why people
[3:17] are speculating why there's so many
[3:18] hacks this month is because AI tools are
[3:20] coming online and it's making it easier
[3:22] to hack. I think as we look longer term,
[3:25] the institutions who have more access to
[3:27] compute and powerful models will
[3:28] probably be able to defend more. So it
[3:32] works in both directions. But the
[3:34] problem right now as it exists needs to
[3:36] be addressed. Now, when you look at u
[3:39] these hacks that are occurring, when I
[3:40] hear $600 million, that's a lot. But
[3:42] also, you know, there's been uh billions
[3:45] of billions of dollars of trading volume
[3:46] on a daily basis. There's trillions of
[3:48] dollars of market cap. And so, uh it
[3:50] feels like uh maybe some of the reason
[3:52] why it's not getting talked about is
[3:53] because it's $600 million spread across
[3:56] 29 different things. It's not like there
[3:57] was, you know, one hack of $3 billion.
[4:00] Now, it dominate headlines. And it's
[4:01] also not of protocols that the
[4:04] mainstream has heard of. It's not like
[4:05] Bitcoin got hacked or Ethereum got
[4:07] hacked or Coinbase got hacked. And so
[4:09] I'm assuming part of that is like the
[4:11] strategy of the nefarious actor, right?
[4:12] It's like go to these smaller areas
[4:14] where the defense is probably not as
[4:16] strong. But I know you've also been
[4:18] involved in conversations in Washington
[4:20] DC about like wait a minute, rather than
[4:21] us play defense, what if we go on
[4:24] offense? And can you talk a little bit
[4:25] about this conversation around the
[4:27] United States incentivizing people to
[4:29] kind of fight back in this uh cyber
[4:31] warfare area?
[4:32] >> Yeah. So, you know, Christian Carlo, uh,
[4:34] he and I published a paper over a year
[4:36] ago and we knew this was a real problem
[4:39] and we, again, a lot of people complain
[4:41] about it and they blame different people
[4:43] for it, but we hadn't seen an effective
[4:45] response. And I know I grew up playing
[4:48] sports, I know you did, and coach always
[4:50] used to say, the best defense is a good
[4:52] offense. And so we looked at our history
[4:54] and people don't understand this and I'm
[4:56] going to insult you a little bit as a
[4:57] Marine, but um if you look back at the
[5:00] Revolutionary War, we really didn't win
[5:03] it because of George Washington
[5:05] maneuvering on the battlefield. We won
[5:07] it because we unleash these guys called
[5:09] privateeers. Uh it's a concept through
[5:12] letters, it's called letters of mark and
[5:13] reprisal. You essentially uh give them a
[5:16] license to go out and just ravage the
[5:19] economy of the other nation. And we did
[5:21] that. And if you look at the headlines
[5:22] in London at the time, they're like, you
[5:23] know, these Americans are killing our
[5:24] economy. They're attacking all our
[5:25] ships. You know, it's not working. And
[5:27] so that really was a a very important
[5:30] reason why we won the Revolutionary War.
[5:33] Brits came back in 1812. Madison's like,
[5:35] you know what, privateeers get after
[5:37] them. He launched 500. Same thing
[5:39] happened. Europeans thought it was a
[5:41] dirty game. They got out of the business
[5:42] in the mid 19th century. Um, the US
[5:45] however loved this concept so much it's
[5:48] actually in article one of our
[5:49] constitution. It's as American as apple
[5:52] pie. I don't know if they have apple pie
[5:54] in our constitution but you know what
[5:55] they got privateeers there. Um, look it
[5:58] up. It's pretty fascinating. And so the
[6:01] problem is it's been dormant for 200
[6:03] years. And our thesis is okay you have
[6:06] these state actors attacking a startup.
[6:09] Who's going to win every single time?
[6:12] The state sponsored a actor. They've got
[6:14] more resources. Our country has very
[6:17] good resources as well. And people like,
[6:18] we'll just let the IC do it, the
[6:20] intelligence community, let the army do
[6:21] it, whatever. The problem is talent is
[6:24] difficult to retain. It's very expensive
[6:27] because you have to find specialized
[6:28] people with specialized skills. And
[6:30] frankly, it's low lat. It's it's it's
[6:32] got a lot of latency because if you're
[6:34] able to hack somebody, you have to go
[6:36] through a lot of like due diligence and
[6:38] and due process, excuse me, to be able
[6:40] to follow the law. Frankly, the surface
[6:42] area is very small and so they can't
[6:44] respond enough fast enough because again
[6:47] 29 hacks this month and by the way those
[6:49] were semi concentrated there two about
[6:51] $300 million hacks. We've seen billion
[6:52] dollar hacks with buyit and so the bad
[6:56] guys are getting much much more
[6:57] sophisticated. So the idea is gosh the
[7:00] private sector has all the skills in the
[7:02] world. They're financially incented.
[7:04] What we can do is we can extend the
[7:06] surface area by empowering private
[7:09] citizens to go and hack back. Now, maybe
[7:12] politically right now in my
[7:13] conversations with some of the senators,
[7:15] they're like, "You can't call it
[7:16] privateeering. You got to call it um
[7:18] essentially like a uh a reclaim policy
[7:22] or, you know, we we'll figure out a way
[7:24] to to name it.
[7:25] >> A recovery program,
[7:26] >> a recovery, sorry. Yeah, like a recovery
[7:28] process. Wonderful. We can call it
[7:30] whatever you want." Um but the idea
[7:32] would be fully regulated, licensed to go
[7:35] out and recover um what's been stolen.
[7:38] Now, the way it worked in the history in
[7:40] in the past in history is there would be
[7:43] um the privateeers would post a bond.
[7:45] Maybe in crypto we call it staking, but
[7:47] essentially they'd post a bond to make
[7:48] sure they stayed within the law. Uh and
[7:50] then there would be prize courts where
[7:51] they would say, "Okay, privateeer, you
[7:52] get X. Um, hey, this the house is going
[7:55] to get a little bit, you give a little
[7:56] bit to the state, and then you you
[7:58] return some some of of of the spoils, if
[8:00] you will." Now, what does this mean?
[8:03] This means not only could it be a really
[8:05] interesting business model, but you
[8:07] could also use this to fund the crypto
[8:09] reserve at no cost to the taxpayer. So,
[8:12] it's a very very interesting concept.
[8:15] The reception I've had on the hill has
[8:17] been very positive. Um, but I think as
[8:20] we're going through markups on clarity,
[8:22] it's very tedious and difficult. It
[8:24] would be wonderful to get a recovery
[8:26] program inserted and frankly we got a
[8:28] lot of precedent for it in in modern day
[8:29] finance and whistleblower programs which
[8:31] is you you give the the power to private
[8:33] citizens um to go out and address issues
[8:36] that they see. Uh so that's the gist of
[8:38] it. I think it's um again the backdrop
[8:41] of a very constructive
[8:43] environment for crypto at a time when
[8:46] fundamentals continue to improve. I
[8:48] think this could be the icing on the
[8:49] cake. Oh, and by the way, if we have
[8:51] this massive security umbrella over the
[8:53] United States, what's going to happen?
[8:56] Entrepreneurs are going to come back on
[8:57] shore because they're going to be
[8:58] protected by that security umbrella. So,
[9:00] I think, you know, I don't see downside
[9:03] to having this program. And again, you
[9:06] don't want to talk about legal, there's
[9:07] nothing more legal. It's in our
[9:08] constitution, article 1, section 8.
[9:10] Check it out. You know what's
[9:11] interesting to me about this whole idea
[9:12] of privateeering is I've heard a bunch
[9:14] of people maybe Eric Prince is the the
[9:16] number one uh person who's been
[9:17] promoting this for uh natural resources
[9:20] for dealing with cartels. Uh obviously
[9:23] there's a ton of these uh different
[9:25] situations that are happening a lot in
[9:26] South and Central America. Uh this is
[9:28] the first time I'm hearing about it
[9:29] though when it comes to digital uses or
[9:32] cyber uses. And so how much of it would
[9:34] have to be like hacking type stuff where
[9:36] Americans would basically go on the
[9:38] offense versus it's information flow? So
[9:41] almost like a reward. Hey, if you give
[9:42] us information about XYZ and it leads to
[9:45] us recovering something, then you would
[9:47] get paid for that. I I think you could
[9:49] have honestly both types of programs. Um
[9:52] but again, the private sector has the
[9:55] capabilities and the tool sets to
[9:58] recover those assets and also to extend
[10:00] the security umbrella. I I think it's a
[10:02] no-brainer. Um I think it's fully legal
[10:04] and I think it it's time.
[10:06] >> Now what becomes even more interesting
[10:08] is the US model companies seem to have
[10:11] had a couple of breakthroughs. Obviously
[10:12] there's the whole mythos thing. Uh chat
[10:14] GPT uh 5.5 is out now and these have
[10:18] very interesting cyber capabilities. Um
[10:22] whether they are actually you know a
[10:23] point where people need to be careful
[10:25] and and maybe we shouldn't give it out
[10:26] to the public versus okay they're just
[10:28] very powerful. uh if the US has those
[10:31] capabilities and another country or a
[10:33] nefarious organization doesn't actually
[10:36] from a technical standpoint we should
[10:37] have an advantage and it increases the
[10:39] odds we'd be able to go and recover some
[10:40] of the stuff right totally I think for
[10:42] sure on the recovery side but I think
[10:45] long-term like I'm a long-term investor
[10:48] and I'm very very bullish I mean as
[10:49] we're looking at this is just another
[10:51] example where AI crypto and then
[10:54] ultimately quantum these things are all
[10:56] flowing together AI and I think is going
[10:59] to be one of the the long-term solutions
[11:01] to security because as we as you
[11:04] mentioned we're going to be running
[11:06] these models as effectively as the bad
[11:08] guys. The key is to have better models,
[11:10] faster models, more thoughtful models
[11:12] and I would hope that you know on shore
[11:14] we're going to have um more resources
[11:17] around compute etc. um to be able to
[11:20] stay in front of the bad guys. Uh it'll
[11:22] always be a cat-mouse game. The weakness
[11:24] will continue to be humans like you and
[11:26] me. Um we're fallible. Um, we can be,
[11:29] you know, we can be tricked and messed
[11:31] with. Um, but I do think AI is going to
[11:33] be a long, you know, people are freaking
[11:35] out about, oh my gosh, we're going to
[11:36] get hacked by AI. Yeah, for sure. But I
[11:38] also think it's going to be providing
[11:40] beautiful defense and maybe in the
[11:42] context of privateeers, even better
[11:44] offense.
[11:44] >> Do you think that the reason why there
[11:46] was the 20some hacks and uh, you know,
[11:48] kind of that the higher pace and
[11:49] frequency is because of AI? Like is it
[11:52] that's actually what's driving uh, the
[11:54] problem at the moment?
[11:55] >> I think that's part of it. Um, yes. I I
[11:58] think the bad guys are using tools for
[12:00] sure. Uh in many cases it will continue
[12:02] to get worse.
[12:03] >> I was at this uh Are you familiar with
[12:06] Worldcoin? Uh I was at their event a
[12:08] couple weeks ago in San Francisco
[12:10] >> and they literally were showing how you
[12:12] know they did a demo of a deep fake.
[12:14] Couldn't tell but they had their world
[12:15] ID. It was really cool. But like yeah AI
[12:18] is definitely helping a lot of these um
[12:21] these bad guys. Le let's talk a little
[12:23] bit. You mentioned clarity. Um I have
[12:25] been of the belief that uh Bitcoin in
[12:27] particular will be successful with or
[12:29] without that type of regulation but I
[12:31] think that a lot of the rest of the
[12:33] industry is waiting for some of these
[12:35] milestones to happen whether it is the
[12:37] government's participation institutional
[12:39] participation etc. Uh I know that you've
[12:41] been very involved in understanding
[12:43] what's you know kind of the current
[12:44] state of affairs like where are we and
[12:46] and do you have a sense of when this
[12:48] thing's going to get passed? Yeah, I'm a
[12:50] business guy, but I spend a ton of time
[12:51] on regulation. And the reason why I do
[12:53] is you have to you have to understand
[12:55] it. And if you can shape it, you try to
[12:57] shape it by by educating policy makers
[12:59] because like one word or one sentence of
[13:02] regulation or law translates to billions
[13:04] of dollars of downstream value creation
[13:06] or destruction. That's just how it
[13:08] works. So, I agree with you. We don't
[13:12] need it. I think we want it. And Bitcoin
[13:15] is a special animal. I think it's going
[13:17] to be fine either way. But what what's
[13:19] important for the rest of of the
[13:21] cryptocurrency market really starts with
[13:23] something called taxonomy. What is a
[13:25] security? What is a commodity? The laws
[13:27] already kind of defined it, but we need
[13:28] that taxonomy. Now, if we get the
[13:31] Clarity Act, I think it's going to be it
[13:34] could unleash at a certain point in time
[13:36] animal spirits because now you've
[13:38] enshrined crypto in our laws and like
[13:40] it's we've done that with stable coins.
[13:42] So, I think it's going to be a nice
[13:43] tailwind um if if you're looking at
[13:44] markets. However, if we don't get it, it
[13:48] doesn't matter. You've got Chairman
[13:50] Celig, you got Chairman Atkins. These
[13:52] guys are setting precedent every single
[13:54] day that's thoughtful, smart, and it's
[13:55] and it's giving people what they wanted
[13:56] the whole time. Clarity that it's giving
[13:58] them taxonomy. What's a security? What's
[13:59] a And they're like, and Atkins is like,
[14:01] "No, no, no. These aren't securities. If
[14:02] you wrap a security, that's a security.
[14:04] That's a" And by the way, being a
[14:06] security now is not a death sentence. In
[14:09] fact, it's an awesome unlock because you
[14:11] can use the US capital markets. So,
[14:13] we're getting that clarity either way.
[14:15] What are what are you what is what
[14:17] should you be looking for right now on
[14:18] the act itself? This whole interest on
[14:20] stable coin stuff was such a
[14:22] distraction. We had the Genius Act,
[14:24] whatever. It's been sorted either way.
[14:26] Um, now we're getting into it's like
[14:29] kind of like when a satellite or the
[14:31] space shuttle re-enters the atmosphere,
[14:32] you're kind of going through this crazy
[14:34] dark period. The next hurdle is ethics.
[14:38] And this makes me a little bit mental,
[14:40] too, because there are people um that
[14:43] are saying, "I I can't support this bill
[14:45] because Trump and crypto are a thing. I
[14:47] if I support crypto, I'm supporting
[14:49] Trump. Everything's unethical." Blah
[14:51] blah blah blah blah blah. And it's the
[14:54] complete wrong way to look at this
[14:56] thing. You know, do we have issues with
[14:58] ethics and trading in our government?
[15:01] What do you think, Anthony? I think that
[15:03] there is so many problems across asset
[15:07] classes and across the aisle of both
[15:09] political parties that uh you could pick
[15:11] any a topic and I will tell you 20 other
[15:14] variations of that same thing in a
[15:16] completely nonpartisan way and across
[15:18] public private markets.
[15:20] >> A amen right do we have ethics issues
[15:23] across our government? Absolutely.
[15:25] Should they be addressed 100%. If you
[15:28] look at Trump's State of the Union
[15:29] address, he actually mentioned the Stop
[15:30] Insider Trading Act twice. And to your
[15:33] point, to my point, let's look at it
[15:35] holistically. This is not about crypto.
[15:37] It's about ethics. So why are we trying
[15:39] to, you know, adjudicate this here? I
[15:41] don't like it. And by the way, if you
[15:43] really hate Trump that much, then let's
[15:46] let's just get rid of the real estate
[15:48] industry as well. I already likes real
[15:50] estate, too. Right? Like like that's a
[15:52] problem, right? So anyway, I'm
[15:55] apolitical, but let's look at this asset
[15:57] class and let's let's focus on the
[15:59] issues in the bill. That's where we need
[16:01] to be. When I look at uh the state of
[16:05] Bitcoin and crypto markets today, there
[16:07] are really three things that I think are
[16:08] important. The first is is the
[16:10] technology working? I think you can
[16:12] argue that, you know, Bitcoin is
[16:13] working. There are some altcoins that
[16:15] are technically executing exactly what
[16:17] they said they were going to do. Stable
[16:18] coins have become very popular.
[16:20] Tokenization is happening. uh
[16:22] institutions are adopting these
[16:23] technologies trying to figure out how to
[16:24] use them etc. So like I think you can
[16:26] say okay there's always progress that
[16:27] can be made there but that first bucket
[16:28] you know checks out. The second one is
[16:31] uh a lot of the regulatory like DC and
[16:34] institutional world and I think the
[16:36] institutions are further ahead than the
[16:38] politicians. Um the institutions are
[16:40] kind of pouring capital and uh and manh
[16:42] hours into this that you you know
[16:44] there's pretty much an announcement
[16:45] almost every week at this point from an
[16:46] institution. uh the politicians seem to
[16:49] begrudgingly like it across both sides
[16:51] of the aisle because they realize that
[16:53] the constituents like it and therefore
[16:54] they've got to support it and so you
[16:56] know we'll get there but but we're
[16:57] there. The third thing though is what is
[16:59] the role of again let's use Bitcoin just
[17:02] because it'll make the conversation
[17:03] easier but like what is the role of
[17:05] Bitcoin inside of the macro and
[17:06] geopolitical environment right so
[17:08] whether it's the Iran war whether it's
[17:10] things going on at the Fed like it does
[17:12] feel like these assets that used to
[17:14] operate completely outside the system
[17:16] and frankly had no interaction
[17:18] whatsoever with the kind of broader
[17:20] financial system now it has a lot and so
[17:24] how do you evaluate kind of the
[17:25] macroeconomic you know impact and the
[17:27] geop political impact on this industry.
[17:30] >> If you step back and you look at where
[17:31] we are geopolitically and across the
[17:33] globe, this is an era of what we call
[17:36] real politic where nation states are
[17:39] acting in their interests which is
[17:40] distinct from idealism which we've you
[17:42] know this these things go back and
[17:43] forth. And so real politic is really um
[17:48] predicated by a trustless permissionless
[17:50] world, right? And if only there was an
[17:54] asset that was trustless and
[17:55] permissionless, I think it's going to
[17:57] have incredible utility during this era
[17:59] of human evolution, that's Bitcoin,
[18:02] right? And why did you see Ethereum come
[18:05] out and double down on what it's known
[18:08] as crops, censorship resistance, right?
[18:11] It may not be the fastest, it might not
[18:13] be the sexiest, but if it can be the
[18:15] the, you know, like Bitcoin, resistant
[18:18] to censorship, that is a material
[18:20] material edge. And so, as you look at
[18:23] the world going forward, what what is
[18:24] the world that I see? I see real politic
[18:28] continuing to dominate. Nation states
[18:30] around the world are trying to decouple
[18:32] from the dollar where possible, but it's
[18:35] really, really hard. And what they did
[18:37] was they they dumped some treasuries,
[18:39] they bought gold, gold went up, and then
[18:41] everyone's like, "What happened to
[18:42] Bitcoin?" Well, guess what? They they
[18:45] bought the gold because they're really
[18:46] old. And and they didn't know any
[18:48] better. And now they're realizing gold
[18:49] is a very difficult asset to store
[18:51] value. Um if you go into the derivative
[18:54] space, you're back into the essentially
[18:55] the US Financial Institution for the
[18:57] most part. Physical gold is very hard to
[18:59] move and transport. And now, have you
[19:01] looked at the Bitcoin gold chart
[19:02] recently since since Epic Fury began?
[19:05] Take a look if you have it straight and
[19:07] to the right. Um, it's a beautiful,
[19:09] beautiful chart. Bitcoin is now playing
[19:11] with its 150day moving average. It's
[19:12] about to break out. That is that is
[19:14] often a sign of regime change. And so,
[19:17] it's very, very constructive right now
[19:19] in the context of of of the geopolitical
[19:21] situation that we find each other. Very
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[21:36] I sent you. How do you look at the
[21:38] relationship between Bitcoin and stocks?
[21:41] You know, there was a point there when
[21:42] the Iran conflict started where there
[21:44] was like a decoupling. Stocks, gold,
[21:46] everything sold off and Bitcoin kind of
[21:48] held in. Didn't necessarily appreciate
[21:49] significantly, but it kind of held in
[21:51] there very strong. And at one point, it
[21:53] was green and everything else was pretty
[21:54] much red other than, you know, oil and
[21:56] those types of commodities. Now, stocks
[21:58] are kind of ripping back to new all-time
[22:00] highs, and Bitcoin uh has gone up, but,
[22:03] you know, it's not back at an all-time
[22:04] high. And so, how do you look at that
[22:05] relationship? Yeah, you're seeing go uh
[22:07] Bitcoin starting to pick up against
[22:08] major tech stocks. Now, the equity
[22:11] industry is going through something
[22:13] really, really interesting right now.
[22:14] It's tokenizing and people don't really
[22:17] understand how big a deal this is. So,
[22:19] I'm an old futures guy and back in the
[22:21] day buns traded on the life exchange and
[22:23] it was these open outcry guys that would
[22:25] raise their hand and fight and like try
[22:27] to get the bidden off or whatever.
[22:30] Your ex behind the scenes developed
[22:31] electronification,
[22:33] turned it on, and then one day all that
[22:35] liquidity moved from open outcry to
[22:38] electronic trading. Tokenization is the
[22:41] new version of this. It's the next
[22:44] iteration on markets after
[22:46] electronification. And the reason why is
[22:49] it unlocks 247 markets. Think about it.
[22:54] Markets in their natural state are 24/7.
[22:57] You know, value changes if you're asleep
[22:58] or not. nobody really cares. Well, we
[23:00] never had the technology to keep up.
[23:03] Now, tokens uh allow you to do that. And
[23:06] so, I'm a fiduciary. I have the ability
[23:08] to buy a tokenized stock or a
[23:11] non-tokenized stock. I have to buy that
[23:15] tokenized version every single day
[23:17] because I can risk manage it when Donald
[23:19] Trump invades Venezuela on a Friday
[23:21] night, Epic Fury on a Saturday night. I
[23:24] have to be able to manage my risk. Why
[23:26] am I saying all this to your question?
[23:28] Well, the reason is there's this
[23:30] dislocation now where crypto is active
[23:33] 247 and people are hedging their risk,
[23:36] you know, when they have no other way to
[23:37] hedge their risk uh when when when those
[23:40] things happen on on the weekend. And so,
[23:42] they've been using it to to sell um
[23:44] which has been part of the price action
[23:45] challenges. But eventually, you're going
[23:47] to find out that the 247 cryptonativity
[23:50] that we already enjoy is going to be a
[23:52] distinct advantage. uh and watch as you
[23:55] see um you know this this this happen.
[23:58] It's going to be very very interesting.
[23:59] But before long, you know, this also
[24:01] plays to the stable coin thesis. If the
[24:03] equity market is $127 trillion in size
[24:07] and it tokenizes overnight, how am I
[24:10] going to pay for this stuff? Stable
[24:12] coins. And so when you start thinking
[24:14] about numbers, Treasury Secretary threw
[24:16] out three trillion probably
[24:18] conservative. And that's exactly what
[24:19] you'd expect from from a government
[24:21] agency. So, um, look, I I I think I
[24:24] think you're going to start seeing a
[24:26] pivot back. Equities are ripping despite
[24:28] all the geopolitical stress. Um, crypto
[24:31] stayed resilient, but I do think the
[24:33] construct the the setup is incredibly
[24:35] constructive. Sentiment has been really
[24:37] really bad, slowly improving. Um,
[24:40] fundamentals are getting better and
[24:41] better every single day for the tokens
[24:42] that have them. And, uh, retail come is
[24:45] going to come back.
[24:47] >> What are you worried about right now?
[24:48] You know, there's a lot of positive
[24:49] things to point to. Is there anything in
[24:51] particular that that you say, hey, you
[24:53] know, you're stepping into this new role
[24:54] at uh Franklin Templeton and uh I think
[24:56] that you've probably more so than most
[24:58] in the industry have to think about risk
[25:00] management and think about how do you
[25:01] mitigate a lot of the concerns that
[25:03] these institutions would have. So maybe
[25:04] talk a little bit about the role that
[25:05] you are stepping into and then also how
[25:07] you're thinking about, you know, the
[25:09] negatives or things that we need to
[25:10] mitigate.
[25:11] >> Yeah, so Franklin Templeton announced um
[25:13] that they're going to be acquiring our
[25:14] liquid strategies. We're super excited
[25:16] about it. Um once we close I'll be the
[25:19] head of Franklin Crypto and it's a
[25:22] really really interesting time. I
[25:23] couldn't be more excited. Uh you know
[25:25] we've been operating this space Anthony
[25:27] for years and we took a lot of risk for
[25:30] operating in the space. Regulators would
[25:33] come after us. It was not an easy place
[25:34] to operate. But now as you talk to every
[25:38] single institution around the world they
[25:40] have risk if they're not in this space
[25:43] because they see the value creation.
[25:45] they see the fundamentals continuing to
[25:46] improve. And so it's the most perfect
[25:49] time for, you know, a guy like me to
[25:51] leverage that and my team to leverage
[25:54] that cryptonative experience to now come
[25:56] in and help shepherd them on this
[25:57] journey. Um, you know, help them find um
[26:00] the solutions that they're looking for
[26:02] uh the exposures that they're looking
[26:04] for in accordance with their uh risk
[26:06] tolerance. Um, and we've learned a lot
[26:09] uh in in in the last few years. Now, as
[26:11] far as risk goes, we talked about it up
[26:13] front. we have to address the security
[26:15] issue. Um, again, you know, that's one
[26:18] of the reasons why to your earlier point
[26:21] why people aren't going true native DeFi
[26:23] themselves on chain. Maybe they want to
[26:25] partner with a trusted institution who
[26:27] can help abstract maybe some of the I
[26:29] mean, everyone faces security
[26:31] challenges, but maybe you have more
[26:32] robust um capabilities at a at a big
[26:34] institution. That's one of the reasons
[26:36] why you're even seeing some of the OG
[26:38] Bitcoin guys went into the ETF. two
[26:41] reasons. Maybe a little better security,
[26:43] maybe they could avail themselves of the
[26:45] entire robustness of US capital markets,
[26:48] borrowing and lending and doing so in a
[26:50] more safe and secure manner. So, um
[26:53] security is something I think that that
[26:54] we're always thinking about. Obviously,
[26:57] um fundamentals like you know this idea
[27:01] of chasing the next hot meme um was a
[27:04] big part of the crypto industry in the
[27:05] past. I think going forward is how do we
[27:07] leverage our unique distribution to
[27:10] really understand and and capture
[27:12] fundamentals? How do we bring in, you
[27:14] know, the power of AI to to help power
[27:18] our our our thesises and our strategies?
[27:20] Um, there's so much disruption, right? I
[27:23] mean, it couldn't be more exciting time
[27:24] to be alive. You got this AI thing
[27:26] that's going to change everything.
[27:27] You've got crypto that's changing
[27:29] everything. And then we got quantum
[27:30] eventually that's going to change
[27:31] everything as well. And Elon's going to
[27:33] do it all in space. So like it couldn't
[27:35] be a more exciting time. We just are
[27:37] excited to to to partner with our
[27:39] clients to to to navigate these
[27:41] challenges.
[27:42] >> Talk a little bit about uh Franklin
[27:43] Tubson. I know that it was just the
[27:45] 5-year anniversary of the Benji Fund and
[27:47] they've been kind of dabbling in some of
[27:49] these things, but what is your view in
[27:51] terms of, you know, what does the next
[27:53] couple of years look like? Is it just
[27:54] replicate every single traditional fund
[27:57] strategy and asset and do it in the
[27:59] digital world? Is it focus on the more
[28:01] cryptonative things that maybe don't
[28:02] have a corlary example in the
[28:05] traditional world? How are you thinking?
[28:07] >> I think the answer is yes. Um to be
[28:09] honest with you, uh Jenny Johnson, Sandy
[28:12] call like these people are not new to
[28:15] the space. Um actually I sat next to
[28:17] Sandy for years. I think we we learned
[28:19] about Bitcoin together back in like 2013
[28:21] or something and um you know we were
[28:24] very close at the time uh at Croup and
[28:27] Jenny and and Sandy and the Franklin
[28:28] team have been in the space since 2018.
[28:30] So this is not new for them. Um what
[28:32] they really want to do is just galvanize
[28:34] their focus, galvanize their teams to to
[28:38] really solve clients, solve their
[28:40] clients problems. Um whether it's
[28:42] tokenization, whether it's cryptonative
[28:44] and everything in between. Um, you're
[28:46] going to hear a ton of announcements
[28:47] coming out. Um, and and hopefully, you
[28:50] know, my goal is to operate on the
[28:52] frontier. Um, focus on innovation and
[28:55] innovative solutions for our clients.
[28:57] >> One thing we haven't talked about is
[28:58] quantum. And I think that I've heard
[29:00] quantum mentioned by more institutional
[29:02] people than any other group. Uh, how do
[29:04] you thinking about quantum? Are you
[29:06] worried about it? What can people do to
[29:08] mitigate that?
[29:09] I'm not terribly worried about it in
[29:12] crypto because crypto people by our
[29:15] nature are very focused on cryptography
[29:18] and cutting edge innovation. And so as
[29:21] you look across the ecosystems,
[29:24] it's very apparent to me that we're
[29:26] focusing on addressing the challenges
[29:29] and perhaps even, you know, identifying
[29:32] the opportunities. I mean, think of the
[29:34] compute and the power that that this
[29:36] technology will ultimately bring or
[29:38] these breakthroughs. This is not new
[29:40] stuff. Like, you know, you go to
[29:41] Columbia, they've been working on this
[29:42] for 100 years, but it feels like
[29:45] something like AI again will accelerate
[29:48] breakthroughs in quantum. Crypto is
[29:51] going to be the rails that bring it
[29:52] together, whether it's for
[29:53] authentication or for movement of of of
[29:56] capital. So like while it's very
[29:58] important for our industry because
[29:59] crypto is the name of our industry and
[30:01] cryptography and making sure that your
[30:03] quantum resistance is very important.
[30:05] I'm frankly more concerned about other
[30:07] industries and this could actually
[30:09] accelerate
[30:11] crypto adoption of those other
[30:12] industries provided that crypto that
[30:14] cryptography is quantum resistance. So
[30:16] again I think it's a forcing function
[30:18] that's going to bring more convergence
[30:20] um going forward.
[30:21] >> Let's talk about stable coins. those
[30:23] seem to be uh if there's any product
[30:25] that has as much product market fit as
[30:27] Bitcoin, stable coins have, you know,
[30:28] just grown like wildfire. Um how do you
[30:31] think these large institutions interact
[30:33] with stable coins? Is it okay, let's all
[30:35] go use, you know, Tether or USD um uh T
[30:39] or USDC or or is it they build their
[30:42] own? It seems like everyone's got kind
[30:43] of different strategies and then you've
[30:45] got like the payment processors and
[30:46] you've got the warehouses and and
[30:48] there's just a lot of complexity in
[30:50] players and so what's your view as to
[30:52] where we end up with stable coins in the
[30:54] traditional world?
[30:56] >> I think stable coins are going to be a
[30:57] huge part of the globe going forward.
[31:00] Um, if you think about it, the US
[31:03] greatest export is the greenback. And
[31:07] now for the first time, people anywhere
[31:10] in the world with access to the internet
[31:12] are going to be able to buy those
[31:14] dollars and hold those dollars as a
[31:16] store of value. And this is
[31:20] unprecedented. I think you're going to
[31:21] see the like the dollar dollar dominance
[31:25] just continue to um expand across the
[31:28] the world. I think there's going to be
[31:29] wars fought over this. Uh to be honest
[31:31] with you, I hate to say it, but like
[31:33] we're going to see the dollarization of
[31:35] of the world. I was talking to a really
[31:38] smart guy the other night. He's like,
[31:39] you know, I see currencies and languages
[31:42] being correlated over time. You know,
[31:44] the number of languages being spoken,
[31:46] I'm not saying this is a good thing, by
[31:47] the way. I'm just saying that this is
[31:48] how it is, continues to decrease. you
[31:50] know, eventually, you know, there'll
[31:52] only be everyone's going to speak
[31:53] English um and and you know, whatever
[31:56] and maybe Mandarin and maybe something
[31:57] else, but like you're seeing them
[31:59] continue to shrink. I I kind of see the
[32:01] same trend like perhaps in in
[32:04] currencies. Um and there's just going to
[32:06] be ins continued insatiable demand for
[32:08] the dollar. Now, one of the problems
[32:12] that continue to arise is yield. And you
[32:15] know it is a depreci though it's a very
[32:18] good relative store of value on an
[32:20] absolute basis maybe not so much. So how
[32:22] do you drive that yield to preserve that
[32:24] value? So I'm going to ask you a
[32:27] question. What's the difference between
[32:29] a tokenized money market fund and a
[32:31] stable coin?
[32:34] Depends who you ask there my friend. Now
[32:35] we're getting into the great debate. But
[32:38] I mean, look, it it's a very fair point
[32:39] and I think that uh to the average
[32:41] person um other than the consumption
[32:44] mechanism in terms of being able to use
[32:46] it, it's very similar.
[32:48] >> Yeah. I mean, so there we the risk,
[32:52] which one do you think is more risky, a
[32:53] money market fund or a stable coin?
[32:56] >> Again, depends on who you ask, but
[33:00] >> it's it's basically the same, I would
[33:01] argue,
[33:02] >> right? So if you have one that doesn't
[33:05] that pays somebody else interest and one
[33:07] that pays you interest, the only
[33:09] difference currently is one's a security
[33:11] and one is under genius, right? But if
[33:14] you go back to principles-based
[33:16] approaches,
[33:17] you know, why should you not be able to
[33:19] give that yield bearing asset more
[33:22] easily to somebody else? And so one
[33:24] thing that I'm very excited about is the
[33:26] tokenization of capital markets, the
[33:27] tokenization of equities, tokenization
[33:29] of securities. And you know right now
[33:33] maybe it's time to look at a more
[33:34] principles basis where you know I think
[33:36] we announced in our transaction that
[33:38] proceeds are going to be um paid in the
[33:41] money market fund. So lines will
[33:43] continue to blur um irregardless the
[33:46] dollar is going to become much more
[33:48] available and much more dominant across
[33:50] the world and I think that's very good
[33:52] for the US government.
[33:54] >> Makes uh makes sense to me. Um, when you
[33:56] think about the liquid strategies that
[33:58] you guys were running, uh, how many of
[34:00] these institutional clients that
[34:02] Franklin has or others, are they looking
[34:04] to buy the underlying, you know, Bitcoin
[34:06] or other asset? How many of them are
[34:08] looking to, hey, I want to go invest in
[34:10] the infrastructure and own equity almost
[34:11] in a venture, you know, public market
[34:13] style versus, look, I want trading
[34:16] exposure. I want hedging. I want alpha,
[34:18] you know, and those types of uh,
[34:19] activities.
[34:22] You know, people will will say, and I've
[34:24] heard this come up a few times recently,
[34:26] oh, I like equity, I don't like tokens,
[34:28] or I like tokens, I don't like equity.
[34:29] Maybe that was in 21. To me, that's kind
[34:32] of all BS. And the reason why is that it
[34:36] doesn't matter whether it's an equity or
[34:38] a token. The token does provide
[34:40] incremental utility, you know, where you
[34:43] can move it around the world 24/7. It's
[34:45] about the fundamentals underneath,
[34:47] right? And so, what is the value acrruel
[34:49] to that equity? What is the value
[34:50] acrruel to that token whether it's a
[34:52] native form or otherwise but these are
[34:53] just effectively rappers whether you
[34:55] wrap a crypto asset as as like bitcoin
[34:58] under a security as an ETF or you wrap a
[35:00] security in a token it's really about
[35:02] the fundamentals underneath and so you
[35:05] know like any other investment strategy
[35:07] clients will want to understand you know
[35:09] basic things you know what are the
[35:11] investment objectives the benchmarks etc
[35:13] um and so I think it's hard to talk you
[35:16] know every single investor has different
[35:19] objectives
[35:20] I think in time you're going to see a
[35:21] lot more customization via things like
[35:23] vaults, right? Think about it. You know,
[35:27] even at the retail level, you're you're
[35:29] an your adviser. Send me your data.
[35:31] Okay, I'm going to run it through an AI
[35:32] model to understand exactly what you
[35:34] want. I'm going to spit out like and
[35:36] very quickly I'll spit out a vault
[35:38] that's particularly catered to anything
[35:40] that you need, your life events, blah
[35:41] blah blah blah blah blah. So,
[35:43] customization will also be a very
[35:45] important form factor going forward.
[35:47] makes uh makes sense to me when you look
[35:49] at um all of the geopolitical stuff
[35:51] that's happening. Look at all the
[35:52] macroeconomic stuff. Uh we're going to
[35:54] get a new Fed chair. Um and that that
[35:56] new Fed chair uh seems to have a
[35:59] proclivity for lower rates. Uh the
[36:01] president would definitely like lower
[36:02] rates. Uh drone Powell seems to be a
[36:04] little bit more resistant to that idea.
[36:06] Um what is your take on the Fed and
[36:09] their importance for crypto prices? Is
[36:11] it as simple as they cut rates and
[36:13] crypto goes higher through the rest of
[36:14] this year? That's definitely what the
[36:16] data has been showing. Um, I think it's
[36:18] a lot bigger than that, though. And I
[36:20] think the crypto markets completely got
[36:22] worse wrong. Um, when he was named,
[36:25] everyone's like, "Oh, this guy's going
[36:26] to stop QE and it's going to be over."
[36:29] The guy, you know, has a pretty amazing
[36:31] portfolio. Now, I don't know how in the
[36:32] weeds he is. Maybe he's outsourcing that
[36:34] to some some some advisers, but the guy
[36:37] has a pretty robust um crypto portfolio
[36:40] to begin with. as he's as you hear him
[36:43] speak, he's very pro crypto. And you
[36:47] know, I think what you're gonna see at a
[36:48] higher level and we know, you know,
[36:50] Secretary of Treasury Besson is also pro
[36:52] crypto. He wants to make he he he loves
[36:55] stable coins. He wants to start pushing
[36:57] stable coins out to the world. But what
[36:59] my thesis is is you're going to see a
[37:00] new Fed Treasury accord where some roles
[37:04] that the Fed has creeped into are going
[37:06] to move back into Treasury and that's
[37:08] fine. Um, and you know, the Fed can stay
[37:12] perfectly independent. Certain tasks and
[37:15] responsibilities can be moved into the
[37:16] Treasury and that's okay because the
[37:18] Treasury is held accountable through
[37:20] elections and I don't have a problem
[37:22] with that. And as certain roles and
[37:24] responsibilities migrate back to
[37:25] Bessant, it gives him a lot more
[37:27] flexibility, I believe, you know, to to
[37:29] to to pursue his agenda, which has been
[37:32] very clear from the president himself. I
[37:34] want to make the US the crypto capital
[37:36] of the planet. And so yes, I do think
[37:39] crypto as risk assets are very
[37:40] responsive uh to lower rates. You know,
[37:43] we're seeing governments around the
[37:45] world right now saying, "Wait a second.
[37:47] You know, I don't I have this huge issue
[37:49] with oil. It's skyrocketing. I'm going
[37:51] to have to raise rates." Um I think
[37:53] there's a real conundrum around the
[37:55] world which direction to go. Um but the
[37:58] US is different. We're energy resilient.
[38:00] We're independent. And I I do think
[38:02] you're going to see very conducive a
[38:05] very conducive environment with worse in
[38:06] the seat and him working like why
[38:09] wouldn't we want uh chairman of the
[38:11] Federal Reserve and the Secretary of the
[38:12] Treasury to be working hand inand
[38:14] coordinated. I think that makes a lot
[38:15] better sense. Um and that doesn't mean
[38:18] no independence for the Fed.
[38:20] >> I uh I completely agree. I think that
[38:22] we're going to get uh quite a bit of
[38:24] support here. Um which is not
[38:25] necessarily uh because people are just
[38:28] sympathetic to crypto. It's that the
[38:29] world needs this and America wants to be
[38:31] a leader and so no different that we
[38:32] want to be a leader in AI and space and
[38:34] crypto and you know genetic uh DNA
[38:37] sequencing or self-driving cars or
[38:39] whatever. It's an innovative technology
[38:40] that is good for uh people to use in
[38:43] various ways. And so uh why should we
[38:45] not be the leader, right? I don't think
[38:46] we ever set out to be, you know, number
[38:48] 10 on the list. We want to be number
[38:49] one.
[38:50] >> That's what we're here to do. And I'm
[38:51] glad you mentioned uh DNA uh and uh and
[38:56] bio like you know it's these are really
[38:59] interesting verticals that we're going
[39:00] to see incredible um advancements.
[39:03] >> Yeah, I completely agree. All right,
[39:04] where can we send people to uh to find
[39:06] you and uh they want to learn more about
[39:07] the uh the new role and what you're
[39:09] going to be doing at Franklin. Where can
[39:10] we send them?
[39:11] >> Yeah, u still on Twitter. Uh Perkins
[39:14] CR97 Pop. Always good to see you, man.
[39:17] Uh look forward to doing it again
[39:18] sometime.
[39:19] >> Of course. So, I'm I'm super excited for
[39:20] you. Congratulations on uh the
[39:22] acquisition, the new role, and I'm
[39:24] excited to see what you guys do at
[39:25] Franklin Tempmpton.
[39:26] >> All right. Good to see you. Carry on.